probability - Publications - Faculty & Research

11 Mar 2024
News

In Harmony

opportunity to shine.” Kim did just that, quickly moving over to represent Salomon Smith Barney’s business in Asia, with a focus on Korea. “People who went through the Asian financial crisis would probably remember that Korea was one of... View Details

Keywords: Julia Hanna; photograph by Jun Michael Park

01 Dec 2023
News

Case Study: Staking a Claim

Illustration by Nhung Lê Kate Terry (MBA 2005) knows that no one attends their fifth-grade career fair and comes home hoping to pursue a career in insurance—but that’s exactly where she wound up. “I really fell in love with it,” she says. As cofounder and CEO of... View Details

Keywords: Jen McFarland Flint; Insurance Carriers and Related Activities; Finance

21 Aug 2013
Research & Ideas

What Went Wrong at J.C. Penney?

down from almost $18 billion to $17 billion. That comes out to sales of about $150 per square foot, which is probably in the lower third of department store sales, if not the lowest. In contrast, competitors like Macy's and Kohl's have... View Details

Keywords: by Jim Aisner; Retail

31 Jul 2023
News

Striving for Imperfection

Subscribe on iTunes Subscribe on Spotify More Skydeck episodes Since he left HBS in 1990, Charles Conn (MBA 1990) has built a full and varied portfolio career. Early on, he was a partner at McKinsey and then a tech executive, founding Ticketmaster-Citysearch. Today,... View Details

Keywords: Management of Companies and Enterprises; Management

09 Mar 2022
Research & Ideas

War in Ukraine: Soaring Gas Prices and the Return of Stagflation?

and 2000s, and particularly about the expansion of NATO. We are at a genuine impasse, and I fear that a much more thorough and destructive military operation in Ukraine is ahead. Forman: Will this conflict worsen COVID-19 supply chain disruptions? Abdelal: View Details

Keywords: by Avery Forman; Energy

02 Jul 2018
Research & Ideas

Corporate Tax Cuts Don't Increase Middle Class Incomes

“Income inequality is a phenomenon that’s been studied for centuries,” Rouen says. “You can probably root it back to the French Revolution, if not before that. It’s received a lot of attention in the last two decades in part because we’ve... View Details

Keywords: by Roberta Holland

03 Jan 2023
What Do You Think?

How Would the Leadership Style of Girl Scouts' Frances Hesselbein Fare Today?

said, “ society has changed a lot. That said, Jack Welch today would probably be different too. For me the worst criticism of him is that his successors all struggled.” Writing by email, Jeff Wilkins, former CEO of CompuServe, commented,... View Details

Keywords: Re: James L. Heskett

05 Sep 2007
Working Paper Summaries

Global Currency Hedging

Keywords: by John Y. Campbell, Karine Serfaty-de Medeiros & Luis M. Viceira; Financial Services

Social Strategies That Work

Over a billion people use social platforms on the Internet, making them the most frequently visited category of sites. Some platforms, such as eHarmony, MeetUp, and Twitter, allow us to connect to strangers. eHarmony alone is estimated to account for one in six new... View Details

29 Jul 2022
Research & Ideas

Will Demand for Women Executives Finally Shrink the Gender Pay Gap?

be careful to research any organization they’re moving into to make sure it’s diverse and welcoming. “There’s probably no free lunch here because going into an organization that has fewer women and has potentially had more of a problem... View Details

Keywords: by Kristen Senz

01 Sep 2023
News

Research Brief: Making Way for Moonshots

Josh Krieger (Courtesy subject) Josh Krieger (Courtesy subject) Many innovations in modern medicine have come about due to cutting-edge drugs—advances that required both a scientific leap and a willingness to take risks. And while most pharmaceutical companies would... View Details

Keywords: Jen McFarland Flint

12 Mar 2021
News

My Favorite Case

balancing my left and right brain. It probably also explains why my last four cars have been sporty SUVs. —Paige Arnof-Fenn (MBA 1991) Back to top “Johnson & Johnson: The Tylenol Tragedy” J&J was confronted with a major crisis in October... View Details

Keywords: Business Schools & Computer & Management Training; Educational Services

01 Mar 2021
Research & Ideas

How Systemic Racism Can Threaten National Security

Supporting the public good probably seemed less compelling for those who couldn’t access those benefits. Studies have also found that racism disempowers its targets, hurting political and social engagement. So much time, so little change... View Details

Keywords: by Rachel Layne

02 Dec 2002
Research & Ideas

The Secret of How Microsoft Stays on Top

seriously, the main threat probably comes from competing platforms—alternative systems that enable large numbers of developers to form competing innovation ecosystems. These other platforms, promoted by competitors such as Sun and IBM,... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

TeachingInterests

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

By: David E. Bell

Many of the decisions we face are made complicated by having uncertain consequences: how should I set my inventory when I don’t know what demand will be, should I refinance my mortgage when rates might go lower, how big a bet shall I make in a new business, and so... View Details

07 Mar 2016
HBS Seminar

Scott Stern, MIT Sloan School of Management

26 Jul 2022
Research & Ideas

Burgers with Bugs? What Happens When Restaurants Ignore Online Reviews

hygiene reviews in order to compare the probability that the restaurant would be sold out in the two weeks before and after the submission of such reviews. They found that a restaurant was between 0.4 and 0.7 percentage points less likely... View Details

Keywords: by Kara Baskin; Entertainment & Recreation; Food & Beverage; Retail

31 May 2011
Research & Ideas

Japan Disaster Shakes Up Supply-Chain Strategies

shortage of lithium-ion battery components. "This kind of disaster cuts a wide swath across the auto industry, but there's probably some similar geographic area that, if hit, would affect a different industry. It only takes a very... View Details

Keywords: by Dennis Fisher; Auto; Technology; Computer; Electronics

06 Oct 2003
Research & Ideas

The Problem with Hedge Funds

rent the clearing and settling capabilities, the stock loan inventories and balance sheets of the banks. The hedge funds claim to be able to provide substantial returns regardless of the direction of the market. Like mutual funds and traditional money managers, most... View Details

Keywords: by D. Quinn Mills

09 May 2023
Research & Ideas

Where to Find Remote Work Now: 250 Million Job Postings Paint a Complex Picture

technology, management processes that they already have, and probably the culture.” Who’s in your talent pool? So what’s a remote job-seeker to do? Finding the right job depends on profession and, perhaps more crucially, what individual... View Details