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    • All HBS Web  (2,603)
      • Faculty Publications  (673)

      Investment DecisionsRemove Investment Decisions →

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      • March 2005
      • Article

      Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage

      By: Robin Greenwood
      I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be... View Details
      Keywords: Limits To Arbitrage; Event Studies; Demand Curves; Portfolio Choice; Framework; Demand and Consumers; Change; Risk and Uncertainty; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Assets; Investment Portfolio; System Shocks; Price; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage." Journal of Financial Economics 75, no. 3 (March 2005): 607–649.
      • Article

      Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Stochastic Volatility in Incomplete Markets

      By: George Chacko and Luis M. Viceira
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment; Markets
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      Chacko, George, and Luis M. Viceira. "Dynamic Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Stochastic Volatility in Incomplete Markets." Review of Financial Studies 18, no. 4 (Winter 2005).
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these results may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's... View Details
      Keywords: Managerial Roles; Equity; Market Timing; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, January 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • November 2004 (Revised March 2007)
      • Case

      10 Uncommon Values®: Optimizing the Stock-Selection Process

      By: Paul M. Healy and Boris Groysberg
      In 2003, Steve Hash, research director at Lehman Brothers, prepared to initiate the firm's "Ten Uncommon Values" stock-picking process for the year. An investment committee had to pick the 10 best stocks from about 100 stock ideas presented by the firm's analysts. The... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Investment; Financial Strategy; Decision Making; Groups and Teams; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Healy, Paul M., and Boris Groysberg. "10 Uncommon Values®: Optimizing the Stock-Selection Process." Harvard Business School Case 405-022, November 2004. (Revised March 2007.)
      • September 2004 (Revised August 2007)
      • Case

      Enterprise IT at Cisco (2004)

      By: Andrew P. McAfee, F. Warren McFarlan and Alison Berkley Wagonfeld
      Illustrates the challenges associated with centralizing IT decisions at Cisco after a decade of decentralized planning and project funding. When Brad Boston became Cisco's new CIO in 2001, he found that managers were starting to get frustrated with the results of their... View Details
      Keywords: Management; Resource Allocation; Information Technology; Problems and Challenges; Business Ventures; Change Management; Entrepreneurship; Projects; Planning; Corporate Finance; Information Technology Industry
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      McAfee, Andrew P., F. Warren McFarlan, and Alison Berkley Wagonfeld. "Enterprise IT at Cisco (2004)." Harvard Business School Case 605-015, September 2004. (Revised August 2007.)
      • September 2004 (Revised February 2007)
      • Case

      Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS

      By: Mihir A. Desai, Vincent Dessain and Anders Sjoman
      The American Institute for Foreign Studies (AIFS) organizes study abroad programs and cultural exchanges for American students. The firm's revenues are mainly in U.S. dollars, but most of its costs are in eurodollars and British pounds. The company's controllers review... View Details
      Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Investment Funds; Financial Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Revenue; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Currency; Currency Exchange Rate; Education Industry; North and Central America
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      Desai, Mihir A., Vincent Dessain, and Anders Sjoman. "Hedging Currency Risks at AIFS." Harvard Business School Case 205-026, September 2004. (Revised February 2007.)
      • September 2004
      • Article

      Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows

      By: Kenneth A. Froot and J. Tjornhom Donohue
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, Kenneth A., and J. Tjornhom Donohue. "Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows." Finance Research Letters 1, no. 3 (September 2004): 154–170. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9079, July 2002, Harvard Business School Working Paper no. 03-005, July 2002.)
      • August 2004
      • Article

      Capital Controls, Risk and Liberalization Cycles

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      The paper presents an overlapping-generations model where agents vote on whether to open or close the economy to international capital flows. Political decisions are shaped by the risk over capital and labor returns. In an open economy, the capitalists (old) completely... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Development Economics; Voting; Risk and Uncertainty; Cash Flow; Saving; Investment; Economy; Wages
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Capital Controls, Risk and Liberalization Cycles." Review of International Economics 12, no. 3 (August 2004): 412–434.
      • June 2004 (Revised July 2005)
      • Case

      Procter & Gamble: Global Business Services

      By: Thomas J. DeLong, Warren Brackin, Alex Cabanas, Phil Shellhammer and David L. Ager
      Dave Walker, vice-president of business service opportunities and chairman of the governance team at Procter & Gamble, must decide what to do with P&G's 5,700 employee Global Business Services (GBS) group. GBS brought together internal services such as finance,... View Details
      Keywords: Business Units; Change Management; Decision Making; Globalized Firms and Management; Job Cuts and Outsourcing; Organizational Design
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      DeLong, Thomas J., Warren Brackin, Alex Cabanas, Phil Shellhammer, and David L. Ager. "Procter & Gamble: Global Business Services." Harvard Business School Case 404-124, June 2004. (Revised July 2005.)
      • June 2004
      • Article

      A Catering Theory of Dividends

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We propose that the decision to pay dividends is driven by prevailing investor demand for dividend payers. Managers cater to investors by paying dividends when investors put a stock price premium on payers, and by not paying when investors prefer nonpayers. To test... View Details
      Keywords: Dividends; Catering; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "A Catering Theory of Dividends." Journal of Finance 59, no. 3 (June 2004): 1125–1165.
      • 2004
      • Working Paper

      Earnings Manipulation, Pension Assumptions and Managerial Investment Decisions

      By: Daniel B. Bergstresser, Mihir A. Desai and Joshua Rauh
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      Bergstresser, Daniel B., Mihir A. Desai, and Joshua Rauh. "Earnings Manipulation, Pension Assumptions and Managerial Investment Decisions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. w10543, June 2004.
      • May 2004 (Revised April 2006)
      • Case

      Ultra: The Quest for Leadership (A)

      By: Dwight B. Crane and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho
      Ultra is one of a small group of competing Brazilian petrochemical companies, each of which buys raw material and is a minority owner of Copene, a "cracking" company that provides ethylene and other materials. Because of an industry restructuring, an auction of shares... View Details
      Keywords: Capital; Capital Budgeting; Investment; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Industry Structures; Cash Flow; Cost of Capital; Valuation; Bids and Bidding; Economy; Ownership Stake; Chemical Industry; Brazil
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      Crane, Dwight B., and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho. "Ultra: The Quest for Leadership (A)." Harvard Business School Case 204-146, May 2004. (Revised April 2006.)
      • May 2004 (Revised October 2007)
      • Background Note

      Best Practices: Decision Making Among Venture Capital Firms

      By: G. Felda Hardymon, Josh Lerner and Ann Leamon
      Describes investment decision-making processes, based on interviews with 56% of the top 38 venture capital firms in the country. Discusses some implications for the future growth of the industry. View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Venture Capital; Investment; Industry Growth
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      Hardymon, G. Felda, Josh Lerner, and Ann Leamon. "Best Practices: Decision Making Among Venture Capital Firms." Harvard Business School Background Note 804-176, May 2004. (Revised October 2007.)
      • May 2004 (Revised June 2004)
      • Case

      Sarvega

      By: Paul A. Gompers and Vanessa del Valle Broussard
      David Cowan, general partner at Bessemer Venture Partners, has taken the lead on Sarvega, a Bessemer-backed company that was recently orphaned by the departure of one of Bessemer's other general partners. Cowan must decide whether to reinvest in Sarvega and, if so,... View Details
      Keywords: Decisions; Venture Capital; Investment; Governance Compliance; Resignation and Termination; Negotiation Deal; Partners and Partnerships; Information Technology Industry
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      Gompers, Paul A., and Vanessa del Valle Broussard. "Sarvega." Harvard Business School Case 204-137, May 2004. (Revised June 2004.)
      • March 2004 (Revised June 2006)
      • Case

      Journey to Sakhalin: Royal Dutch/Shell in Russia (A)

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal
      Operations of Royal Dutch/Shell in Russia included a strategic alliance with Gazprom, the country's natural gas monopoly, the development of the Salym oil fields in Siberia, and a small retail refilling network in St. Petersburg. Focuses on the Sakhalin II project.... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Energy Generation; Foreign Direct Investment; Lawfulness; Agreements and Arrangements; Alliances; Business and Government Relations; Energy Industry; Russia
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      Abdelal, Rawi E. "Journey to Sakhalin: Royal Dutch/Shell in Russia (A)." Harvard Business School Case 704-040, March 2004. (Revised June 2006.)
      • March 2004 (Revised May 2005)
      • Case

      Shurgard Self-Storage: Expansion to Europe

      By: Richard G. Hamermesh and Indra Reinbergs
      Shurgard, a U.S.-based firm that rents storage facilities to consumers and small businesses, is considering financing options for rapid expansion of its European operations. Five years after entering Europe, Shurgard Europe has opened 17 facilities in Belgium, France,... View Details
      Keywords: Private Equity; Valuation; Business Model; Governing and Advisory Boards; Entrepreneurship; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Service Industry; Belgium; France; Sweden; United States; Europe
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      Hamermesh, Richard G., and Indra Reinbergs. "Shurgard Self-Storage: Expansion to Europe." Harvard Business School Case 804-112, March 2004. (Revised May 2005.)
      • February 2004
      • Case

      Bradman and Tendulkar, LLC

      By: Ananth Raman and Vishal Gaur
      An investment firm is trying to project inventory turns for Radio Shack, a chain of consumer electronics stores. The investment firm has access to public financial data but not to internal operational metrics. It needs to project inventory turns because inventory... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Cash Flow; Demand and Consumers; Distribution Channels; Mathematical Methods; Valuation
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      Raman, Ananth, and Vishal Gaur. "Bradman and Tendulkar, LLC." Harvard Business School Case 604-085, February 2004.
      • February 2004 (Revised April 2004)
      • Case

      Orchid Partners: A Venture Capital Start-up

      By: Myra M. Hart and Kristin Lieb
      The development of a new venture partnership and the challenges associated with raising its first fund are chronicled. The decision to focus on early-stage investments, the determination of the appropriate size of the fund, the fund-raising process, and the steps in... View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Venture Capital; Entrepreneurship; Problems and Challenges; Partners and Partnerships; Investment; Motivation and Incentives; Financing and Loans; Personal Development and Career
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      Hart, Myra M., and Kristin Lieb. "Orchid Partners: A Venture Capital Start-up." Harvard Business School Case 804-138, February 2004. (Revised April 2004.)
      • January 2004 (Revised May 2005)
      • Case

      Gold Hill Venture Lending

      By: G. Felda Hardymon, Josh Lerner and Ann Leamon
      David Fischer is trying to raise $200 million for a first-time venture debt fund that will be affiliated with Silicon Valley Bank, a major technology lender. Despite his lengthy experience in venture lending, the process is proving difficult. He and his partners are... View Details
      Keywords: Information Technology; Value Creation; Venture Capital; Partners and Partnerships; Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment Funds; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry
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      Hardymon, G. Felda, Josh Lerner, and Ann Leamon. "Gold Hill Venture Lending." Harvard Business School Case 804-083, January 2004. (Revised May 2005.)
      • 2004
      • Working Paper

      Judging Fund Managers by the Company They Keep

      By: Randolph Cohen, Joshua Coval and Luboš Pástor
      We develop a performance evaluation approach in which a fund manager's skill is judged by the extent to which his investment decisions resemble the decisions of managers with distinguished performance records. The proposed performance measures are estimated more... View Details
      Keywords: Measurement and Metrics; Performance Evaluation; Investment Funds; Investment
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      Cohen, Randolph, Joshua Coval, and Lubo Pástor. "Judging Fund Managers by the Company They Keep." NBER Working Paper Series, No. W9359, January 2004.
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