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  • September 2023 (Revised October 2024)
  • Case

Forecasting Climate Risks: Aviva’s Climate Calculus

By: Mark Egan and Peter Tufano
In late 2021, Ben Carr, Director of Analytics and Capital Modeling at Aviva Plc (Aviva)—a leading insurer with core operations in the UK, Ireland and Canada,—was preparing for an upcoming presentation before the company's board which included its CEO, Amanda Blanc,... View Details
Keywords: Climate Risk; Climate Finance; Forecasting; Insurance; Risk Measurement; Climate Change; Risk Management; Forecasting and Prediction; Insurance Industry; United States
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  • 20 Nov 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, November 20, 2018

Abstract—In a survey of the NEJM Catalyst Insights Council in July 2018, 42% of respondents say they think value-based reimbursement models will be the primary revenue model for U.S. health care. Indeed,... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • September 2011
  • Article

Information Risk and Fair Value: An Examination of Equity Betas

By: Edward J. Riedl and George Serafeim
Using a sample of U.S. financial institutions, we exploit recent mandatory disclosures of financial instruments designated as fair value level 1, 2, and 3 to test whether greater information risk in financial instrument fair values leads to higher cost of capital. We... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Assets; Cost of Capital; Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Corporate Disclosure; Information; Risk and Uncertainty; Value; United States
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  • Web

Curriculum - Business & Environment

crisis and be a model for future businesses. Raya Partners: Profitability and Purpose TXU (A): Powering the Largest Leveraged Buyout in History Key concepts: Corporate strategy This case is designed to support a lively discussion about... View Details
  • 08 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 8

embrace Western models of professional organization as they now exist, or to set off on an independent path, adapting elements of Western practices to their own historical and cultural situation. In doing so, the authors in this volume... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Mar 2012
  • First Look

First Look: March 13

software and IT services industry as players seek to develop their capabilities for their growing domestic market. We describe the implications of our findings for CIOs in developed countries. Our main prediction is that the challenges of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • July 2010 (Revised December 2011)
  • Background Note

Marketing Analysis Toolkit: Pricing and Profitability Analysis

By: Thomas J. Steenburgh and Jill Avery
Pricing is one of the most difficult decisions marketers make and the one with the most direct and immediate impact on the firm's financial position. This toolkit will introduce the fundamental terminology and calculations associated with pricing and profitability... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Profit; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Marketing Strategy; Demand and Consumers; Measurement and Metrics; Strategic Planning; Mathematical Methods; Retail Industry
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  • 02 Feb 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 2

will correspond to the technical patterns of dependency in the system under development. Thus the hypothesis predicts that developers with few or no organizational linkages will design independent system components, while developers with... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 09 Jan 2020
  • Book

Rethinking Business Strategy in the Age of AI

updating these models across all interactions. This predictive power would of course be hugely valuable to Google’s advertisers as well. An AI-first approach meant that Google’s ads would become increasingly... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
  • 11 Mar 2014
  • First Look

First Look: March 11

such patents. Our theoretical model builds on two distinct strategy literatures: firms appropriating rents from new technologies and firms managing stakeholders. We predict that a win-win outcome emerges... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 16 Jul 2020
  • Research & Ideas

Restaurant Revolution: How the Industry Is Fighting to Stay Alive

business model for small independents is often elusive. So when a crisis of the magnitude of the COVID-19 global pandemic forces restaurants to close, and their revenue drops to zero overnight, things get particularly dire. Unlike the... View Details
Keywords: by Michael S. Kaufman, Lena G. Goldberg, and Jill Avery; Food & Beverage
  • Web

Online Business Analytics Course | HBS Online

data set. Highlights Prediction Intervals Interpreting Regression Analysis Show Hide Details Concepts The Regression Line Forecasting Interpreting the Regression Output Performing Regression Analyses Forecasting Home Video Units Featured... View Details
  • 21 Jan 2014
  • First Look

First Look: January 21

increase performance while social comparison reduces it, especially for low-ability trainees. These effects appear when treatments are announced and persist through training. The findings are consistent with a model of optimal... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 2016
  • Working Paper

The Impact of Supplier Inventory Service Level on Retailer Demand

By: Nathan Craig, Nicole DeHoratius and Ananth Raman
To set inventory service levels, suppliers must understand how changes in inventory service level affect demand. We build on prior research, which uses analytical models and laboratory experiments to study the impact of a supplier's service level on demand from... View Details
Keywords: Customer Satisfaction; Forecasting and Prediction; Learning; Consumer Behavior; Service Delivery; Performance Expectations; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Service Industry
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  • 23 Jun 2009
  • First Look

First Look: June 23

these predictions empirically by examining how the 1996 repeal of certificate-of-need (CON) legislation in Pennsylvania affected the market for coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery in the state. Within a few years of the repeal of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 09 Oct 2001
  • Research & Ideas

Driven: How Human Nature Shapes Organizations

bores you, and which the world does not need—this life is hell. —W.E.B. Du Bois In the organizational context, the four-drive theory implies that every person, from the CEO to the most junior employee will bring a predictable set of... View Details
Keywords: by Paul Lawrence & Nitin Nohria
  • 15 Jul 2014
  • First Look

First Look: July 15

  Publications August 2013 Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal Business Model Evaluation: Quantifying Walmart's Sources of Advantage By: Brea-Solís, Humberto, Ramon Casadesus-Masanell, and Emili Grifell-Tatjé Abstract—We develop an... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • Web

Research Computing Services - Faculty & Research

and matching Review of papers and assistance addressing reviewers' comments Identification and testing of new methods and approaches The expertise of RCS staff includes: Statistical analysis Predictive View Details
  • 08 Sep 2014
  • Research & Ideas

The Strategic Way To Hire a Sales Team

little performance variability—because the tasks are standard, because the firm or industry has reduced variability, or because the business model limits the bandwidth of performance variance. Think about the difference between sales... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
  • 01 Jun 2023
  • News

Curb Appeal

cuts that eviscerated core services such as street sweeping and litter-bin collection. The results were both predictable and unpleasant: a “visibly filthier” city, to use Tisch’s phrase, and an exploding rat problem. The funding and... View Details
Keywords: Alexander Gelfand; photography by Vance Jacobs; Justice, Public Order, and Safety Activities; Government