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      ForecastingRemove Forecasting →

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      • January 1992 (Revised March 1993)
      • Case

      Maison Bouygues

      By: John A. Quelch
      The vice president of marketing is reviewing the 1991 marketing plan and budget for Maison Bouygues, the leading builder of new single family homes in France. Due to recession, the company's sales are forecast to be flat and adjustments may need to be made in the... View Details
      Keywords: Housing; Marketing Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Brands and Branding; Construction Industry; France
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      Quelch, John A. "Maison Bouygues." Harvard Business School Case 592-059, January 1992. (Revised March 1993.)
      • December 1991 (Revised February 1992)
      • Case

      Dayton Electric Corp.

      By: Steven C. Wheelwright
      Concerns a product redesign decision for one of the company's most successful motor products, its rectified power, medium D-C motor, the RPM. A one-year redesign program has proposed a design that comes close to meeting its stated cost and performance goals, but at the... View Details
      Keywords: Product Design; Strategic Planning; Research and Development; Business Divisions; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Development; Technological Innovation; Machinery and Machining; Manufacturing Industry; Ohio
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      Wheelwright, Steven C. "Dayton Electric Corp." Harvard Business School Case 692-071, December 1991. (Revised February 1992.)
      • October 1991 (Revised January 2002)
      • Case

      Butler Lumber Company

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The Butler Lumber Co. is faced with a need for increased bank financing due to its rapid sales growth and low profitability. Students must determine the reasons for the rising bank borrowing, estimate the amount of borrowing needed, and assess the attractiveness of the... View Details
      Keywords: Commercial Banking; Financial Crisis; Borrowing and Debt; Financial Strategy; Financing and Loans; Capital Structure; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Butler Lumber Company." Harvard Business School Case 292-013, October 1991. (Revised January 2002.)
      • June 1991 (Revised December 1997)
      • Case

      Takeover of the Norton Co., The

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      After a decade of mediocre performance, the Norton Co. enters 1990 with the prospect of increased sales in the next few years. Yet Norton is pursuing slow growth industries, and a lower than expected earnings announcement at the beginning of 1990 has depressed earnings... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Business Conglomerates; Goals and Objectives; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; Revenue; Bids and Bidding; Business Processes; Ownership Stake
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Takeover of the Norton Co., The ." Harvard Business School Case 291-002, June 1991. (Revised December 1997.)
      • April 1991 (Revised December 1997)
      • Case

      Southland Corp. (A)

      By: Richard S. Ruback
      Examines the Thompson's $4.9 billion leveraged buyout of the Southland Corp. in 1987. As the original founders of Southland, the Thompsons were concerned about losing control over the company upon learning of the Belzberg family's acquiring interest. The teaching... View Details
      Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Governance Controls; Corporate Governance; Bids and Bidding; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Strategy; Cash Flow
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      Ruback, Richard S. "Southland Corp. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 291-038, April 1991. (Revised December 1997.)
      • April 1991 (Revised October 1993)
      • Case

      Cat Fight in the Pet Food Industry (A)

      By: David J. Collis
      Describes the pet food industry in the mid-eighties prior to the breakout of a major competitive battle as manufacturers fight for share. Illustrates how when there are benefits to play in multiple markets, competitors will take action in one market to preserve their... View Details
      Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Markets; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Ownership Stake; Competition; Corporate Strategy; Food and Beverage Industry
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      Collis, David J. "Cat Fight in the Pet Food Industry (A)." Harvard Business School Case 391-189, April 1991. (Revised October 1993.)
      • January 1991 (Revised March 1992)
      • Case

      USA Today

      By: Robert L. Simons
      USA Today is a national newspaper struggling to achieve profitability. This case focuses on the use of management control systems to identify emerging opportunities and the formulation of new strategies. The interactive system used by top managers--the Friday... View Details
      Keywords: Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Managerial Roles; Forecasting and Prediction; Growth and Development Strategy; Risk Management; Labor and Management Relations; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Risk and Uncertainty; Journalism and News Industry; United States
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      Simons, Robert L. "USA Today." Harvard Business School Case 191-004, January 1991. (Revised March 1992.)
      • December 1990 (Revised December 1993)
      • Supplement

      Australian Paper Manufacturers (B)

      By: David M. Upton and Joshua D. Margolis
      Describes events that occur after the decision point in Australian Paper Manufacturers (A). With these facts and more detailed market projections, this case intensifies the long-term financial, strategic, and ethical decisions confronting the invader. View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Finance; Strategy; Ethics; Pulp and Paper Industry; Australia
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      Upton, David M., and Joshua D. Margolis. "Australian Paper Manufacturers (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 691-043, December 1990. (Revised December 1993.)
      • November 1990 (Revised August 1996)
      • Background Note

      Sampling and Statistical Inference

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      An introduction to sampling and statistical inference that covers the main concepts (confidence intervals, tests of statistical significance, choice of sample size) that are needed in making inferences about a population mean or percent. Includes discussion of problems... View Details
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction; Demographics
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Sampling and Statistical Inference." Harvard Business School Background Note 191-092, November 1990. (Revised August 1996.)
      • October 1990 (Revised May 1994)
      • Case

      Confederated Pulp & Paper

      By: David E. Bell
      A rewritten version of an old case that updates the dates and prices and simplifies the economics. The issue is still one of determining a suitable inventory of wood for the mill to last through the winter. View Details
      Keywords: History; Supply Chain Management; Spending; Forecasting and Prediction; Economic Growth; Information Management; Pulp and Paper Industry
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      Bell, David E. "Confederated Pulp & Paper." Harvard Business School Case 191-065, October 1990. (Revised May 1994.)
      • June 1990 (Revised January 1993)
      • Case

      Dynatronics, Inc. (Abridged)

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      Provides an opportunity to evaluate an investment in a new product line in strategic, competitive, organizational, and economic terms. The economic analysis involves an estimation of the relevant cash flows and discounting them at an appropriate hurdle rate. View Details
      Keywords: Product; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment; Capital Budgeting
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Dynatronics, Inc. (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 290-064, June 1990. (Revised January 1993.)
      • May 1990
      • Background Note

      Conjoint Analysis: A Manager's Guide

      By: Robert J. Dolan
      Presents a non-technical description of the conjoint analysis methodology. Discusses the process by which such a study is done and cites areas of application. View Details
      Keywords: Marketing; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Dolan, Robert J. "Conjoint Analysis: A Manager's Guide." Harvard Business School Background Note 590-059, May 1990.
      • Article

      Measuring the Effectiveness of Competition in Defense Procurement: A Survey of the Empirical Literature

      By: James J. Anton and Dennis A. Yao
      This article surveys the literature that has attempted to measure competition's effects on defense procurement. The focus is on conceptual underpinnings of models rather than technical aspects of estimation procedures. While providing valuable insight, the models are... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Effectiveness; Competition; Surveys; Value; Economics; Forecasting and Prediction; Programs; Power and Influence; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques
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      Anton, James J., and Dennis A. Yao. "Measuring the Effectiveness of Competition in Defense Procurement: A Survey of the Empirical Literature." Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 9, no. 1 (Winter 1990): 60–79. (Harvard users click here for full text.)
      • December 1989
      • Article

      On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations

      By: K. A. Froot and T. Ito
      This paper examines whether short-term exchange rate expectations 'overreact' by comparing them with long-term expectations. We develop a set of nonlinear restrictions linking expectations at different forecast horizons. The restrictions impose consistency, a property... View Details
      Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
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      Froot, K. A., and T. Ito. "On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations." Journal of International Money and Finance 8, no. 4 (December 1989): 487–510. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2577, May 1988.)
      • November 1989 (Revised March 1992)
      • Background Note

      Concept Testing

      By: Robert J. Dolan
      Describes concept testing products. Presents guidelines for effective design, execution, and interpretation of test procedures. Discusses limitations of these techniques and sets out the situations for which they are appropriate. View Details
      Keywords: Marketing; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Dolan, Robert J. "Concept Testing." Harvard Business School Background Note 590-063, November 1989. (Revised March 1992.)
      • 1989
      • Book

      Forecasting Methods for Management

      By: S. Makridakis and S. C. Wheelwright
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Makridakis, S., and S. C. Wheelwright. Forecasting Methods for Management. 5th ed. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1989.
      • 1989
      • Book

      Future Competition in Telecommunications

      By: Stephen P. Bradley and Jerry A. Hausman
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Competition; Telecommunications Industry
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      Bradley, Stephen P. and Jerry A. Hausman, eds. Future Competition in Telecommunications. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1989.
      • 1989
      • Chapter

      The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry

      By: Jerry A. Hausman and Elon Kohlberg
      Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Telecommunications Industry
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      Hausman, Jerry A., and Elon Kohlberg. "The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry." In Future Competition in Telecommunications, edited by Stephen P. Bradley and Jerry A. Hausman. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1989.
      • February 1989 (Revised November 1991)
      • Case

      Science Technology Co.--1985

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The CEO of a U.S. electronics firm is assessing the financial forecasts and the financing plan prepared by the chief financial officer. Given the cyclicality of the industry and the volatility of the firm's performance, the CEO is unsure as to the usefulness of... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Change Management; Industry Growth; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Volatility; Electronics Industry
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Science Technology Co.--1985." Harvard Business School Case 289-040, February 1989. (Revised November 1991.)
      • July 1987 (Revised October 2009)
      • Background Note

      A Method For Valuing High-Risk, Long-Term Investments: The "Venture Capital Method"

      By: William A. Sahlman and Daniel R Scherlis
      Describes a method for valuing high-risk, long-term investments such as those confronting venture capitalists. The method entails forecasting a future value (e.g., five years from the present) and discounting that terminal value back to the present by applying a high... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Investment; Risk Management; Valuation
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      Sahlman, William A., and Daniel R Scherlis. A Method For Valuing High-Risk, Long-Term Investments: The "Venture Capital Method". Harvard Business School Background Note 288-006, July 1987. (Revised October 2009.)
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