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  • 15 Nov 2016
  • First Look

November 15, 2016

will be critical to their success. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=51813 Fiscal Rules and Sovereign Default By: Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract—We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules in a standard model of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Sep 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Financial Meltdowns Are More Predictable Than We Thought

household debt were growing quickly. That combination is “a natural signal of an outward shift in the supply of credit, which then sows the seeds of its own destruction,” the researchers write in their... View Details
Keywords: by Danielle Kost; Financial Services
  • 30 Aug 2016
  • First Look

August 30, 2016

economy or aggregation of citizens’ preferences, government preferences are present biased, resulting in an over accumulation of debt. Calibrating this parameter with values in the literature, the model can reproduce debt levels and... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 22 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 22

Studies Smart Money? The Effect of Education on Financial Outcomes By: Cole, Shawn A., Anna Paulson, and Gauri Kartini Shastry Abstract—Household financial decisions are important for household welfare, economic growth, and financial... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 14 Jun 2016
  • First Look

June 14, 2016

of citizens’ preferences, government preferences are present biased, resulting in an over accumulation of debt. Calibrating this parameter with values in the literature, the model can reproduce debt levels and frequency of default typical... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 30 Mar 2010
  • First Look

First Look: March 30

disproportionately affected by international financial integration. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/07-012.pdf Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race Authors:Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk Abstract The main arguments in favor of and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Jan 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 29, 2019

aggregation of citizens’ preferences, government preferences are present biased, resulting in over-accumulation of debt. Calibrating this parameter with values in the literature, the model can reproduce debt levels and frequency of... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 04 Nov 2008
  • First Look

First Look: November 4, 2008

http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/ b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=509028 Iceland (A) Harvard Business School Case 709-011 In May of 2008, a team of sovereign debt analysts at Moody's had to decide whether to downgrade the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 24 Sep 2014
  • Op-Ed

The ABCs of Addressing Climate Change (From a Business Perspective)

It's Climate Week in New York City. The schedule features a UN Climate Summit, a People's Climate March, the Clinton Global Initiative, substantial criticism of the whole endeavor, and plenty of agitated interaction. There is a lot of noise here. How can businesses cut... View Details
Keywords: by John Macomber; Energy; Utilities
  • 01 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 1, 2016

with subsidies alone, but the subsidies have been too small to solve the “last-mile problem,” and so most poor households remain unconnected to the water and sewer system. In nineteenth-century New York, subsidies also proved insufficient... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Apr 2012
  • First Look

First Look: April 24

  PublicationsBarriers to Household Risk Management: Evidence from India Authors:Shawn A. Cole, Xavier Giné, Jeremy Tobacman, Petia Topalova, Robert M. Townsend, and James Vickery Publication:American Economic Journal: Applied Economics... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 13 Sep 2004
  • Research & Ideas

Cash and the Woman-Owned Business

more, as compared to 58 percent of their male counterparts.13 However, when women choose to seek debt capital, there appears to be no systematic gender bias. Instead, the owner's age, the size of the firm, credit history, and the ability... View Details
Keywords: by Candida Brush, Nancy M. Carter, Elizabeth Gatewood, Patricia G. Greene & Myra M. Hart
  • 03 Mar 2008
  • First Look

First Look: March 4, 2008

Vayanos Abstract We examine empirically how the maturity structure of government debt affects bond yields and excess returns. Our analysis is based on a theoretical model of preferred habitat in which clienteles with strong preferences... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 26 Jul 2004
  • Research & Ideas

A Better Way to Negotiate: Backward

Similar sequencing calculations face investors who seek to quietly purchase a series of blocks of stock for a possible acquisition or take positions in various debt securities to improve their position in a bankruptcy negotiation. Beware... View Details
Keywords: by James K. Sebenius
  • 21 Oct 2008
  • First Look

First Look: October 21, 2008

higher prices can increase use, either by targeting distribution to high-use households (a screening effect), or by stimulating use psychologically through a sunk-cost effect. We develop a methodology for separating these two effects. We... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 04 Aug 2014
  • Op-Ed

Why Small-Business Lending Is Not Recovering

banks, both large and small, from ever fully returning to the small business market. Cyclical Factors Linger From The Recession In the recent recession small-business sales were hit hard and may still be soft, undermining their demand for loan capital. Income of the... View Details
Keywords: by Karen Mills; Banking; Financial Services
  • 27 Jan 2009
  • First Look

First Look: January 27, 2009

information and communication appears to be driven not as much by gender as by control: men whose wives control household savings are much more likely to exhibit this treatment effect, and women whose husbands control savings exhibit the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 16 Sep 2014
  • First Look

First Look: September 16

exogenous shocks to household income in rural India: the dramatic reduction in import tariffs in the early 1990s and rainfall variations. We find that trade shocks, previously shown to raise relative poverty, also increased the incidence... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 May 2020
  • Op-Ed

How Leaders Are Fighting Food Insecurity on Three Continents

COVID-19 is creating unprecedented strains on food security worldwide. The United Nations' World Food Programme warns that the pandemic could almost double the number of people facing food crises in low- and middle-income populations to 265 million by the end of 2020.... View Details
Keywords: by Howard Stevenson and Shirley Spence; Agriculture & Agribusiness
  • 09 Aug 2016
  • First Look

August 9, 2016

local labor market design based on heterogeneity in local benefit generosity (defined as the percentage of household income recovered by the unemployment benefit), we estimate that a one standard deviation increase in generosity... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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