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      • Faculty Publications  (1,043)

      Decision Choice And UncertaintyRemove Decision Choice And Uncertainty →

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      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Cognitive Barriers to Environmental Action: Problems and Solutions

      By: Lisa L. Shu and Max Bazerman
      We explore interventions at the individual level and focus on recognized cognitive barriers from behavioral decision-making literature. In particular, we highlight three cognitive barriers that impede sound individual decision making that have particular relevance to... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Consumer Behavior; Environmental Sustainability; Cognition and Thinking; Prejudice and Bias
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      Shu, Lisa L., and Max Bazerman. "Cognitive Barriers to Environmental Action: Problems and Solutions." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-046, November 2010.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents

      By: Eric Van den Steen
      This paper derives two mechanisms through which Bayesian-rational individuals with differing priors will tend to be relatively overconfident about their estimates and predictions, in the sense of overestimating the precision of these estimates. The intuition behind one... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Game Theory; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Van den Steen, Eric. "Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-049, November 2010.
      • 2010
      • Book

      Seven Strategy Questions: A Simple Approach for Better Execution

      By: Robert L. Simons
      To stay ahead of the pack, you must translate your organization's competitive strategy into day-to-day actions that will enable your company to win in the marketplace. This means channeling resources into the right efforts, striking a balance between innovation and... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Innovation and Management; Resource Allocation; Business Processes; Organizational Culture; Competitive Strategy
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      Simons, Robert L. Seven Strategy Questions: A Simple Approach for Better Execution. Harvard Business Review Press, 2010.
      • November 2010
      • Article

      Stress-Test Your Strategy: The 7 Questions to Ask

      By: Robert Simons
      An economic downturn can quickly expose the shortcomings of your business strategy. But can you identify its weak points in good times as well? And can you focus on those weak points that really matter? I identify seven questions all executives should ask in order to... View Details
      Keywords: Business Strategy; Creativity; Success; Customers; Employees; Business and Shareholder Relations; Performance; Risk and Uncertainty; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Simons, Robert. "Stress-Test Your Strategy: The 7 Questions to Ask." Harvard Business Review 88, no. 11 (November 2010): 93–100.
      • October 2010 (Revised July 2013)
      • Case

      AEP: Carbon Capture and Storage

      By: Richard H.K. Vietor
      By October 2010, American Electric Power, the largest coal-fired, electric utility in the United States, had been operating a carbon capture and sequestration pilot plant for one year. Using a proprietary, Alstom chilled ammonia technology, AEP was capturing and... View Details
      Keywords: Energy Generation; Government Legislation; Technological Innovation; Partners and Partnerships; Projects; Decision Choices and Conditions; Environmental Sustainability; Problems and Challenges; Utilities Industry; United States
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      Vietor, Richard H.K. "AEP: Carbon Capture and Storage." Harvard Business School Case 711-036, October 2010. (Revised July 2013.)
      • October 2010 (Revised August 2016)
      • Case

      On Weldon's Watch: Recalls at Johnson & Johnson from 2009 to 2010

      By: Clayton S. Rose, Sandra J. Sucher, Rachel Gordon and Matthew Preble
      In October of 2010, Johnson & Johnson (J&J) was unable to extricate itself from a year long recall crisis that had subjected the firm to criticism from Congress and regulators, resulted in the resignation of one of the firm's most senior officers, and cost hundreds of... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Values and Beliefs; Leadership; Crisis Management; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Organizational Culture; Quality; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Rose, Clayton S., Sandra J. Sucher, Rachel Gordon, and Matthew Preble. "On Weldon's Watch: Recalls at Johnson & Johnson from 2009 to 2010." Harvard Business School Case 311-029, October 2010. (Revised August 2016.)
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Growth through Heterogeneous Innovations

      By: Ufuk Akcigit and William R. Kerr
      We study how exploration versus exploitation innovations impact economic growth through a tractable endogenous growth framework that contains multiple innovation sizes, multi-product firms, and entry/exit. Firms invest in exploration R&D to acquire new product lines... View Details
      Keywords: Business Ventures; Decision Choices and Conditions; Economic Growth; Investment; Innovation and Invention; Patents; Size; Research and Development; United States
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      Akcigit, Ufuk, and William R. Kerr. "Growth through Heterogeneous Innovations." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-044, October 2010. (SSRN, HBS WP 11-044.)
      • September 2010 (Revised December 2010)
      • Case

      Compass Maritime Services, LLC: Valuing Ships

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Albert W. Sheen
      Tom Roberts, a founding partner of Compass Maritime Services, a New Jersey-based shipping research and consulting firm, has been asked by a new potential customer in May 2008 for advice on purchasing a capesize bulk carrier. After identifying a suitable ship with his... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Price; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Negotiation Offer; Mathematical Methods; Ship Transportation; Valuation; Consulting Industry; Shipping Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Albert W. Sheen. "Compass Maritime Services, LLC: Valuing Ships." Harvard Business School Case 211-014, September 2010. (Revised December 2010.)
      • September 2010 (Revised September 2011)
      • Case

      Leasing Decision at Magnet Beauty Products, Inc.

      By: Krishna G. Palepu and George Serafeim
      A fast-growing retailer is facing two different leasing options for its stores. In choosing between the two options, management is considering the potential impact of the two options on the company's financial statements, in light of the proposed new accounting... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Statements; Decision Choices and Conditions; Growth and Development Strategy; Standards; Leasing; Beauty and Cosmetics Industry; Beauty and Cosmetics Industry
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      Palepu, Krishna G., and George Serafeim. "Leasing Decision at Magnet Beauty Products, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 111-039, September 2010. (Revised September 2011.)
      • August 2010 (Revised July 2011)
      • Supplement

      Erik Peterson at Biometra (E)

      By: John J. Gabarro, Thomas J. DeLong and Jevan Soo
      Presents the final outcome of the events. The Richard Jenkins at SciMat case presents a description from the executive vice-president's point of view of the series of events as reported in the Erik Peterson at Biometra (A), (B), (C), and (D) cases. The Jenkins at... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Leadership; Business or Company Management; Management Succession; Product Launch; Outcome or Result; Problems and Challenges; Behavior; Perspective
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      Gabarro, John J., Thomas J. DeLong, and Jevan Soo. "Erik Peterson at Biometra (E)." Harvard Business School Supplement 411-035, August 2010. (Revised July 2011.)
      • July 2010
      • Teaching Note

      Xanadu on Broadway

      By: Anita Elberse
      Teaching Note for 508062. View Details
      Keywords: Leadership; Film Entertainment; Decision Choices and Conditions; Failure; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Elberse, Anita. "Xanadu on Broadway." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 511-033, July 2010.
      • June 2010 (Revised December 2013)
      • Case

      Hang Lung Properties and the Chengdu Decision (A)

      By: John D. Macomber, Michael Shih-Ta Chen and Keith Chi-Ho Wong
      A residential real estate developer competes in a heated auction for a prime retail development site in the interior of China during the 2009 boom. Total project cost might be in excess of $1 billion U.S. for over 4,000,000 square feet of building. Hang Lung Properties... View Details
      Keywords: Buildings and Facilities; Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment Return; Geographic Location; Auctions; Bids and Bidding; Infrastructure; Valuation; Real Estate Industry; Chengdu
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      Macomber, John D., Michael Shih-Ta Chen, and Keith Chi-Ho Wong. "Hang Lung Properties and the Chengdu Decision (A)." Harvard Business School Case 210-089, June 2010. (Revised December 2013.)
      • June 2010
      • Teaching Note

      Ebro Puleva (TN)

      By: David E. Bell and Mary Louise Shelman
      Teaching Note for 510026. View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Transformation; Decision Choices and Conditions; Business or Company Management; Strategy; Brands and Branding; Financial Crisis; Business Exit or Shutdown; Organizational Structure; Globalization; Food and Beverage Industry; Spain
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      Bell, David E., and Mary Louise Shelman. "Ebro Puleva (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 510-100, June 2010.
      • June 2010
      • Article

      A Gap-Filling Theory of Corporate Debt Maturity Choice

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
      We argue that time-series variation in the maturity of aggregate corporate debt issues arises because firms behave as macro liquidity providers, absorbing the large supply shocks associated with changes in the maturity structure of government debt. We document that... View Details
      Keywords: Business Ventures; Decision Choices and Conditions; Borrowing and Debt; Financial Liquidity; Investment Return; Government and Politics
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Jeremy C. Stein. "A Gap-Filling Theory of Corporate Debt Maturity Choice." Journal of Finance 65, no. 3 (June 2010): 993–1028. (Supplementary results in Internet Appendix.)
      • 2010
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Is High School the Right Time to Teach Self-control? The Effect of Financial Education and Mathematics Courses on Savings Behavior

      By: Shawn A. Cole and Gauri Kartini Shastry
      Household financial behavior affects household welfare and the economy at large. Yet our understanding of how to improve financial decisions is limited. Recent literature and policy attention have focused on financial education, for example, in high school. We use... View Details
      Keywords: Saving; Financial Management; Secondary Education; Behavior; Decision Choices and Conditions; Personal Finance; Household
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      Cole, Shawn A., and Gauri Kartini Shastry. "Is High School the Right Time to Teach Self-control? The Effect of Financial Education and Mathematics Courses on Savings Behavior." June 2010.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Trade Policy and Firm Boundaries

      By: Laura Alfaro, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger and Andrew F. Newman
      We study how trade policy affects firms' ownership structures. We embed an incomplete contracts model of vertical integration choices into a standard perfectly-competitive international trade framework. Integration decisions are driven by a trade-off between the... View Details
      Keywords: Trade; Policy; Vertical Integration; Business and Government Relations; Boundaries; Ownership; Mathematical Methods
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      Alfaro, Laura, Paola Conconi, Harald Fadinger, and Andrew F. Newman. "Trade Policy and Firm Boundaries." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 16118, June 2010.
      • May 2010 (Revised June 2010)
      • Supplement

      Pfizer: Letter from the Chairman (B)

      By: Robert L. Simons and Kathryn Rosenberg
      This case continues the story begun in "Pfizer: A Letter from the Chairman" (HBS No. 110-003), revealing the letter Chairman and CEO Jeff Kindler wrote for the 2008 Annual Report. View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Accountability; Corporate Governance; Business and Shareholder Relations; Value Creation; Decision Choices and Conditions; Annual Reports; Pharmaceutical Industry; United States
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      Simons, Robert L., and Kathryn Rosenberg. "Pfizer: Letter from the Chairman (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 110-004, May 2010. (Revised June 2010.)
      • 01 May 2010
      • Lecture

      Clusters and Start-Up Location Choice

      By: William R. Kerr
      Keywords: Industry Clusters; Decision Choices and Conditions; Geographic Location
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      Kerr, William R. "Clusters and Start-Up Location Choice." Lecture at the HBS Faculty Research Symposium, Harvard Business School, May 01, 2010.
      • April 2010 (Revised January 2013)
      • Case

      Southwest Airlines: In a Different World

      By: James L. Heskett and W. Earl Sasser Jr.
      This is the fourth in a 35-year series of HBS cases on an organization that has changed the rules of the game globally for an entire industry by offering both differentiated and low-price service. The focus of the case is on whether Southwest Airlines should buy gates... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Service Delivery; Service Operations; Organizational Culture; Competitive Strategy; Air Transportation Industry; New York (city, NY)
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      Heskett, James L., and W. Earl Sasser Jr. "Southwest Airlines: In a Different World." Harvard Business School Case 910-419, April 2010. (Revised January 2013.)
      • April 2010 (Revised October 2010)
      • Case

      The International Criminal Court

      By: Rafael M. Di Tella and Natalie Kindred
      This Case describes a controversial 2010 decision by the International Criminal Court (ICC) and alludes to some of the broader challenges of building international institutions. The case briefly highlights certain milestones in international relations preceding the... View Details
      Keywords: Crime and Corruption; Decision Choices and Conditions; International Relations; Political Elections; Courts and Trials; Organizations; Kenya
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      Di Tella, Rafael M., and Natalie Kindred. "The International Criminal Court." Harvard Business School Case 710-060, April 2010. (Revised October 2010.)
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