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Publications

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      • Faculty Publications  (778)

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      • 2009
      • Working Paper

      Stock Price Fragility

      By: Robin Greenwood and David Thesmar
      We investigate the relationship between ownership structure of financial assets and non-fundamental risk. An asset is fragile if its owners collectively have to buy or sell. Such assets are susceptible to non-fundamental price movements. An asset can be fragile because... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Stocks; Price; Market Transactions; Ownership; Risk and Uncertainty; United States
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      Greenwood, Robin, and David Thesmar. "Stock Price Fragility." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-031, October 2009.
      • October 2009 (Revised February 2014)
      • Case

      The Kaesong Industrial Complex (A)

      By: Dante Roscini, Eric Werker and Han-koo Yeo
      Keywords: Country; Risk and Uncertainty; International Relations; Trade; Agreements and Arrangements; Policy; North Korea; South Korea
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      Roscini, Dante, Eric Werker, and Han-koo Yeo. "The Kaesong Industrial Complex (A)." Harvard Business School Case 710-022, October 2009. (Revised February 2014.)
      • September 2009 (Revised June 2011)
      • Supplement

      Citigroup's Exchange Offer (B)

      By: Robin Greenwood and James Quinn
      Citigroup faced considerable distress in early 2009. In late 2008, the bank had accepted $45 billion in preferred equity from the United States government via the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP). Yet, the stock had continued to slide in early 2009. In late... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Instruments; Financial Services Industry
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      Greenwood, Robin, and James Quinn. "Citigroup's Exchange Offer (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 210-004, September 2009. (Revised June 2011.)
      • September 2009 (Revised June 2011)
      • Supplement

      Citigroup's Exchange Offer (C)

      By: Robin Greenwood and James Quinn
      Citigroup faced considerable distress in early 2009. In late 2008, the bank had accepted $45 billion in preferred equity from the United States government via the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP). Yet, the stock had continued to slide in early 2009. In late... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Instruments; Financial Services Industry
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      Greenwood, Robin, and James Quinn. "Citigroup's Exchange Offer (C)." Harvard Business School Supplement 210-015, September 2009. (Revised June 2011.)
      • Editorial

      Risk Is a Choice Rather Than a Fate

      By: Andre F. Perold
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Perold, Andre F. "Risk Is a Choice Rather Than a Fate." Journal of Portfolio Management 36, no. 1 (Fall 2009). (Invited Editorial Comment.)
      • 2009
      • Working Paper

      Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

      By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
      The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market—rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities—led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is... View Details
      Keywords: Housing; Mortgages; Risk and Uncertainty; Value; Mathematical Methods; Real Estate Industry; United States
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      Khandani, Amir E., Andrew W. Lo, and Robert C. Merton. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 15362, September 2009.
      • 2009
      • Working Paper

      Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

      By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
      The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market-rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities-led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is... View Details
      Keywords: Equity; Mortgages; Interest Rates; Price; Housing; Risk and Uncertainty; United States
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      Khandani, Amir E., Andrew W. Lo, and Robert C. Merton. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-023, September 2009. (Revised July 2010.)
      • July 2009 (Revised June 2015)
      • Case

      Citigroup's Exchange Offer

      By: Robin Greenwood and James Quinn
      Citigroup faced considerable distress in early 2009. In late 2008, the bank had accepted $45 billion in preferred equity from the United States government via the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP). Yet, the stock had continued to slide in early 2009. In late... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Capital Markets; Banks and Banking; Stocks; Price; Globalized Markets and Industries; Financial Services Industry
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      Greenwood, Robin, and James Quinn. "Citigroup's Exchange Offer." Harvard Business School Case 210-009, July 2009. (Revised June 2015.)
      • 2009
      • Chapter

      Government as Risk Manager

      By: Tom Baker and David Moss
      We explain the four basic ways to manage risk: prevention, risk shifting, risk spreading, and loss control. We set out five principles of effective government risk management gleaned from extensive historical study: (1) link responsibility and control, (2) manage moral... View Details
      Keywords: Government and Politics; Risk Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Safety
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      Baker, Tom, and David Moss. "Government as Risk Manager." Chap. 4 in New Perspectives on Regulation, edited by David Moss and John Cisternino, 87–109. Cambridge, MA: Tobin Project, 2009.
      • June 2009 (Revised December 2011)
      • Case

      Colbún—Powering Chile

      By: Forest L. Reinhardt, Gustavo A. Herrero and Sanjay Patnaik
      This case is about Colbún, Chile's second largest electricity generator, which is facing significant uncertainty regarding the cost and availability of alternative energy sources. Problems with the contracted supply of natural gas and the volatility of oil prices,... View Details
      Keywords: Non-Renewable Energy; Globalized Markets and Industries; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Government Legislation; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Business and Government Relations; Climate Change; Business Strategy; Energy Industry; Chile
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      Reinhardt, Forest L., Gustavo A. Herrero, and Sanjay Patnaik. "Colbún—Powering Chile." Harvard Business School Case 709-060, June 2009. (Revised December 2011.)
      • May 2009
      • Article

      Private Risk is the Public's Business

      By: David Moss
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Society
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      Moss, David. "Private Risk is the Public's Business." American Prospect 20, no. 4 (May 2009).
      • April 2009
      • Teaching Note

      First National Bank's Golden Opportunity (TN)

      By: Shawn A. Cole
      Teaching Note for [208072]. View Details
      Keywords: Saving; Product; Interest Rates; Personal Finance; Cost vs Benefits; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment; Problems and Challenges; Demand and Consumers; Product Launch; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry; South Africa
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      Cole, Shawn A. "First National Bank's Golden Opportunity (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 209-123, April 2009.
      • March 2009 (Revised November 2016)
      • Case

      Washington Mutual's Covered Bonds

      By: Daniel Baird Bergstresser, Robin Greenwood and James Quinn
      Washington Mutual issued 6 billion euro of covered bonds in 2006. The objective of the case is to ask whether these bonds are mispriced in late 2008. The case is set in September 2008, and Washington Mutual is facing considerable distress due to mounting losses in its... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Financial Liquidity; Bonds; Mortgages; Price; Banking Industry; United States
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      Bergstresser, Daniel Baird, Robin Greenwood, and James Quinn. "Washington Mutual's Covered Bonds." Harvard Business School Case 209-093, March 2009. (Revised November 2016.)
      • March 2009 (Revised September 2011)
      • Case

      UBS and Auction Rate Securities (A)

      By: Daniel Baird Bergstresser, Shawn A. Cole and Siddharth Bhaskar Shenai
      UBS, a global financial services company, must decide whether to continue to support the market for Auction Rate Securities in the face of a growing financial crisis. These instruments, underwritten by UBS, were marketed to clients as highly liquid and safe... View Details
      Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Financial Crisis; Asset Pricing; Financial Liquidity; Financial Instruments; Government Legislation; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Services Industry
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      Bergstresser, Daniel Baird, Shawn A. Cole, and Siddharth Bhaskar Shenai. "UBS and Auction Rate Securities (A)." Harvard Business School Case 209-119, March 2009. (Revised September 2011.)
      • March – April 2009
      • Article

      Market Research and Innovation Strategy in a Duopoly

      By: Dominique Lauga and Elie Ofek
      We model a duopoly in which ex-ante identical firms must decide where to direct their innovation efforts. The firms face market uncertainty about consumers' preferences for innovation on two product attributes and technology uncertainty about the success of their R&D... View Details
      Keywords: Profit; Innovation and Management; Demand and Consumers; Duopoly and Oligopoly; Research and Development; Competitive Strategy
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      Lauga, Dominique, and Elie Ofek. "Market Research and Innovation Strategy in a Duopoly." Marketing Science 28, no. 2 (March–April 2009): 373–396.
      • March 2009 (Revised November 2009)
      • Supplement

      Washington Mutual's Covered Bonds Courseware

      By: Daniel Baird Bergstresser, Robin Greenwood and James Quinn
      Washington Mutual issues 6 billion Euro of covered bonds in 2006. The objective of the case is to ask whether these bonds are mispriced in late 2008. The case is set in September 20008, and Washington Mutual is facing considerable distress due to mounting losses on its... View Details
      Keywords: Banks and Banking; Bonds; Education; Information; Banking Industry
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      Bergstresser, Daniel Baird, Robin Greenwood, and James Quinn. "Washington Mutual's Covered Bonds Courseware." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 209-724, March 2009. (Revised November 2009.)
      • February 2009
      • Teaching Note

      Examining the Adoption of Drug-Eluting Stents (TN)

      By: Elie Ofek and Peter Wickersham
      Teaching Note for [509028]. View Details
      Keywords: Technology Adoption; Product Launch; Risk and Uncertainty; Health Care and Treatment; Competitive Strategy
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      Ofek, Elie, and Peter Wickersham. "Examining the Adoption of Drug-Eluting Stents (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 509-053, February 2009.
      • 2009
      • Book

      Financial Economics

      By: Zvi Bodie, Robert C. Merton and David L. Cleeton
      This book seeks to explain finance through its functions rather than its institutions, concentrating on the three pillars of finance: optimization over time, asset valuation, and risk management. View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Finance; Assets; Risk Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation
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      Bodie, Zvi, Robert C. Merton, and David L. Cleeton. Financial Economics. 2nd ed. NJ: Prentice Hall, 2009. (Overview; Translated into Korean and Hungarian.)
      • May 2009
      • Article

      Asymmetric Information Effects on Loan Spreads

      By: Victoria Ivashina
      The paper estimates the cost arising from information asymmetry between the lead bank and members of the lending syndicate. In a lending syndicate, the lead bank retains only a fraction of the loan but acts as the intermediary between the borrower and the syndicate... View Details
      Keywords: Cost; Banks and Banking; Financing and Loans; Interest Rates; Capital; Investment Portfolio; Credit; Diversification; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Ivashina, Victoria. "Asymmetric Information Effects on Loan Spreads." Journal of Financial Economics 92, no. 2 (May 2009): 300–319.
      • Article

      Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal?

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      We model and calibrate the arguments in favor and against short-term and long-term debt. These arguments broadly include: maturity premium, sustainability, and service smoothing. We use a dynamic equilibrium model with tax distortions and government... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Investment Return; Development Economics; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Cost; Interest Rates; Developing Countries and Economies; Welfare; United States; Brazil
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Debt Maturity: Is Long-Term Debt Optimal?" Review of International Economics 17, no. 5 (November 2009): 890–905. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 06-005 and NBER Working Paper No. 13119.)
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