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      • Faculty Publications  (1,497)

      Measurement and MetricsRemove Measurement and Metrics →

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      • November–December 2024
      • Article

      Outcome-Driven Dynamic Refugee Assignment with Allocation Balancing

      By: Kirk Bansak and Elisabeth Paulson
      This study proposes two new dynamic assignment algorithms to match refugees and asylum seekers to geographic localities within a host country. The first, currently implemented in a multi-year pilot in Switzerland, seeks to maximize the average predicted employment... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Refugees; Geographic Location; Employment
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      Bansak, Kirk, and Elisabeth Paulson. "Outcome-Driven Dynamic Refugee Assignment with Allocation Balancing." Operations Research 72, no. 6 (November–December 2024): 2375–2390.
      • November 2024
      • Article

      Perceptions About Monetary Policy

      By: Michael D. Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam
      We estimate perceptions about the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy rule from panel data on professional forecasts of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. The perceived dependence of the federal funds rate on economic conditions varies substantially over time,... View Details
      Keywords: Monetary Policy; Policy; Interest Rates; Perception; Economy; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Bauer, Michael D., Carolin Pflueger, and Adi Sunderam. "Perceptions About Monetary Policy." Quarterly Journal of Economics 139, no. 4 (November 2024): 2227–2278.
      • November 2024
      • Article

      Price Discounts and Cheapflation During the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge

      By: Alberto Cavallo and Oleksiy Kryvtsov
      We study how within-store price variation changes with inflation, and whether households exploit it to attenuate the inflation burden. We use micro price data for food products sold by 91 large multi-channel retailers in ten countries between 2018 and 2024. Measuring... View Details
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Inflation and Deflation; Price; Consumer Behavior; Personal Finance; Product Positioning
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      Cavallo, Alberto, and Oleksiy Kryvtsov. "Price Discounts and Cheapflation During the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge." Journal of Monetary Economics 148 (November 2024).
      • November 5, 2024
      • Article

      The International Empirics of Management

      By: Daniela Scur, Scott Ohlmacher, John Van Reenen, Morten Bennedsen, Nick Bloom, Ali Choudhary, Lucia Foster, Jesse Groenewegen, Arti Grover, Sjoerd Hardeman, Leonardo Iacovone, Ryo Kambayashi, Marie-Christine Laible, Renata Lemos, Hongbin Li, Andrea Linarello, Mika Maliranta, Denis Medvedev, Charlotte Meng, John Miles Touya, Natalia Mandirola, Roope Ohlsbom, Atsushi Ohyama, Megha Patnaik, Mariana Pereira-López, Raffaella Sadun, Tatsuro Senga, Franklin Qian and Florian Zimmermann
      A country’s national income broadly depends on the quantity and quality of workers and capital. But how well these factors are managed within and between firms may be a key determinant of a country’s productivity and its GDP. Although social scientists have long... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Productivity; Economy; Management Practices and Processes
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      Scur, Daniela, Scott Ohlmacher, John Van Reenen, Morten Bennedsen, Nick Bloom, Ali Choudhary, Lucia Foster, Jesse Groenewegen, Arti Grover, Sjoerd Hardeman, Leonardo Iacovone, Ryo Kambayashi, Marie-Christine Laible, Renata Lemos, Hongbin Li, Andrea Linarello, Mika Maliranta, Denis Medvedev, Charlotte Meng, John Miles Touya, Natalia Mandirola, Roope Ohlsbom, Atsushi Ohyama, Megha Patnaik, Mariana Pereira-López, Raffaella Sadun, Tatsuro Senga, Franklin Qian, and Florian Zimmermann. "The International Empirics of Management." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 121, no. 45 (November 5, 2024).
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Ponzi Funds

      By: Philippe van der Beck, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud and Dario Villamaina
      Many active funds hold concentrated portfolios. Flow-driven trading causes price pressure, which pushes up the funds’ existing positions resulting in realized returns. We decompose fund returns into a price pressure (self-inflated) and a fundamental component and... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Funds; Investment Portfolio; Investment Return; Price Bubble; Financial Reporting; Financial Liquidity
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      van der Beck, Philippe, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, and Dario Villamaina. "Ponzi Funds." Working Paper, May 2024.
      • September 26, 2024
      • Article

      A Better Way to Measure Social Impact

      By: Robert S. Kaplan and Constance Spitzer
      All impact investors report the financial returns from their funds and investments, and many provide metrics on intended social outcomes, such as numbers of individuals served, or quality jobs created. But investors do not supply metrics about their impacts on... View Details
      Keywords: Impact Investing; Social Impact Investment; Inclusive Growth; Sustainability; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Environmental Sustainability
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      Kaplan, Robert S., and Constance Spitzer. "A Better Way to Measure Social Impact." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (September 26, 2024).
      • September 2024
      • Exercise

      Assessing the Value of Unifying and De-Duplicating Customer Data

      By: Elie Ofek and Hema Yoganarasimhan
      This exercise provides an opportunity for students to gain hands on experience with assessing the value of unifying various customer databases that a firm may have (e.g., across the different brands it markets) and of properly identifying customers to avoid duplication... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Measurement and Metrics; Analytics and Data Science; Value
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      Ofek, Elie, and Hema Yoganarasimhan. "Assessing the Value of Unifying and De-Duplicating Customer Data." Harvard Business School Exercise 525-023, September 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Does Private Equity Have Any Business Being in the Health Care Business?

      By: Nori Gerardo Lietz and Zirui Song
      Private Equity (“PE”) has come under increased scrutiny by the press, academics, and policymakers, as well as the public, for its investments in health care delivery. This scrutiny has been exacerbated by recent high profile hospital bankruptcies following PE... View Details
      Keywords: Private Equity; Government Administration; Acquisition; Health Industry
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      Lietz, Nori Gerardo, and Zirui Song. "Does Private Equity Have Any Business Being in the Health Care Business?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-012, September 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Behavioral Attenuation

      By: Thomas Graeber, Benjamin Enke, Ryan Oprea and Jeffrey Yang
      We report a large-scale examination of behavioral attenuation: due to information-processing constraints, the elasticity of people’s decisions with respect to economic fundamentals is generally too small. We implement more than 30 experiments, 20 of which were... View Details
      Keywords: Decisions; Behavior; Cognition and Thinking; Behavioral Finance
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      Graeber, Thomas, Benjamin Enke, Ryan Oprea, and Jeffrey Yang. "Behavioral Attenuation." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32973, September 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Finance Without Exotic Risk

      By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer
      We address the joint hypothesis problem in cross-sectional asset pricing by using measured analyst expectations of earnings growth. We construct a firm-level measure of Expectations Based Returns (EBRs) that uses analyst forecast errors and revisions and shuts down any... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Return; Financial Markets; Behavioral Finance; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Bordalo, Pedro, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, and Andrei Shleifer. "Finance Without Exotic Risk." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33004, September 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      The New Digital Divide

      By: Mayana Pereira, Shane Greenstein, Raffaella Sadun, Prasanna Tambe, Lucia Ronchi Darre, Tammy Glazer, Allen Kim, Rahul Dodhia and Juan Lavista Ferres
      We build and analyze new metrics of digital usage that leverage telemetry data collected by Microsoft during operating system updates across forty million Windows devices in U.S. households. These measures of US household digital usage are much more comprehensive than... View Details
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Measurement and Metrics; Geographic Location; Behavior; Technology Adoption; Demographics
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      Pereira, Mayana, Shane Greenstein, Raffaella Sadun, Prasanna Tambe, Lucia Ronchi Darre, Tammy Glazer, Allen Kim, Rahul Dodhia, and Juan Lavista Ferres. "The New Digital Divide." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32932, September 2024.
      • September–October 2024
      • Article

      Where Data-Driven Decision-Making Can Go Wrong

      By: Michael Luca and Amy C. Edmondson
      When considering internal data or the results of a study, often business leaders either take the evidence presented as gospel or dismiss it altogether. Both approaches are misguided. What leaders need to do instead is conduct rigorous discussions that assess any... View Details
      Keywords: Information; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Decision Making
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      Luca, Michael, and Amy C. Edmondson. "Where Data-Driven Decision-Making Can Go Wrong." Harvard Business Review 102, no. 5 (September–October 2024): 80–89.
      • August 2024
      • Technical Note

      Measuring Concentrated Ownership

      By: Christina R. Wing, Everett Alexander and Justin Huang
      Firms with strong governance practices exhibit lower control premiums due to reduced risks and more efficient operations. Conversely, poorly governed firms may exhibit higher control premiums as new owners anticipate the need for substantial governance improvements.... View Details
      Keywords: Concentrated Ownership; Ownership; Corporate Governance; Valuation
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      Wing, Christina R., Everett Alexander, and Justin Huang. "Measuring Concentrated Ownership." Harvard Business School Technical Note 625-031, August 2024.
      • August 19, 2024
      • Article

      The Business Roundtable’s Stakeholder Pledge, Five Years Later

      By: Lynn S. Paine
      Five years ago, the Business Roundtable issued a statement pledging to “lead their companies for the benefit of all stakeholders.” In the past five years, stakeholderism has gained wider acceptance and helped many corporate leaders see the value of taking the interests... View Details
      Keywords: Business and Stakeholder Relations; Business or Company Management; Mission and Purpose; Corporate Governance
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      Paine, Lynn S. "The Business Roundtable’s Stakeholder Pledge, Five Years Later." Harvard Business Review Digital Articles (August 19, 2024).
      • September 2024
      • Article

      Comprehensive Measurement of Biopharmaceutical R&D Investment

      By: Amitabh Chandra, John Drum, Michael Daly, Henry Mirsberger, Samuel Spare, Ulrich Neumann, Silas Martin and Noam Kirson
      Keywords: Research and Development; Investment; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Chandra, Amitabh, John Drum, Michael Daly, Henry Mirsberger, Samuel Spare, Ulrich Neumann, Silas Martin, and Noam Kirson. "Comprehensive Measurement of Biopharmaceutical R&D Investment." Nature Reviews: Drug Discovery 23, no. 9 (September 2024): 652–653.
      • 2024
      • Article

      Crucibles, Multiple Sensitive Periods, and Career Progression

      By: Prithwiraj Choudhury, Sunasir Dutta, Hise O. Gibson and Eric Lin
      We study the effects of crucible experiences along multiple sensitive periods on career progression. While prior literature has hinted that individuals can be imprinted during multiple sensitive periods, not just during the early career, there has been scant attention... View Details
      Keywords: Military Service; Personal Development and Career; Transformation; Power and Influence; Learning; Human Capital
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      Choudhury, Prithwiraj, Sunasir Dutta, Hise O. Gibson, and Eric Lin. "Crucibles, Multiple Sensitive Periods, and Career Progression." Academy of Management Proceedings (2024).
      • August 2024
      • Article

      Partisans neither Expect nor Receive Reputational Rewards for Sharing Falsehoods over Truth Online.

      By: Isaias Ghezae, Jillian J. Jordan, Izzy Gainsburg, Mohsen Mosleh, Gordon Pennycook, Robb Willer and David Rand
      A frequently invoked explanation for the sharing of false over true political information is that partisans are motivated by their reputations. In particular, it is often argued that by indiscriminately sharing news that is favorable to one’s political party,... View Details
      Keywords: Political Ideology; Reputation; Communication Intention and Meaning; Social Media; News
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      Ghezae, Isaias, Jillian J. Jordan, Izzy Gainsburg, Mohsen Mosleh, Gordon Pennycook, Robb Willer, and David Rand. "Partisans neither Expect nor Receive Reputational Rewards for Sharing Falsehoods over Truth Online." PNAS Nexus 3, no. 8 (August 2024).
      • July 2024
      • Case

      Replika AI: Alleviating Loneliness (A)

      By: Shikhar Ghosh and Shweta Bagai
      Eugenia Kuyda launched Replika AI in 2017 as an empathetic digital companion to combat loneliness and provide emotional support. The platform surged in popularity during the COVID-19 pandemic, offering non-judgmental support to isolated users. By 2023, Replika boasted... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Ethics; Health Pandemics; AI and Machine Learning; Well-being; Technology Industry
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      Ghosh, Shikhar, and Shweta Bagai. "Replika AI: Alleviating Loneliness (A)." Harvard Business School Case 824-088, July 2024.
      • July 2024
      • Article

      The Home State Effect: How Subnational Governments Shape Climate Coalitions

      By: Jonas Meckling and Samuel Trachtman
      Organized business interests often seek to block public interest regulations. But whether firms oppose regulation depends on institutional context. We argue that, in federal systems, sub-national policies and politics can have a home state effect on firms' national... View Details
      Keywords: Local Range; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Business and Government Relations
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      Meckling, Jonas, and Samuel Trachtman. "The Home State Effect: How Subnational Governments Shape Climate Coalitions." Governance 37, no. 3 (July 2024): 887–905.
      • July 2024
      • Article

      Mass General Brigham’s Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement System: A Decade of Learnings

      By: Jason B. Liu, Robert S. Kaplan, David W. Bates, Mario O. Edelen, Rachel C. Sisodia and Andrea L. Pusic
      This article describes the strategies that leaders at the Mass General Brigham (MGB) health system have used in launching a standardized patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) collection program in 2012, a major step in the value-based transformation of health care.... View Details
      Keywords: Patient-reported Outcomes; Value Based Health Care; Health Care and Treatment; Transformation; Outcome or Result; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Performance Improvement; Health Industry
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      Liu, Jason B., Robert S. Kaplan, David W. Bates, Mario O. Edelen, Rachel C. Sisodia, and Andrea L. Pusic. "Mass General Brigham’s Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement System: A Decade of Learnings." NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 5, no. 7 (July 2024).
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