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  • 05 May 2015
  • First Look

First Look: May 5

by traditional models of decision making under uncertainty and highlight the importance of increasing the salience of unfavorable information in uncertain contexts to promote unbiased decision making. Publisher's link: View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 23 Apr 2012
  • Research & Ideas

How to Brand a Next-Generation Product

considered a hypothetical scenario in which a well-known firm is preparing to launch a new version of its color printer. The participants, who were split into two groups, received a list of seven successive model names. For the first... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
  • 14 Mar 2023
  • In Practice

What Does the Failure of Silicon Valley Bank Say About the State of Finance?

bank was different, and it is highlighted in its name and in the history of its public statement. "The bottom line: The art is not to predict whether a run might take place, but when." For example, it is very clear that there is no other... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman; Financial Services; Banking
  • 16 Jul 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Understanding the ‘Want’ vs. ’Should’ Decision

this to online grocery shopping? A: We predicted that online grocery shoppers would order healthier groceries when ordering for delivery in the distant future (i.e., 5 days from now) than when ordering for delivery in the more immediate... View Details
Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert; Retail; Entertainment & Recreation
  • 14 Mar 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, March 14

considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1953–2009, it was unusually high in the early 1980s and negative in the 2000s, particularly in the downturns of 2000–2002 and 2007–2009. This paper specifies and estimates a View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Sep 2001
  • Research & Ideas

Governing the Family-Run Business

communication and decision making within and across the family, the business, and the ownership groups. Figure 1: The "3-circle" model of family business Without belaboring an oft-made point about family business, reconciling... View Details
  • 01 Jun 2024
  • News

Quantum Leap

technology into a commercially viable tool. Any sector that relies on computers for simulation, optimization, machine learning, or security—from finance to pharmaceuticals, logistics to web services—will be disrupted, with experts View Details
Keywords: Alexander Gelfand; photographed by Chris Sorensen; quantum computing; innovation; leadership; Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing; Manufacturing
  • 15 May 2007
  • First Look

First Look: May 15, 2007

economic models predict that they do not systematically differ. With online grocery data, we show that people are decreasingly impatient the further in the future their choices will take effect. In general,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • October 2024
  • Article

Canary Categories

By: Eric Anderson, Chaoqun Chen, Ayelet Israeli and Duncan Simester
Past customer spending in a category is generally a positive signal of future customer spending. We show that there exist “canary categories” for which the reverse is true. Purchases in these categories are a signal that customers are less likely to return to that... View Details
Keywords: Churn; Churn Management; Churn/retention; Assortment Planning; Retail; Retailing; Retailing Industry; Preference Heterogeneity; Assortment Optimization; Customers; Retention; Consumer Behavior; Forecasting and Prediction; Retail Industry
Related
  • 26 May 2023
  • Blog Post

Bringing Space Tech Back to Earth

would magically know how to bridge the gap between technology and business strategy,” she said. “Knowing how to build out a financial forecast, carry out a discounted cash flow and do all of those financial steps in modeling and business... View Details
  • 13 Dec 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 13

donate. In some equilibria of the model, poor people give little because they expect donations to come mainly from richer individuals. In others, donations by poor individuals constitute a large fraction of donations, and this raises the incentive for poor people to... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jan 2016
  • First Look

January 19, 2016

and face disincentive effects from taxation but acquire positive benefits from public infrastructure. Political corruption governs the efficiency with which tax revenues are translated into infrastructure. The model View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Jul 2008
  • First Look

First Look: July 15, 2008

review the empirical work based on the predictions of these models of collective action. While the available evidence is generally consistent with these theories, there is a dearth of quality evidence.... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 09 Dec 2019
  • Research & Ideas

Identify Great Customers from Their First Purchase

the customer would do in the future. As with other artificial intelligence tools, the drawback to this technology is that the model acts as a sort of black box, so researchers can’t determine the exact factors that trigger predictions.... View Details
Keywords: by Kristen Senz; Retail; Service
  • 30 May 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Racial Bias Might Be Infecting Patient Portals. Can AI Help?

Patients and physicians increasingly turned to digital platforms, like patient portal messaging, when COVID-19 made contact risky, but a new study of how providers managed the messaging surge suggests an uncomfortable downside: What if the color of a patient’s skin... View Details
Keywords: by Ben Rand; Health
  • 08 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 8

embrace Western models of professional organization as they now exist, or to set off on an independent path, adapting elements of Western practices to their own historical and cultural situation. In doing so, the authors in this volume... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 Jan 2020
  • Book

Rethinking Business Strategy in the Age of AI

updating these models across all interactions. This predictive power would of course be hugely valuable to Google’s advertisers as well. An AI-first approach meant that Google’s ads would become increasingly... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
  • Web

Online Business Analytics Course | HBS Online

data set. Highlights Prediction Intervals Interpreting Regression Analysis Show Hide Details Concepts The Regression Line Forecasting Interpreting the Regression Output Performing Regression Analyses Forecasting Home Video Units Featured... View Details
  • 18 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: December 18

assumptions are present in the structure of technology and labor flows within Silicon Valley and its surrounding areas. Our model further identifies how the lengths over which agglomerative forces operate influence the shapes and sizes of... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 20 Nov 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, November 20, 2018

Abstract—In a survey of the NEJM Catalyst Insights Council in July 2018, 42% of respondents say they think value-based reimbursement models will be the primary revenue model for U.S. health care. Indeed,... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman