Publications

Publications

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  • 19 Dec 2006
  • First Look

First Look: December 19, 2006

In this paper we propose a perceptions framework for categorizing a range of inventory policies, including optimal inventory policies, that can be employed in a single-stage supply chain. The perceptions framework is based on forecasting... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 Feb 2006
  • What Do You Think?

Should CEOs of Public Companies Offer Earnings Guidance?

forecast dispersion increases and forecast accuracy decreases." For those wishing the full story, read "Is Silence Golden? An Empirical Analysis of Firms that Stop... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Financial Services
  • 20 Jun 2016
  • Research & Ideas

When Predicting Other People's Preferences, You're Probably Wrong

implications for anyone looking to impress others, for those who are tasked with forecasting consumer behavior, or for salespeople who consult with customers on prospective purchases. In short, it’s dangerous to predict what others will... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Retail
  • 11 Apr 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, April 11

forthcoming Journal of Accounting & Economics Career Concerns of Banking Analysts By: Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu Abstract—We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their View Details
  • 22 Aug 2006
  • First Look

First Look: August 22, 2006

authors describe how organizational biases arise from the different incentives, agendas, and blind spots of the various functional areas of a business, and how they compromise forecast accuracy and disrupt... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 16 Jun 2015
  • First Look

First Look: June 16, 2015

importance of return on equity in forecasting future stock returns depends on the quality of the accounting information. This extension also reconciles our model with alternative characteristic-based forecasters. These findings suggest... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 May 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, May 8, 2018

Abstract—Many production processes are subject to inspection to ensure they meet quality, safety, and environmental standards imposed by companies and regulators. Inspection accuracy is critical to inspections being a useful input to... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 20, 2007

(forthcoming) Abstract Abarbanell and Lehavy (2006) examine the effect of distributional properties of earnings and forecast data used by researchers who investigate 'Street' earnings. They perform a large number of analyses, and... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 08 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 8

http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-103.pdf Do Analysts Add Value? Evidence from Corporate Spinoffs Authors:Emilie Feldman, Stuart Gilson, and Belén Villalonga Abstract We investigate the information content and forecast View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 12 Jun 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 12, 2018

provided expert domain specific knowledge, and analyze their productivity as measured by accuracy and speed in identifying prior art relevant for patent claims adjudication. We find that, when provided with expert domain knowledge,... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 06 Jun 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas: June 6, 2017

Quarterly Do Experts or Collective Intelligence Write with More Bias? Evidence from Encyclopædia Britannica and Wikipedia By: Greenstein, Shane, and Feng Zhu Abstract—Organizations today can use both crowds and experts to produce knowledge. While prior work compares... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Nov 2016
  • First Look

First Look - November 1, 2016

within their private networks, who then transmit the information to arm’s length analysts outside the network. Specifically, we show that firms with more connected analysts have more accurate consensus forecasts and lower View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 02 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 2, 2018

Office examination process. We randomize assignment of novice patent examiners to each process technology and provision of domain-specific expertise. Our analysis of examiner accuracy and speed in patent adjudication reveals, irrespective... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 04 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: December 4

reviews on average) and accuracy (some reviewers are more erratic than others), (2) reviewers to be influenced by existing reviews, and (3) product quality to change over time. We apply this approach to reviews from Yelp.com to derive... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel