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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(932)
- People (1)
- News (251)
- Research (569)
- Events (3)
- Multimedia (16)
- Faculty Publications (336)
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- 2024
- Working Paper
Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of U.S. Elections
By: Richard Calvo, Vincent Pons and Jesse M. Shapiro
Many observers have forecast large partisan shifts in the US electorate based on demographic trends. Such forecasts are appealing because demographic trends are often predictable even over long horizons. We backtest demographic forecasts using data on US elections... View Details
Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Voting; Political Elections; Trends; Forecasting and Prediction; Demographics
Calvo, Richard, Vincent Pons, and Jesse M. Shapiro. "Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of U.S. Elections." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33016, October 2024.
- Article
Comment mobiliser les exclus du jeu politique?
By: Vincent Pons
Pons, Vincent. "Comment mobiliser les exclus du jeu politique?" Regards croisés sur l'économie, no. 18 (2016): 213–226.
- 2019
- Working Paper
Persuasive Propaganda During the 2015 Argentine Ballotage
By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
We study a propaganda campaign sponsored by the government against the main political challenger in the days preceding the 2015 Argentine runoff presidential election. Subjects in the treatment group watched an “ad” initially aired during soccer transmissions that was... View Details
Keywords: Propaganda; Persuasion; Voting; Political Elections; Government and Politics; Communication Strategy; Power and Influence; Public Opinion; Argentina
Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky. "Persuasive Propaganda During the 2015 Argentine Ballotage." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-030, September 2019. (Revised November 2019.)
- 10 Jul 2000
- Research & Ideas
Cable TV: From Community Antennas to Wired Cities
cast votes in public referenda. 13 By the early 1970s, with organizations like the RAND Corporation, The Brookings Institution, and the Sloan Commission all calling for more supportive regulation of cable, pressure for change was... View Details
- 16 Feb 2016
- Working Paper Summaries
Diversity and Team Performance in a Kenyan Organization
- 20 Sep 2021
- Research & Ideas
How Much Is Freedom Worth? For Gig Workers, a Lot.
when it came time to vote on reclassification of gig workers under California’s Proposition 22 initiative? Benefits and other protections were at the heart of Proposition 22, the first large-scale look at how voters view gig work. In... View Details
- 29 Jun 2016
- Op-Ed
What Hath the United Kingdom Wrought?
and took a plunge into the unknown. A relatively small number of largely older, uneducated voters decided that the younger generations of Britons who voted to remain should instead face the growing global competition on their own rather... View Details
Keywords: by Dante Roscini
- 14 Apr 2014
- Research & Ideas
Difficulties for Women Bridging Racial, Generational, and Global Divides
In the months leading up to the 2008 presidential election, CNN ran a story titled "Gender or Race: Black Women Voters Face Tough Choices in South Carolina." The "tough choice" in question: should they vote according to race (Barack... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
- 05 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 5, 2008
relatively low concentration of ownership and control in large firms before 1910. Archival evidence such as company statutes and shareholder lists document that in many Brazilian corporations voting rights provisions, in particular,... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 17 Oct 2019
- Working Paper Summaries
Persuasion by Populist Propaganda: Evidence from the 2015 Argentine Ballotage
- July 2005
- Teaching Note
Utah Symphony and Utah Opera: A Merger Proposal (TN)
By: Thomas J. DeLong
Teaching Note to (9-404-116). View Details
- November 2021
- Article
Strict ID Laws Don't Stop Voters: Evidence from a U.S. Nationwide Panel, 2008–2018
By: Enrico Cantoni and Vincent Pons
U.S. states increasingly require identification to vote—an ostensive attempt to deter fraud that prompts complaints of selective disenfranchisement. Using a difference-in-differences design on a 1.6-billion-observations panel dataset, 2008–2018, we find that the laws... View Details
Keywords: Voter ID Laws; Voter Turnout; Voting; Political Elections; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; United States
Cantoni, Enrico, and Vincent Pons. "Strict ID Laws Don't Stop Voters: Evidence from a U.S. Nationwide Panel, 2008–2018." Quarterly Journal of Economics 136, no. 4 (November 2021): 2615–2660.
- 11 Nov 2002
- Research & Ideas
Women Entrepreneurs Usher in the Next Generation
said, "so we can begin to get the senators we want, vote in the presidents and politicians we want; so that we can vote with our wallet instead of pleading for change. For me that's going to be the most... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
- 04 Apr 2019
- Cold Call Podcast
Can Mark Zuckerberg Rebuild Trust in Facebook?
Brian Kenny: Here's a hypothetical for you. Imagine you're sitting at your favorite coffee shop when a teenager pulls up a chair and asks you to share a bunch of personal information. He wants to know your birthday, what kind of food you like, where you go on vacation,... View Details
- 01 Oct 2024
- Research & Ideas
How Politics Drives Business Decisions in a Polarized Nation
Political polarization has seeped so deeply into US society that it shapes who Americans befriend, date, and marry, where they live, raise their families, and retire—and how they run their businesses. A recent paper illustrates how the partisan divide permeates... View Details
Keywords: by Jay Fitzgerald
- 02 Oct 2007
- First Look
First Look: October 2, 2007
Tatiana Sandino Abstract In this paper we examine the economic consequences of over 150 shareholder proposals to expense employee stock options (ESO) submitted during the proxy seasons of 2003 and 2004—the first case where the SEC has allowed an accounting matter to be... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 28 Jan 2015
- Research & Ideas
Ground Game, Air Wars, and Other Marketing Lessons From Presidential Elections
October working paper The Air War versus The Ground Game: An Analysis of Multi-Channel Marketing in US Presidential Elections, was cowritten with HBS doctoral student Lingling Zhang. Chung and Zhang pored over 18,650 observations on View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman
- 31 Oct 2007
- HBS Case
Climate Change Puts Heat on GMs
What is the responsibility of business regarding social issues? And how does that jibe with maximizing profits? In "UBS and Climate Change—Warming Up to Global Action?" Associate Professor Felix Oberholzer-Gee and Professor Forest Reinhardt present the... View Details
- 11 Apr 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research, April 11
Inc.’s third largest shareholder in 2013 when Dell announced a management-led buyout, or MBO, structured as a merger. In considering whether to vote for or oppose the transaction, Brian C. Rogers, chairman and chief investment officer at... View Details
- 28 Aug 2012
- First Look
First Look: August 28
Side of the Vote: Biased Voters, Social Information, and Information Aggregation Through Majority Voting Authors: Rebecca B. Morton, Marco Piovesan, and Jean-Robert Tyran Abstract We experimentally investigate information aggregation... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne