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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (1,627)
      • Faculty Publications  (393)

      Stock MarketRemove Stock Market →

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      • May – June 1981
      • Article

      Is Your Stock Worth Its Market Price?

      By: W. E. Fruhan Jr. and Thomas R. Piper
      Keywords: Stocks; Price; Value
      Citation
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      Fruhan, W. E., Jr., and Thomas R. Piper. "Is Your Stock Worth Its Market Price?" Harvard Business Review 59, no. 3 (May–June 1981).
      • spring 1974
      • Article

      The Optimality of a Competitive Stock Market

      By: Robert C. Merton and Marti G. Subrahmanyam
      Keywords: Competition; Stocks; Markets
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C., and Marti G. Subrahmanyam. "The Optimality of a Competitive Stock Market." Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 5, no. 1 (spring 1974): 145–170.
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath

      By: Antonio Falato, Giovanni Favara and David Scharfstein
      We present evidence that pressure to maximize short-term stock prices and earnings leads banks to increase risk. We start by showing that banks increase risk when they transition from private to public ownership through a public listing or an acquisition. The increase... View Details
      Keywords: Ownership Type; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Banks and Banking; Transition; Price
      Citation
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      Falato, Antonio, Giovanni Favara, and David Scharfstein. "Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath." Review of Financial Studies (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Capital Flows and Capital Goods (joint with Eliza Hammel)

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We examine one of the channels through which financial integration can help promote growth. In particular, we study the effects of capital account liberalization on the imports of capital goods. We pay particular attention to the effects of equity market... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Corporate Governance

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      The characteristics and structure of boards of directors have important implications for firm performance. Professor Wang has found that firms with well-connected boards whose members have strong network connections provide economic benefits that are not immediately... View Details

      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Heterogeneous Beliefs and Stock Market Fluctuations

      By: Odhrain McCarthy and Sebastian Hillenbrand
      This paper examines the role of heterogeneous investor beliefs in explaining stock market puzzles. Using survey data, we show that individual investors and investment professionals, such as equity analysts and strategists, form distinct beliefs. These groups rely on... View Details
      Citation
      SSRN
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      McCarthy, Odhrain, and Sebastian Hillenbrand. "Heterogeneous Beliefs and Stock Market Fluctuations." Working Paper, June 2025. (WFA Brattle Group Ph.D. Award for Outstanding Research.)
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Charlotte L. Robertson
      Professor Robertson conducts research on the history of financial markets. Her book manuscript and working papers shed light on the evolution of securities markets and the relationship between finance, governance, and society. Some of the topics she pursues include:... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Passive Ownership and Price Informativeness

      By: Marco Sammon
      I show that passive ownership negatively affects the degree to which stock prices anticipate earnings announcements. Estimates across several research designs imply that the rise in passive ownership over the last 30 years has caused the amount of information... View Details
      Keywords: Passive Ownership; ETFs; Market Efficiency; Price; Investment Funds; Stocks; Communication
      Citation
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      Sammon, Marco. "Passive Ownership and Price Informativeness." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online September 17, 2024.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Public Disclosure of Private Meetings: Does Observing Peers’ Information Acquisition Affect Analysts’ Attention Allocation?

      By: Yi Ru, Ronghuo Zheng and Yuan Zou
      We investigate the impact of observing peers’ information acquisition on financial analysts’ allocation of attention. Using the timely disclosure mandate by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange as a setting, we find that, shortly after analysts observe that a firm has been... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Disclosure; Information; Financial Institutions; Accounting; Financial Markets; Financial Services Industry; China
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      Ru, Yi, Ronghuo Zheng, and Yuan Zou. "Public Disclosure of Private Meetings: Does Observing Peers’ Information Acquisition Affect Analysts’ Attention Allocation?" Journal of Accounting Research (forthcoming). (Pre-published online March 3, 2025.)
      • April 2025
      • Article

      The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates

      By: Sebastian Hillenbrand
      In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the... View Details
      Keywords: United States Treasury; Monetary Policy; Yield Curve
      Citation
      SSRN
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      Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Review of Financial Studies 38, no. 4 (April 2025). (Editor's Choice.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking

      By: David S. Scharfstein and Antonio Falato
      We argue that stock market pressure to generate earnings encourages banks to increase risk. We measure risk using confidential supervisory ratings as well as financial information released in regulatory filings. We document that there is an increase in the risk-taking... View Details
      Keywords: Stock Market; Financial Markets; Business Earnings; Banks and Banking; Risk and Uncertainty
      Citation
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      Scharfstein, David S., and Antonio Falato. "The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Wall Street Research

      By: Paul M. Healy

      Wall Street research helps to support a well-functioning capital market by providing investors with information about investment opportunities, and corporate issuers with liquidity for their stocks. Yet surprisingly little is known about how Wall Street research... View Details

      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Brokerage; Investment Banking; Buy-side Analysts; Compensation; Financial Services Industry
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Who Values Democracy?

      By: Max Miller
      This paper examines the conventional view that redistribution is central to the democratization process using data from stock markets. Consistent with this view, democratizations have a large, negative impact on asset valuations driven by a rise in redistribution risk.... View Details
      Keywords: Government and Politics; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Crisis; Macroeconomics; Financial Markets; Valuation
      Citation
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      Miller, Max. "Who Values Democracy?" Journal of Political Economy (forthcoming).
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