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  • September 2011
  • Article

Political Instability: Effects on Financial Development, Roots in the Severity of Economic Inequality

By: Mark J. Roe and Jordan I. Siegel
We here bring forward strong evidence that political instability impedes financial development, with its variation a primary determinant of differences in financial development around the world. As such, it needs to be added to the short list of major determinants of... View Details
Keywords: Financial Development; Political Instability; Government and Politics; Finance; Growth and Development; Economics; Equality and Inequality
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Roe, Mark J., and Jordan I. Siegel. "Political Instability: Effects on Financial Development, Roots in the Severity of Economic Inequality." Journal of Comparative Economics 39, no. 3 (September 2011): 279–309. (We here bring forward strong evidence that political instability impedes financial development, with its variation a primary determinant of differences in financial development around the world. As such, it needs to be added to the short list of major determinants of financial development. First, structural conditions first postulated by Engerman and Sokoloff (2002) as generating long-term inequality are shown here empirically to be exogenous determinants of political instability. Second, that exogenously-determined political instability in turn holds back financial development, even when we control for factors prominent in the last decade's cross-country studies of financial development. The findings indicate that inequality-perpetuating conditions that result in political instability are fundamental roadblocks for international organizations like the World Bank that seek to promote financial development. The evidence here includes country fixed effect regressions and an instrumental model inspired by Engerman and Sokoloff's (2002) work, which to our knowledge has not yet been used in finance and which is consistent with current tests as valid instruments. Four conventional measures of national political instability — Alesina and Perotti's (1996) well-known index of instability, a subsequent index derived from Banks' (2005) work, and two indices of managerial perceptions of nation-by-nation political instability — persistently predict a wide range of national financial development outcomes for recent decades. Political instability's significance is time consistent in cross-sectional regressions back to the 1960's, the period when the key data becomes available, robust in both country fixed-effects and instrumental variable regressions, and consistent across multiple measures of instability and of financial development. Overall, the results indicate the existence of an important channel running from structural inequality to political instability, principally in nondemocratic settings, and then to financial backwardness. The robust significance of that channel extends existing work demonstrating the importance of political economy explanations for financial development and financial backwardness. It should help to better understand which policies will work for financial development, because political instability has causes, cures, and effects quite distinct from those of many of the key institutions most studied in the past decade as explaining financial backwardness.)
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Changing Perceptions and Post-Pandemic Monetary Policy

By: Michael D. Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam
We document that the Fed’s perceived monetary policy response to inflation shifted materially over the post-pandemic period. In forward-looking policy rules estimated from surveys of macroeconomic forecasters, the inflation coefficient rose significantly after liftoff... View Details
Keywords: Policy; Inflation and Deflation; Interest Rates; Perception; Government Administration
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Bauer, Michael D., Carolin Pflueger, and Adi Sunderam. "Changing Perceptions and Post-Pandemic Monetary Policy." Working Paper, September 2024.
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Voting Rules, Turnout, and Economic Policies

By: Enrico Cantoni, Vincent Pons and Jérôme Schäfer
In recent years, voter ID laws and convenience voting have generated heated partisan debates. To shed light on these policy issues, we survey the recent evidence on the institutional determinants and effects of voter turnout and broaden the perspective beyond the most... View Details
Keywords: Voting; Political Elections; Policy
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Cantoni, Enrico, Vincent Pons, and Jérôme Schäfer. "Voting Rules, Turnout, and Economic Policies." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32941, September 2024.
  • 2014
  • Working Paper

Bride Price and the Returns to Education

By: Nava Ashraf, Natalie Bau, Nathan Nunn and Alessandra Voena
Traditional cultural practices can play an important role in development, but can also inspire condemnation. The custom of bride price, prevalent throughout sub-Saharan Africa and in parts of Asia as a payment of the groom to the family of the bride, is one example. In... View Details
Keywords: Zambia; Indonesia
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Ashraf, Nava, Natalie Bau, Nathan Nunn, and Alessandra Voena. "Bride Price and the Returns to Education." Working Paper, November 2014.
  • 2010
  • Working Paper

Peronist Beliefs and Interventionist Policies

By: Rafael Di Tella and Juan Dubra
We study the logic of Peronist interventionist polices and the beliefs that support them. Instead of a comprehensive approach, we focus on three elements. First, we study beliefs and values about the economic system present in Peron's speeches during the period... View Details
Keywords: History; Economic Systems; Values and Beliefs; Policy; Business and Government Relations; Argentina
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Di Tella, Rafael, and Juan Dubra. "Peronist Beliefs and Interventionist Policies." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 16621, December 2010.
  • 15 Jul 2010
  • Working Paper Summaries

Trade Policy and Firm Boundaries

Keywords: by Laura Alfaro, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger & Andrew F. Newman
  • 12 Sep 2013
  • Conference Presentation

Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan Meets Sarva Samaj: The Politics of Education and Caste in Rural Uttar Pradesh

By: Akshay Mangla
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Mangla, Akshay. "Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan Meets Sarva Samaj: The Politics of Education and Caste in Rural Uttar Pradesh." Paper presented at the 5th Contemporary India Seminar, Universitetet i Oslo, Oslo, Norway, September 12, 2013.
  • 1995
  • Chapter

Marketing and Public Policy

By: S. A. Greyser
Keywords: Marketing; Policy; Government and Politics
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Greyser, S. A. "Marketing and Public Policy." In Companion Encyclopedia of Marketing, edited by M. J. Baker. London: Routledge, 1995.
  • 30 May 2019
  • Working Paper Summaries

US Antitrust Law and Policy in Historical Perspective

Keywords: by Laura Phillips Sawyer; Education
  • 2008
  • Working Paper

Learning Processes in Environmental Policy Making and Implementation

By: Alnoor Ebrahim
This paper explores how "learning" occurs in the context of environmental policy formulation and implementation. Rather than viewing policy learning as a rational and technocratic process, the emphasis here is on the political and institutional contexts within which... View Details
Keywords: Policy; Business and Government Relations; Natural Environment; Power and Influence; South Africa; Brazil
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Ebrahim, Alnoor. "Learning Processes in Environmental Policy Making and Implementation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-071, February 2008.
  • Research Summary

Overview

Inside the State: Bureaucratic Norms and Primary Education in Rural India (Book manuscript in progress)

When and how do poor democracies implement primary education effectively? India has earned accolades for its robust democracy. Yet the state’s historic... View Details
Keywords: Education Reform; Bureaucracy; Policy Implementation; India
  • 2020
  • Working Paper

Global Talent and U.S. Immigration Policy

By: William R. Kerr
Talent is a critical resource for today’s knowledge economy. The United States has benefited substantially from high-skilled migration since the 1970s, especially with respect to innovation and entrepreneurship. This chapter reviews data on these immigrant... View Details
Keywords: Global Talent Flows; Immigration; Policy; Talent and Talent Management; Global Range; United States
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Kerr, William R. "Global Talent and U.S. Immigration Policy." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-107, April 2020.
  • October 2012
  • Case

Romney vs. Obama and U.S. Energy Policy

By: Rawi Abdelal and Kaitlyn Tuthill
In 2012, the energy sector in the United States was demanding major reform. Prices of oil and gas had continued to cripple the middle and lower class as the U.S. economy slowly recovered. At the same time, the U.S. lagged behind developed economies in production of... View Details
Keywords: Mitt Romney; Barack Obama; Energy; Election Outcomes; Climate Change; Renewable Energy; Political Elections; Policy; Business and Government Relations; Public Administration Industry; United States
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Abdelal, Rawi, and Kaitlyn Tuthill. "Romney vs. Obama and U.S. Energy Policy." Harvard Business School Case 713-050, October 2012.
  • Research Summary

International business and political risk in West Africa

This project, based on confidential corporate archives, explores the response of foreign companies to political decolonization and the threat of expropriation in Ghana and Nigeria. Foreign companies in Ghana and Nigeria, especially those from Britain, had a... View Details

  • 2004
  • Article

Investment, Overhang, and Tax Policy

By: Mihir A. Desai and Austan D. Goolsbee
Keywords: Investment; Taxation; Policy
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Desai, Mihir A., and Austan D. Goolsbee. "Investment, Overhang, and Tax Policy." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, no. 2 (2004): 285–338.
  • 08 Aug 2012
  • Working Paper Summaries

Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates

Keywords: by Samuel G. Hanson & Jeremy C. Stein
  • April 2022
  • Article

Going Out or Opting Out? Capital, Political Vulnerability, and the State in China's Outward Investment

By: Meg Rithmire
How do state-business relations interact with outward investment in authoritarian regimes? This paper examines this question in the context of China’s rapid transformation into a major capital exporter. While most political economy scholarship focuses on firms’... View Details
Keywords: Outward Investment; Capital Controls; Corruption; Foreign Direct Investment; Political Economy; State-owned Enterprises; Investment; Global Range; Capital; Globalization; Policy; Government and Politics; China
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Rithmire, Meg. "Going Out or Opting Out? Capital, Political Vulnerability, and the State in China's Outward Investment." Comparative Politics 54, no. 3 (April 2022): 477–499.
  • 2023
  • Working Paper

El Dorado Lost: Local Elites, Real Estate and the Education Business in China

By: Geoffrey Jones and Yuhai Wu
This working paper examines the evolving, complex and multifaceted relationship between the real estate industry and the education sector in China. The current crises in the private education and real estate sectors caused by policy shifts reflect the inter-meshing of... View Details
Keywords: Business and Government Relations; Policy; Government and Politics; Economic Sectors; Education Industry; Education Industry; China
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Jones, Geoffrey, and Yuhai Wu. "El Dorado Lost: Local Elites, Real Estate and the Education Business in China." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-065, May 2023.
  • 2016
  • Book

Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance in Emerging Markets

By: Lakshmi Iyer
Emerging markets play an increasingly important role in the global economy, accounting for 31% of global GDP and more than 50% of global foreign direct investment in 2012. However, doing business in emerging markets remains subject to a high degree of "policy risk,"... View Details
Keywords: Property Rights; Economic Policy; Political Economy; Emerging Markets; Economic Growth; Government and Politics; Business and Government Relations
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Iyer, Lakshmi. Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance in Emerging Markets. World Scientific Publishing, 2016.
  • March 2011 (Revised June 2011)
  • Background Note

Government Policy and Clean-Energy Finance

By: Ramana Nanda, Sanjay Aggarwal and Nilam Ganenthiran
What leads to market failures in finance of clean energy startups? How do different governments approach this issue? View Details
Keywords: Government and Politics; Finance; Policy; Energy Industry
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Nanda, Ramana, Sanjay Aggarwal, and Nilam Ganenthiran. "Government Policy and Clean-Energy Finance." Harvard Business School Background Note 811-026, March 2011. (Revised June 2011.)
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