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- All HBS Web (85)
- Faculty Publications (28)
Show Results For
- All HBS Web (85)
- Faculty Publications (28)
- 27 May 2014
- First Look
First Look: May 27
insignificant or a significantly negative association with future returns. In supplemental analyses, we show that these forecasts are also informative of the time-series variation in aggregate conditions: 1)... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 08 Jan 2008
- First Look
First Look: January 8, 2008
aggregate demand, the national accounts, and the balance of payments. We find that much aid is consumed, primarily in the form of imported non-capital goods. Some aid is invested and aid has a positive, though statistically imprecise,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 06 Feb 2006
- What Do You Think?
Should CEOs of Public Companies Offer Earnings Guidance?
forecast dispersion increases and forecast accuracy decreases." For those wishing the full story, read "Is Silence Golden? An Empirical Analysis of Firms that Stop Giving Quarterly Earnings... View Details
- 09 Dec 2015
- Research Event
How Do You Predict Demand and Set Prices For Products Never Sold Before?
with minimal impact on aggregate sales quantity. While this research focused specifically on a flash sales setting, they believe it could be useful for any retailer that needs to make pricing decisions for new products before the selling... View Details
- 20 Dec 2011
- First Look
First Look: December 20
The Wall Street Journal. We find no evidence that compensation is related to earnings forecast accuracy. But consistent with prior studies, we find analyst turnover to be related to forecast accuracy,... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 19 Dec 2006
- First Look
First Look: December 19, 2006
In this paper we propose a perceptions framework for categorizing a range of inventory policies, including optimal inventory policies, that can be employed in a single-stage supply chain. The perceptions framework is based on forecasting... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 01 Sep 2017
- News
Read All About It: Journalism Can Be Profitable
news content creation business. Creating high-quality news content is an expensive endeavor and one that doesn’t scale that easily. These companies are platforms that can aggregate consumer demand and sell advertising against that. It’s... View Details
- 03 Dec 2015
- Op-Ed
How "New Nuclear" Power Could Save the Planet—If Regulators Would Allow It
Leaders from some 150 nations have convened in Paris this week for the COP21 conference with a singular goal: to fight the global threat of climate change. Each of them have brought to Paris their own national plan for reducing greenhouse gas emissions that drive... View Details
- 12 Jul 2011
- First Look
First Look: July 12
firms is particularly useful for forecasting bond returns. We show that a significant decline in issuer quality is a more reliable signal of credit market overheating than rapid aggregate credit growth. We... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 12 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 12, 2007
variation in average asset returns than aggregate or non-stockholder consumption risk and provides more plausible economic magnitudes. We find that risk aversion estimates around 10 can match observed risk premia for the wealthiest... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 28 Sep 2010
- First Look
First Look: September 28, 2010
economic growth and the intensive and extensive margins of technology adoption. The "extensive" margin refers to the timing of a country's adoption of a new technology; the "intensive" margin refers to how many units are adopted (for a given size... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 19 Aug 2008
- First Look
First Look: August 19, 2008
large-store formats, multiple-store formats and extensive channel blurring in the U.S. retail industry. Our analysis is based on aggregate segment-level data from the Annual Retail Trade Survey (ARTS), the Monthly Retail Trade Survey... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 06 Jun 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas: June 6, 2017
policy debate. Positive aggregate productivity gains are often attributed to within-firm productivity improvement; however, an alternative, less emphasized explanation is between-firm selection and market reallocation, whereby competition... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 04 Oct 2004
- Research & Ideas
Start to Measure Your E-commerce Success
potential payoffs of e-commerce investments. Measuring returns on e-commerce projects can be a daunting challenge. Predicting customer behavior is difficult, because using the Web to do business is still relatively new to many businesses and thus View Details
Keywords: by Marc J. Epstein
- 19 Oct 2010
- First Look
First Look: October 19, 2010
different organizational contexts, i.e., summer field training and during academic semesters. Leader performance was measured with leadership grades (supervisor ratings) aggregated over four years at West Point. Findings-After controlling... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 24 Jan 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research: January 24, 2017
earnings patterns. Firms with historically larger earnings in one quarter of the year (“positive seasonality quarters”) have higher returns when those earnings are usually announced. Analysts have more positive forecast errors in positive... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 05 Mar 2013
- First Look
First Look: March 5
particularly useful for forecasting bond returns. We show that a significant decline in issuer quality is a more reliable signal of credit market overheating than rapid aggregate credit growth. We use these... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 26 Jun 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, June 26, 2018
valuation of volatile stocks, which we contend measures the economy’s risk appetite. Our novel proxy for risk appetite explains 41% of the variation in the one-year real rate since 1970, while the valuation of the aggregate stock market... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 14 Nov 2017
- First Look
New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017
probability of a crash; (3) attributes of the price run-up, including volatility, turnover, issuance, and the price path of the run-up, can all help forecast an eventual crash and future returns; and (4) some of these characteristics can... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 09 Mar 2016
- Lessons from the Classroom
In This Classroom, Beer Can Improve Your Grade
harder for breweries to fall into bailout loans, which happened to many teams last year, Casadesus-Masanell says. Enhanced graphics include waterfall charts for just about every metric imaginable on a team’s own brewery and its competitors. Teams can drill down via a... View Details