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- All HBS Web (120)
- Faculty Publications (25)
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- 01 Jul 2014
- First Look
First Look: July 1
Jeremy C. Stein Abstract—We study optimal government debt maturity in a model where investors derive monetary services from holding riskless short-term securities. In a setting where the government is the only issuer of such riskless... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 18 Oct 2004
- Research & Ideas
The Bias of Wall Street Analysts
the level of optimism embedded in their published research. This is exactly what we found. Even more interesting is that the optimism embedded in analysts' forecasts differs... View Details
- 19 Dec 2006
- First Look
First Look: December 19, 2006
In this paper we propose a perceptions framework for categorizing a range of inventory policies, including optimal inventory policies, that can be employed in a single-stage supply chain. The perceptions framework is based on View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 17 Apr 2007
- First Look
First Look: April 17, 2007
of inventory policies, including optimal inventory policies, that can be employed in a single-stage supply chain. The perceptions framework is based on forecasting with Auto-regressive Integrated Moving... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 11 Apr 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research, April 11
forthcoming Journal of Accounting & Economics Career Concerns of Banking Analysts By: Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu Abstract—We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their View Details
- 17 Sep 2013
- First Look
First Look: September 17
impact people's feelings about their decisions. We compare post-choice satisfaction from choices made by mind wandering to reason based choices and randomly assigned outcomes. Participants chose a poster by mind wandering or deliberating-or were randomly assigned a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 16 Oct 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, October 16, 2018
time-varying, regularized parameters, and multiplicative errors can make its quantile forecasts more accurate than leading diffusion models, such as the Bass, gamma/shifted-Gompertz, and trapezoid models. Fifth, the model's estimation... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 10 Jun 2002
- Research & Ideas
How to Look at Globalization Now
levels experienced nearly a century earlier. Optimism about globalization drew strength from the fall of the Berlin Wall in the late 1980s and the rapid growth in much of Asia through much of the 1990s. But then came the Asian financial... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
- 08 Jul 2013
- Research & Ideas
Everything Must Go: A Strategy for Store Liquidation
working paper, doctoral student Nathan Craig and professor Ananth Raman introduce a dynamic approach for optimizing the profitability of store liquidation that increases net recovery on cost by 2 to 7 percent of assets on hand, an... View Details
- 20 Mar 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas, March 20, 2018
https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54214 forthcoming Operations Research Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization By: Ferreira, Kris... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 13 Apr 2010
- First Look
First Look: April 13
behavior and preferences into service cost and productivity standard metrics. Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios Authors:W. Jakub Jurkek and Luis M. Viceira Publication:Review of Finance (forthcoming) Abstract We... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 17 Nov 2020
- In Practice
How Retailers Can Thrive in a Shopping Season Like No Other
pure-play stores can’t directly match. Ramon Casadesus-Masanell is the Herman C. Krannert Professor of Business Administration. Rembrand M. Koning: Think like a startup and experiment Given that every week feels like a year in 2020, I think it will be incredibly hard... View Details
- 12 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 12, 2007
mechanism, which we refer to as the "clamped second price auction mechanism," into the laboratory to determine whether it helps human subjects learn to play their optimal strategy faster than the standard second price auction... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 14 Dec 2011
- Research & Ideas
The New Measures for Improving Nonprofit Performance
worked in our favor was that we had developed multiyear financial forecast models. We were dealing with bank workout teams, which is very rugged. But because we had that information, we stunned them. They didn't expect that coming from a... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna
- 02 Jun 2010
- First Look
First Look: June 2
norton ariely.pdf Do Inventory and Gross Margin Data Improve Sales Forecasts for U.S. Public Retailers? Authors:Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman Publication:Management Science (forthcoming) Abstract Firm-level sales View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 11 Jan 2011
- First Look
First Look: Jan. 11
Publication:Journal of Finance (forthcoming) Abstract We show that characteristics of stock issuers can be used to forecast important common factors in stocks' returns such as those associated with book-to-market, size, and industry.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 27 Mar 2012
- First Look
First Look: March 27
that the greater uncertainty under cap-and-trade will erode value. We also show that improvements to the emissions intensity of the "dirty" type can increase the emissions intensity of the firm's optimal capacity portfolio.... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 01 Mar 2016
- First Look
March 1, 2016
a model that illustrates the complementarity between infrastructure and institutions and provides conditions for whether fines, subsidies, or a combination of both are the optimal response. One point of the model is that the View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 15 Nov 2012
- Research & Ideas
Funding the Design of Livable Cities
four primary trends driving the development of innovative solutions: The first is the world's population growth, forecast by the United Nations to reach roughly 9 billion by 2050, and the mass migration from the countryside and agrarian... View Details
- 27 Mar 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research, March 27, 2018
sell-side analysts employed at state-owned brokerages issued relatively optimistic earnings forecasts and stock recommendations during these periods. This relative optimism is particularly pronounced in... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne