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  • 01 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 1, 2016

small enough to avoid extortion. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50675 Extrapolation and Bubbles By: Barberis, Nicholas, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer Abstract—We present an... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 27 Aug 2013
  • First Look

First Look: August 27

organizational adoption of practice variants that differ in their degree of customization.   Working Papers X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model By: Barberis, Nicholas, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Dec 2007
  • Sharpening Your Skills

Sharpening Your Skills: Managing Marketing

store; simultaneously, new customers are attracted to the direct channels, perhaps due to a branding effect stemming from the publicity surrounding the new store, which makes customers more aware of and more comfortable with the firm's direct channel operations. Use... View Details
  • 05 Nov 2024
  • Book

Building the Road to 'Small Business Utopia' with AI and Fintech

borrowers in the sector: heterogeneity—the fact that all small businesses are different, making it difficult to extrapolate from one example to the next—and information opacity, the fact that it is hard to know what is really going on... View Details
Keywords: by Karen G. Mills; Financial Services
  • 29 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 29

  Publications August 2013 Journal of Financial Economics X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model By: Barberis, Nicholas, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer Abstract—Survey evidence suggests that many... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 May 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Predictions, Prophets, and Restarting Your Business

and make decisions based on assumptions about the future. The problem: Most of these prophecies about what is to come are basically straight-line extrapolations of a few weeks of data or sermons about what that prophet believes should... View Details
Keywords: by Frank V. Cespedes
  • 30 Aug 2016
  • First Look

August 30, 2016

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50545 A Model of Credit Market Sentiment By: Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin Abstract—We present a model of credit market sentiment in which investors form beliefs about future creditworthiness by... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 14 Oct 2014
  • First Look

First Look: October 14

behavior of the banking system (in terms of issuance) and the monetary authority (in terms of open market operations). Consistent with the model, the empirical evidence suggests that the shadow banking system does respond to money demand. An View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 May 2010
  • Research & Ideas

What Brazil Teaches About Investor Protection

Moreover, you have to imagine that talent to run a corporation in Brazil between 1882 and 1930 or so was pretty scarce, so they obviously received high salaries—about 10 times higher than the annual salary of a factory worker. If you View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Banking; Financial Services
  • 19 Dec 2006
  • First Look

First Look: December 19, 2006

these forecast errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand implied by the interpolations or View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 22 Jan 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 22

a premium to accommodate expectations shocks from extrapolative traders, but markets are not efficient. Download the paper: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w18686 These Are the Good Old Days: Foreign Entry and the Mexican Banking System... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Apr 2007
  • First Look

First Look: April 17, 2007

demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand implied by the interpolations or extrapolations to be different from the actual demand process. We do not... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 21 Jul 2006
  • Op-Ed

Enron Jury Sent the Right Message

platform that made Enron the top buyer and seller of gas and electricity in the United States and Europe in its first year of operation. Many examples of extremely inept management are also positioned here—activities for which there is no criminal liability: the naïve... View Details
Keywords: by Malcolm S. Salter
  • 28 Apr 2015
  • First Look

First Look: April 28

organization (i.e., economic, hierarchical, and power oriented) and institution (i.e., ideological, creative, and collectivist) and cohere around a set of relevant values. Extrapolating from this, we advance a theoretical framework of the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 12 Feb 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019

lead to price paths exhibiting three phases: initial underreaction, followed by overshooting (the bubble), and finally a crash. With learning from prices, the model generates price extrapolation as a byproduct of fast moving beliefs about... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 19 Aug 2008
  • First Look

First Look: August 19, 2008

demand implied by the interpolations or extrapolations to be primarily different from the actual demand process. Extrapolations and interpolations being separate activities can, in addition, imply differing... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 Mar 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Warring Algorithms Could Be Driving Up Consumer Prices

higher on average and variable profits increased by 9.6 percent, according to the study. The model also predicted that algorithmic competition resulted in a modest decline of .9 percent in quantity purchased over the study period. View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz; Retail
  • 12 Sep 2005
  • Research & Ideas

The Broadband Explosion: Thinking About a Truly Interactive World

non-obvious, second-order effects—things we can't see clearly right now. The human tendency in trying to predict what will happen in the future is to extrapolate in a straight line from today. So we imagine doing more of what we do with... View Details
Keywords: by Sara Grant; Technology; Communications; Telecommunications
  • 19 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 19, 2007

using these forecast errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand implied by the interpolations or View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace

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