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      ForecastingRemove Forecasting →

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      • May 1987 (Revised February 2000)
      • Case

      Codman & Shurtleff, Inc.: Planning and Control System

      By: Robert L. Simons
      Detailed description of the planning and control systems in use at Johnson & Johnson. Focuses on the actions of managers in one subsidiary in revising budget targets. Illustrates intensive strategic planning and financial planning process in a large, decentralized... View Details
      Keywords: Strategic Planning; Planning; Forecasting and Prediction; Accounting Audits; Budgets and Budgeting; Business Strategy; Financial Management; Business or Company Management; Management Systems; Public Administration Industry; Financial Services Industry
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      Simons, Robert L. "Codman & Shurtleff, Inc.: Planning and Control System." Harvard Business School Case 187-081, May 1987. (Revised February 2000.)
      • 1987
      • Working Paper

      Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets

      By: K. A. Froot
      Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Volatility
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      Froot, K. A. "Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 2362, August 1987.
      • July 1986 (Revised August 1987)
      • Background Note

      Note on Comparative Advantage

      By: David B. Yoffie and John J. Coleman
      Discusses David Ricardo's theory of comparative advantage and the refinement of his model developed by Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin. Presents several criticisms of the Heckscher-Ohlin theory, including Wassily Leontief's empirical demonstration that the nature of... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Forecasting and Prediction; Macroeconomics; Trade; Theory
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      Yoffie, David B., and John J. Coleman. "Note on Comparative Advantage." Harvard Business School Background Note 387-023, July 1986. (Revised August 1987.)
      • May 1986 (Revised February 1991)
      • Case

      Wilson Lumber Co.

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The Wilson Lumber Co. is faced with a need for increased bank financing due to its rapid sales growth and low profitability. Students must determine the reasons for the rising bank borrowing, estimate the amount of borrowing needed, and assess the attractiveness of the... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Financing and Loans; Banks and Banking; Forecasting and Prediction; Sales; Financial Strategy
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Wilson Lumber Co." Harvard Business School Case 286-122, May 1986. (Revised February 1991.)
      • January 1986 (Revised April 1987)
      • Background Note

      Models for Updating Demand Forecasts

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Models for Updating Demand Forecasts." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-180, January 1986. (Revised April 1987.)
      • July 1985
      • Background Note

      Measuring Forecast Accuracy

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Measuring Forecast Accuracy." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-027, July 1985.
      • Article

      Political Forecasting as a Management Tool

      By: James E. Austin and David Yoffie
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Government and Politics; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques
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      Austin, James E., and David Yoffie. "Political Forecasting as a Management Tool." Journal of Forecasting 3, no. 4 (October–December 1984).
      • February 1984 (Revised February 1986)
      • Case

      E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co.: Titanium Dioxide

      By: W. Carl Kester, Robert R. Glauber, David W. Mullins Jr. and Stacy S. Dick
      Disequilibrium in the $350 million TiO2 market has prompted Du Pont's Pigments Department to develop two strategies for competing in this market in the future. The growth strategy has a smaller internal rate of return than the alternative strategy due to large capital... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Cash Flow; Investment Return; Growth and Development Strategy; Strategic Planning; Projects; Chemical Industry
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      Kester, W. Carl, Robert R. Glauber, David W. Mullins Jr., and Stacy S. Dick. "E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co.: Titanium Dioxide." Harvard Business School Case 284-066, February 1984. (Revised February 1986.)
      • 1983
      • Chapter

      Analyzing Competitors: Predicting Competitor Behavior and Formulating Offensive and Defensive Strategy

      By: M. E. Porter
      Keywords: Competitive Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavior
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      Porter, M. E. "Analyzing Competitors: Predicting Competitor Behavior and Formulating Offensive and Defensive Strategy." In Policy, Strategy, and Implementation, edited by Milton Leontiades. Random House, 1983.
      • January 1983 (Revised September 1983)
      • Case

      E.T. Phone Home, Inc.: Forecasting Business Demand

      By: John F. Cady and Frank V. Cespedes
      Describes a process for forecasting market demand for an emerging technology--cellular radio. The student must critically evaluate the demand model and the market estimates, and modify them as appropriate in order to develop a marketing plan and budget. View Details
      Keywords: Budgets and Budgeting; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Demand and Consumers; Business Processes; Technology
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      Cady, John F., and Frank V. Cespedes. "E.T. Phone Home, Inc.: Forecasting Business Demand." Harvard Business School Case 583-121, January 1983. (Revised September 1983.)
      • October 1982
      • Case

      Data Resources, Inc.: The Tire-Production Forecast

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Data Resources, Inc.: The Tire-Production Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 183-096, October 1982.
      • February 1982 (Revised June 1994)
      • Case

      Boston Gas Co.: Winter 1980-81

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Negotiation; Forecasting and Prediction; Utilities Industry
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Boston Gas Co.: Winter 1980-81." Harvard Business School Case 182-196, February 1982. (Revised June 1994.)
      • January 1982 (Revised May 1983)
      • Case

      CBS Record Co. (A): The Long-Range Industry Forecast

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Demographics; Music Entertainment; Music Industry
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "CBS Record Co. (A): The Long-Range Industry Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 182-182, January 1982. (Revised May 1983.)
      • January 1982 (Revised May 1983)
      • Case

      Unitrode Corp. (B): Short Term Forecasting and Major Procurements

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Unitrode Corp. (B): Short Term Forecasting and Major Procurements." Harvard Business School Case 182-179, January 1982. (Revised May 1983.)
      • January 1982
      • Case

      Unitrode Corp. (C): Sales Forecasting of Major Procurements

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Sales
      Citation
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Unitrode Corp. (C): Sales Forecasting of Major Procurements." Harvard Business School Case 182-180, January 1982.
      • January 1982 (Revised June 1983)
      • Case

      Unitrode Corp. (D): Longer-Range Forecasting and Planning

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Planning
      Citation
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Unitrode Corp. (D): Longer-Range Forecasting and Planning." Harvard Business School Case 182-181, January 1982. (Revised June 1983.)
      • January 1982
      • Case

      New York Telephone Co.: The 1975 Revenue Forecast

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Revenue; Telecommunications Industry
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "New York Telephone Co.: The 1975 Revenue Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 182-060, January 1982.
      • November 1981 (Revised June 1989)
      • Case

      Firestone Tire & Rubber Co.: The Industry Replacement Passenger Tire Forecast

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Manufacturing Industry; Consumer Products Industry
      Citation
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Firestone Tire & Rubber Co.: The Industry Replacement Passenger Tire Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 182-152, November 1981. (Revised June 1989.)
      • Article

      On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills

      By: Robert C. Merton and Roy D. Henriksson
      Keywords: Investment; Performance; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C., and Roy D. Henriksson. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills." Journal of Business 54, no. 4 (October 1981): 513–533.
      • July 1981
      • Article

      On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part I: An Equilibrium Theory of Value for Market Forecasts

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Investment; Performance; Theory; Value; Forecasting and Prediction; Markets
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      Merton, Robert C. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part I: An Equilibrium Theory of Value for Market Forecasts." Journal of Business 54, no. 3 (July 1981): 363–406.
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