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      • December 2010
      • Article

      Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      The main arguments in favor of and against nominal and indexed debt are the incentive to default through inflation versus hedging against unforeseen shocks. We model and calibrate these arguments to assess their quantitative importance. We use a dynamic equilibrium... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Motivation and Incentives; Inflation and Deflation; System Shocks; Taxation; Risk and Uncertainty; Framework; Problems and Challenges; Interest Rates; Cost; Developing Countries and Economies; Service Operations
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Nominal versus Indexed Debt: A Quantitative Horse Race." Journal of International Money and Finance 29, no. 8 (December 2010): 1706–1726. (Also Harvard Business School Working Paper No. 05-053 and NBER Working Paper No. 13131.)
      • November 2010 (Revised May 2014)
      • Case

      Dow's Bid for Rohm and Haas

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and David Lane
      This case analyzes Dow Chemical Company's proposed acquisition of Rohm and Haas in 2008. The $18.8 billion acquisition was part of Dow's strategic transformation from a slow-growth, low-margin, and cyclical producer of basic chemicals into a higher-growth,... View Details
      Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Financial Crisis; Capital Structure; Financial Condition; Financial Management; Contracts; Lawsuits and Litigation; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Chemical Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and David Lane. "Dow's Bid for Rohm and Haas." Harvard Business School Case 211-020, November 2010. (Revised May 2014.)
      • November 2010 (Revised December 2010)
      • Case

      Mid-Missouri Energy: Ethanol from Corn

      By: Forest L. Reinhardt, Noel Michele Holbrook, James Weber and Karla Sartor
      Mid-Missouri Energy (MME) is a farmer-owned cooperative that produces ethanol from corn. The cooperative has performed well in comparison to other producers, but margins in the industry had declined as industry production levels neared market demand limits. MME farmers... View Details
      Keywords: Agribusiness; Renewable Energy; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Policy; Growth and Development Strategy; Cooperative Ownership; Business and Government Relations; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; United States
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      Reinhardt, Forest L., Noel Michele Holbrook, James Weber, and Karla Sartor. "Mid-Missouri Energy: Ethanol from Corn." Harvard Business School Case 711-004, November 2010. (Revised December 2010.)
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents

      By: Eric Van den Steen
      This paper derives two mechanisms through which Bayesian-rational individuals with differing priors will tend to be relatively overconfident about their estimates and predictions, in the sense of overestimating the precision of these estimates. The intuition behind one... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Game Theory; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Van den Steen, Eric. "Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-049, November 2010.
      • 2010
      • Book

      Seven Strategy Questions: A Simple Approach for Better Execution

      By: Robert L. Simons
      To stay ahead of the pack, you must translate your organization's competitive strategy into day-to-day actions that will enable your company to win in the marketplace. This means channeling resources into the right efforts, striking a balance between innovation and... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Innovation and Management; Resource Allocation; Business Processes; Organizational Culture; Competitive Strategy
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      Simons, Robert L. Seven Strategy Questions: A Simple Approach for Better Execution. Harvard Business Review Press, 2010.
      • November 2010
      • Article

      Stress-Test Your Strategy: The 7 Questions to Ask

      By: Robert Simons
      An economic downturn can quickly expose the shortcomings of your business strategy. But can you identify its weak points in good times as well? And can you focus on those weak points that really matter? I identify seven questions all executives should ask in order to... View Details
      Keywords: Business Strategy; Creativity; Success; Customers; Employees; Business and Shareholder Relations; Performance; Risk and Uncertainty; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Simons, Robert. "Stress-Test Your Strategy: The 7 Questions to Ask." Harvard Business Review 88, no. 11 (November 2010): 93–100.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Crashes and Collateralized Lending

      By: Jakub W. Jurek and Erik Stafford
      This paper develops a parsimonious static model for characterizing financing terms in collateralized lending markets. We characterize the systematic risk exposures for a variety of securities and develop a simple indifference-pricing framework to value the systematic... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Borrowing and Debt; Cost of Capital; Credit; Financing and Loans; Interest Rates; Investment; Framework; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Services Industry
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      Jurek, Jakub W., and Erik Stafford. "Crashes and Collateralized Lending." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-025, September 2010.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Reversing the Queue: Performance, Legitimacy, and Minority Hiring

      By: Andrew Hill and David A. Thomas
      Studies of minority hiring have found that poor-performing firms or firms in highly competitive contexts are more likely to hire minority candidates. However, most work has examined hiring for entry and mid-level positions, not senior management. Management positions... View Details
      Keywords: Diversity; Selection and Staffing; Leadership; Managerial Roles; Performance Effectiveness; Sports Industry; United States
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      Hill, Andrew, and David A. Thomas. "Reversing the Queue: Performance, Legitimacy, and Minority Hiring." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-032, September 2010.
      • 1 Aug 2010
      • Conference Presentation

      Firm Performance, Top Management and Minority Hiring: African‐American Coaches in the NFL, 1970‐2007

      By: Andrew Hill and David Thomas
      Studies of minority hiring have found that low-status firms are more likely to hire minority candidates. However, most work has examined hiring for entry and mid-level positions, not senior management, which differs in the level of 1) uncertainty regarding the optimal... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Evaluation; Management Teams; Recruitment; Relationships; Risk and Uncertainty; Ethnicity; Sports Industry; Africa; United States
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      Hill, Andrew, and David Thomas. "Firm Performance, Top Management and Minority Hiring: African‐American Coaches in the NFL, 1970‐2007." Paper presented at the Academy of Management Annual Meeting, Montreal, QC, August 01, 2010.
      • July 2010 (Revised March 2015)
      • Teaching Note

      1366 Technologies

      By: Ramana Nanda and Joseph B. Lassiter III
      Teaching Note for 810005. View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Production; Supply and Industry; Corporate Strategy; Capital; Manufacturing Industry
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      Nanda, Ramana, and Joseph B. Lassiter III. "1366 Technologies." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 811-003, July 2010. (Revised March 2015.)
      • June 2010 (Revised January 2017)
      • Teaching Note

      Continental Media Group: Business Highlights

      By: Robert Simons
      Teaching Note for 110087. View Details
      Keywords: Execution; Management Control Systems; Performance Measurement; Informal Management; Emergent Strategy; Management; Profit; System; Opportunities; Strategy; Risk and Uncertainty; Media and Broadcasting Industry
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      Simons, Robert. "Continental Media Group: Business Highlights." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 110-090, June 2010. (Revised January 2017.)
      • June 2010 (Revised April 2011)
      • Case

      Continental Media Group: Business Highlights

      By: Robert L. Simons and Kathryn Rosenberg
      Continental Media Group has a series of business reviews struggling to achieve profitability. This case focuses on the use of management control systems to identify emerging opportunities and the formulation of new strategies. The interactive system used by top... View Details
      Keywords: Accounting; Governance Controls; Management Systems; Risk Management; Business Strategy; Publishing Industry
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      Simons, Robert L., and Kathryn Rosenberg. "Continental Media Group: Business Highlights." Harvard Business School Case 110-087, June 2010. (Revised April 2011.)
      • May 2010
      • Column

      Block-by-Blockbuster Innovation

      By: Rosabeth Moss Kanter
      Executives often find themselves debating the merits of incremental innovations versus game-changers, but that's a false dichotomy, says HBR columnist Rosabeth Moss Kanter. Even if a company is lucky enough to come up with the next Kindle, Swiffer, or smartphone,... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation and Management; Resource Allocation; Product; Business Processes; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Kanter, Rosabeth Moss. "Block-by-Blockbuster Innovation." Harvard Business Review 88, no. 5 (May 2010): 38.
      • May – June 2010
      • Article

      Changes of Heart: The Switch-Value Method for Assessing Value Uncertainty

      By: Leslie K. John and Baruch Fischhoff
      Keywords: Value; Risk and Uncertainty
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      John, Leslie K., and Baruch Fischhoff. "Changes of Heart: The Switch-Value Method for Assessing Value Uncertainty." Medical Decision Making 30, no. 3 (May–June 2010): 388–397.
      • March 2010 (Revised May 2012)
      • Case

      Myelin Repair Foundation: Accelerating Drug Discovery Through Collaboration

      By: Karim R. Lakhani and Paul R. Carlile
      This case presents the Myelin Repair Foundation's accelerated research collaboration model for drug discovery. It highlights the challenges of building a multi-disciplinary and multi-institutional research collaboration that is attempting to create a treatment for... View Details
      Keywords: Research and Development; Intellectual Property; Risk and Uncertainty; Strategic Planning; Collaborative Innovation and Invention; Health Disorders; Pharmaceutical Industry; Biotechnology Industry; Health Industry
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      Lakhani, Karim R., and Paul R. Carlile. "Myelin Repair Foundation: Accelerating Drug Discovery Through Collaboration." Harvard Business School Case 610-074, March 2010. (Revised May 2012.)
      • February 2010
      • Other Article

      The Chilling Effect of Sarbanes Oxley: A Discussion of Sarbanes-Oxley and Corporate Risk-Taking

      By: Aiyesha Dey
      Bargeron, Lehn, and Zutter [2009. Sarbanes–Oxley and corporate risk-taking. Journal of Accounting and Economics, forthcoming] document that as compared with non-US firms, risk-taking by publicly traded companies in the US declined after the passage of the... View Details
      Keywords: Risk; Corporate Risk-taking; Risky Investments; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Dey, Aiyesha. "The Chilling Effect of Sarbanes Oxley: A Discussion of Sarbanes-Oxley and Corporate Risk-Taking." Journal of Accounting & Economics 49, nos. 1-2 (February 2010): 53–57.
      • January 2010
      • Journal Article

      A Choice Prediction Competition: Choices from Experience and from Description

      By: Ido Erev, Eyal Ert, Alvin E. Roth, Ernan E. Haruvy, Stefan Herzog, Robin Hau, Ralph Hertwig, Terrence Steward, Robert West and Christian Lebiere
      Erev, Ert, and Roth organized three choice prediction competitions focused on three related choice tasks: one-shot decisions from description (decisions under risk), one-shot decisions from experience, and repeated decisions from experience. Each competition was based... View Details
      Keywords: Experience and Expertise; Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty; Competition
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      Erev, Ido, Eyal Ert, Alvin E. Roth, Ernan E. Haruvy, Stefan Herzog, Robin Hau, Ralph Hertwig, Terrence Steward, Robert West, and Christian Lebiere. "A Choice Prediction Competition: Choices from Experience and from Description." Special Issue on Decisions from Experience. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 23, no. 1 (January 2010).
      • 2010
      • Chapter

      Leadership in a Globalizing World

      By: Rosabeth Moss Kanter
      In this chapter, world-renowned business expert, author, and Harvard Business School professor Rosabeth Moss Kanter asks the question, "Is leadership different in a globalizing world--one of broadening horizons and burgeoning sources of ideas and supplies--than in... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Globalized Firms and Management; Leadership; Research; Complexity; Diversity
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      Kanter, Rosabeth Moss. "Leadership in a Globalizing World." Chap. 20 in Handbook of Leadership Theory and Practice, edited by Nitin Nohria and Rakesh Khurana. Harvard Business Press, 2010.
      • 2010
      • Chapter

      Lessons from Catastrophe Reinsurance

      By: Kenneth A. Froot
      Of the 20 most costly catastrophes since 1970, more than half have occurred since 2001. Is this an omen of what the 21st century will be? How might we behave in this new, uncertain, and more dangerous environment? Will our actions be rational or irrational? A select... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Insurance; Risk and Uncertainty; Natural Disasters; Behavior
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      Froot, Kenneth A. "Lessons from Catastrophe Reinsurance." Chap. 20 in The Irrational Economist: Making Decisions in a Dangerous World, edited by Erwann Michel-Kerjan and Paul Slovic, 171–182. New York: PublicAffairs Books, 2010.
      • December 2009 (Revised April 2012)
      • Case

      Neoprene

      By: Tom Nicholas and Felipe Tamega Fernandes
      In 1931, during one of the worst economic crises in U.S. history, Du Pont announced the discovery of an innovative rubber synthetic product—neoprene. Yet at the time of the announcement, Du Pont did not have any neoprene to sell. Manufacturing facilities were still... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Business History; Innovation and Invention; Product Development; Risk and Uncertainty; Science-Based Business; Commercialization; Chemical Industry; United States
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      Nicholas, Tom, and Felipe Tamega Fernandes. "Neoprene." Harvard Business School Case 810-084, December 2009. (Revised April 2012.)
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