Stock Market Expectations - Publications - Faculty & Research - Harvard Business School

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August 2005 (Revised April 2014)
Teaching Note

Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns

By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen

What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details

Research Summary

Corporate Investment and Stock Market Listing: A Puzzle?

In joint work with John Asker and Alexander Ljungqvist, we investigate whether short-termism distorts the investment decisions of stock market listed firms. To do so, we compare the investment behavior of observably similar public and private firms using a new... View Details

July 1979
Article

Spectral Analysis of Stock Market Prices

By: Marc L Bertoneche

Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Price

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December 2021
Article

Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns

By: Marcelo Bianconi, Federico Esposito and Marco Sammon

A recent literature has documented large real effects of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on trade, employment, and investment, but there is little evidence that investors are compensated for bearing such risk. To quantify the risk premium associated with TPU, we exploit... View Details

Keywords: Trade Policy; Uncertainty; Stock Returns; Risk Premium; Tariff Rates; Portfolio Analysis; Trade; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Stocks; Investment Return

August 2001
Technical Note

Technical Note on Expectations

By: Carliss Y. Baldwin

Reviews the mathematics of expectations embedded in a company's current stock price and the related (whole) enterprise value. Begins by showing how the current stock price can be compounded forward to arrive at an expectation one or more years in the future. Describes... View Details

Keywords: Performance Expectations; Price; Stocks

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June 2021 (Revised March 2022)
Teaching Note

StockX: The Stock Market of Things

By: Chiara Farronato

Teaching Note for HBS Case Nos. 620-062 and 621-107. View Details

17 Feb 2012
News

5 Calm Stocks for Any Market

Article

Liquidity Provision and Stock Return Predictability

By: Mark Seasholes and Terrence Hendershott

This paper examines the trading behavior of two groups of liquidity providers (specialists and competing market makers) using a six-year panel of NYSE data. Trades of each group are negatively correlated with contemporaneous price changes. To test for return... View Details

Keywords: Liquidity; Market Makers; Market Efficiency; Inventory; Liquidity Provision; Market Design; Financial Liquidity; Stocks; Investment Return

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September 1992
Case

Star Cablevision Group (B): Adjusting to a Stock Market Correction

By: William A. Sahlman

Second case in a series of six cases. This case describes the company as it adjusts to a stock market correction. View Details

Keywords: Financial Markets

April 2023
Article

The Stock Market Valuation of Human Capital Creation

By: Ethan Rouen and Matthias Regier

We develop a measure of firm-year-specific human capital investment from publicly disclosed personnel expenses (PE) and examine the stock market valuation of this investment. Measuring the future value of PE (PEFV) based on the relation between... View Details

Keywords: Intangibles; Valuation; Human Capital; Investment Return

Spring 2013
Article

Accounting Quality, Stock Price Delay, and Future Stock Returns

By: Jeffrey Callen, Mozaffar N. Khan and Hai Lu

In frictionless capital markets with complete information and rational investors, stock prices adjust to new information instantaneously and completely. However, a substantial body of research studies information imperfections such as asymmetric information and... View Details

Keywords: Quality; Price; Stocks; Asset Pricing; Accounting

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1987
Working Paper

Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets

By: K. A. Froot

Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details

Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Volatility

Fast Answer

Stock Pitching: company, industry and market research

What resources should I use to formulate a stock pitch? Research Topics Suggested Resources Company Bloomberg Current and historical financial information on individual... View Details

15 Feb 2021
News

This Is Where the Real Stock Market Bubble Is

23 Aug 2018
News

Why recent stock market gains might not benefit the economy

November 1993
Article

The Changing Character of Stock Market Liquidity

By: André Perold and James F. Gammill

Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Financial Liquidity

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spring 1974
Article

The Optimality of a Competitive Stock Market

By: Robert C. Merton and Marti G. Subrahmanyam

Keywords: Competition; Stocks; Markets

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January 1987
Article

Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market

By: Terry A. Marsh and Robert C. Merton

Keywords: Behavior; Stocks; Markets

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May – June 1981
Article

Is Your Stock Worth Its Market Price?

By: W. E. Fruhan Jr. and Thomas R. Piper

Keywords: Stocks; Price; Value

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spring 1989
Article

The Changing Character of Stock Market Liquidity

By: André Perold and James F. Gammill

Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Financial Liquidity

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