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    • All HBS Web  (1,978)
      • Faculty Publications  (610)

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      • August 2006
      • Article

      Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      Many studies find that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these findings may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's (2003, Journal of Finance... View Details
      Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Fairness; Managerial Roles; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Equity; Bonds; Financial Markets; Investment; Capital Markets; Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?" Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1711–1730. (Section V of "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions, NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, contains additional analyses.)
      • July 2006
      • Case

      Citigroup: Euro Zone Bond Trading (A)

      By: Lynn S. Paine, Christopher Bruner and Aldo Sesia
      Describes the development and execution of a bond trading strategy by a London-based team of Citigroup eurozone bond traders. The trades, which involved two of Europe's leading electronic trading platforms, gave rise to a European-wide controversy over the traders'... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Securities; Financial Markets; Bonds; Ethics; Values and Beliefs; Decision Making; Lawfulness; Business Strategy; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; Europe
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      Paine, Lynn S., Christopher Bruner, and Aldo Sesia. "Citigroup: Euro Zone Bond Trading (A)." Harvard Business School Case 307-004, July 2006.
      • June 2006 (Revised April 2024)
      • Case

      Creditor Activism in Sovereign Debt: 'Vulture' Tactics or Market Backbone

      By: Laura Alfaro and Ingrid Vogel
      The role of distressed debt funds, also known as "vulture funds," in sovereign debt restructuring was a hotly debated topic, especially after the success of Elliot Associates in converting an $11 million investment in Peruvian bonds worth $21 million into a $58 million... View Details
      Keywords: Vulture Funds; Borrowing and Debt; Bonds; Investment Activism; Investment Funds; Sovereign Finance; Government and Politics; Contracts; Business and Government Relations; Peru
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Ingrid Vogel. "Creditor Activism in Sovereign Debt: 'Vulture' Tactics or Market Backbone." Harvard Business School Case 706-057, June 2006. (Revised April 2024.)
      • April 2006 (Revised April 2012)
      • Background Note

      The Company Sale Process

      By: William E. Fruhan Jr.
      Lays out the steps, the timeline, and the process by which a company is sold. Focuses on the sale of companies with enterprise values greater than $100 million. These transactions are large enough to require the help of a financial adviser and attract both strategic... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Auctions; Bids and Bidding; Agreements and Arrangements; Sales
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      Fruhan, William E., Jr. "The Company Sale Process." Harvard Business School Background Note 206-108, April 2006. (Revised April 2012.)
      • spring 2006
      • Article

      All's Fair in Love, War, & Bankruptcy: Corporate Governance Implications of CEO Turnover in Financial Distress

      By: Ethan S. Bernstein
      Prior discussions of management turnover during financial distress have examined bankrupt and non-bankrupt firms as distinct groupings with little overlap. Separately investigating rates of turnover in-bankruptcy and out-of-bankruptcy, without a direct comparison... View Details
      Keywords: CEO Turnover; Bankruptcy; Restructuring; Shadow Of Bankruptcy; Borrowing and Debt; Credit; Financing and Loans; Corporate Governance; Finance; Theory; Markets; United States
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      Bernstein, Ethan S. "All's Fair in Love, War, & Bankruptcy: Corporate Governance Implications of CEO Turnover in Financial Distress." Stanford Journal of Law, Business & Finance 11, no. 2 (spring 2006): 299–325.
      • March 2006
      • Teaching Note

      Redesigning Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanisms (TN)

      By: Mihir A. Desai and Kathleen Luchs
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Borrowing and Debt
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      Desai, Mihir A., and Kathleen Luchs. "Redesigning Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanisms (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 206-096, March 2006.
      • March 2006
      • Case

      Wells Fargo Convertible Bonds

      By: Malcolm P. Baker and Elizabeth Kind
      Howard Atkins, the chief financial officer of Wells Fargo, is considering issuing $3 billion in convertible debt. With an investment-grade credit rating, Wells Fargo is not the typical issuer of convertible securities, but the market conditions in 2003 are unusual.... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Structure; Financial Institutions; Banks and Banking; Debt Securities; Financial Management; Financial Strategy; Strategy; Banking Industry
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      Baker, Malcolm P., and Elizabeth Kind. "Wells Fargo Convertible Bonds." Harvard Business School Case 206-022, March 2006.
      • March 2006 (Revised December 2013)
      • Case

      Hexcel Turnaround — 2001 (A)

      By: Paul W. Marshall, James Quinn and Reed Martin
      Hexcel's new CEO is faced with deciding how to "take out" $60 million in cash costs in fiscal 2002, as two of the company's end markets—electronics and commercial aerospace—are expected to decline precipitously. Options include closing plants, exiting a business, or... View Details
      Keywords: Private Equity; Negotiation; Management Teams; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Strategy; Change Management; Crisis Management; Borrowing and Debt; Aerospace Industry; Electronics Industry; United States
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      Marshall, Paul W., James Quinn, and Reed Martin. "Hexcel Turnaround — 2001 (A)." Harvard Business School Case 806-099, March 2006. (Revised December 2013.)
      • February 2006
      • Case

      Fraikin SA

      By: W. Carl Kester, Vincent Marie Dessain and Monika Stachowiak
      Provides an example of a so-called "whole business" securitization. In early 2004, Fraikin, France's leading industrial vehicle rental company, compares several alternatives for refinancing a large bridge loan within a year. Presents three primary options: a classic... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Securities; Transportation; Renting or Rental; Transportation Industry; Service Industry; France
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      Kester, W. Carl, Vincent Marie Dessain, and Monika Stachowiak. "Fraikin SA." Harvard Business School Case 206-090, February 2006.
      • December 2005 (Revised April 2007)
      • Case

      Flagstar Companies, Inc. (Abridged)

      By: Stuart C. Gilson
      A large restaurant chain undergoes a leveraged buyout and subsequent recapitalization. Financial and operating problems at the company force it to consider various restructuring options, including a prepackaged Chapter 11 exchange offer to its public bondholders. Two... View Details
      Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Restructuring; Capital; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Debt Securities; Competition; Valuation; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Gilson, Stuart C. "Flagstar Companies, Inc. (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 206-076, December 2005. (Revised April 2007.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal?

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 06-005, August 2005. (Also NBER Working Paper No. 13119.)
      • July 2005 (Revised December 2006)
      • Case

      Japan: Deficits, Demography, and Deflation

      By: Richard H.K. Vietor
      By 2005, Japan's debt had risen to 163% of GDP. For more than a decade, the government had run huge deficits, trying unsuccessfully to stimulate economic growth. Interest rates, meanwhile, had been zero for years. But with slow growth and banks in crisis, nothing had... View Details
      Keywords: Economy; Economic Growth; Demographics; Financial Condition; Inflation and Deflation; Banks and Banking; Borrowing and Debt; Macroeconomics; Policy; Government and Politics; Welfare; Health Care and Treatment; Japan
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      Vietor, Richard H.K. "Japan: Deficits, Demography, and Deflation." Harvard Business School Case 706-004, July 2005. (Revised December 2006.)
      • July 2005 (Revised December 2005)
      • Case

      General Motors U.S. Pension Funds

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Helen Tung
      In June 2003, General Motors Corp. (GM) successfully marketed the largest corporate debt offering in U.S. history, worth $17.6 billion. The offering included $13.6 billion worth of debt denominated in dollars, euros, and pounds and $4 billion dollars denominated in... View Details
      Keywords: Decisions; Bonds; Investment Return; Policy; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance; Auto Industry; United States
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Helen Tung. "General Motors U.S. Pension Funds." Harvard Business School Case 206-001, July 2005. (Revised December 2005.)
      • July 2005 (Revised September 2020)
      • Case

      The U.S. Current Account Deficit

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael Di Tella, Ingrid Vogel, Renee Kim, Sarah Jeong, Matthew Johnson and Jonathan Schlefer
      Investors and policymakers throughout the world were confronted with the risk of painful economic consequences arising from the large U.S. current account deficit. In 2007, the U.S. current account deficit was $731 billion, equivalent to 5.3% of GDP. The implications... View Details
      Keywords: World Economy; Macroeconomics; Borrowing and Debt; Currency; Foreign Direct Investment; Business and Government Relations; United States
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael Di Tella, Ingrid Vogel, Renee Kim, Sarah Jeong, Matthew Johnson, and Jonathan Schlefer. "The U.S. Current Account Deficit." Harvard Business School Case 706-002, July 2005. (Revised September 2020.)
      • June 2005 (Revised January 2007)
      • Case

      Equator Principles, The: An Industry Approach to Managing Environmental and Social Risks

      By: Benjamin C. Esty, Carin-Isabel Knoop and Aldo Sesia
      In June 2003, 10 leading international banks adopted new voluntary guidelines, called the Equator Principles, to promote sustainable development in project finance. In recent years, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) had raised issues about the lenders'... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Competition; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Social Issues; Environmental Sustainability; Policy; Project Finance; Standards; Projects; Commercial Banking; Non-Governmental Organizations
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      Esty, Benjamin C., Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Aldo Sesia. "Equator Principles, The: An Industry Approach to Managing Environmental and Social Risks." Harvard Business School Case 205-114, June 2005. (Revised January 2007.)
      • June 2005 (Revised May 2008)
      • Case

      Yamanote Kaikan

      By: Robin Greenwood, Arthur I Segel and Joshua Katzin
      In 2001, James O'Connell, president of Holyoke Japan, an affiliate of Larson Capital, a distress debt private equity firm, wants to bid on a 90 billion yen loan currently in default by the borrower, Sanjo Enterprises, for a popular wedding and banquet facility with an... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Private Equity; Price; Bids and Bidding; Competition; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin, Arthur I Segel, and Joshua Katzin. "Yamanote Kaikan." Harvard Business School Case 205-084, June 2005. (Revised May 2008.)
      • March 2005 (Revised May 2006)
      • Case

      Buckingham Park

      By: Arthur I Segel and Joshua A. Katzin
      In September, 2004, Stephen Lebowitz, President of CBL, a $6 billion publicly traded shopping mall real estate investment trust (REIT) with over 70 million square feet, is considering acquiring 170 acres for a new retail development at a racetrack site in Southern New... View Details
      Keywords: Buildings and Facilities; Debt Securities; Investment; Real Estate Industry; New Hampshire
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      Segel, Arthur I., and Joshua A. Katzin. "Buckingham Park." Harvard Business School Case 205-085, March 2005. (Revised May 2006.)
      • March 2005 (Revised July 2007)
      • Case

      Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      In 1991, Chile adopted a framework of capital controls focused on reducing the massive flows of foreign investment coming into the country as international interest rates remained low. Capital inflows threatened the Central Bank's ability to manage the exchange rate... View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Growth; Financial Crisis; Capital; Governance Controls; Business and Government Relations; Chile
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)." Harvard Business School Case 705-031, March 2005. (Revised July 2007.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage

      By: Robin Greenwood
      I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be... View Details
      Keywords: Limits To Arbitrage; Event Studies; Demand Curves; Portfolio Choice; Framework; Demand and Consumers; Change; Risk and Uncertainty; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Assets; Investment Portfolio; System Shocks; Price; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage." Journal of Financial Economics 75, no. 3 (March 2005): 607–649.
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      We construct a dynamic equilibrium model with contingent service and adverse selection to quantitatively study sovereign debt. In the model, benefits of defaulting are tempered by higher future interest rates. For a wide set of parameters, the only equilibrium is one... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Interest Rates; Balance and Stability; Risk and Uncertainty; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods; Management Style; Segmentation; Debt Securities; Banking Industry
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Sovereign Debt As a Contingent Claim: A Quantitative Approach." Journal of International Economics 65, no. 2 (March 2005).
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