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- Faculty Publications (25)
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- All HBS Web (108)
- Faculty Publications (25)
- 03 Oct 2005
- Research & Ideas
The Box Office Power of Stars
We all understand at some level that stars in the worlds of film, sports, and even business create results. If you want big box office for Pirates of the Caribbean, it probably pays to sign Johnny Depp to play the lead. But Harvard... View Details
- 11 Apr 2024
- News
Mission Control
Subscribe on iTunes Subscribe on Spotify More Skydeck episodes Hi, this is Dan Morrell, host of Skydeck. By the time Peter Platzer (MBA 2002) was a teenager, he knew he wanted to be a physicist—and he was fascinated by space, eagerly engrossed in space-time diagrams... View Details
- 26 Nov 2001
- Op-Ed
Why Corporate Budgeting Needs To Be Fixed
exceeding. But the price for his little white lie was extremely high: The company based its demand planning on his sales forecast and consequently ran out of its core product in one of its largest markets at the height of the holiday... View Details
Keywords: by Michael C. Jensen
- 16 May 2000
- Research & Ideas
Getting the Message: How the Internet is Changing Advertising
that marketers began to think of the Web as an advertising medium, U.S. Internet advertisers spent $940 million; a year later, that number had almost doubled, and some put it as high as $4 billion in 1999. Forecasts on what lies ahead are... View Details
Keywords: by Susan Young
- 02 Aug 2020
- What Do You Think?
Is the 'Experimentation Organization' Becoming the Competitive Gold Standard?
the probability of success for ideas central to a strategy. Frequent testing has been especially relevant for retailers, whose merchandise displays offer endless opportunities to test product placement ideas. Now organizations whose... View Details
- 28 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
Coronavirus Could Create a 'Bankruptcy Pandemic'
cover debt payments owed to creditors. This could set up the perfect storm for a huge wave of bankruptcies in the weeks and months ahead, says Stuart C. Gilson, the Steven R. Fenster Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School. “There is a realistic... View Details
- 01 Dec 2022
- News
Singing to the Corn
recalls, “and I brought up what Deward had said, and asked if he thought big ag had our Cherokee seeds and what we should do about it. “His answer was, ‘Yeah, they probably have them. But that doesn’t matter.’ I said, ‘What do you mean?... View Details
- 24 Sep 2020
- Research & Ideas
Financial Meltdowns Are More Predictable Than We Thought
Red-zone or “R-zone” for short. Countries fall into the “business R-zone” when: Credit extended to firms rises for three years at a rate that reaches the top 20 percent of past experience. Stock market returns reach the top third of past experience during the same... View Details
- 11 Mar 2020
- News
Making It Rain
life-threatening experiences when they were blindsided by weather during their military service. Those shared experiences led them to found ClimaCell in 2015 to provide more accurate and reliable forecasts both to businesses and to... View Details
Keywords: Lisa Scanlon Mogolov
- Web
Introduction - Option Pricing in Theory & Practice: The Nobel Prize Research of Robert C. Merton - Exhibits - Historical Collections
the trading floor. The model offers a methodology to predict the seemingly unpredictable by using the lessons of complex mathematics and probability theory to forecast stock valuations, making it possible to... View Details
- 28 May 2019
- News
Beyond the Bitcoin Bubble
hosted an HBS Club of New York panel discussion on cryptocurrencies earlier this year, and she’s here to help us forecast the future of digital dough. “People who got burned when the price of bitcoin crashed are now starting to do more... View Details
Keywords: Dan Morrell
- 05 Dec 2012
- What Do You Think?
Should Managers Bother Listening to Predictions?
identify fairly reliable predictions from the guesses." Others identified people as the weak point in the process. Adam Hartung commented that " everyone should be evaluating trends and making forecasts they use to guide... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
- 12 Jul 2010
- Research & Ideas
Rocket Science Retailing: A Practical Guide
aligned in their thinking. Analysts are often in frequent and close contact with management, even though they're not privy to inside information. Examining analysts' sales forecasts in 2008 reveals that analysts—and View Details
- 18 Oct 2004
- Research & Ideas
The Bias of Wall Street Analysts
up until the point (and even after) the company tumbled off a cliff. Indeed, HBS professor Mark Bradshaw and collaborators Scott Richardson and Richard Sloan found that pre-year 2000 forecasts and recommendations done by Wall Street... View Details
- Web
Introduction - Option Pricing in Theory & Practice: The Nobel Prize Research of Robert C. Merton - Exhibits - Historical Collections
the trading floor. The model offers a methodology to predict the seemingly unpredictable by using the lessons of complex mathematics and probability theory to forecast stock valuations, making it possible to... View Details
- 09 Dec 2015
- Research Event
How Do You Predict Demand and Set Prices For Products Never Sold Before?
explained that the world of business analytics includes descriptive analytics (analyzing what has happened), predictive analytics (analyzing data to figure out what will probably happen), and prescriptive analytics (using data to decide... View Details
- 04 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
Predictions, Prophets, and Restarting Your Business
headlines from market-driven data and options. When much of the world economy is shut for weeks and possibly months, cascading bankruptcies and higher debt loads probably mean a tightening of purchasing decisions and capital expenditures... View Details
Keywords: by Frank V. Cespedes
- 01 Sep 2020
- News
Saving Grace
fees to service and administrative charges and investment and withdrawal penalties. Chapman is not alone in his struggle to make sense of a murky system, though his career probably gave him a leg up on the average pensioner—a growing... View Details
Keywords: Jen McFarland Flint
- 11 Dec 2007
- First Look
First Look: December 11, 2007
Working PapersThe Seer of Wellesley Hills: Roger Babson and the Babson Statistical Organization Author:Walter A. Friedman Abstract Roger Babson was a pioneer of the business-forecasting industry in the United States in the early twentieth century. He built the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 05 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 5, 2008
Ostrovsky, and Schwarz. We prove that convergence occurs with probability 1, and we compute the expected time until convergence. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/08-056.pdf Attracting Flows by Attracting Big Clients:... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace