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  • Web

Privacy Policy & Legal Info | HBS Online

security measures will be effective. The safety and security of your information also depends on you. Where we have given you (or where you have chosen) a password for access to certain parts of our Website or Services, you are... View Details
  • 06 Aug 2019
  • Cold Call Podcast

Super Bowl Ads Sell Products, but Do They Sell Brands?

managers to think about what they want to get out of this. And how do I measure the success of it? Do I want brand awareness? Do I want to drive sales? Do I want to drive conversation on social media? Those are all worthy goals, but... View Details
Keywords: Advertising; Sports; Entertainment & Recreation; Media & Broadcasting
  • August 2021
  • Article

Don't Take Their Word for It: The Misclassification of Bond Mutual Funds

By: Huaizhi Chen, Lauren Cohen and Umit Gurun
We provide evidence that bond fund managers misclassify their holdings, and that these misclassifications have a real and significant impact on investor capital flows. In particular, many funds report more investment grade assets than are actually held in their... View Details
Keywords: Mutual Funds; Economics; Finance; Measurement and Metrics; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Services Industry
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  • 27 Jan 2016
  • Research & Ideas

A Politician's Investment Portfolio Might Tip Off Corruption Potential

it’s just old-fashioned stealing money from the organization.” After colleagues questioned whether he was measuring risk preference or another characteristic like greed, Minor added a second part to his... View Details
Keywords: by Roberta Holland
  • 05 Mar 2025
  • News

Uncertain Terms

After Amar Bhidé (MBA 1979/DBA 1988) became an HBS assistant professor in 1988, then-dean John H. McArthur (MBA 1959/DBA 1963) gave him a copy of economist Frank Knight’s 1921 book Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. Knight’s idea that “uncertainty” must be distinguished... View Details
  • 2010
  • Working Paper

Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents

By: Eric Van den Steen
This paper derives two mechanisms through which Bayesian-rational individuals with differing priors will tend to be relatively overconfident about their estimates and predictions, in the sense of overestimating the precision of these estimates. The intuition behind one... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Game Theory; Forecasting and Prediction
Related
  • 29 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 29

since the 1980s has coincided with a strong revival in interest in local traditions and practices, which is particularly noticeable in some of the fastest growing emerging markets such as China.   Working Papers Do Measures of Financial... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • December 2002 (Revised January 2004)
  • Case

Basel II: Assessing the Default and Loss Characteristics of Project Finance Loans (A)

By: Benjamin C. Esty and Aldo Sesia
In June 1999, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision announced plans to revise the capital standards for banks. The Basel Committee believed that project loans were significantly riskier than corporate loans and, therefore, warranted higher capital charges under... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Project Finance; Financing and Loans; Projects; Standards; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry
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  • Web

VBHCD Initiative - Institute For Strategy And Competitiveness

managing organizational risk and, in a joint project with Michael Porter, measuring the cost of delivering health care and linking patient costs to outcomes. Learn more about Professor Kaplan’s work Learn... View Details
  • 29 Mar 2011
  • First Look

First Look: March 29

crisis, several commentators concluded that the continuing expansion of risk measurement is dysfunctional (Taleb, 2007; Power, 2009). This paper asks whether the expansion of measurement-based View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Sep 2010
  • News

Faculty Research Online

The Hard Work of Measuring Social Impact Donors are placing nonprofits on the hot seat to measure social performance. Problem is, there is little agreement on what those metrics should be. Associate... View Details
Keywords: Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Finance
  • Fast Answer

Aggregate financial ratios: including private company data

Studies Offers industry default risk and cash flow measures for 400 lines of business whose total assets are less than $250 million. Available in IBISWorld: (Search for an industry using keywords... View Details
  • 01 May 2006
  • Research & Ideas

What Companies Lose from Forced Disclosure

the one hand, more measures provide more dials to turn to get the manager to take actions consistent with the firm's best interests. On the other hand, more public information imposes more risk on the... View Details
Keywords: by Ann Cullen; Financial Services
  • 01 Jun 2002
  • News

Books

and of another serious setback for further privatization of pensions in America.” When All Else Fails by David A. Moss (Harvard University Press) Although Associate Professor David Moss completed his draft of When All Else Fails: Government as the Ultimate View Details
Keywords: Nancy O. Perry
  • 24 Feb 2015
  • First Look

First Look: February 24

persistent but can also be associated with firms' risk or growth characteristics, implying that ICC regressions are likely confounded by spurious correlations. Moreover, I document that biases in GLS' View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 21 May 2013
  • First Look

First Look: May 21

Competition for the Supply of Control Systems By: Mikes, Anette Abstract—How do certain risk measurements in organizations come to be seen as more reliable and acceptable than others? Taking a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Feb 2014
  • First Look

First Look: February 25

Abstract—Researchers have long hypothesized that research outputs from government, university, and private company R&D contribute to economic growth, but these contributions may be difficult to measure when they take a non-pecuniary... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 May 2011
  • First Look

First Look: May 24

gaining ground in banking. In light of the recent financial crisis, several commentators concluded that the continuing expansion of risk measurement is dysfunctional (Power, 2009; Taleb, 2007). This paper... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Dec 2005
  • What Do You Think?

Is Growth Good?

growth targeted. In fact, many kinds of growth offer great returns while requiring little or none of the world’s resources, therefore having seemingly few limits. Fran Henry makes the case for economic growth when she says, "According to the World Health... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 20 Nov 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, November 20, 2018

implementing value-based reimbursement models. Infrastructure requirements, including information technology (indicated by 42% of respondents), and changing regulation/policy (34%) are the top two. There is strong consensus on the broad metrics that are most important... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman