Publications

Forthcoming
Article

The Disappearing Index Effect

By: Robin Greenwood and Marco Sammon

The abnormal return associated with a stock being added to the S&P 500 has fallen from an average of 7.4% in the 1990s to 0.3% over the past decade. This has occurred despite a significant increase in the share of stock market assets linked to the index. A similar... View Details

Keywords: Stocks; Investment Return; Value

2017
Working Paper

Rainy Day Stocks

By: Niels Gormsen and Robin Greenwood

We study the good- and bad-times performance of equity portfolios formed on characteristics. Many characteristics associated with good performance during bad times – value, profitability, small size, safety, and total volatility – also perform well during good times.... View Details

Keywords: Performance; Stocks; Situation or Environment

September 2016 (Revised February 2017)
Case

MyTime

By: Juliane Begenau and Robin Greenwood

Ethan Anderson, the CEO of San Francisco–based e-commerce company MyTime, must decide on the company's growth strategy. MyTime’s first product was a website and mobile app that offered consumers a convenient way to book appointments with local merchants throughout the... View Details

Keywords: Customer Valuation; Discounted Cash Flow; Software; Valuation Methodologies; Subscriber Models; Financial Management; Corporate Finance; Growth and Development Strategy; Valuation; Applications and Software; Information Technology Industry; North and Central America

Educators

2014
Article

Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns

By: Robin Greenwood and Andrei Shleifer

We analyze time-series of investor expectations of future stock market returns from six data sources between 1963 and 2011. The six measures of expectations are highly positively correlated with each other, as well as with past stock returns and with the level of the... View Details

Keywords: Performance Expectations; Investment Return

Find at Harvard

2010
Other Unpublished Work

Share Issuance and Factor Timing

By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel Hanson

We show that characteristics of stock issuers can be used to forecast important common factors in stocks returns such as those associated with book-to-market, size, and industry. Specifically, we use differences between the attributes of stock issuers and repurchasers... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Equity; Stocks; Stock Shares; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Price; Performance Evaluation

SSRN

2009
Working Paper

Stock Price Fragility

By: Robin Greenwood and David Thesmar

We investigate the relationship between ownership structure of financial assets and non-fundamental risk. An asset is fragile if its owners collectively have to buy or sell. Such assets are susceptible to non-fundamental price movements. An asset can be fragile because... View Details

Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Stocks; Price; Market Transactions; Ownership; Risk and Uncertainty; United States

SSRN

August 2008 (Revised April 2022)
Supplement

Kerr-McGee (CW)

By: Robin Greenwood and James Quinn

January 2008
Article

When (Not) to Listen to Activist Investors

By: Robin Greenwood and Michael Schor

Keywords: Investment

Find at Harvard

06 Dec 2023
News

Uber Is Being Added to the S&P 500. Does That Make the Stock a Buy?

October 2008 (Revised November 2010)
Case

NEC Electronics

By: C. Fritz Foley, Robin Greenwood and James Quinn

Why do shares in NEC Electronics, a publicly listed subsidiary of Japan conglomerate NEC, trade at a discount to their fundamental value? Can Perry Capital, a U.S. hedge fund, restructure this subsidiary and generate significant returns? This case provides students... View Details

Keywords: Restructuring; Private Equity; Investment Return; Ownership Stake; Business and Shareholder Relations; Financial Services Industry; Japan

Educators

25 Aug 2022
News

In My Humble Opinion: Road Tested

Robin Gregg (MBA 2002) grew up in the West Virginia town of Martinsburg, 15 minutes from the midpoint of the Appalachian Trail. “Most of the people I looked up to were doctors, lawyers, or teachers, so it’s funny that I ended up in... View Details

Keywords: Julia Hanna; trucking; leadership; fintech; career

01 Sep 2013
News

W50 in The Windy City

Senior Associate Dean for Culture and Community Robin Ely (second from left), with Devi Vallabhaneni (MBA 1997), Molly Baskin (MBA 1977), and Bruce Mumford Jr. (MBA 1980), discussed the W50 and how the School is setting an agenda for... View Details

Keywords: Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools; Educational Services; Management, Scientific, and Technical Consulting Services; Professional Services

March 2009 (Revised November 2010)
Teaching Note

NEC Electronics (TN)

By: C. Fritz Foley and Robin Greenwood

Teaching Note for [209001]. View Details

Keywords: Information Technology Industry

October 2005 (Revised February 2010)
Background Note

Calculating Free Cash Flows

By: Robin Greenwood and David S. Scharfstein

Outlines the mechanics of calculating free cash flows from historical and proforma financial statements. Focuses on the mechanical process of transforming numbers from financial forecasts into cash flows. View Details

Keywords: Financial Statements; Forecasting and Prediction; Cash Flow; Mathematical Methods

Educators