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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(5,949)
- People (11)
- News (898)
- Research (4,107)
- Events (23)
- Multimedia (53)
- Faculty Publications (2,810)
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- Research Summary
Time Varying Expected Returns, Stochastic Dividend Yields, and Default Probabilities: Linking the Credit Risk and Equity Literature (with George Chacko and Jens Hilscher)
In standard structural bond pricing models, the firm defaults once the market value of assets has fallen below a threshold. Expected returns, or at least dividend yields, are assumed to be constant, which implies that any asset value movement is permanent and has the... View Details
- 2018
- Book
A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility
By: Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
The collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 caught markets and regulators by surprise. Although the government rushed to rescue other financial institutions from a similar fate after Lehman, it could not prevent the deepest recession in postwar history. A... View Details
Keywords: Financial Fragility; Economic Risk; Investor Behavior; Behavioral Economics; Financial Crisis; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Investment; Values and Beliefs; United States
Gennaioli, Nicola, and Andrei Shleifer. A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility. Princeton University Press, 2018.
- 1999
- Working Paper
Managing Money Risk in Antebellum New York: From Chartered Banking to Free Banking and Beyond
By: David A. Moss and Sarah Brennan
- 2022
- Working Paper
The Issuance and Design of Sustainability-linked Loans
By: Maria Loumioti and George Serafeim
Sustainability-linked loans (i.e., syndicated loans for which pricing is linked to a sustainability performance indicator) have rapidly evolved into a significant private debt product. We find that sustainability-linked lending has been available mostly to borrowers... View Details
Keywords: Sustainability; Sustainability Management; Credit Products; Loan Contracts; Loans; Corporate Finance; Credit Risk; Environment; ESG; ESG Ratings; Climate Change; Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Risk and Uncertainty; Credit
Loumioti, Maria, and George Serafeim. "The Issuance and Design of Sustainability-linked Loans." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-027, November 2022.
- fall 2008
- Article
The Intermediation of Financial Risks: Evolution in the Catastrophe Reinsurance Market
By: Kenneth A. Froot
In this paper, I provide evidence concerning the imperfections in the reinsurance market. I try to get at some of the root causes of these imperfections, e.g., the behavior of ratings firms and the agency problems associated with the corporate form of ownership. I also... View Details
Keywords: Catastrophe Risk; Corporate Finance; Banking And Insurance; Hedging; Banking; Financial Markets; Insurance; Policy; Risk Management; Natural Disasters; Cost of Capital; Asset Pricing; Insurance Industry
Froot, Kenneth A. "The Intermediation of Financial Risks: Evolution in the Catastrophe Reinsurance Market." Risk Management and Insurance Review 11, no. 2 (fall 2008): 281–294.
- 2014
- Working Paper
Learning from the Kursk Submarine Rescue Failure: the Case for Pluralistic Risk Management
By: Anette Mikes and Amram Migdal
The Kursk, a Russian nuclear-powered submarine, sank in the relatively shallow waters of the Barents Sea in August 2000 during a naval exercise. Numerous survivors were reported to be awaiting rescue, and within a week, an international rescue party gathered at... View Details
Mikes, Anette, and Amram Migdal. "Learning from the Kursk Submarine Rescue Failure: the Case for Pluralistic Risk Management." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 15-003, July 2014.
- 29 Mar 2011
- Working Paper Summaries
Risky Trust: How Multi-entity Teams Develop Trust in a High Risk Endeavor
Keywords: by Faaiza Rashid & Amy C. Edmondson
- Article
Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment
By: Robert F. Engle, Guillaume Roussellet and Emil N. Siriwardane
We propose a statistical model of the term structure of U.S. treasury yields tailored for long-term probability-based scenario generation and forecasts. Our model is easy to estimate and is able to simultaneously reproduce the positivity, persistence, and factor... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting; Stress Testing; Interest Rates; Forecasting and Prediction; Risk Management; United States
Engle, Robert F., Guillaume Roussellet, and Emil N. Siriwardane. "Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment." Special Issue on Theoretical and Financial Econometrics: Essays in Honor of C. Gourieroux. Journal of Econometrics 201, no. 2 (December 2017): 333–347.
- 1996
- Book Review
Book Review of Risk Taking edited by Z. Shapiro
By: M. H. Bazerman and K. A. Wade-Benzoni
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty
Bazerman, M. H., and K. A. Wade-Benzoni. "Book Review of Risk Taking edited by Z. Shapiro." Contemporary Psychology (1996).
- 2023
- Working Paper
Design-Based Confidence Sequences: A General Approach to Risk Mitigation in Online Experimentation
By: Dae Woong Ham, Michael Lindon, Martin Tingley and Iavor Bojinov
Randomized experiments have become the standard method for companies to evaluate the performance of new products or services. In addition to augmenting managers’ decision-making, experimentation mitigates risk by limiting the proportion of customers exposed to... View Details
Keywords: Performance Evaluation; Research and Development; Analytics and Data Science; Consumer Behavior
Ham, Dae Woong, Michael Lindon, Martin Tingley, and Iavor Bojinov. "Design-Based Confidence Sequences: A General Approach to Risk Mitigation in Online Experimentation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 23-070, May 2023.
- October 2022
- Article
When Does Moral Engagement Risk Triggering a Hypocrite Penalty?
By: Jillian J. Jordan and Roseanna Sommers
Society suffers when people stay silent on moral issues. Yet people who engage morally may appear hypocritical if they behave imperfectly themselves. Research reveals that hypocrites can—but do not always—trigger a “hypocrisy penalty,” whereby they are evaluated... View Details
Jordan, Jillian J., and Roseanna Sommers. "When Does Moral Engagement Risk Triggering a Hypocrite Penalty?" Art. 101404. Special Issue on Honesty and Deception edited by Maurice E. Schweitzer, Emma Levine. Current Opinion in Psychology 47 (October 2022).
- January 2023
- Case
Cleave Therapeutics: Taking a Risk on Oncology Drug Discovery
By: Regina Herzlinger and Brian Walker
What should a successful executive (HBS Baker Scholar) assess as her next move as the CEO of a firm with a promising and yet uncertain new drug? Amy Burroughs’ mandate to successfully commercialize Cleave Therapeutics’ drug for a cancer with no current successful... View Details
Keywords: Product Development; Leadership; Health Testing and Trials; Research and Development; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Condition; Partners and Partnerships; Pharmaceutical Industry
Herzlinger, Regina, and Brian Walker. "Cleave Therapeutics: Taking a Risk on Oncology Drug Discovery." Harvard Business School Case 323-045, January 2023.
- February 2010
- Other Article
The Chilling Effect of Sarbanes Oxley: A Discussion of Sarbanes-Oxley and Corporate Risk-Taking
By: Aiyesha Dey
Bargeron, Lehn, and Zutter [2009. Sarbanes–Oxley and corporate risk-taking. Journal of Accounting and Economics, forthcoming] document that as compared with non-US firms, risk-taking by publicly traded companies in the US declined after the passage of the... View Details
Dey, Aiyesha. "The Chilling Effect of Sarbanes Oxley: A Discussion of Sarbanes-Oxley and Corporate Risk-Taking." Journal of Accounting & Economics 49, nos. 1-2 (February 2010): 53–57.
- September 22, 2008
- Article
How to Minimize the Risks of Hiring Outside Stars
By: Boris Groysberg, Lex Sant and Robin Abrahams
Groysberg, Boris, Lex Sant, and Robin Abrahams. "How to Minimize the Risks of Hiring Outside Stars." Wall Street Journal (September 22, 2008), R4.
- 1987
- Chapter
Pension Plan Integration as Insurance against Social Security Risk
By: Robert C. Merton, Zvi Bodie and Alan J. Marcus
- September 1984
- Article
The Evolution of Market Risk in the U.S. Steel Industry and Implications for Required Rates of Return
By: Carliss Y. Baldwin, J. J. Tribendis and J. P. Clark
Baldwin, Carliss Y., J. J. Tribendis, and J. P. Clark. "The Evolution of Market Risk in the U.S. Steel Industry and Implications for Required Rates of Return." Journal of Industrial Economics 32, no. 5 (September 1984).
- 2014
- Other Unpublished Work
Enter the Dragon: Risks from China to Latin America
By: Laura Alfaro, Guillermo Calvo, Alberto Carrasquilla, Pedro Carvalho de Mello, Pedro De Gregorio, Roque Benjamin Fernandez, Pablo Guidotti, Guillermo Perry, Carmen Reinhart, Liliana Rojas-Suarez and Ernesto Talvi
Alfaro, Laura, Guillermo Calvo, Alberto Carrasquilla, Pedro Carvalho de Mello, Pedro De Gregorio, Roque Benjamin Fernandez, Pablo Guidotti, Guillermo Perry, Carmen Reinhart, Liliana Rojas-Suarez, and Ernesto Talvi. "Enter the Dragon: Risks from China to Latin America." Comité Latinoamericano de Asuntos Financieros (CLAAF) Statement, no. 31, June 2014. (See CLAAF 's website for previous statements.)