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      • Faculty Publications  (595)

      Stock Market ParticipationRemove Stock Market Participation →

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      • June 2007 (Revised January 2008)
      • Case

      The Vanguard Group, Inc. in 2006 and Target Retirement Funds

      By: Luis M. Viceira
      The Vanguard Group is one of the largest asset managers in the U.S., with over $1 trillion in assets, ninety percent of which are mutual fund assets, and more than 12,000 employees at year-end 2006. Vanguard has built a strong reputation as the manager of reference for... View Details
      Keywords: Asset Management; Investment Funds; Personal Finance; Brands and Branding; Retirement; Trust; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Viceira, Luis M. "The Vanguard Group, Inc. in 2006 and Target Retirement Funds." Harvard Business School Case 207-129, June 2007. (Revised January 2008.)
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Real investors and markets are too complicated to be neatly summarized by a few selected biases and trading frictions. The "top down" approach to behavioral finance focuses on the measurement of reduced form, aggregate sentiment and traces its effects to stock returns.... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Markets; Behavioral Finance; Stocks
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 13189, June 2007.
      • May 2007 (Revised August 2007)
      • Case

      Prediction Markets at Google

      By: Peter A. Coles, Karim R. Lakhani and Andrew P. McAfee
      In its eight quarters of operation, Google's internally developed prediction market has delivered accurate and decisive predictions about future events of interest to the company. Google must now determine how to increase participation in the market, and how to best... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Knowledge Sharing; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Market Participation; Information Technology
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      Coles, Peter A., Karim R. Lakhani, and Andrew P. McAfee. "Prediction Markets at Google." Harvard Business School Case 607-088, May 2007. (Revised August 2007.)
      • May 2007
      • Article

      Capital Flows and Capital Goods

      By: Laura Alfaro and Eliza Hammel
      Studying the relation between equity market liberalization and imports of capital goods, we examine one channel through which international financial integration can promote growth. For the period 1980–1997, we find that after controlling for other policies and... View Details
      Keywords: Cash Flow; Equity; Financial Markets; Economy; Distribution Channels; Machinery and Machining; Capital
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Eliza Hammel. "Capital Flows and Capital Goods." Journal of International Economics 72, no. 1 (May 2007): 128–150. (Link to working paper version.)
      • 2007
      • Chapter

      Stock Market Swings and the Value of Innovation, 1908–1929

      By: Tom Nicholas
      Keywords: Fluctuation; Financial Markets; Innovation and Invention
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      Nicholas, Tom. "Stock Market Swings and the Value of Innovation, 1908–1929." In Financing Innovation in the United States, 1870 to Present, edited by Naomi R. Lamoreaux and Kenneth L. Sokoloff. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2007.
      • March 2007 (Revised March 2008)
      • Case

      The Nikkei 225 Reconstitution

      By: Robin Greenwood
      Taka Haneda, a proprietary trader at the Tokyo office of Goldman Sachs, has just learned that the Nikkei 225 will undergo a significant redefinition over the coming week. He faces several billion dollars of customer orders, as well as the opportunity to commit the... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Stocks; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Financial Services Industry; Tokyo
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      Greenwood, Robin. "The Nikkei 225 Reconstitution." Harvard Business School Case 207-109, March 2007. (Revised March 2008.)
      • Article

      Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Stocks; Investment Return; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction; Volatility; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavioral Finance
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market." Journal of Economic Perspectives 21, no. 2 (Spring 2007): 129–151.
      • September 2006
      • Exercise

      Earnings Management Exercise

      By: Malcolm P. Baker
      Students act as managers or investors. Managers have the ability to manipulate reported earnings, and investors must bid for shares taking this into account. View Details
      Keywords: Earnings Management; Value; Stock Shares; Opportunities; Bids and Bidding; Reports
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      Baker, Malcolm P. "Earnings Management Exercise." Harvard Business School Exercise 207-034, September 2006.
      • August 2006 (Revised August 2007)
      • Case

      Revenue Recognition Problems in the Communications Equipment Industry

      By: Paul M. Healy and Arjuna J Costa
      Designed to explore recognition issues in the context of a potential market downturn. In late 2000, Lucent Technologies reports multiple revisions to its recent financial results due to revenue recognition problems, leading to a dramatic decline in its stock price.... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Disclosure; Revenue Recognition; Policy; Supply and Industry; Performance; Communications Industry
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      Healy, Paul M., and Arjuna J Costa. "Revenue Recognition Problems in the Communications Equipment Industry." Harvard Business School Case 107-025, August 2006. (Revised August 2007.)
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Many studies find that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these findings may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's (2003, Journal of Finance... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Fairness; Managerial Roles; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Equity; Bonds; Financial Markets; Investment; Capital Markets; Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?" Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1711–1730. (Section V of "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, contains additional analyses.)
      • July 2006 (Revised March 2008)
      • Case

      Changan Automobile Co., Ltd.

      By: Dennis Campbell and Donglin Xia
      Chairman Yin Jiaxu must communicate that the company's extraordinary reported performance in 2002 reflects Changan's unique strategy within the competitive dynamics of China's automobile industry. Changan's 2002 annual report demonstrated an extraordinary level of... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Reporting; Ethics; Corporate Disclosure; Media; Business and Shareholder Relations; Auto Industry; China
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      Campbell, Dennis, and Donglin Xia. "Changan Automobile Co., Ltd." Harvard Business School Case 107-006, July 2006. (Revised March 2008.)
      • 2006
      • Working Paper

      The Effect of Dividends on Consumption

      By: Malcolm Baker, Stefan Nagel and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Classical models predict that the division of stock returns into dividends and capital appreciation does not affect investor consumption patterns, while mental accounting and other economic frictions predict that investors have a higher propensity to consume from stock... View Details
      Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Personal Finance; Investment Return; Household
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      Baker, Malcolm, Stefan Nagel, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "The Effect of Dividends on Consumption." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 12288, June 2006. (First Draft in 2005.)
      • April 2006 (Revised October 2006)
      • Case

      Best Buy Co., Inc.: Customer-Centricity

      By: Rajiv Lal, Carin-Isabel Knoop and Irina Tarsis
      With FY2005 sales of $27.3 billion, Richfield, Minn.-based Best Buy Co., Inc. was the leading retailer of consumer electronics, home-office products, and related services in North America. Its operations included the distinct store formats Best Buy, Future Shop in... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Focus and Relationships; Service Operations; Business Earnings; Financial Crisis; Failure; Business Model; Leadership; Segmentation; Value Creation; Electronics Industry; United States; Canada; Mongolia
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      Lal, Rajiv, Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Irina Tarsis. "Best Buy Co., Inc.: Customer-Centricity." Harvard Business School Case 506-055, April 2006. (Revised October 2006.)
      • March 2006 (Revised November 2006)
      • Case

      China: To Float or Not To Float? (D)- Bank of America's Strategic Investment in China Construction Bank

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      With its $3 billion investment in Chinese state bank China Construction Bank, Bank of America--the second U.S. bank behind Citigroup in terms of assets and market capitalization--was one of several foreign banks directly participating in China's banking sector reform.... View Details
      Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Banks and Banking; Foreign Direct Investment; International Relations; Banking Industry; China; United States
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "China: To Float or Not To Float? (D)- Bank of America's Strategic Investment in China Construction Bank." Harvard Business School Case 706-031, March 2006. (Revised November 2006.)
      • February 2006 (Revised August 2006)
      • Case

      Auctioning Morningstar

      By: Malcolm P. Baker and James Quinn
      Morningstar, a publisher of data and ratings for mutual fund investors, is considering an auction-based approach to the company's upcoming IPO, with management weighing the risks and benefits of the auction approach vs. a traditional underwritten offering. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Strategy; Initial Public Offering; Stock Shares; Cost vs Benefits; Strategy; Auctions; Business or Company Management; Conflict of Interests; Publishing Industry
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      Baker, Malcolm P., and James Quinn. "Auctioning Morningstar." Harvard Business School Case 206-023, February 2006. (Revised August 2006.)
      • February 2006 (Revised October 2006)
      • Case

      The Children's Investment Fund, 2005

      By: Randolph B. Cohen and Joshua B. Sandbulte
      TCI, The Children's Investment Fund, is a London-based hedge fund. The firm donates a significant fraction of the fees it earns to a charitable foundation. In 2005, TCI took a large stake in Deutsche Borse, the stock exchange in Frankfurt. Its battle with management... View Details
      Keywords: Value Creation; Financial Markets; Investment Activism; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Financial Services Industry; London; Germany
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      Cohen, Randolph B., and Joshua B. Sandbulte. "The Children's Investment Fund, 2005." Harvard Business School Case 206-092, February 2006. (Revised October 2006.)
      • January 2006 (Revised February 2006)
      • Case

      Deutsche Borse and the European Markets

      By: Dwight B. Crane and Monika Stachowiak
      In December 2004, Deutsche Borse proposed an offer for the London Stock Exchange. Some shareholders opposed the acquisition, leading to the offer's withdrawal and replacement of management, including the CEO and board members. Written from the viewpoint of Deutsche... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Strategy; Governing and Advisory Boards; Capital Structure; Stocks; Valuation; Corporate Governance; Price; Change Management; Commercialization; Financial Services Industry; Europe
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      Crane, Dwight B., and Monika Stachowiak. "Deutsche Borse and the European Markets." Harvard Business School Case 206-082, January 2006. (Revised February 2006.)
      • September 2005 (Revised April 2007)
      • Case

      Spyder Active Sports - 2004

      By: Belen Villalonga, Dwight B. Crane and James Quinn
      David Jacobs founded a high-end ski apparel company in 1978. He successfully built and grew the company, establishing a major international brand that appealed to ski racers and other active skiers. In 1995, he sought external financing to support further growth of the... View Details
      Keywords: Private Ownership; Private Equity; Financial Liquidity; Business Exit or Shutdown; Valuation; Brands and Branding; Wealth; Family Business; Financing and Loans; Globalization; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Sports Industry; Colorado
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      Villalonga, Belen, Dwight B. Crane, and James Quinn. "Spyder Active Sports - 2004." Harvard Business School Case 206-027, September 2005. (Revised April 2007.)
      • August 2005 (Revised August 2006)
      • Case

      PalmSource 2005

      By: David B. Yoffie and Barbara Mack
      PalmSource is facing stiff competition from handheld, wireless handheld, and smart phone vendors in 2005. In addition, changes in leadership and corporate structure have altered its relationship with its leading customer--PalmOne. Although Palm renews its license with... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Innovation Strategy; Alliances; Software; Market Participation; Wireless Technology; Trends; Working Conditions; Change Management; Information Technology Industry; United States
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      Yoffie, David B., and Barbara Mack. "PalmSource 2005." Harvard Business School Case 706-420, August 2005. (Revised August 2006.)
      • August 2005 (Revised March 2024)
      • Background Note

      Spotting Institutional Voids in Emerging Markets

      By: Tarun Khanna and Krishna Palepu
      With the demise of communism, many countries in the world are striving to build their economic activity around markets and to participate in free trade arrangements, such as the World Trade Organization (WTO), European Union (EU), and North American Free Trade... View Details
      Keywords: Emerging Markets
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      Khanna, Tarun, and Krishna Palepu. "Spotting Institutional Voids in Emerging Markets." Harvard Business School Background Note 106-014, August 2005. (Revised March 2024.)
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