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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (395)
    • News  (49)
    • Research  (305)
    • Events  (2)
  • Faculty Publications  (165)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (395)
    • News  (49)
    • Research  (305)
    • Events  (2)
  • Faculty Publications  (165)
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  • 2016
  • Chapter

Deriving an Optimally Deceptive Policy in Two-Player Iterated Games

By: Elisabeth Paulson and Christopher Griffin
We formulate the problem of determining an optimally deceptive strategy in a repeated game framework. We assume that two players are engaged in repeated play. During an initial time period, Player 1 may deceptively train his opponent to expect a specific strategy. The... View Details
Keywords: Deception; Strategy; Game Theory
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Paulson, Elisabeth, and Christopher Griffin. "Deriving an Optimally Deceptive Policy in Two-Player Iterated Games." In Proceedings of 2016 American Control Conference. IEEE Press, 2016. (Developed with Booz Allen Hamilton.)
  • 29 Jun 2011
  • Working Paper Summaries

Better-reply Dynamics in Deferred Acceptance Games

Keywords: by Guillaume Haeringer & Hanna Halaburda
  • Article

Delayed-Response Strategies in Repeated Games with Observation Lags

By: Drew Fudenberg, Yuhta Ishii and Scott Duke Kominers
We extend the folk theorem of repeated games to two settings in which players' information about others' play arrives with stochastic lags. In our first model, signals are almost-perfect if and when they do arrive, that is, each player either observes an almost-perfect... View Details
Keywords: "Repeated Games"; Folk Theorem; Private Monitoring; Observation Lag; Game Theory
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Fudenberg, Drew, Yuhta Ishii, and Scott Duke Kominers. "Delayed-Response Strategies in Repeated Games with Observation Lags." Journal of Economic Theory 150 (March 2014): 487–514.
  • 2007
  • Chapter

Negotiation Analysis: Between Decisions and Games

By: James K. Sebenius
Keywords: Negotiation; Decision Making; Game Theory
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Sebenius, James K. "Negotiation Analysis: Between Decisions and Games." In Advances in Decision Analysis, edited by Ward Edwards, Ralph Miles, and Detlof von Winterfeldt, 469–488. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.
  • July 16, 2016
  • Article

A Game Theoretic Model for Resource Allocation Among Countermeasures with Multiple Attributes

By: Elisabeth C. Paulson, Igor Linkov and Jeffrey Keisler
We study a strategic, two-player, sequential game between an attacker and defender. The defender must allocate resources amongst possible countermeasures and across possible targets. The attacker then chooses a type of threat and a target to attack. This paper proposes... View Details
Keywords: Resource Allocation; Game Theory; Strategy
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Paulson, Elisabeth C., Igor Linkov, and Jeffrey Keisler. "A Game Theoretic Model for Resource Allocation Among Countermeasures with Multiple Attributes." European Journal of Operational Research 252, no. 2 (July 16, 2016): 610–622.
  • 1985
  • Chapter

Toward a Focal-Point Theory of Bargaining

By: A. E. Roth
Keywords: Negotiation; Game Theory
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Roth, A. E. "Toward a Focal-Point Theory of Bargaining." In Game-Theoretic Models of Bargaining, edited by A. E. Roth, 259–268. Cambridge University Press, 1985.
  • June 2008
  • Article

Minimally Acceptable Altruism and the Ultimatum Game

By: Julio J. Rotemberg
I suppose that people react with anger when others show themselves not to be minimally altruistic. With heterogeneous agents, this can account for the experimental results of ultimatum and dictator games. Moreover, it can account for the surprisingly large fraction of... View Details
Keywords: Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Game Theory; Mathematical Methods
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Rotemberg, Julio J. "Minimally Acceptable Altruism and the Ultimatum Game." Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 66, nos. 3-4 (June 2008).
  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Diversified Business Groups in the West: History and Theory

By: Asli M. Colpan and Takashi Hikino
This working paper examines the historical origins, evolutionary paths, and long-term resilience of diversified business groups in contemporary developed economies of Western Europe, North America, and Oceania. It aims to come up with a new theoretical understanding of... View Details
Keywords: History; Diversification; Business Divisions; Theory; Oceania; North America; Europe
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Colpan, Asli M., and Takashi Hikino. "Diversified Business Groups in the West: History and Theory." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-035, October 2016.
  • 1988
  • Chapter

The Expected Utility of Playing a Game

By: A. E. Roth
Keywords: Game Theory; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Motivation and Incentives
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Roth, A. E. "The Expected Utility of Playing a Game." In The Shapley Value: Essays in Honor of Lloyd S. Shapley, edited by A. E. Roth, 51–70. Cambridge University Press, 1988.
  • 2007
  • Working Paper

Correlated Equilibrium and Nash Equilibrium as an Observer's Assessment of the Game

By: John Hillas, Elon Kohlberg and John W. Pratt
Noncooperative games are examined from the point of view of an outside observer who believes that the players are rational and that they know at least as much as the observer. The observer is assumed to be able to observe many instances of the play of the game; these... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Game Theory; Cooperation
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Hillas, John, Elon Kohlberg, and John W. Pratt. "Correlated Equilibrium and Nash Equilibrium as an Observer's Assessment of the Game." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-005, July 2007.
  • July– September 2002
  • Article

Predictive Value and the Usefulness of Game Theoretic Models

By: Ido Erev, Alvin E. Roth, Robert L. Slonim and Greg Barron
Keywords: Value; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Theory
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Erev, Ido, Alvin E. Roth, Robert L. Slonim, and Greg Barron. "Predictive Value and the Usefulness of Game Theoretic Models." International Journal of Forecasting 18, no. 3 (July– September 2002): 359–368.
  • 14 Jun 2007
  • Working Paper Summaries

Evolution Analysis of Large-Scale Software Systems Using Design Structure Matrices and Design Rule Theory

Keywords: by Matthew J. LaMantia, Yuanfang Cai, Alan D. MacCormack & John Rusnak; Video Game; Video Game
  • 1977
  • Chapter

A Fixed Point Approach to Stability in Cooperative Games

By: A. E. Roth
Keywords: Game Theory; Balance and Stability; Cooperation
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Roth, A. E. "A Fixed Point Approach to Stability in Cooperative Games." In Fixed Points: Algorithms and Applications, edited by S. Karamardian, 165–180. Academic Press, 1977.
  • 1978
  • Chapter

Power and Position: The Utility of Playing a Simple Game

By: A. E. Roth
Keywords: Power and Influence; Status and Position; Game Theory; Games, Gaming, and Gambling
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Roth, A. E. "Power and Position: The Utility of Playing a Simple Game." In Game Theory and Political Science, edited by P. C. Ordeshook. New York: New York University Press, 1978.
  • 2020
  • Working Paper

To Infinity and Beyond: Scaling Economic Theories via Logical Compactness

By: Yannai A. Gonczarowski, Scott Duke Kominers and Ran I. Shorrer
Many economic-theoretic models incorporate finiteness assumptions that, while introduced for simplicity, play a real role in the analysis. Such assumptions introduce a conceptual problem, as results that rely on finiteness are often implicitly nonrobust; for example,... View Details
Keywords: Markets; Analysis; Game Theory
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Gonczarowski, Yannai A., Scott Duke Kominers, and Ran I. Shorrer. "To Infinity and Beyond: Scaling Economic Theories via Logical Compactness." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-127, June 2019. (Revised November 2020.)
  • Article

Third-Party Punishment as a Costly Signal of High Continuation Probabilities in Repeated Games

By: Jillian J. Jordan and David G. Rand
Why do individuals pay costs to punish selfish behavior, even as third-party observers? A large body of research suggests that reputation plays an important role in motivating such third-party punishment (TPP). Here we focus on a recently proposed reputation-based... View Details
Keywords: Direct Reciprocity; Evolution; Dispersal; Cooperation; Trust; Reputation; Game Theory
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Jordan, Jillian J., and David G. Rand. "Third-Party Punishment as a Costly Signal of High Continuation Probabilities in Repeated Games." Journal of Theoretical Biology 421 (May 21, 2017): 189–202.
  • July 2002
  • Article

The Economist As Engineer: Game Theory, Experimental Economics and Computation As Tools of Design Economics

By: Alvin E Roth
Keywords: Game Theory; Economics; Mathematical Methods; Design
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Roth, Alvin E. "The Economist As Engineer: Game Theory, Experimental Economics and Computation As Tools of Design Economics." Econometrica 70, no. 4 (July 2002): 1341–1378.
  • Article

No Unique Effect of Intergroup Competition on Cooperation: Non-competitive Thresholds Are as Effective as Competitions between Groups for Increasing Human Cooperative Behavior

By: Matthew R. Jordan, Jillian J. Jordan and David G. Rand
Explaining cooperation remains a central topic for evolutionary theorists. Many have argued that group selection provides such an explanation: theoretical models show that intergroup competition could have given rise to cooperation that is costly for the individual.... View Details
Keywords: Intergroup Competition; Threshold Public Goods Game; Multi-level Selection; Cooperation; Groups and Teams; Competition
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Jordan, Matthew R., Jillian J. Jordan, and David G. Rand. "No Unique Effect of Intergroup Competition on Cooperation: Non-competitive Thresholds Are as Effective as Competitions between Groups for Increasing Human Cooperative Behavior." Evolution and Human Behavior 38, no. 1 (January 2017): 102–108.
  • June 2025
  • Article

Collusion in Brokered Markets

By: John William Hatfield, Scott Duke Kominers and Richard Lowery
High commissions in the U.S. residential real estate agency market present a puzzle for economic theory because brokerage is not a concentrated industry. We model brokered markets as a game in which agents post prices for customers and then choose which other agents to... View Details
Keywords: Real Estate Agents; Real Estate; Realtors; Broker Networks; Brokerage; Brokerage Commissions; "Brokerage Industry; Brokered Markets; Brokering; Brokers; Industrial Organization; Repeated Game Framework; "Repeated Games"; Collusion; Antitrust; Microeconomics; Market Design; Theory; Game Theory; Real Estate Industry
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Hatfield, John William, Scott Duke Kominers, and Richard Lowery. "Collusion in Brokered Markets." Journal of Finance 80, no. 3 (June 2025): 1417–1462.
  • Article

Analyzing Scrip Systems

By: Kris Johnson, David Simchi-Levi and Peng Sun
Scrip systems provide a nonmonetary trade economy for exchange of resources. We model a scrip system as a stochastic game and study system design issues on selection rules to match potential trade partners over time. We show the optimality of one particular rule in... View Details
Keywords: "Repeated Games"; Stochastic Trust Game; Dynamic Program; P2P Lending; Scrip Systems; Artificial Currency; Non-monetary Trade Economies; Marketplace Matching; Currency; Operations; Game Theory
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Johnson, Kris, David Simchi-Levi, and Peng Sun. "Analyzing Scrip Systems." Operations Research 62, no. 3 (May–June 2014): 524–534.
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