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  • 2019
  • Working Paper

Persuasive Propaganda During the 2015 Argentine Ballotage

By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
We study a propaganda campaign sponsored by the government against the main political challenger in the days preceding the 2015 Argentine runoff presidential election. Subjects in the treatment group watched an “ad” initially aired during soccer transmissions that was... View Details
Keywords: Propaganda; Persuasion; Voting; Political Elections; Government and Politics; Communication Strategy; Power and Influence; Public Opinion; Argentina
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  • 2010
  • Chapter

Crime Distribution and Victim Behavior during a Crime Wave

By: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani and Ernesto Schargrodsky
The study of how crime affects different income groups faces the difficulty that crime-avoiding activities vary across these groups. Thus, a lower victimization rate in one group may not reflect a lower burden of crime, but rather a higher investment in crime... View Details
Keywords: Safety; Wealth and Poverty; Selection and Staffing; Crime and Corruption; Income; Leading Change; Information Management; Argentina
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  • 2023
  • Working Paper

The Political Economy of a 'Miracle Cure': The Case of Nebulized Ibuprofen and Its Diffusion in Argentina

By: Sebastian Calónico, Rafael Di Tella and Juan Cruz Lopez Del Valle
We document the diffusion of nebulized ibuprofen in Argentina as a treatment for COVID-19. As the pandemic spread, this clinically unsupported drug reached thousands of patients, even some seriously ill, despite warnings by the regulator and medical societies. Detailed... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19; Health Care and Treatment; Health Pandemics; Adoption; Behavior; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Learning
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  • 2023
  • Working Paper

The Optimal Stock Valuation Ratio

By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
Trailing price ratios, such as the price-dividend and the price-earnings ratio, scale prices by trailing cash flow measures. They theoretically contain expected returns, yet, their performance in predicting stock market returns is poor. This is because of an omitted... View Details
Keywords: Price; Investment Return; AI and Machine Learning; Valuation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Valuing Stocks With Earnings

By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
We show that commonly used aggregate earnings are several times as volatile as stock prices over the last three decades. Movements in the price-earnings ratio are thus entirely explained by earnings growth and unrelated to future returns. As an alternative to the... View Details
Keywords: Price; Investment Portfolio; Stocks; Behavioral Finance; Accounting
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  • 2022
  • Working Paper

Heterogeneous Investors and Stock Market Fluctuations

By: Odhrain McCarthy and Sebastian Hillenbrand
We introduce a heterogeneous agent model which features extrapolative beliefs and time-varying risk aversion. The model leads to an empirical framework which we estimate with stock prices, survey data and risk aversion measures. We find that extrapolative beliefs and... View Details
Keywords: Stock Market; Investment Decisions; Asset Pricing; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Stocks
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  • April 2025
  • Case

The CHIPS Program Office (Abridged)

By: Mitch Weiss and Sebastian Negron-Reichard
In February 2023, U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo weighed signing off on a Notice of Funding Opportunity (“NOFO”) with at least one unconventional provision: a pre-application (“pre-app”) to the actual application for parts of $39 billion in direct semiconductor... View Details
Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Public Sector; Government Administration; Government Legislation; Motivation and Incentives; Semiconductor Industry; Public Administration Industry; United States
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  • 15 Feb 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 15

versus status) for these two subgroups. Distribution and Victim Behavior during a Crime Wave Authors:Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky Publication:Chap. 4 in The Economics of Crime: Lessons for and from Latin... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • March 2024 (Revised July 2024)
  • Case

The CHIPS Program Office

By: Mitchell B. Weiss and Sebastian Negron-Reichard
In February 2023, U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo weighed signing off on a Notice of Funding Opportunity (“NOFO”) with at least one unconventional provision: a pre-application (“pre-app”) to the actual application for parts of $39 billion in direct semiconductor... View Details
Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Public Sector; Government Administration; Government Legislation; Motivation and Incentives; Semiconductor Industry; Public Administration Industry; United States
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  • 07 Dec 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 7

Simons. By posing these provocative questions, you identify critical gaps in your strategy execution processes, focus on the most important choices you must make, and understand what's at stake in each one. In this concise guide, Simons... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 10 May 2011
  • First Look

First Look: May 10

NEAD). NEAD chains create "bridge donors" whose incompatible recipients receive kidneys before the bridge donor donates, and so risk reneging by bridge donors, but offer the opportunity to create more transplants View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Nov 2008
  • First Look

First Look: November 25, 2008

Working Papers Reality versus Propaganda in the Formation of Beliefs about Privatization Authors: Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Galiani, and Ernesto Schargrodsky Abstract Argentina privatized most public utilities during the 1990s but... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • Article

Ambidextrous Leadership: Emerging Challenges for Business and HR Leaders

By: Gilbert Probst, Sebastian Raisch and Michael Tushman
Keywords: Leadership; Problems and Challenges; Human Resources
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  • October 2009
  • Teaching Note

GE Money Bank: The M-Budget Card Initiative (TN)

By: Michael L. Tushman, Sebastian Raisch and Christian Welling
Teaching Note for [410052]. View Details
Keywords: Time Management; Change Management; Problems and Challenges; Projects; Banks and Banking; Innovation and Invention; Product Launch; Knowledge; Experience and Expertise; Value; Competition; Operations; Financial Services Industry; Real Estate Industry
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  • 27 Feb 2007
  • First Look

First Look: February 27, 2007

  Working PapersPublic Action for Public Goods Authors:Abhijit Banerjee, Lakshmi Iyer, and Rohini Somanathan Abstract This paper focuses on the relationship between public action and access to public goods. It begins by developing a... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 24 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 24

(Study 1). Product priming also increases the speed with which product-relevant individuals come to mind (Study 2). In Study 3, consumers felt subjectively closer to networks primed by specific products, and this felt closeness predicted... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Mar 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Harvard Business School Faculty Comment on Crisis in Japan

As Japan continues to come to grips with the devastating toll exacted by the earthquake within its borders, the aftershocks are just beginning to be felt within the global economy. Here, several Harvard Business School faculty members... View Details
Keywords: Re: Multiple Faculty
  • 20 Mar 2012
  • First Look

First Look: March 20

economic actors. Capitalist competition takes place in markets that exist in legal and regulatory frameworks and are governed by a political authority with the power and legitimacy to empower as well as regulate behavior and punish... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 15 Dec 2009
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 15, 2009

M-Budget Card Initiative Michael L. Tushman, Sebastian Raisch, and Christian WellingHarvard Business School Case 410-052 The M-Budget Card case study is about mastering the challenges of an exploratory strategic initiative in a context... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 10, 2009

or beat key benchmarks. This paper examines this hypothesis by testing how different types of marketing expenditures are used to boost earnings for a durable commodity consumer product which can be easily stockpiled View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace

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