probability - Publications - Faculty & Research

04 May 2015
Research & Ideas

Need to Solve a Problem? Take a Break From Collaborating

participants were undergraduates who needed pocket money. "Generally speaking, these were students from northeastern universities, all of whom are relatively smart, so we're not talking about the average population," Bernstein says. "But actually, that's... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Video Game; Web Services

07 Jan 2019
Research & Ideas

The Better Way to Forecast the Future

Grushka-Cockayne, that executives should adopt a similar approach when it comes to using probability forecasts of business-critical issues; for example, the likelihood that product demand will increase by a given percentage next quarter.... View Details

Keywords: by Roberta Holland; Air Transportation; Transportation

15 Dec 2023
News

The Musts of 2023

rights. And his big conclusion was that there isn't enough money in the world to change a society that doesn't respect women. That this is something that happens through mass communications. And I think it's probably one of the reasons... View Details

05 Apr 2004
Research & Ideas

Six Ways to Build Trust in Negotiations

as extreme, can diminish and even destroy trust. An offer that is explained and justified will probably preserve trust, and may enhance it. Consider the case of an author negotiating with a literary agent over the right to sell his book.... View Details

Keywords: by Deepak Malhotra

Profile

Bobby Tuohy

encouraged me to come here. To me, it’s a natural extension of the teamwork, the family that I found in the military.” Bobby lives on campus with his husband Jared Meyers. “Students and the school have brought my spouse in as part of the family. In fact, Jared is View Details

23 Apr 2012
Research & Ideas

How to Brand a Next-Generation Product

with the risk of disappointing consumers who expect more from the product than they otherwise would have. "If you're really just tweaking the previous generation of your product, it's probably much better to use brand name... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel

25 Jan 2010
Research & Ideas

A Macroeconomic View of the Current Economy

going to depreciate tomorrow or next week or even next month. But over time, you expect it to depreciate. So if you're a business manager, you probably want to be fairly well hedged against this possibility, either by making use of... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

21 Aug 2013
Research & Ideas

What Went Wrong at J.C. Penney?

down from almost $18 billion to $17 billion. That comes out to sales of about $150 per square foot, which is probably in the lower third of department store sales, if not the lowest. In contrast, competitors like Macy's and Kohl's have... View Details

Keywords: by Jim Aisner; Retail

22 Aug 2019
Blog Post

Moving to the Lower 48 from Alaska for my MS/MBA

dinners. In other words, I’ve probably already had 92% of the dinners I’ll ever get to have with my parents. So before I fly back to Boston and immerse myself in the pace of life at HBS - engaging late-night discussions with... View Details

23 Nov 2021
Research & Ideas

The Vinyl Renaissance: Take Those Old Records Off the Shelf

record was relatively easy. The major labels used to own plants to ensure they had enough product to keep record store bins stocked. What does the landscape look like today? Kelleher: In North America, I estimate there are probably 20... View Details

Keywords: by Christine Pazzanese, Harvard Gazette; Music

31 Jul 2023
News

Striving for Imperfection

Subscribe on iTunes Subscribe on Spotify More Skydeck episodes Since he left HBS in 1990, Charles Conn (MBA 1990) has built a full and varied portfolio career. Early on, he was a partner at McKinsey and then a tech executive, founding Ticketmaster-Citysearch. Today,... View Details

Keywords: Management of Companies and Enterprises; Management

05 Jun 2023
What Do You Think?

Is the Anxious Achiever a Post-Pandemic Relic?

response that covered every possible regulatory need without any suggestion of how regulation should be achieved or who or what should be responsible for it. As Tom put it, “The wordy ChatGPT answer is the perfect example of why ‘regulation’ of AI is worthless and... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

11 Oct 2023
News

Soldier On

had said it's a sixth grader. And so I assumed, you know what? It's probably an accident. And she said, no, it's someone that is six years old, it's a first grader. And we think it was on purpose. And immediately I grabbed a sports coat... View Details

02 Jul 2018
Research & Ideas

Corporate Tax Cuts Don't Increase Middle Class Incomes

“Income inequality is a phenomenon that’s been studied for centuries,” Rouen says. “You can probably root it back to the French Revolution, if not before that. It’s received a lot of attention in the last two decades in part because we’ve... View Details

Keywords: by Roberta Holland

01 Jan 2012
News

E. Roe Stamps IV, MBA 1974

and venture capital firm based in Boston, Roe Stamps began to think about succession. “When our VPs became new partners, I told them that someday they would run the company,” says Stamps, whose declaration was probably met with... View Details

26 Oct 2022
Research & Ideas

How Paid Promos Take the Shine Off YouTube Stars (and Tips for Better Influencer Marketing)

“Now, brands are working with a lot of influencers, and it’s difficult for them to centralize content. Second, they probably don’t want to centralize content because they actually want to leverage the authenticity and the creativity of... View Details

Keywords: by Kara Baskin; Technology; Media & Broadcasting

19 Apr 2004
Research & Ideas

Birth of the American Salesman

Who do you think was the most significant figure in the history of sales? A: Probably John H. Patterson at National Cash Register (NCR). Patterson, who lived from 1844 to 1922, was a contemporary of the Henry J. Heinz, William S.... View Details

Keywords: by Laura Linard

09 Mar 2003
Research & Ideas

Six Keys to Building New Markets by Unleashing Disruptive Innovation

years. Companies need a way to unlock the process of innovation and create innovation-driven growth businesses again and again. How can managers increase the probability that their decisions will lead to success? Now more than ever,... View Details

Keywords: by Clayton M. Christensen, Michael E. Raynor & Scott D. Anthony

26 Jan 2022
News

Making Peace with Anger

not only had met the objective, they’d flown through the objective. And so it really taught me that some of this sort of hyper-aggressive management style, getting in people’s face, showing anger for under-performance was a lot of time and energy that was very misspent... View Details

05 Oct 2020
Book

Want to Be Happier? Make More Free Time

shows. People benefit most when they take time off regularly, probably because that post-vacation glow can evaporate quickly once work madness sets back in. So we may be better off taking shorter breaks periodically, rather than longer... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman

Publications