Publications

16 Aug 2016
First Look

August 16, 2016

firm’s net protection sellers. Capital fluctuations of sellers account for 10% of the time-series variation in spread changes, a significant amount given that observable firm and macroeconomic factors account for less than 16% of... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

October 2024 (Revised January 2025)
Case

Citizens of the World: The International Legacy of Gloria von Thurn und Taxis

By: Lauren Cohen, Maximilian Form and Sophia Pan

When her husband passed away and inheritance taxes struck, Princess Gloria von Thurn und Taxis took decisive action to preserve her family’s fortune and legacy. The Thurn und Taxis family, one of Europe’s oldest aristocratic dynasties, had built their wealth through... View Details

Keywords: Family Office; Real Estate; Legacy; International Business; Family Business; Economy; Macroeconomics; Financial Crisis; Financial Liquidity; Investment; Global Strategy; Reputation; Diversification; Wealth; Taxation; Germany

June 2016
Supplement

FANUC Corporation: Reassessing the Firm's Governance and Financial Policies Spreadsheet Supplement

By: Benjamin C. Esty and Akiko Kanno

In February 2015, Daniel Loeb (a US-based activist investor) announced his firm had a large investment in FANUC Corporation, a leading producer of industrial robots and software for machine tools. Loeb was demanding that the Japanese firm change its financial and... View Details

Keywords: Financial Management; Valuation; Investment Funds; Policy; Corporate Governance; Macroeconomics; Investment Activism; Change Management; Financial Strategy; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Japan; United States

21 Aug 2006
Research & Ideas

How Europe Wrote the Rules of Global Finance

and 1950s capital controls were perfectly orthodox tools of macroeconomic management. And forty years before that, prior to the outbreak of World War I in 1914, capital controls had then been heretical. The big, unanswered question was:... View Details

Keywords: by Ann Cullen

22 Jan 2007
Research & Ideas

The Immigrant Technologist: Studying Technology Transfer with China

sample to quantify correctly the overall importance of these networks. The Silicon Valley Chinese are a very special case, and my work seeks to understand the larger benefit these networks provide throughout the global economy. These View Details

Keywords: Re: William R. Kerr; Technology; Computer

25 Mar 2014
First Look

First Look: March 25

bonds to the stock market has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1960-2011, it was unusually high in the 1980s and negative in the 2000s, a period during which Treasury bonds enabled investors to hedge View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

2007
Working Paper

Facts and Fallacies about U.S. FDI in China

By: Lee Branstetter and C. Fritz Foley

Despite the rapid expansion of U.S.-China trade ties, the increase in U.S. FDI in China, and the expanding amount of economic research exploring these developments, a number of misconceptions distort the popular understanding of U.S. multinationals in China. In this... View Details

Keywords: Macroeconomics; Trade; Foreign Direct Investment; Multinational Firms and Management; Expansion; China; United States

Read Now

06 Jan 2003
What Do You Think?

China: The Next Big Market Opportunity or the Next Big Bubble?

overestimating the speed and magnitude of possible investment returns. First, what's the amount of risk at the macroeconomic level? Wenbin Guo suggests that it is lower than most people think, primarily because of the vast, diverse nature... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

01 Dec 2015
First Look

December 1, 2015

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50046 The Probability of Rare Disasters: Estimation and Implications By: Siriwardane, Emil Abstract—I analyze a rare disasters economy that yields a measure of the risk neutral probability of a View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

08 Oct 2013
First Look

First Look: October 8

over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1960-2011, it was unusually high in the 1980s and negative in the 2000s, a period during which Treasury bonds enabled investors to hedge macroeconomic risks. This paper... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

11 Dec 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, December 11, 2018

activity. When our measure is high, safe bonds fall in value and risky assets rally, forecasting a boom in investment. Risk appetite is closely linked to investors’ expectations of future risk and rises following positive macroeconomic... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

10 Feb 2009
First Look

First Look: February 10, 2009

http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/ b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=509004 The Great Moderation Harvard Business School Note 709-023 The Great Moderation is a significant decline in the volatility of fluctuations in most View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

December 2020 (Revised April 2021)
Case

Arcos Dorados: A QSR Recovery Plan

By: Forest Reinhardt, José B. Alvarez, Jenyfeer Martinez Buitrago and Mariana Cal

Arcos Dorados—McDonald’s largest independent franchisee, covering Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)—faced a pandemic that was disrupting the entire consumer foodservice business in 2020. With the exclusive right to own, operate, and sub-franchise McDonald’s... View Details

17 May 2016
First Look

May 17, 2016

Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=51066 2016 Antonio Serra and the Economics of Good Government Authority and Expertise at the Origins of Macroeconomics By: Reinert, Sophus A. Abstract—No abstract available.... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

July 2005 (Revised December 2006)
Case

Japan: Deficits, Demography, and Deflation

By: Richard H.K. Vietor

By 2005, Japan's debt had risen to 163% of GDP. For more than a decade, the government had run huge deficits, trying unsuccessfully to stimulate economic growth. Interest rates, meanwhile, had been zero for years. But with slow growth and banks in crisis, nothing had... View Details

Keywords: Economy; Economic Growth; Demographics; Financial Condition; Inflation and Deflation; Banks and Banking; Borrowing and Debt; Macroeconomics; Policy; Government and Politics; Welfare; Health Care and Treatment; Japan

27 Jun 2007
Lessons from the Classroom

Learning to Make the Move to CEO

macroeconomic view of world regions so that participants have a clear sense of how various economic and sociopolitical factors will affect their businesses. The heart of the program, however, centers on strategy formation and... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Education

07 Feb 2007
Research & Ideas

Dividends from Schumpeter’s Noble Failure

page the ghost of that policy looks over the shoulder of the analyst, frames his assumptions, guides his pen." Overall, says Schumpeter, "the capitalist process is essentially a process of change of the type which is being assumed away in this book." In... View Details

Keywords: by Thomas K. McCraw

29 Apr 2014
First Look

First Look: April 29

of U.S. Treasury bonds to the stock market has moved considerably over time. While it was slightly positive on average in the period 1960-2011, it was unusually high in the 1980s and negative in the 2000s, a period during which Treasury bonds enabled investors to hedge... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

May 2015
Teaching Note

The United Kingdom and the Means to Prosperity

By: Laura Alfaro, Lakshmi Iyer and Hilary White

After struggling through the country's longest recession since 2008, the U.K. was expected to grow faster than any other G7 nation in 2014. Analysts wondered whether the return to growth was because, or in spite of, Prime Minister David Cameron's controversial £113... View Details