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    • All HBS Web  (2,176)
      • Faculty Publications  (553)

      EstimationRemove Estimation →

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      • Article

      On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Markets
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      Merton, Robert C. "On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation." Journal of Financial Economics 8, no. 4 (December 1980): 1–39.
      • 1980
      • Working Paper

      Taxation and the Ex-dividend Day Behavior of Common Stock Prices

      By: Jerry R. Green
      The behavior of stock prices around ex-dividend days has been suggested as evidence for tax-induced clientele effects and as a means to estimate the average effective tax rate faced by investors. In this paper these possibilities are examined theoretically and... View Details
      Keywords: Taxation; Stocks; Price
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      Green, Jerry R. "Taxation and the Ex-dividend Day Behavior of Common Stock Prices." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 496, July 1980.
      • 1979
      • Article

      Approximating the Efficiency Gain of Tax Reforms

      By: Jerry R. Green and Eytan Sheshinski
      Proper analysis of tax reform requires evaluation of the welfare effects induced by a change from one tax system to another. We present two methods for estimating these changes using only local information pertaining to an initial equilibrium with distortive taxes. It... View Details
      Keywords: Taxation; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Change; Analysis
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      Green, Jerry R., and Eytan Sheshinski. "Approximating the Efficiency Gain of Tax Reforms." Journal of Public Economics 11, no. 2 (1979): 179–195.
      • fall 1973
      • Article

      Statistical Sampling in Auditing with Auxiliary Information Estimators

      By: Robert S. Kaplan
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Information
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      Kaplan, Robert S. "Statistical Sampling in Auditing with Auxiliary Information Estimators." Journal of Accounting Research 11 (fall 1973): 238–258.
      • Other Unpublished Work

      A Technique to Estimate Retail Demand and Lost Sales

      By: A. Raman and Giulio Zotteri
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Demand and Consumers; Sales; Retail Industry
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      Raman, A., and Giulio Zotteri. "A Technique to Estimate Retail Demand and Lost Sales."
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Calling All Issuers: The Market for Debt Monitoring

      By: Huaizhi Chen, Lauren Cohen and Weiling Liu
      95% of long-term municipal bonds have callable features, and yet we find new evidence of a substantial fraction of local governments exercising these valuable options sub-optimally, with significant delays – resulting in sizable losses. Using data from 2001 to 2019, we... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Financial Institutions; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Government Administration; Financing and Loans
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      Chen, Huaizhi, Lauren Cohen, and Weiling Liu. "Calling All Issuers: The Market for Debt Monitoring." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online November 1, 2024.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy

      By: Samuel Antill and Megan Hunter
      We estimate the indirect costs of corporate bankruptcy associated with lost customers. In incentivized experiments, randomly informing consumers about a firm’s Chapter 11 reorganization lowers their willingness to pay for the firm’s products by 17%-28%. Consumers worry... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Choice; Bankruptcy; Financial Distress; Structural Estimation; Experimental Economics; Hertz; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Perception; Consumer Behavior
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      Antill, Samuel, and Megan Hunter. "Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Corporate Restructuring and Business Insolvency: Economic Impact and Best Practices

      By: Stuart C. Gilson
      Stuart C. Gilson is studying how severe financial distress impacts corporate policies and economic resource allocation. He is also studying how managers can best respond to financial distress in order to preserve and grow value. He is undertaking this research... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Corruption

      By: Paul M. Healy

      World Bank estimates indicate that as much as $1 trillion is paid in bribes throughout the world in a given year. Corruption has been shown to slow economic development. My research focuses on how corruption affects multinational companies. It discusses differences... View Details

      Keywords: Corruption; Internal Governance
      • Research Summary

      Credit Supply Shocks, Network Effects, and the Real Economy

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We consider the real effects of bank lending shocks and how they permeate the economy through buyer-supplier linkages. We combine administrative data on all firms in Spain with a matched bank-firm-loan dataset with information on the universe of corporate loans for... View Details
      • Teaching Interest

      Decision Making Under Uncertainty

      By: David E. Bell

      Many of the decisions we face are made complicated by having uncertain consequences: how should I set my inventory when I don’t know what demand will be, should I refinance my mortgage when rates might go lower, how big a bet shall I make in a new business, and so... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Equity Valuation

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      Professor Wang’s research utilizes valuation theory to explain how firm fundamentals are related to the expected rates of equity returns and their term structures. His research provides strong evidence that valuation-based proxies of expected returns outperform the... View Details

      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Human Capital and the Managerial Revolution in the United States: Evidence from General Electric

      By: Tom Nicholas
      This paper estimates the returns to human capital accumulation during the first era of mega-firms in the United States by linking employees at General Electric—a canonical enterprise associated with the “visible hand” of managerial hierarchies—to the 1940 census. I... View Details
      Keywords: Returns To Education; Management Practices; Hierarchies; Management Practices and Processes; Rank and Position; Human Capital; Talent and Talent Management; Business History; United States
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      Nicholas, Tom. "Human Capital and the Managerial Revolution in the United States: Evidence from General Electric." Review of Economics and Statistics (forthcoming). (Pre-published online November 29, 2023.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Institutional Corporate Bond Pricing

      By: Ishita Sen, Lorenzo Bretscher, Lukas Schmid and Varun Sharma
      We propose an equilibrium corporate bond pricing model that accommodates the heterogeneity in institutional investors' preferences and mandates in an empirically tractable way. Our model, estimated on rich holdings data, quantifies investors' preferences and demand... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Bonds; Demand Systems; Insurance Companies; Mutual Funds; Liquidity; Bonds; Price; Investment Funds
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      Sen, Ishita, Lorenzo Bretscher, Lukas Schmid, and Varun Sharma. "Institutional Corporate Bond Pricing." Review of Financial Studies (forthcoming).
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Measurement and Effects of Bank Exit Policies

      By: Daniel Green and Boris Vallée
      We study whether exit policies by financial institutions have financial and real consequences on the firms they target, using bank coal exit policies as a laboratory. In contrast to theories assuming high capital substitutability, we find large effects of these... View Details
      Keywords: Coal Power; Financing and Loans; Banks and Banking; Policy; Energy Industry
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      Green, Daniel, and Boris Vallée. "Measurement and Effects of Bank Exit Policies." Journal of Financial Economics (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      National Innovative Capacity and the Ideas Production Function

      By: Michael E. Porter
      Joint research with Scott Stern (MIT) is exploring the determinants of innovative capacity across countries using time series/cross-section data ("Measuring the "Ideas" Production Function: Evidence from International Patent... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm

      By: Achyuta Adhvaryu, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham and Jorge Tamayo
      How do firms pair workers with managers, and which constraints affect the allocation of labor within the firm? We characterize the sorting pattern of managers to workers in a large readymade garment manufacturer in India and then explore potential drivers of the... View Details
      Keywords: Assortative Matching; Productivity; Global Buyers; Readymade Garments; Labor; Organizational Design; Performance Productivity; Fashion Industry
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      Adhvaryu, Achyuta, Vittorio Bassi, Anant Nyshadham, and Jorge Tamayo. "No Line Left Behind: Assortative Matching Inside the Firm." Review of Economics and Statistics (forthcoming). (Pre-published online October 29, 2024.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity

      By: Anke Becker
      This paper studies the origins and function of customs and norms that intend to keep women from being promiscuous. Using large-scale survey data from more than 100 countries, I test the anthropological theory that a particular form of preindustrial... View Details
      Keywords: Infibulation; Female Sexuality; Paternity Uncertainty; Concern About Women's Chastity; Pastoralism; Economic Anthropology; History; Gender; Social Issues; Culture
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      Becker, Anke. "On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity." Review of Economic Studies (forthcoming). (Pre-published online August 26, 2024.)
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Shunyuan Zhang
      Professor Zhang uses machine learning to address marketing problems that have arisen within the nascent sharing economy. She conducts rigorous analyses of structured and unstructured data generated by new sharing economy platforms to address important issues emerging... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Jorge Tamayo
      Professor Tamayo’s research focuses on theoretical modeling and structural estimation of firm decision-making and productivity.

      Professor Tamayo studies dynamic competition for customer membership. Generally, firms that implement a membership model charge a... View Details
      Keywords: Industrial Organization, Industrial Development; Management Practices and Processes; Management Skills; Management Style; Energy Generation; Performance Efficiency; Market Design; Crime and Corruption; Manufacturing Industry; Energy Industry
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