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      • Faculty Publications  (102)

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      • August 2019
      • Case

      Legal Time Case

      By: Christine L. Exley, Katherine B. Coffman and Joshua Schwartzstein
      Legal Time is a two-party dynamic negotiation simulation. Students take the role of either the prosecution or the defense in a case that centers on a client who has been accused of spear-heading a conspiracy to commit wire fraud. This conflict-resolution scenario gives... View Details
      Keywords: Conflict Resolution; Time Stress; Negotiation; Conflict and Resolution; Fairness; Learning
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      Exley, Christine L., Katherine B. Coffman, and Joshua Schwartzstein. "Legal Time Case." Harvard Business School Case 920-010, August 2019.
      • March 2019 (Revised May 2019)
      • Case

      Growth Investing at Totem Point

      By: Suraj Srinivasan, Charles C.Y. Wang and Jonah Goldberg
      The case describes the investment of hedge fund, Totem Point Management in Analog Semiconductors (ADI) as a way to discuss forecasting and valuation in growth companies. In June 2016, hedge fund Totem Point invested in ADI at around $55 a share. In general, Totem Point... View Details
      Keywords: Growth Investing; Investment; Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Valuation
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      Srinivasan, Suraj, Charles C.Y. Wang, and Jonah Goldberg. "Growth Investing at Totem Point." Harvard Business School Case 119-091, March 2019. (Revised May 2019.)
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Dani Rodrik
      We study preferences for government action in response to layoffs resulting from different types of labor-market shocks. We consider the following shocks: technological change, a demand shift, bad management, and three kinds of international outsourcing. Respondents... View Details
      Keywords: Labor; Markets; System Shocks; Trade; Attitudes; Surveys
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Dani Rodrik. "Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 25705, March 2019.
      • 30 Nov 2018
      • Conference Presentation

      Global Macroeconomic Scenarios

      By: Dante Roscini
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      Roscini, Dante. "Global Macroeconomic Scenarios." Paper presented at the Conference of the Italian Banking Foundations, Venice, Italy, November 30, 2018.
      • March 2018 (Revised July 2020)
      • Case

      Nectar (A)

      By: Jeffrey F. Rayport and Thomas O. Jones
      In late 2017, Nectar was a rapidly emerging player in the “bed-in-a-box” online market for direct-to-consumer foam memory mattresses. Barely a year old, it had achieved a revenue run rate of $85M and looked ahead to another year of blistering growth. The founding team... View Details
      Keywords: Direct-to-consumer; Growth and Development Strategy; Product; Diversification; Decision Making; Growth Management; Entrepreneurship
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      Rayport, Jeffrey F., and Thomas O. Jones. "Nectar (A)." Harvard Business School Case 818-112, March 2018. (Revised July 2020.)
      • Article

      The Interplay Between Sharing Behavior and Beliefs About Others in Children During Dictator Games

      By: Hernando Santamaría-García, María Luz González-Gadea, Rafael Di Tella, Agustín Ibáñez and Mariano Sigman
      Previous studies in adults demonstrated that beliefs and sharing decisions in social scenarios are closely related. However, to date, little is known about the development of this relationship in children. By using a modified dictator game, we assessed sharing behavior... View Details
      Keywords: Dictator Game; Altruism; Generosity; Development; Conveniently Upset; Behavior; Values and Beliefs; Perception; Decision Making
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      Santamaría-García, Hernando, María Luz González-Gadea, Rafael Di Tella, Agustín Ibáñez, and Mariano Sigman. "The Interplay Between Sharing Behavior and Beliefs About Others in Children During Dictator Games." Journal of Experimental Child Psychology 166 (February 2018): 451–464.
      • December 2017
      • Case

      La Ceiba: Navigating Microfinance and Relationships in Honduras (A)

      By: Christine L. Exley, John Beshears and Alison Wood Brooks
      This case follows the program director of La Ceiba, a Honduras-based microfinance institution, as he navigates four challenging negotiation scenarios involving the organization's loan clients. Students are asked to adopt the perspective of the Program Director and to... View Details
      Keywords: Negotiation; Power; Apology; Negotiation Process; Microfinance; Power and Influence; Situation or Environment
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      Exley, Christine L., John Beshears, and Alison Wood Brooks. "La Ceiba: Navigating Microfinance and Relationships in Honduras (A)." Harvard Business School Case 918-014, December 2017.
      • Article

      Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment

      By: Robert F. Engle, Guillaume Roussellet and Emil N. Siriwardane
      We propose a statistical model of the term structure of U.S. treasury yields tailored for long-term probability-based scenario generation and forecasts. Our model is easy to estimate and is able to simultaneously reproduce the positivity, persistence, and factor... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting; Stress Testing; Interest Rates; Forecasting and Prediction; Risk Management; United States
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      Engle, Robert F., Guillaume Roussellet, and Emil N. Siriwardane. "Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment." Special Issue on Theoretical and Financial Econometrics: Essays in Honor of C. Gourieroux. Journal of Econometrics 201, no. 2 (December 2017): 333–347.
      • Article

      Popular Acceptance of Inequality Due to Innate Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-based Taxation

      By: Matthew C. Weinzierl
      U.S. survey respondents' views on distributive justice differ in two specific, related ways from what is conventionally assumed in modern optimal tax research. When expressing their preferences over allocations in stylized, hypothetical scenarios meant to isolate key... View Details
      Keywords: Optimal Taxation; Welfarism; Luck; Benefit-based Taxation; Taxation; Equality and Inequality; Attitudes
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      Weinzierl, Matthew C. "Popular Acceptance of Inequality Due to Innate Brute Luck and Support for Classical Benefit-based Taxation." Journal of Public Economics 155 (November 2017): 54–63. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-104, March 2016; revised July 2016, and NBER Working Paper Series, No. 22462, July 2016. See Notes on Fortune article.)
      • Article

      Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates

      By: Peter R. Joos, Joseph D. Piotroski and Suraj Srinivasan
      We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of... View Details
      Keywords: Analyst Forecasts; Scenarios; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Joos, Peter R., Joseph D. Piotroski, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates." Journal of Financial Economics 121, no. 3 (September 2016): 645–663.
      • July 2016 (Revised October 2016)
      • Case

      Entrepreneurial Sales and Marketing Vignettes

      By: Mark Roberge and Frank Cespedes
      Which sales candidate is a startup’s ideal first hire? What marketing channels are best to invest in? How aggressively should an executive team align sales with customer success? Early stage founders, sales leaders, and marketing executives often face one, and... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurial Marketing; Entrepreneurial Sales; Business Startups; Talent; Talent Management; Growth Management; Marketing Communications; Social Marketing; Salesforce Management; Pricing; Sales; Marketing
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      Roberge, Mark, and Frank Cespedes. "Entrepreneurial Sales and Marketing Vignettes." Harvard Business School Case 817-010, July 2016. (Revised October 2016.)
      • Article

      The Payoff of Pay-for-Success

      By: V. Kasturi Rangan and Lisa Chase
      Pay-for-success contracts also known as social impact bonds, have been widely touted as a clever way to fill the funding gap plaguing social programs by attracting a tranche of the trillions of dollars in private return-seeking capital. This article takes an in-depth... View Details
      Keywords: Impact Investing; Social Impact Bonds; Public Innovation; Social Enterprise; Investment; Innovation and Invention
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      Rangan, V. Kasturi, and Lisa Chase. "The Payoff of Pay-for-Success." Stanford Social Innovation Review 13, no. 4 (Fall 2015): 28–36.
      • 2015
      • Article

      Scalable Detection of Anomalous Patterns With Connectivity Constraints

      By: Skyler Speakman, Edward McFowland III and Daniel B. Neill
      We present GraphScan, a novel method for detecting arbitrarily shaped connected clusters in graph or network data. Given a graph structure, data observed at each node, and a score function defining the anomalousness of a set of nodes, GraphScan can efficiently and... View Details
      Keywords: Biosurveillance; Event Detection; Graph Mining; Scan Statistics; Spatial Scan Statistic
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      Speakman, Skyler, Edward McFowland III, and Daniel B. Neill. "Scalable Detection of Anomalous Patterns With Connectivity Constraints." Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 24, no. 4 (2015): 1014–1033.
      • March 2015
      • Article

      Signaling to Partially Informed Investors in the Newsvendor Model

      By: William Schmidt, Vishal Gaur, Richard Lai and Ananth Raman
      We investigate a puzzling phenomenon in which firms make investment decisions that purposefully do not maximize expected profits. Using an extension to the newsvendor model, we focus on a relatively common scenario in which the firm's investor has imperfect information... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment
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      Schmidt, William, Vishal Gaur, Richard Lai, and Ananth Raman. "Signaling to Partially Informed Investors in the Newsvendor Model." Production and Operations Management 24, no. 3 (March 2015): 383–401.
      • February 2015
      • Article

      Location Choices under Strategic Interactions

      By: Juan Alcacer, Cristian Dezso and Minyuan Zhao
      The literature on location choices has mostly emphasized the impact of location and firm characteristics. However, most industries with a significant presence of multi-location firms are oligopolistic in nature, which suggests that strategic interaction among firms... View Details
      Keywords: Location Strategies; Multinational Strategy; Oligopolistic Competition; Firm Heterogeneity; Geographic Location; Multinational Firms and Management; Balance and Stability; Decision Choices and Conditions; Game Theory
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      Alcacer, Juan, Cristian Dezso, and Minyuan Zhao. "Location Choices under Strategic Interactions." Strategic Management Journal 36, no. 2 (February 2015): 197–215.
      • January 2015 (Revised October 2016)
      • Case

      onefinestay: Building a Luxury Experience in the Sharing Economy

      By: Jill Avery, Anat Keinan and Liz Kind
      onefinestay was a two-sided marketplace that offered high-end home rentals to travelers who sought a more authentic and local experience than a typical upscale hotel might provide. After five years of rapid growth, it was time to do a comprehensive analysis of the... View Details
      Keywords: Luxury Goods; Brand Building; Brand Management; Hospitality; Hotels; Digital Marketing; Brand Positioning; Luxury Service; Airbnb; Sharing Economy; Collaborative Consumption; Disruptive Business Model; Travel; Alternatives To Hotel; Branding; Customer Service; Exceeding Consumer Expectations; Client Acquisition; Reputation Management; Word Of Mouth; 2-way Business Model; Marketing; Marketing Strategy; Brands and Branding; Luxury; Disruption; Business Model; Entrepreneurship; E-commerce; Accommodations Industry; Tourism Industry; Travel Industry; United Kingdom
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      Avery, Jill, Anat Keinan, and Liz Kind. "onefinestay: Building a Luxury Experience in the Sharing Economy." Harvard Business School Case 515-072, January 2015. (Revised October 2016.)
      • July 2014
      • Article

      Diasporas and Outsourcing: Evidence from oDesk and India

      By: Ejaz Ghani, William R. Kerr and Christopher Stanton
      This study examines the role of the Indian diaspora in the outsourcing of work to India. Our data are taken from oDesk, the world's largest online platform for outsourced contracts, where India is the largest country in terms of contract volume. We use an ethnic name... View Details
      Keywords: Diaspora; Outsourcing; oDesk; Networks; Job Cuts and Outsourcing; Diasporas; Internet and the Web; Ethnicity; Service Industry; South Asia; India
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      Ghani, Ejaz, William R. Kerr, and Christopher Stanton. "Diasporas and Outsourcing: Evidence from oDesk and India." Management Science 60, no. 7 (July 2014): 1677–1697.
      • 2014
      • Book

      Accelerate: Building Strategic Agility for a Faster-Moving World

      By: John P. Kotter
      Based on the award-winning article in Harvard Business Review, from global leadership expert John Kotter. It's a familiar scene in organizations today: a new competitive threat or a big opportunity emerges. You quickly create a strategic initiative in response and... View Details
      Keywords: Competitive Strategy; Organizational Structure
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      Kotter, John P. Accelerate: Building Strategic Agility for a Faster-Moving World. Harvard Business Review Press, 2014.
      • 2014
      • Chapter

      Better Timing of Cyber Conflict

      By: Elisabeth Paulson and Christopher Griffin
      In this paper, we construct a model of cyber-weapon deployment and attempt to determine an optimal deployment time for cyberweapons using this model. We compare and contrast our approach to that in Axelrod and Iliev (R. Axelrod and R. Iliev. Timing of cyber conflict.... View Details
      Keywords: Cyber-weapons; Cyberwarfare; Cybersecurity; National Security
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      Paulson, Elisabeth, and Christopher Griffin. "Better Timing of Cyber Conflict." In Proceedings of the Third ASE International Conference on Cyber Security. Los Angeles, CA: Academy of Science and Engineering, 2014.
      • October 2013
      • Article

      Consulting on the Cusp of Disruption

      By: Clayton M. Christensen, Dina Wang and Derek C. M. van Bever
      Consulting fundamental business model has not changed in more than 100 years: very smart outsiders go into organizations for a finite period of time and recommend solutions for the most difficult problems confronting their clients. But at traditional... View Details
      Keywords: Disruptive Innovation; Consulting Industry
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      Christensen, Clayton M., Dina Wang, and Derek C. M. van Bever. "Consulting on the Cusp of Disruption." Harvard Business Review 91, no. 10 (October 2013): 106–114.
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