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- All HBS Web
(1,779)
- People (1)
- News (168)
- Research (1,471)
- Events (6)
- Multimedia (10)
- Faculty Publications (1,152)
- Research Summary
Measuring and Managing Uncertainty in Product Development
Dissertation research regarding the startegic implications of uncertainty in product development. View Details
- February 2024
- Case
Nuwa Capital: Investing During Uncertainty
By: Paul A. Gompers and Fares Khrais
Nuwa Capital (Nuwa) was a venture capital firm based in Dubai in the United Arab Emirates and Riyadh in Saudi Arabia. The business was founded in 2020 by Khaled Talhouni and his partners Sarah Abu Risheh, and Stephanie Nour Prince (they were later joined by Nitin Reen... View Details
Keywords: Corporate Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Disruption; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Investment; Growth and Development Strategy; Business Strategy; Decisions; Middle East; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; Dubai; Bahrain
Gompers, Paul A., and Fares Khrais. "Nuwa Capital: Investing During Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Case 224-016, February 2024.
- 15 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
Find Your Pragmatic Path through Radical Uncertainty
Reprinted with permission from CommonWealth Magazine, which first published this article. These are times that none of us have seen before. Amid the radical uncertainty of the coronavirus pandemic, fear has reared its ugly head medically,... View Details
- 31 Aug 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
The Pass-Through of Uncertainty Shocks to Households
- June 2023
- Article
When Does Uncertainty Matter? Understanding the Impact of Predictive Uncertainty in ML Assisted Decision Making
By: Sean McGrath, Parth Mehta, Alexandra Zytek, Isaac Lage and Himabindu Lakkaraju
As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being employed to assist human decision
makers, it becomes critical to provide these decision makers with relevant inputs which can
help them decide if and how to incorporate model predictions into their decision... View Details
McGrath, Sean, Parth Mehta, Alexandra Zytek, Isaac Lage, and Himabindu Lakkaraju. "When Does Uncertainty Matter? Understanding the Impact of Predictive Uncertainty in ML Assisted Decision Making." Transactions on Machine Learning Research (TMLR) (June 2023).
- July–August 2023
- Article
Investing in Growth Through Uncertainty
By: Ranjay Gulati
When faced with disruptions and downturns, many leaders and companies instinctively focus on cutting costs to maintain profitability. But some identify opportunities and then take thoughtful action to emerge from crisis even stronger. That means not only planning for... View Details
Gulati, Ranjay. "Investing in Growth Through Uncertainty." Harvard Business Review 101, no. 4 (July–August 2023): 36–42.
- 09 Feb 2012
- News
How to Lead Through Uncertainty
- Nov 12 2013
- Interview
Creating Opportunity by Embracing Uncertainty
- 25 Aug 2011
- News
Profiting from Environmental Regulatory Uncertainty
Keywords: Adam R. Fremeth, Brian K. Richter
- Research Summary
Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts
Measuring demand uncertainty is a key activity in supply chain planning, but is difficult when demand history is unavailable such as for new products. One method that can be applied in such cases uses dispersion among forecasting experts as a measure of demand... View Details
Investing in Growth Through Uncertainty
When faced with disruptions and downturns, many leaders and companies instinctively focus on cutting costs to maintain profitability. But some identify opportunities and then take thoughtful action to emerge from crisis even stronger. That means not only planning... View Details
- June 1992
- Article
The Strategic Management of Uncertainty
By: David J. Collis
Collis, David J. "The Strategic Management of Uncertainty." European Management Journal 10, no. 2 (June 1992): 125–135.
- 05 Dec 2024
- News
Navigating Uncertainties in Supply Chains
- 1 May 2011
- Conference Presentation
Leading Under Conditions of Uncertainty
By: Scott Snook
Keywords: Leadership
- Apr 11 2019
- Interview
Navigating Rapid Change and Uncertainty
- 2024
- Conference Paper
Quantifying Uncertainty in Natural Language Explanations of Large Language Models
By: Himabindu Lakkaraju, Sree Harsha Tanneru and Chirag Agarwal
Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used as powerful tools for several
high-stakes natural language processing (NLP) applications. Recent prompting
works claim to elicit intermediate reasoning steps and key tokens that serve as
proxy explanations for LLM... View Details
Lakkaraju, Himabindu, Sree Harsha Tanneru, and Chirag Agarwal. "Quantifying Uncertainty in Natural Language Explanations of Large Language Models." Paper presented at the Society for Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, 2024.
- February 1984 (Revised March 1984)
- Exercise
Exercises on Capital Budgeting Under Uncertainty
By: David E. Bell
Bell, David E. "Exercises on Capital Budgeting Under Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Exercise 184-152, February 1984. (Revised March 1984.)
- March 2001
- Background Note
Real Options Valuation when Multiple Sources of Uncertainty Exist
This case describes how multiple sources of uncertainty can be incorporated into a real-options-based analysis. It works through an example of a two-stage problem where a company has both an option to explore and an option to develop oil reserves. View Details
Meulbroek, Lisa K. "Real Options Valuation when Multiple Sources of Uncertainty Exist." Harvard Business School Background Note 201-106, March 2001.
- 16 Feb 2017
- News
Growth uncertainty grips corporate boards: Survey
- 19 Nov 2004 - 22 Nov 2004
- Conference Presentation
Managing Innovation and Product Development...Under Uncertainty
By: Alan MacCormack