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  • All HBS Web  (438)
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  • All HBS Web  (438)
    • News  (106)
    • Research  (280)
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  • Faculty Publications  (122)
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  • 2013
  • Working Paper

Adjusting National Accounting for Health: Is the Business Cycle Countercyclical?

By: Mark Egan, Casey B. Mulligan and Tomas J. Philipson
Many national accounts of economic output and prosperity, such as gross domestic product (GDP) or net domestic product (NDP), offer an incomplete picture by ignoring, for example, the value of leisure, home production, and the value of health. Previous discussed... View Details
Keywords: Health; Valuation; Accounting; United States
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Egan, Mark, Casey B. Mulligan, and Tomas J. Philipson. "Adjusting National Accounting for Health: Is the Business Cycle Countercyclical?" NBER Working Paper Series, No. 19058, May 2013.
  • December 2003
  • Article

Stochastic Technical Progress, Smooth Trends, and Nearly Distinct Business Cycles

By: Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Information Technology; Trends; Business Cycles
Citation
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Rotemberg, Julio J. "Stochastic Technical Progress, Smooth Trends, and Nearly Distinct Business Cycles." American Economic Review 93, no. 5 (December 2003): 1543–1559.
  • 09 Jan 2014
  • Research & Ideas

The Entrepreneurs Who Invented Economic Forecasting

economic future, and in essence moderate the risk of investing in capitalistic ventures. “Forecasters found a ready audience during a time of social and economic turbulence” In his book Fortune Tellers: The... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • February 19, 2025
  • Article

To Break the Cycle of Low-Wage Work, Redesign the Workforce System

By: Joseph B. Fuller and Kerry McKittrick
Keywords: Public Sector; Personal Development and Career; Employees; Government Legislation
Citation
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Fuller, Joseph B., and Kerry McKittrick. "To Break the Cycle of Low-Wage Work, Redesign the Workforce System." Work Shift (February 19, 2025).
  • 2011
  • Chapter

The Economics of Housing Finance Reform

By: David S. Scharfstein and Adi Sunderam
This paper analyzes the two leading types of proposals for reform of the housing finance system: (i) broad-based, explicit, priced government guarantees of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and (ii) privatization. Both proposals have drawbacks. Properly-priced... View Details
Keywords: Economics; Housing; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Policy; Government and Politics
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Scharfstein, David S., and Adi Sunderam. "The Economics of Housing Finance Reform." In The Future of Housing Finance: Restructuring the U.S. Residential Mortgage Market, edited by Martin Neil Baily. Brookings Institution Press, 2011.
  • 05 Dec 2013
  • What Do You Think?

Is Walmart Defying Economic Gravity?

Original Article There is a body of research that seeks to relate economics to human biology. It's usually associated with the notion that the life cycles of businesses parallel stages of biological life:... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Retail
  • 29 Jun 2016
  • Research & Ideas

The $1 Trillion Link Between Mental Health and Economic Productivity

hurt the economy, and, consequently, how an economic downturn can lead to more mental health problems. Click to watch. Here are some key points in the five-minute video: At 1:25 Ashraf talks about the vicious View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel
  • 05 Aug 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Watching for the Next Economic Downturn? Follow Corporate Debt

What really fuels a boom-and-bust cycle in the modern global economy? It’s not always household debt, says a new paper that parses in-depth data across 115 countries. Instead, rising corporate debt may flash the clearest warning that a... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne
  • February 1969
  • Article

Test of a Product Cycle Model of International Trade: U.S. Exports of Consumer Durables

By: Louis T Wells Jr
Keywords: Global Range; Trade; Product; Goods and Commodities; United States
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Wells, Louis T., Jr. "Test of a Product Cycle Model of International Trade: U.S. Exports of Consumer Durables." Quarterly Journal of Economics 83, no. 1 (February 1969): 152–62. (Also reprinted in Wells, The Product Life Cycle and International Trade.)
  • Article

The Asymmetric Experience of Positive and Negative Economic Growth: Global Evidence Using Subjective Well-being Data

By: Jan-Emmanuel De Neve, George Ward, Femke De Keulenaer, Bert Van Landeghem, Georgios Kavetsos and Michael I. Norton
Are individuals more sensitive to losses than gains in terms of economic growth? We find that measures of subjective well-being are more than twice as sensitive to negative as compared to positive economic growth. We use Gallup World Poll data from over 150 countries,... View Details
Keywords: Economic Growth; Business Cycles; Welfare; Perception; Global Range
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De Neve, Jan-Emmanuel, George Ward, Femke De Keulenaer, Bert Van Landeghem, Georgios Kavetsos, and Michael I. Norton. "The Asymmetric Experience of Positive and Negative Economic Growth: Global Evidence Using Subjective Well-being Data." Review of Economics and Statistics 100, no. 2 (May 2018): 362–375.
  • 08 Mar 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Solving an Economic Mystery Surrounding Argentina and Chile

countries side-by-side, exploring them from the 1850s up until the present day, when Chile’s economic strength seems to have surpassed Argentina’s—a reversal of fortune. The Impact of Globalization on Argentina and Chile explores the... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 2017
  • Working Paper

The Rise of American Ingenuity: Innovation and Inventors of the Golden Age

By: Ufuk Akcigit, John Grigsby and Tom Nicholas
We examine the golden age of U.S. innovation by undertaking a major data collection exercise linking inventors from historical U.S. patents to Federal Censuses between 1880 and 1940 and to regional economic aggregates. We provide a theoretical framework to motivate the... View Details
Keywords: Economic Development; Patents; Economic Growth; Innovation and Invention; Demographics
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Akcigit, Ufuk, John Grigsby, and Tom Nicholas. "The Rise of American Ingenuity: Innovation and Inventors of the Golden Age." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-063, January 2017. (Revised June 2017.)
  • 1994
  • Comment

Economic Crises: Necessary for Trade Liberalization and Fiscal Reform?

By: K. A. Froot
Keywords: Business Cycles; Financial Crisis; Trade; Government and Politics; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms
Citation
Related
Froot, K. A. Comment on "Economic Crises: Necessary for Trade Liberalization and Fiscal Reform?" Stabilization, Economic Reform and Growth, edited by R. Dornbusch and S. Edwards, 73–75. University of Chicago Press, 1994.
  • 02 Sep 2019
  • What Do You Think?

Are Overlooked Forces Shielding the US from Severe Economic Downturns?

peterhowell Summing Up: Is the Current US Economic Expansion Primarily in the Hands of the Fed? New applications of technology and the expansion of the service economy may contribute to prolonged economic... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Service
  • 2022
  • Working Paper

Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups

By: Shai Bernstein, Richard Townsend and Ting Xu
Using proprietary data from AngelList Talent, we study how individuals’ job search and application behavior changed during the COVID-19 downturn. We find that job seekers shifted their searches toward more established firms and away from early-stage startups, even... View Details
Keywords: Startup Labor Market; Flight To Safety; COVID-19; Recession; Business Startups; Human Capital; Business Cycles; Health Pandemics
Citation
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Bernstein, Shai, Richard Townsend, and Ting Xu. "Flight to Safety: How Economic Downturns Affect Talent Flows to Startups." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-045, September 2020. (Revised March 2022.)
  • February 2008 (Revised December 2023)
  • Case

Digital Music: From MP3 to Streaming

By: Willy Shih
The emergence of the MP3 file-based music format not only disrupted the market for portable audio players, it also impacted the business models of major record labels. Modularity, and the commoditization spillover enabled by modularity in the personal computer... View Details
Keywords: Recording; Digital Devices; Digital Media; Digital Music; Digital; Digital Economics; Consumer Electronics; Customer Value and Value Chain; Disruptive Innovation; Technological Innovation; Information Technology; Music Industry; Technology Industry; Electronics Industry; United States
Citation
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Shih, Willy. "Digital Music: From MP3 to Streaming." Harvard Business School Case 608-119, February 2008. (Revised December 2023.)
  • 23 Nov 2020
  • Research & Ideas

COVID Was Supposed to Increase Bankruptcies. Instead, They've Gone Down.

Bankruptcy filings in the United States were expected to soar during this year’s economic recession, induced by COVID-19. Instead, they dropped 27 percent year-over-year through August, driven by an unexpected drop in consumer and small... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne
  • 08 Sep 2016
  • Working Paper Summaries

A Model of Credit Market Sentiment

Keywords: by Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin; Financial Services
  • February 2015
  • Article

The Great Recession, Insurance Mandates, and the Use of In Vitro Fertilization Services in the United States

By: Sorapop Kiatpongsan, Robert S. Huckman and Mark D. Hornstein
Objective: To investigate the relationship between economic activities, insurance mandates, and the use of in vitro fertilization (IVF) in the United States.

Design: We examined the correlation between the coincident index (a proxy for overall economic... View Details
Keywords: Macroeconomics; Recessions; Medical Care; In Vitro Fertilization; Health Industry; United States
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Kiatpongsan, Sorapop, Robert S. Huckman, and Mark D. Hornstein. "The Great Recession, Insurance Mandates, and the Use of In Vitro Fertilization Services in the United States." Fertility and Sterility 103, no. 2 (February 2015): 448–454.
  • 30 Jul 2015
  • Working Paper Summaries

Networks and the Macroeconomy: An Empirical Exploration

Keywords: by Daron Acemoglu, Ufuk Akcigit & William Kerr
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