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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (1,626)
      • Faculty Publications  (399)

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      • 1987
      • Working Paper

      Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets

      By: K. A. Froot
      Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Volatility
      Citation
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      Froot, K. A. "Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 2362, August 1987.
      • June 1986
      • Article

      Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices

      By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
      Keywords: Stocks; Markets; Price
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality of Stock Market Prices." American Economic Review 76, no. 3 (June 1986): 483–498.
      • February 1986 (Revised November 1992)
      • Case

      Novo Industri A/S--1981

      By: W. Carl Kester and Glynn Ferguson
      This small but rapidly growing Danish biochemical company must choose among several financing opportunities that include a convertible Eurobond, a rights offering in Denmark and an issue of new common shares in the United States. The case involves a broad range of... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Cost of Capital; Bonds; Stock Shares; Financing and Loans; Globalization; Biotechnology Industry; Chemical Industry; Denmark; United States
      Citation
      Educators
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      Kester, W. Carl, and Glynn Ferguson. "Novo Industri A/S--1981." Harvard Business School Case 286-084, February 1986. (Revised November 1992.)
      • April 1985 (Revised September 1986)
      • Case

      CML Group, Inc.: Going Public (B)

      By: William A. Sahlman
      Contains a description of some issues confronting management of CML Group as the company progresses toward making an initial public offering. Among the issues and topics addressed in the case are: considerations in choosing an underwriting team, the initial public... View Details
      Keywords: Business or Company Management; Initial Public Offering; Financial Markets; Financial Strategy; Planning; Cost vs Benefits; Strategy; Entrepreneurship; Consumer Products Industry; Retail Industry
      Citation
      Educators
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      Sahlman, William A. "CML Group, Inc.: Going Public (B)." Harvard Business School Case 285-092, April 1985. (Revised September 1986.)
      • 1984
      • Chapter

      Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market

      By: Stanley Fischer and Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Financial Markets
      Citation
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      Fischer, Stanley, and Robert C. Merton. "Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market." In Essays on Macroeconomic Implications of Financial and Labor Markets and Political Processes. Vol. 21, edited by K. Brunner and A. H. Meltzer. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company, 1984.
      • 1984
      • Working Paper

      Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices

      By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1559-84, April 1984.
      • 1983
      • Working Paper

      Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality

      By: Terry A. Marsh and Robert C. Merton
      Citation
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      Marsh, Terry A., and Robert C. Merton. "Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1475-83, September 1983.
      • May 1983 (Revised December 1987)
      • Case

      Technical Data Corp.

      By: William A. Sahlman
      Describes a decision confronting the president of a small company about selling some or all of the shares in his company to another firm. Technical Data Corp. provides analytical services to professional bond market traders over a system of computer terminals operated... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Internet and the Web; Information Infrastructure; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Valuation; Negotiation Tactics; Mergers and Acquisitions; Corporate Strategy; Horizontal Integration; Information Industry; Service Industry
      Citation
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      Sahlman, William A. "Technical Data Corp." Harvard Business School Case 283-072, May 1983. (Revised December 1987.)
      • May – June 1981
      • Article

      Is Your Stock Worth Its Market Price?

      By: W. E. Fruhan Jr. and Thomas R. Piper
      Keywords: Stocks; Price; Value
      Citation
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      Fruhan, W. E., Jr., and Thomas R. Piper. "Is Your Stock Worth Its Market Price?" Harvard Business Review 59, no. 3 (May–June 1981).
      • spring 1974
      • Article

      The Optimality of a Competitive Stock Market

      By: Robert C. Merton and Marti G. Subrahmanyam
      Keywords: Competition; Stocks; Markets
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C., and Marti G. Subrahmanyam. "The Optimality of a Competitive Stock Market." Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 5, no. 1 (spring 1974): 145–170.
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath

      By: Antonio Falato, Giovanni Favara and David Scharfstein
      We present evidence that pressure to maximize short-term stock prices and earnings leads banks to increase risk. We start by showing that banks increase risk when they transition from private to public ownership through a public listing or an acquisition. The increase... View Details
      Keywords: Ownership Type; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Banks and Banking; Transition; Price
      Citation
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      Falato, Antonio, Giovanni Favara, and David Scharfstein. "Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath." Review of Financial Studies (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Capital Flows and Capital Goods (joint with Eliza Hammel)

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We examine one of the channels through which financial integration can help promote growth. In particular, we study the effects of capital account liberalization on the imports of capital goods. We pay particular attention to the effects of equity market... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Corporate Governance

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      The characteristics and structure of boards of directors have important implications for firm performance. Professor Wang has found that firms with well-connected boards whose members have strong network connections provide economic benefits that are not immediately... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Charlotte L. Robertson
      Professor Robertson conducts research on the history of financial markets. Her book manuscript and working papers shed light on the evolution of securities markets and the relationship between finance, governance, and society. Some of the topics she pursues include:... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Passive Ownership and Price Informativeness

      By: Marco Sammon
      I show that passive ownership negatively affects the degree to which stock prices anticipate earnings announcements. Estimates across several research designs imply that the rise in passive ownership over the last 30 years has caused the amount of information... View Details
      Keywords: Passive Ownership; ETFs; Market Efficiency; Price; Investment Funds; Stocks; Communication
      Citation
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      Sammon, Marco. "Passive Ownership and Price Informativeness." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online September 17, 2024.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Public Disclosure of Private Meetings: Does Observing Peers’ Information Acquisition Affect Analysts’ Attention Allocation?

      By: Yi Ru, Ronghuo Zheng and Yuan Zou
      We investigate the impact of observing peers’ information acquisition on financial analysts’ allocation of attention. Using the timely disclosure mandate by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange as a setting, we find that, shortly after analysts observe that a firm has been... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Disclosure; Information; Financial Institutions; Accounting; Financial Markets; Financial Services Industry; China
      Citation
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      Ru, Yi, Ronghuo Zheng, and Yuan Zou. "Public Disclosure of Private Meetings: Does Observing Peers’ Information Acquisition Affect Analysts’ Attention Allocation?" Journal of Accounting Research (forthcoming). (Pre-published online March 3, 2025.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking

      By: David S. Scharfstein and Antonio Falato
      We argue that stock market pressure to generate earnings encourages banks to increase risk. We measure risk using confidential supervisory ratings as well as financial information released in regulatory filings. We document that there is an increase in the risk-taking... View Details
      Keywords: Stock Market; Financial Markets; Business Earnings; Banks and Banking; Risk and Uncertainty
      Citation
      Related
      Scharfstein, David S., and Antonio Falato. "The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Wall Street Research

      By: Paul M. Healy

      Wall Street research helps to support a well-functioning capital market by providing investors with information about investment opportunities, and corporate issuers with liquidity for their stocks. Yet surprisingly little is known about how Wall Street research... View Details

      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Brokerage; Investment Banking; Buy-side Analysts; Compensation; Financial Services Industry
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Who Values Democracy?

      By: Max Miller
      This paper examines the conventional view that redistribution is central to the democratization process using data from stock markets. Consistent with this view, democratizations have a large, negative impact on asset valuations driven by a rise in redistribution risk.... View Details
      Keywords: Government and Politics; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Financial Markets; Valuation
      Citation
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      Related
      Miller, Max. "Who Values Democracy?" Journal of Political Economy (forthcoming).
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