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  • 01 Sep 2015
  • First Look

First Look -- September 1, 2015

windfall ended, and the recipient countries experienced a significant uptick in civil war. To provide a causal interpretation we leverage a quasi-natural experiment of oil price induced aid disbursements that favored Muslim countries over... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 15

Our results thus identify a causal effect of poverty on crime. They also lend credence to a large literature on the effects of weather shocks on crime and conflict, which has usually assumed that the income channel is the most relevant... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Jan 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 20

well documented, little is known about why norms of silencing conflict evolve. To explore this evolution, we draw on an ethnographic study that spanned the entire life of a dot.com, starting with its founding and ending with its sale to a larger company. Distilling our... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 03 Jan 2007
  • First Look

First Look: January 3, 2007

for a home water purification solution results in more use of the product. Our methodology separates the screening effect of prices (charging more changes the mix of buyers) from the causal effect of prices (charging more stimulates... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Jul 2016
  • First Look

July 19, 2016

Abstract—We estimate the causal effect of sovereign default on the equity returns of Argentine firms. We identify this effect by exploiting changes in the probability of Argentine sovereign default induced by legal rulings in the case of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 14 Oct 2014
  • First Look

First Look: October 14

firms. These findings remain robust when we address potential reverse causality by exploring the regional pattern and process of agglomeration. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 06 May 2014
  • First Look

First Look: May 6

capital-good market externality and technology diffusion play a more important role in the offshore agglomeration of multinationals than the agglomeration of domestic firms. These findings remain robust when we address potential reverse View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Mar 2013
  • First Look

First Look: March 19

Detainees are randomly assigned to judges, and ideological differences across judges translate into large differences in the allocation of electronic monitoring to an otherwise similar population. Using these peculiarities of the Argentine setting, we argue that there... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 Feb 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 9

Hierarchies Authors:Maria Guadalupe and Julie Wulf Publication:American Economic Journals: Applied Economics (forthcoming) Abstract This paper establishes a causal effect of product market competition on various characteristics of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • Web

Leadership, Ethics, and Corporate Accountability Course | HBS Online

business in society and why an organizational approach focusing on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues can—and should—be financially viable. Highlights Causality and Complicity The Tazreen Fire Purpose of the Firm Show Hide... View Details
  • 12 Feb 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019

events, messenger dislike is correlated with the belief that the messenger had malevolent motives (Studies 5A, 5B, & 5C). Studies 6A & 6B go further, manipulating messenger motives independently from news valence to suggest its View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 09 Dec 2014
  • First Look

First Look: December 9

affects how perceivers evaluate and respond to the actor. This experiment reveals a theoretically novel and practically informative result that demonstrates the causal relation between preparatory nonverbal behavior and subsequent... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 16 Sep 2014
  • First Look

First Look: September 16

shocks and crime is similar to the observed relationship between rainfall shocks and crime. Our results thus identify a causal effect of poverty on crime. They also lend credence to a large literature on the effects of weather shocks on... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 13, 2010

countries, we show that prosocial spending is consistently associated with greater happiness. To test for causality, we conduct experiments within two very different countries (Canada and Uganda) and show that spending money on others has a consistent, View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Mar 2013
  • News

Sizing Up Social Impact

and how to measure it. This depends on two critical factors: how much they know about causality in their interventions, and how much of their environment they can reasonably control," Ebrahim says. "Based on these two conditions, they can... View Details
Keywords: Julia Hanna; Crop Production; Agriculture; Administration of Economic Programs; Government; Administration of Housing Programs, Urban Planning, and Community Development; Government; Water, Sewage and Supply Systems; Utilities
  • 08 Dec 2009
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 8

to conflict, and the issues related to making causal inferences from observed correlations. We illustrate how some of these issues can be overcome in a study of mental health in post-conflict Bosnia and Herzegovina. Mental health is... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 26 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 26, 2007

escalation in movie advertising expenditures over time. Yet, the returns to movie advertising are poorly understood. The main reason is that disentangling the causal effect of advertising on movie sales is difficult because of the classic... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 24 Oct 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, October 24, 2017

consistent with our theorizing. However, while significant, perspective-taking does not mediate these relationships in the expected direction, because it has a negative effect on sales. In Studies 2a and 2b, both experimental studies, we strengthen View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Nov 2008
  • First Look

First Look: November 25, 2008

http://papers.nber.org/papers/w14483 The Flattening Firm and Product Market Competition: The Effect of Trade Liberalization Authors: Maria Guadalupe and Julie M. Wulf Abstract This paper establishes a causal effect of competition from... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 20 Oct 2015
  • First Look

October 20, 2015

comfortable with the concepts of correlation and causation. This background note provides an overview of correlation and causation using examples and explains why the former does not imply the latter. It also describes several methods for gaining insights into View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne