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- Faculty Publications (21)
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- 2019
- Working Paper
Persuasive Propaganda During the 2015 Argentine Ballotage
By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
We study a propaganda campaign sponsored by the government against the main political challenger in the days preceding the 2015 Argentine runoff presidential election. Subjects in the treatment group watched an “ad” initially aired during soccer transmissions that was... View Details
Keywords: Propaganda; Persuasion; Voting; Political Elections; Government and Politics; Communication Strategy; Power and Influence; Public Opinion; Argentina
Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky. "Persuasive Propaganda During the 2015 Argentine Ballotage." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-030, September 2019. (Revised November 2019.)
- 2010
- Chapter
Crime Distribution and Victim Behavior during a Crime Wave
By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
The study of how crime affects different income groups faces the difficulty that crime-avoiding activities vary across these groups. Thus, a lower victimization rate in one group may not reflect a lower burden of crime, but rather a higher investment in crime... View Details
Keywords: Safety; Wealth and Poverty; Selection and Staffing; Crime and Corruption; Income; Leading Change; Information Management; Argentina
Di Tella, Rafael, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky. "Crime Distribution and Victim Behavior during a Crime Wave." Chap. 5 in The Economics of Crime: Lessons for and from Latin America, edited by Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Edwards, and Ernesto Schargrodsky, 175–204. National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report. University of Chicago Press, 2010.
- 2023
- Working Paper
The Optimal Stock Valuation Ratio
By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
Trailing price ratios, such as the price-dividend and the price-earnings ratio, scale prices by trailing cash flow measures. They theoretically contain expected returns, yet, their performance in predicting stock market returns is poor. This is because of an omitted... View Details
Keywords: Price; Investment Return; AI and Machine Learning; Valuation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
Hillenbrand, Sebastian, and Odhrain McCarthy. "The Optimal Stock Valuation Ratio." Working Paper, November 2023.
- 15 Feb 2011
- First Look
First Look: Feb. 15
versus status) for these two subgroups. Distribution and Victim Behavior during a Crime Wave Authors:Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky Publication:Chap. 4 in The Economics of Crime: Lessons for and from Latin... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- April 2025
- Article
The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates
In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the... View Details
Keywords: United States Treasury; Monetary Policy; Yield Curve; Bonds; Financial Markets; Government Administration; Valuation; Interest Rates; United States
Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Review of Financial Studies 38, no. 4 (April 2025): 981–1013. (Editor's Choice.)
- March 2024 (Revised July 2024)
- Case
The CHIPS Program Office
By: Mitchell B. Weiss and Sebastian Negron-Reichard
In February 2023, U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo weighed signing off on a Notice of Funding Opportunity (“NOFO”) with at least one unconventional provision: a pre-application (“pre-app”) to the actual application for parts of $39 billion in direct semiconductor... View Details
Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Public Sector; Government Administration; Government Legislation; Motivation and Incentives; Semiconductor Industry; Public Administration Industry; United States
Weiss, Mitchell B., and Sebastian Negron-Reichard. "The CHIPS Program Office." Harvard Business School Case 824-094, March 2024. (Revised July 2024.)
- 07 Dec 2010
- First Look
First Look: Dec. 7
Simons. By posing these provocative questions, you identify critical gaps in your strategy execution processes, focus on the most important choices you must make, and understand what's at stake in each one. In this concise guide, Simons... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- April 2025
- Case
The CHIPS Program Office (Abridged)
By: Mitch Weiss and Sebastian Negron-Reichard
In February 2023, U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo weighed signing off on a Notice of Funding Opportunity (“NOFO”) with at least one unconventional provision: a pre-application (“pre-app”) to the actual application for parts of $39 billion in direct semiconductor... View Details
Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Public Sector; Government Administration; Government Legislation; Motivation and Incentives; Semiconductor Industry; Public Administration Industry; United States
Weiss, Mitch, and Sebastian Negron-Reichard. "The CHIPS Program Office (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 825-192, April 2025.
- 2023
- Working Paper
The Political Economy of a 'Miracle Cure': The Case of Nebulized Ibuprofen and Its Diffusion in Argentina
By: Sebastian Calónico, Rafael Di Tella and Juan Cruz Lopez Del Valle
We document the diffusion of nebulized ibuprofen in Argentina as a treatment for COVID-19. As the pandemic spread, this clinically unsupported drug reached thousands of patients, even some seriously ill, despite warnings by the regulator and medical societies. Detailed... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19; Health Care and Treatment; Health Pandemics; Adoption; Behavior; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Learning
Calónico, Sebastian, Rafael Di Tella, and Juan Cruz Lopez Del Valle. "The Political Economy of a 'Miracle Cure': The Case of Nebulized Ibuprofen and Its Diffusion in Argentina." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 31781, October 2023.
- Article
Ambidextrous Leadership: Emerging Challenges for Business and HR Leaders
By: Gilbert Probst, Sebastian Raisch and Michael Tushman
Probst, Gilbert, Sebastian Raisch, and Michael Tushman. "Ambidextrous Leadership: Emerging Challenges for Business and HR Leaders." Organizational Dynamics 40, no. 4 (October–December 2011): 326–334.
- 25 Nov 2008
- First Look
First Look: November 25, 2008
Working Papers Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization Authors: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky Abstract Argentina privatized most public utilities during the 1990s but... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 10 May 2011
- First Look
First Look: May 10
NEAD). NEAD chains create "bridge donors" whose incompatible recipients receive kidneys before the bridge donor donates, and so risk reneging by bridge donors, but offer the opportunity to create more transplants View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 27 Feb 2007
- First Look
First Look: February 27, 2007
Working PapersPublic Action for Public Goods Authors:Abhijit Banerjee, Lakshmi Iyer, and Rohini Somanathan Abstract This paper focuses on the relationship between public action and access to public goods. It begins by developing a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- October 2009
- Teaching Note
GE Money Bank: The M-Budget Card Initiative (TN)
By: Michael L. Tushman, Sebastian Raisch and Christian Welling
Teaching Note for [410052]. View Details
- 24 Jan 2012
- First Look
First Look: Jan. 24
(Study 1). Product priming also increases the speed with which product-relevant individuals come to mind (Study 2). In Study 3, consumers felt subjectively closer to networks primed by specific products, and this felt closeness predicted... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 17 Mar 2011
- Research & Ideas
Harvard Business School Faculty Comment on Crisis in Japan
As Japan continues to come to grips with the devastating toll exacted by the earthquake within its borders, the aftershocks are just beginning to be felt within the global economy. Here, several Harvard Business School faculty members... View Details
Keywords: Re: Multiple Faculty
- 20 Mar 2012
- First Look
First Look: March 20
economic actors. Capitalist competition takes place in markets that exist in legal and regulatory frameworks and are governed by a political authority with the power and legitimacy to empower as well as regulate behavior and punish... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 15 Dec 2009
- First Look
First Look: Dec. 15, 2009
M-Budget Card Initiative Michael L. Tushman, Sebastian Raisch, and Christian WellingHarvard Business School Case 410-052 The M-Budget Card case study is about mastering the challenges of an exploratory strategic initiative in a context... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 13 Oct 2015
- First Look
October 13, 2015
David Laibson, and Brigitte C. Madrian Abstract—Can governments increase private savings by taxing savings up front instead of in retirement? Roth 401(k) contributions are not tax-deductible in the contribution year, but withdrawals in... View Details
- 10 Mar 2009
- First Look
First Look: March 10, 2009
or beat key benchmarks. This paper examines this hypothesis by testing how different types of marketing expenditures are used to boost earnings for a durable commodity consumer product which can be easily stockpiled View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace