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      Stock Market ExpectationsRemove Stock Market Expectations →

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      • June 1991 (Revised December 1997)
      • Case

      Takeover of the Norton Co., The

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      After a decade of mediocre performance, the Norton Co. enters 1990 with the prospect of increased sales in the next few years. Yet Norton is pursuing slow growth industries, and a lower than expected earnings announcement at the beginning of 1990 has depressed earnings... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Business Conglomerates; Goals and Objectives; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; Revenue; Bids and Bidding; Business Processes; Ownership Stake
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Takeover of the Norton Co., The ." Harvard Business School Case 291-002, June 1991. (Revised December 1997.)
      • November 1990 (Revised August 1992)
      • Case

      Corning, Inc.: A Network of Alliances

      By: Christopher A. Bartlett and Ashish Nanda
      Describes James Houghton's actions in assuming the role of CEO at Corning in the midst of a recession. Not only must he turn around operating performance, he must also revitalize a demoralized organization and set a new, clear strategic direction. In doing so, the case... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Policy; Leading Change; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Performance Expectations; Partners and Partnerships; Business Strategy
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      Bartlett, Christopher A., and Ashish Nanda. "Corning, Inc.: A Network of Alliances." Harvard Business School Case 391-102, November 1990. (Revised August 1992.)
      • October 1990
      • Article

      Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default

      By: S. C. Gilson, J. Kose and L. H. P. Kang
      This study investigates the incentives of financially distressed firms to restructure their debt privately rather than through formal bankruptcy. In a sample of 169 financially distressed companies, about half successfully restructure their debt outside of Chapter 11.... View Details
      Keywords: Theory; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Restructuring
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      Gilson, S. C., J. Kose, and L. H. P. Kang. "Troubled Debt Restructurings: An Empirical Analysis of Private Reorganization of Firms in Default." Journal of Financial Economics 27, no. 2 (October 1990): 315–353.
      • June 7, 1990
      • Article

      New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500

      By: André Perold, Kenneth A. Froot and James F. Gammill Jr.
      Keywords: Institutional Investing; Market Efficiency; Equities; Stock Market; Indexing; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance
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      Perold, André, Kenneth A. Froot, and James F. Gammill Jr. "New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500." Market Volatility and Investor Confidence: Report to the Board of Directors of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc. (June 7, 1990): G1: 1–27.
      • May 1990
      • Article

      Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market

      By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
      Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
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      Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market." American Economic Review 80, no. 2 (May 1990): 181–185. (Reprinted in New Developments in Exchange Rate Economics, edited by L. Sarno and M. Taylor. Edward Elgar, 2001; and in Speculation and Financial Markets, edited by M. Taylor and L. Gallagher. Edward Elgar, 2001.)
      • spring 1989
      • Article

      The Changing Character of Stock Market Liquidity

      By: André Perold and James F. Gammill
      Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Financial Liquidity
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      Perold, André, and James F. Gammill. "The Changing Character of Stock Market Liquidity." Journal of Portfolio Management (spring 1989): 13–18.
      • August 1987 (Revised December 1998)
      • Background Note

      Capital Market Myopia

      By: William A. Sahlman and Howard H. Stevenson
      Focuses attention on a phenomenon we call capital market myopia, a situation in which participants in the capital markets ignore the logical implications of their individual investment decisions. Viewed in isolation, each decision seems to make sense. When taken... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets
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      Sahlman, William A., and Howard H. Stevenson. "Capital Market Myopia." Harvard Business School Background Note 288-005, August 1987. (Revised December 1998.)
      • 1987
      • Chapter

      On the Current State of the Stock Market Rationality Hypothesis

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Stocks; Mathematical Methods
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      Merton, Robert C. "On the Current State of the Stock Market Rationality Hypothesis." In Macroeconomics and Finance: Essays in Honor of Franco Modigliani, edited by R. Dornbusch, S. Fischer, and J. Bossons. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1987.
      • January 1987
      • Article

      Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market

      By: Terry A. Marsh and Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Behavior; Stocks; Markets
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      Marsh, Terry A., and Robert C. Merton. "Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market." Journal of Business 60 (January 1987): 1–40.
      • 1987
      • Working Paper

      Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets

      By: K. A. Froot
      Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Volatility
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      Froot, K. A. "Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 2362, August 1987.
      • September 1986 (Revised November 1994)
      • Case

      Lotus Development Corp. Channel Choice: Direct vs. Distribution

      By: V. Kasturi Rangan
      Lotus Development Corp., the number one microsoftware firm has traditionally sold to its customers through a distributor-retail dealer network. In early 1986, the company is considering the option of selling direct to large corporate customers. Students are expected to... View Details
      Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Marketing Channels; Distribution Channels; Sales; Software; Information Technology Industry; United States
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      Rangan, V. Kasturi. "Lotus Development Corp. Channel Choice: Direct vs. Distribution." Harvard Business School Case 587-078, September 1986. (Revised November 1994.)
      • June 1986
      • Article

      Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices

      By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
      Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Price
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      Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices." American Economic Review 76, no. 3 (June 1986): 483–498.
      • February 1986 (Revised November 1992)
      • Case

      Novo Industri A/S--1981

      By: W. Carl Kester and Glynn Ferguson
      This small but rapidly growing Danish biochemical company must choose among several financing opportunities that include a convertible Eurobond, a rights offering in Denmark and an issue of new common shares in the United States. The case involves a broad range of... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Cost of Capital; Bonds; Stock Shares; Financing and Loans; Globalization; Biotechnology Industry; Chemical Industry; Denmark; United States
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      Kester, W. Carl, and Glynn Ferguson. "Novo Industri A/S--1981." Harvard Business School Case 286-084, February 1986. (Revised November 1992.)
      • April 1985 (Revised September 1986)
      • Case

      CML Group, Inc.: Going Public (B)

      By: William A. Sahlman
      Contains a description of some issues confronting management of CML Group as the company progresses toward making an initial public offering. Among the issues and topics addressed in the case are: considerations in choosing an underwriting team, the initial public... View Details
      Keywords: Business or Company Management; Initial Public Offering; Financial Markets; Financial Strategy; Planning; Cost vs Benefits; Strategy; Entrepreneurship; Consumer Products Industry; Retail Industry
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      Sahlman, William A. "CML Group, Inc.: Going Public (B)." Harvard Business School Case 285-092, April 1985. (Revised September 1986.)
      • January 1985 (Revised March 2003)
      • Case

      Conex do Brasil

      By: Christopher A. Bartlett and John Young
      Describes interactions between Brazilian local, Latin American regional, and USA headquarters staff during the three years after establishing a manufacturing subsidiary in Sao Paulo. In a highly protected national environment, a market entry plan is developed to meet... View Details
      Keywords: Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Resignation and Termination; Goals and Objectives; Market Entry and Exit; Operations; Performance Expectations; Opportunities; Corporate Strategy; Latin America; United States; Brazil
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      Bartlett, Christopher A., and John Young. "Conex do Brasil." Harvard Business School Case 385-257, January 1985. (Revised March 2003.)
      • 1984
      • Chapter

      Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market

      By: Stanley Fischer and Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Financial Markets
      Citation
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      Fischer, Stanley, and Robert C. Merton. "Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market." In Essays on Macroeconomic Implications of Financial and Labor Markets and Political Processes. Vol. 21, edited by K. Brunner and A. H. Meltzer. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company, 1984.
      • 1984
      • Working Paper

      Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices

      By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1559-84, April 1984.
      • 1983
      • Working Paper

      Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality

      By: Terry A. Marsh and Robert C. Merton
      Citation
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      Marsh, Terry A., and Robert C. Merton. "Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1475-83, September 1983.
      • May 1983 (Revised December 1987)
      • Case

      Technical Data Corp.

      By: William A. Sahlman
      Describes a decision confronting the president of a small company about selling some or all of the shares in his company to another firm. Technical Data Corp. provides analytical services to professional bond market traders over a system of computer terminals operated... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Internet and the Web; Information Infrastructure; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Valuation; Negotiation Tactics; Mergers and Acquisitions; Corporate Strategy; Horizontal Integration; Information Industry; Service Industry
      Citation
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      Sahlman, William A. "Technical Data Corp." Harvard Business School Case 283-072, May 1983. (Revised December 1987.)
      • Article

      Variance-Minimizing Monetary Policies with Lagged Price Adjustment and Rational Expectations

      By: Jerry R. Green and Seppo Honkapohja
      This paper considers a macroeconomic model with rational expectations in which prices are incompletely flexible. Markets therefore fail to clear. In such a model monetary policy is not neutral. The variance of real and nominal quantities and interest rates is sensitive... View Details
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      Green, Jerry R., and Seppo Honkapohja. "Variance-Minimizing Monetary Policies with Lagged Price Adjustment and Rational Expectations." European Economic Review 20, nos. 1-3 (January 1983): 123–141.
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