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- All HBS Web (85)
- Faculty Publications (29)
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- 19 Aug 2008
- First Look
First Look: August 19, 2008
large-store formats, multiple-store formats and extensive channel blurring in the U.S. retail industry. Our analysis is based on aggregate segment-level data from the Annual Retail Trade Survey (ARTS), the Monthly Retail Trade Survey...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 06 Jun 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas: June 6, 2017
policy debate. Positive aggregate productivity gains are often attributed to within-firm productivity improvement; however, an alternative, less emphasized explanation is between-firm selection and market reallocation, whereby competition...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 26 Jun 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, June 26, 2018
valuation of volatile stocks, which we contend measures the economy’s risk appetite. Our novel proxy for risk appetite explains 41% of the variation in the one-year real rate since 1970, while the valuation of the aggregate stock market...
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Dina Gerdeman
- 27 May 2014
- First Look
First Look: May 27
insignificant or a significantly negative association with future returns. In supplemental analyses, we show that these forecasts are also informative of the time-series variation in aggregate conditions: 1)...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 12 Jun 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, June 12, 2018
capital-market or product-market benefits from inclusion. Status incentives contributed to the observed performance improvement. Back-of-the-envelope estimates suggest that JPX400 inclusion incentives accounted for 16% (20%) of the growth in View Details
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Dina Gerdeman
- 08 Jan 2008
- First Look
First Look: January 8, 2008
aggregate demand, the national accounts, and the balance of payments. We find that much aid is consumed, primarily in the form of imported non-capital goods. Some aid is invested and aid has a positive, though statistically imprecise,...
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Martha Lagace
- 19 Jun 2007
- First Look
First Look: June 19, 2007
demand which underpin the link between the three characteristics of the inventory system: inventory levels, orders placed and actual demand faced. The perceptions framework is based on forecasting with Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving...
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Martha Lagace
- 06 Feb 2006
- What Do You Think?
Should CEOs of Public Companies Offer Earnings Guidance?
forecast dispersion increases and forecast accuracy decreases." For those wishing the full story, read "Is Silence Golden? An Empirical Analysis of Firms that Stop Giving Quarterly Earnings...
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- 17 Mar 2021
- Research & Ideas
Beyond Pajamas: Sizing Up the Pandemic Shopper
When working professionals were shifting to home offices a year ago as COVID-19 was spreading, comedians and pundits predicted that people would no longer need bras and pants that aren’t stretchy. Instead customers would make room for pajamas and athleisure wear. Only...
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- 20 Mar 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas, March 20, 2018
https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54214 forthcoming Operations Research Online Network Revenue Management Using Thompson Sampling: Demand Forecasting and Price Optimization By: Ferreira, Kris J., David Simchi-Levi, and He...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 11 Mar 2008
- First Look
First Look: March 11, 2008
at Columbia University, which they had covered together, as all were alumni. They were commiserating about having to submit revised forecasts to their division heads by the end of the week. Alec Hastings, head of Global Institutional...
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Martha Lagace
- 08 May 2007
- First Look
First Look: May 8, 2007
exogenous variation in foreign aid. We investigate how aid is spent by tracking its short-run effect on aggregate demand, prices, the national accounts, savings, and the balance of payments. We find that aid is mostly consumed, primarily...
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Martha Lagace
- 27 Mar 2012
- First Look
First Look: March 27
Publication:Quarterly Journal of Economics (forthcoming) Abstract We argue that social capital as proxied by trust increases aggregate productivity by affecting the organization of firms. To do this we collect new data on the...
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Carmen Nobel
- 19 Oct 2010
- First Look
First Look: October 19, 2010
different organizational contexts, i.e., summer field training and during academic semesters. Leader performance was measured with leadership grades (supervisor ratings) aggregated over four years at West Point. Findings-After controlling...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 15 Apr 2008
- First Look
First Look: April 15, 2008
that, at the aggregate level, is similar to the one sector neoclassical growth model, while, at the disaggregate level, has implications for the path of observable measures of technology adoption. We estimate our model using data on the...
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Martha Lagace
- 09 Mar 2016
- Lessons from the Classroom
In This Classroom, Beer Can Improve Your Grade
harder for breweries to fall into bailout loans, which happened to many teams last year, Casadesus-Masanell says. Enhanced graphics include waterfall charts for just about every metric imaginable on a team’s own brewery and its competitors. Teams can drill down via a...
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- 03 Dec 2015
- Op-Ed
How "New Nuclear" Power Could Save the Planet—If Regulators Would Allow It
energy needs that they view as essential to development of their nations and the lives of their citizens. The aggregate sum of those national plans presents a stark reality to the world’s leaders. The accumulating greenhouse gases,...
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- 28 Oct 2014
- First Look
First Look: October 28
associated with high used ship prices and heightened industry investment in new ships, but we forecast low future returns. We propose and estimate a behavioral model of industry cycles that can account for the evidence. In our model,...
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Carmen Nobel
- 28 Jan 2014
- First Look
First Look: January 28
Publications August 2013 Princeton University Press Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters By: Friedman, Walter A. Abstract—The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic...
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Sean Silverthorne
- 17 Mar 2011
- Research & Ideas
Harvard Business School Faculty Comment on Crisis in Japan
times the $132 billion that the 1995 Kobe earthquake did, making it one of the Japan's most costly natural disasters. Transportation disruptions and the closing of many factories throughout Japan will shrink Japanese aggregate demand and...
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