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2018
Working Paper

Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts: When Is It Appropriate to Extremize or Anti-Extremize?

By: Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose and Robert L. Winkler

Many organizations face critical decisions that rely on forecasts of binary events. In these situations, organizations often gather forecasts from multiple experts or models and average those forecasts to produce a single aggregate forecast. Because the average... View Details

Keywords: Forecast Aggregation; Linear Opinion Pool; Generalized Additive Model; Generalized Linear Model; Stacking.; Forecasting and Prediction

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27 Jun 2011
Research & Ideas

Recovering from the Need to Achieve

back to McClelland's original work, and eventually thinking more deeply about the "high-need-for-achievement professional" and how helpless these individuals behaved when trying to change dysfunctional behavior. DeLong, a... View Details

Keywords: by Kim Girard

05 Mar 2007
Research & Ideas

Risky Business? Protecting Foreign Investments

arbitration, backed by bilateral investment treaties and regional trade agreements, promised further protection. The new protections, however, had emerged without a real consensus on the part of investors' home countries and their hosts.... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Energy; Utilities

09 Jul 2024
Research & Ideas

Are Management Consulting Firms Failing to Manage Themselves?

attrition rate to 13%. The irony is clear: These strategy firms, who are experts at diagnosing and solving a variety of issues for their clients, are struggling to apply their own management principles internally. The problem, however, View Details

Keywords: by David Fubini; Consulting

September 2014 (Revised March 2015)
Case

Fast Ion Battery

By: Ramana Nanda, Robert F. White and Stephanie Puzio

John Davidson, a partner at Ware Street Capital (WSC) and a board member at Fast Ion Battery, had just received a phone call from Don Lerner at Bluelock Ventures telling him that Bluelock would not participate in the $5M bridge financing for Fast Ion Battery. Lerner's... View Details

Keywords: Entrepreneurial Finance; Real Options; Term Sheets; Clean Technology; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital

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17 Aug 2010
First Look

First Look: August 17

PublicationsAn Investigation of Earnings Management through Marketing Actions Authors:Craig J.Chapman, Thomas J. Steenburgh Publication:Management Science (forthcoming) Abstract Prior research hypothesizes that managers use "real actions," including the... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

19 Jul 2016
First Look

July 19, 2016

markets continued to underperform. Indeed, some analysts had suggested that Walmart retreat to its U.S. home base to improve performance. Many feared that this was the end of the 50+ year inexorable rise of Walmart. However, CEO Doug McMillon remained determined to get... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

03 Dec 2007
Research & Ideas

Authenticity over Exaggeration: The New Rule in Advertising

Consumers," HBS professor John Deighton and Leora Kornfeld, research director of Canada's Mobile MUSE Consortium, pinpoint 5 qualities of success in this new world of digital media marketing. In this new reality, it's the consumer who View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Publishing; Advertising

09 Nov 2009
Research & Ideas

Come Fly with Me: A History of Airline Leadership

industry evolution has focused on disruptive external influences or technological breakthroughs. While disruptive forces can change the direction and potential for an industry, so too can leaders themselves by the manner in which they run... View Details

Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Air Transportation

29 Nov 2006
Research & Ideas

Rich or Royal: What Do Founders Want?

becoming an entrepreneur, and the one on which past entrepreneurial research has focused, going all the way back to Adam Smith, Joseph Schumpeter, Israel Kirzner, and other pillars of economics. In my own research, I also approached... View Details

Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Financial Services

24 Jan 2024
Op-Ed

Why Boeing’s Problems with the 737 MAX Began More Than 25 Years Ago

Once again, Boeing’s 737 MAX is back in the headlines. After two crashes that killed 346 people in 2018 and 2019 and five years of ensuing design changes and regulatory scrutiny, the 737 MAX is grounded again after a mid-air blowout of a... View Details

Keywords: by Bill George; Air Transportation; Transportation; Aerospace

26 Aug 2009
Op-Ed

Where Cash for Clunkers Ran Off the Road

short term but, in reality, the promotion stole largely from future sales with taxpayers subsidizing over half a million new car sales that would have occurred anyway. C4C disrupted the even flow of supply and demand. New car buyers held View Details

Keywords: by John Quelch; Auto

13 Oct 2011
Lessons from the Classroom

Building a Business in the Context of a Life

performing, but they have had guardrails their whole life," Kraus says. "Then they get to the end of their MBA, and they have no guardrails. They have to pave their own way. They experience this peeling back and discovery process in... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman; Education

22 Mar 2010
Research & Ideas

One Strategy: Aligning Planning and Execution

represents what actually gets done. Strategic integrity is when emergent and directed strategies are one and the same thing: when the strategy executes with the full, aligned backing of the organization for maximum impact. When a strategy... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Video Game; Web Services

Research Summary

Reforming Social Science

By: Max H. Bazerman

Social science research affects all of us. When researchers learned organ donation rates are higher in countries where human organs are automatically available for donation unless you specifically “opt-out” of the system, as opposed to countries like the U.S., where... View Details

01 Aug 2017
First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, August 1

brand as well as when the brand with which consumers flirt is similar to their preferred brand. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=53001 April 2017 Business Ethics Quarterly The Responsibilities and Role of Business in Relation to Society:... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

17 May 2017
Research & Ideas

Minorities Who 'Whiten' Job Resumes Get More Interviews

resumes than candidates who reveal their race—and this discriminatory practice is just as strong for businesses that claim to value diversity as those that don’t. These research findings should provide a startling wakeup call for business executives: A bias against... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman

20 Aug 2007
Research & Ideas

HBS Cases: Using Investor Relations Proactively

Miller: Overall, I found that BP's IR team does a great job in bringing back and analyzing all this information. Yet, the strong internal debate also showed us that this was not valued equally within the company. BP's operations people,... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Energy; Utilities

29 Feb 2024
HBS Case

Beyond Goals: David Beckham's Playbook for Mobilizing Star Talent

Gardner, David Beckham Ventures’ president, in the case studies. “MLS teams were worth $50 million back then—now most are worth between $450 and $600 million And with the Apple deal, people all over the world can tune in and watch MLS... View Details

Keywords: by Avery Forman; Sports

15 Mar 2024
HBS Case

Let's Talk: Why It's Time to Stop Avoiding Taboo Topics at Work

conversation. She has also outlined prescriptions for important topics that she says people should discuss but often avoid (think: job-hunting while pregnant). And when a conversation goes off the rails, she suggests ways to bring both parties View Details

Keywords: by Avery Forman

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