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- All HBS Web (87)
- Faculty Publications (31)
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- January 2023
- Article
Racial Diversity and Racial Policy Preferences: The Great Migration and Civil Rights
By: Alvaro Calderon, Vasiliki Fouka and Marco Tabellini
Between 1940 and 1970, more than 4 million African Americans moved from the South to the North of the United States, during the Second Great Migration. This same period witnessed the struggle and eventual success of the civil rights movement in ending institutionalized... View Details
Keywords: Civil Rights; Great Migration; History; Race; Rights; Prejudice and Bias; Government Legislation
Calderon, Alvaro, Vasiliki Fouka, and Marco Tabellini. "Racial Diversity and Racial Policy Preferences: The Great Migration and Civil Rights." Review of Economic Studies 90, no. 1 (January 2023): 165–200. (Available also from VOX, Broadstreet, and VOX EU.)
- 2025
- Working Paper
Extractive Taxation and the French Revolution
By: Tommaso Giommoni, Gabriel Loumeau and Marco Tabellini
We study the fiscal determinants of the French Revolution, exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in the salt tax—a large source of royal revenues and one of the most extractive forms of taxation of the Ancien Régime. Implementing a Regression Discontinuity... View Details
Keywords: Extractive Taxation; Regime Change; French Revolution; State Capacity; Taxation; History; Government Administration; Attitudes; Public Opinion
Giommoni, Tommaso, Gabriel Loumeau, and Marco Tabellini. "Extractive Taxation and the French Revolution." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-047, April 2025. (Featured at VoxEU and HBS Working Knowledge.)
- 2023
- Working Paper
Local Shocks and Internal Migration: The Disparate Effects of Robots and Chinese Imports in the U.S.
By: Marius Faber, Andres Sarto and Marco Tabellini
Do local labor markets adjust to economic shocks through migration? In this paper, we study this question by focusing on two of the most important shocks that hit U.S. manufacturing since the 1990s: Chinese import competition and the introduction of industrial robots.... View Details
Faber, Marius, Andres Sarto, and Marco Tabellini. "Local Shocks and Internal Migration: The Disparate Effects of Robots and Chinese Imports in the U.S." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-071, December 2019. (Revised February 2023. Also appears in HBS Working Knowledge. Longer NBER working paper version here. Revise and resubmit at the European Economic Review.)
- 2021
- Working Paper
Issue Salience and Political Stereotypes
By: Pedro Bordalo, Marco Tabellini and David Yang
U.S. voters exaggerate the differences in attitudes held by Republicans and Democrats on a range of socioeconomic and political issues, and higher perceived polarization is associated with greater political engagement and affective polarization. In this paper, we... View Details
- July 2025
- Article
Economic Integration and the Transmission of Democracy
By: Marco Tabellini and Giacomo Magistretti
In this paper, we study the effects of economic integration with democratic partners on democracy. We assemble a large country-level panel dataset from 1960 to 2015, and exploit improvements in air, relative to sea, transportation to derive a time-varying instrument... View Details
Keywords: Democratization; Institutional Development; Economic Integration; International Trade; Democracy; Political Preferences; Institutions; Trade; Global Range; Economics; Government and Politics
Tabellini, Marco, and Giacomo Magistretti. "Economic Integration and the Transmission of Democracy." Review of Economic Studies 92, no. 4 (July 2025): 2765–2792. (Available also from VOX, VOXEU, Atlantico, The Economist, Domani, and Ideas for India. Longer NBER working paper version available here.)
- 2024
- Working Paper
Migration, Climate Similarity, and the Consequences of Climate Mismatch
By: Marguerite Obolensky, Marco Tabellini and Charles Taylor
This paper examines the concept of “climate matching” in migration—the idea that migrants seek out destinations with familiar climates. Focusing on the US, we document that temperature distance between origin and destination predicts the distribution of migrants across... View Details
Keywords: Migration; Climate; Immigration; Residency; Weather; Ethnicity; Climate Change; Geographic Location; Policy; United States
Obolensky, Marguerite, Marco Tabellini, and Charles Taylor. "Migration, Climate Similarity, and the Consequences of Climate Mismatch." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-031, November 2023. (Revised November 2024. Also available from VoxEU, e-axes, and HBS Working Knowledge.)
- Forthcoming
- Article
Happily Ever After: Immigration, Natives' Marriage and Fertility
By: Michela Carlana and Marco Tabellini
We study the effects of immigration on natives’ marriage, fertility, and family formation across U.S. cities between 1910 and 1930. Using a shift-share design, we find that natives living in cities that received more immigrants were more likely to marry, have children,... View Details
Carlana, Michela, and Marco Tabellini. "Happily Ever After: Immigration, Natives' Marriage and Fertility." Journal of Economic History (forthcoming). (Winner of European Economic Association Young Economist Award, 2018. Featured in HBS Working Knowledge.)
- 2025
- Working Paper
Threat and Assimilation: Evidence from Refugees in Germany
By: Philipp Jaschke, Sulin Sardoschau and Marco Tabellini
This paper studies the effects of local threat on the cultural assimilation and economic integration of refugees, exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in their allocation across German regions between 2013 and 2016. We use representative survey data and... View Details
Keywords: Assimilation; Threat Hypothesis; Migration; Cultural Change; Refugees; Culture; Identity; Germany
Jaschke, Philipp, Sulin Sardoschau, and Marco Tabellini. "Threat and Assimilation: Evidence from Refugees in Germany." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-043, December 2021. (Revised January 2025. Revise and resubmit at the Economic Journal. Also available from NBER, and featured on Le Monde.)
- 13 Nov 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, November 13, 2018
https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55048 From Immigrants to Americans: Race and Assimilation During the Great Migration By: Fouka, Vasiliki, Soumyajit Mazumder, and View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 11 Apr 2024
- In Practice
Why Progress on Immigration Might Soften Labor Pains
dynamism. Marco Tabellini is an assistant professor in the Business, Government, and International Economy Unit at HBS. Raj Choudhury: The US gains when it welcomes skilled... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne
- 19 Mar 2019
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, March 19, 2019
Immigration, Natives' Marriage and Fertility By: Carlana, Michela, and Marco Tabellini Abstract—In this paper, we study the effects of... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- Forthcoming
- Article
Faith and Assimilation: Italian Immigrants in the U.S.
By: Stefano Gagliarducci and Marco Tabellini
How do ethnic religious organizations influence immigrant assimilation? To answer this question, we assemble novel data from the Catholic directories to measure the presence of Italian Catholic churches in the US between 1890 and 1920, when four million Italians moved... View Details
Gagliarducci, Stefano, and Marco Tabellini. "Faith and Assimilation: Italian Immigrants in the U.S." Economic Journal (forthcoming). (Pre-published online February 20, 2025. Also available from NBER and featured in NBER Digest and VoxEU.)
- 12 Feb 2019
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019
https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55160 From Immigrants to Americans: Race and Assimilation During the Great Migration By: Fouka, Vasiliki, Soumyajit Mazumder, and View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 11 Dec 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, December 11, 2018
Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55344 Happily Ever After: Immigration, Natives' Marriage and Fertility By: Carlana, Michela, and Marco View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 12 Dec 2017
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, December 12, 2017
in common? Why do their extraordinary stories continue to amaze and inspire? In delivering the answers to those questions, I offer a remarkable template by which to judge those in our own time to whom the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 2019
- Working Paper
Racial Heterogeneity and Local Government Finances: Evidence from the Great Migration
By: Marco Tabellini
Between 1915 and 1930, during the First Great Migration, more than 1.5 million African Americans migrated from the South to the North of the United States, altering the racial profile of several northern cities for the first time in American history. I exploit this... View Details
Keywords: Migration; Race; City; Financial Condition; Government and Politics; History; United States
Tabellini, Marco. "Racial Heterogeneity and Local Government Finances: Evidence from the Great Migration." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-006, July 2018. (Revised September 2019. Featured in Harvard Magazine.)
- 2024
- Working Paper
The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States
By: Paola Giuliano and Marco Tabellini
We study the long run effects of immigration on American political ideology. Exploiting
cross-county variation in the presence of European immigrants between 1900
and 1930, we establish a novel result: historical European immigration is associated
with stronger... View Details
Keywords: Political Ideology; Preferences For Redistribution; Cultural Transmission; Immigration; History; Values and Beliefs; Welfare; United States
Giuliano, Paola, and Marco Tabellini. "The Seeds of Ideology: Historical Immigration and Political Preferences in the United States." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-118, May 2020. (Revised July 2024. Conditionally accepted at the Journal of the European Economic Association. Available also from VOX, UCLA Anderson Review, Weekendavisen, Cato Institute, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER), World Financial Review, and Newsweek.)
- Fall, 2024
- Article
Sixty Years of the Voting Rights Act: Progress and Pitfalls
By: Andrea Bernini, Giovanni Facchini, Marco Tabellini and Cecilia Testa
We review the literature on the effects of the 1965 Voting Rights Act (VRA), which removed formal restrictions to Black political participation. After a brief description of racial discrimination suffered by Black Americans since Reconstruction, we introduce the goals... View Details
Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Equality and Inequality; Race; Political Elections; Voting; Policy; Outcome or Result; Government Legislation
Bernini, Andrea, Giovanni Facchini, Marco Tabellini, and Cecilia Testa. "Sixty Years of the Voting Rights Act: Progress and Pitfalls." Oxford Review of Economic Policy 40, no. 3 (Fall, 2024): 486–497.
- 2024
- Article
Technological Adoption and Taxation: The Case of China's Golden Tax Reform
By: Haichao Fan, Yu Liu, Nancy Qian and Jaya Y. Wen
This paper investigates the effect of Phase 2 of the Golden Tax Project on VAT in China. The reform introduced computer-generated invoices and electronic transaction linking. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, we show that the reform increased VAT by reducing... View Details
Keywords: Taxation; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Technological Innovation; Economic Growth; China
Fan, Haichao, Yu Liu, Nancy Qian, and Jaya Y. Wen. "Technological Adoption and Taxation: The Case of China's Golden Tax Reform." Tax Policy and the Economy 38 (2024): 101–122.
- Forthcoming
- Article
Black Empowerment and White Mobilization: The Effects of the Voting Rights Act
By: Andrea Bernini, Giovanni Facchini, Marco Tabellini and Cecilia Testa
How did southern whites respond to the 1965 Voting Rights Act (VRA)? Leveraging
newly digitized data on county-level voter registration by race between 1956 and
1980, and exploiting pre-determined variation in exposure to the federal intervention,
we document that... View Details
Bernini, Andrea, Giovanni Facchini, Marco Tabellini, and Cecilia Testa. "Black Empowerment and White Mobilization: The Effects of the Voting Rights Act." Journal of Political Economy (forthcoming). (Also available on Vox EU and VoxDev. Featured on HBS Working Knowledge.)