Interest Rates - Publications - Faculty & Research

Variable annuities, the largest liability of U.S. life insurers, are investment products containing long-dated minimum return guarantees. I show that guarantees with similar economic risks are treated differently by regulation and these differences impact insurers’... View Details

Keywords: Interest Rate Risk; Variable Annuities; Capital Regulation; Reinsurance; Derivatives; Risk Management; Interest Rates; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms

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March 2015
Article

Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates

By: Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein

Changes in monetary policy have surprisingly strong effects on forward real rates in the distant future. A 100 basis point increase in the two-year nominal yield on a Federal Open Markets Committee announcement day is associated with a 42 basis point increase in the... View Details

Keywords: Policy; Interest Rates; Economics

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31 Aug 2009
Research & Ideas

Why Competition May Not Improve Credit Rating Agencies

and industries. Competition will make ratings better to at least some of these interested parties, but not necessarily to all. Our results imply that competition in credit View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Financial Services

August 2021
Article

Rate-Amplifying Demand and the Excess Sensitivity of Long-Term Rates

By: Samuel G. Hanson, David O. Lucca and Jonathan H. Wright

Long-term nominal interest rates are surprisingly sensitive to high-frequency (daily or monthly) movements in short-term rates. Since 2000, this high-frequency sensitivity has grown even stronger in U.S. data. By contrast, the association between low-frequency changes... View Details

Keywords: Conundrum; Investor Demand; Monetary Policy Transmission; Interest Rates

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1994
Other Unpublished Work

Losing Interest: Interest Allocation Rules and the Cost of Debt Finance

By: K. A. Froot and J. Hines

Keywords: Accounting; Corporation Taxation; Interest Deductibility; Cost Of Capital; Corporate Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Financing and Loans; Interest Rates

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2023
Working Paper

Uniform Rate Setting and the Deposit Channel

By: Juliane Begenau and Erik Stafford

U.S. banks predominantly use uniform deposit rate setting policies, particularly the largest banks. Uniform rate setting ignores local market concentration, and is therefore inconsistent with the identification strategy used to provide cross-sectional evidence of the... View Details

Keywords: Banks and Banking; Financial Markets; Interest Rates; Banking Industry

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19 Dec 2016
News

Small business activity grows despite rate hike

22 Jul 2009
Working Paper Summaries

Reputation and Competition: Evidence from the Credit Rating Industry

Keywords: by Bo Becker & Todd Milbourn; Financial Services

2024
Working Paper

Bank Runs and Interest Rates: A Revolving Lines Perspective

By: Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina

Revolving credit is at the core of the banking business. Corporate revolving credit lines are demandable claims; thus, similar to a traditional bank run on deposits, sudden widespread drawdowns on credit lines can be destabilizing to the banking sector. However, we... View Details

Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Credit; Financial Crisis; Interest Rates; Banks and Banking

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June 28, 2011
Article

Using Implementation Intentions Prompts to Enhance Influenza Vaccination Rates

By: Katherine L Milkman, John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian

We evaluate the results of a field experiment designed to measure the effect of prompts to form implementation intentions on realized behavioral outcomes. The outcome of interest is influenza vaccination receipt at free on-site clinics offered by a large firm to its... View Details

Keywords: Behavioral Economics; Nudge; Libertarian Paternalism; Public Health; Flu Shot; Behavior; Consumer Behavior; Health Care and Treatment; Cognition and Thinking

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07 Jan 2016
News

What the Fed’s Rate Hike Means for America’s Small Businesses

13 Jun 2012
HBS Case

HBS Cases: A Startup Takes On the Credit Ratings Giants

says that students have a great interest in the role of ratings in the financial crisis, and in the firm itself, Becker says. "The business models used, and the whole structure of the industry, are... View Details

Keywords: by Maggie Starvish; Banking; Financial Services

2013
Working Paper

Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira

Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence... View Details

Keywords: Expectations Hypothesis; Term Structure; Real Interest Rate Risk; Inflation Risk; Inflation-Indexed Bonds; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Liquidity; Bonds; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; United Kingdom; United States

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November 2012 (Revised April 2013)
Case

Perspectives on the Great Depression

By: Julio J. Rotemberg

The case assembles texts giving perspectives on the Great Depression by Franklin Delano Roosevelt, John Maynard Keynes, Milton Friedman, Anna Schwartz and Ben Bernanke. This should allow for a discussion of the role of fiscal and monetary policies in reaching and... View Details