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  • All HBS Web  (1,036)
    • News  (129)
    • Research  (809)
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Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (1,036)
    • News  (129)
    • Research  (809)
    • Events  (1)
    • Multimedia  (3)
  • Faculty Publications  (436)
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  • 31 May 2017
  • Working Paper Summaries

Stock Price Synchronicity and Material Sustainability Information

Keywords: by Jody Grewal, Clarissa Hauptmann, and George Serafeim; Accounting; Financial Services
  • January–February 1976
  • Article

Option Pricing When Underlying Stock Returns are Discontinuous

By: Robert C. Merton
Keywords: Price; Stocks; Assets
Citation
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Merton, Robert C. "Option Pricing When Underlying Stock Returns are Discontinuous." Journal of Financial Economics 3 (January–February 1976): 125–144. (Chapter 9 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
  • 2025
  • Working Paper

Cash Flow Volatility, Return Predictability and Stock Price Decompositions: Why You Should Scale Prices by Trend Cash Flows

By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
We address two inconvenient facts in asset pricing: (i) valuation ratios are often more related to future cash flows than to returns, and (ii) they mostly fail to predict returns. We show that these issues arise because stock prices are scaled by cash flows that... View Details
Keywords: Cash Flow; Volatility; Investment Return; Asset Pricing; Forecasting and Prediction; Valuation; Stocks
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Hillenbrand, Sebastian, and Odhrain McCarthy. "Cash Flow Volatility, Return Predictability and Stock Price Decompositions: Why You Should Scale Prices by Trend Cash Flows." Working Paper, June 2025.
  • 1993
  • Chapter

The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information

By: Eugene F. Fama, Lawrence Fisher, Michael C. Jensen and Richard J. Roll
Keywords: Stocks; Financial Markets; Information; Fluctuation; Financial Services Industry
Citation
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Fama, Eugene F., Lawrence Fisher, Michael C. Jensen, and Richard J. Roll. "The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information." In Strategic Issues in Finance, edited by Keith Wand. Butterworth-Heinemann, 1993. (Previously published in International Economic Review, Vol. 10 (Feb. 1969) and Investment Management: Some Readings, J. Lorie and R. Brealey, Eds (Praeger Publishers, 1972))
  • December 2021
  • Article

Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns

By: Marcelo Bianconi, Federico Esposito and Marco Sammon
A recent literature has documented large real effects of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) on trade, employment, and investment, but there is little evidence that investors are compensated for bearing such risk. To quantify the risk premium associated with TPU, we exploit... View Details
Keywords: Trade Policy; Uncertainty; Stock Returns; Risk Premium; Tariff Rates; Portfolio Analysis; Trade; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Stocks; Investment Return
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Bianconi, Marcelo, Federico Esposito, and Marco Sammon. "Trade Policy Uncertainty and Stock Returns." Art. 102492. Journal of International Money and Finance 119 (December 2021).
  • August 2003
  • Article

When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms

By: Malcolm Baker, Jeremy Stein and Jeffrey Wurgler
We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that stock prices will have a stronger impact on the investment of firms that... View Details
Keywords: Stocks; Price; Investment; Equity; Forecasting and Prediction; Rank and Position; Markets
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Baker, Malcolm, Jeremy Stein, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms." Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, no. 3 (August 2003): 969–1006.
  • July 1992
  • Article

On Determining the Dimension of Real-Time Stock Price Data

By: E. S. Mayfield and B. Mizrach
Keywords: Price; Data and Data Sets; Stocks
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Mayfield, E. S., and B. Mizrach. "On Determining the Dimension of Real-Time Stock Price Data." Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 10, no. 3 (July 1992).
  • Article

Research: How Investors' Reading Habits Influence Stock Prices

By: Anastassia Fedyk
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Fedyk, Anastassia. "Research: How Investors' Reading Habits Influence Stock Prices." Harvard Business Review (website) (September 2, 2016).
  • May 1976
  • Article

The Impact on Option Pricing of Specification Error in the Underlying Stock Price Returns

By: Robert C. Merton
Keywords: Price; Stocks
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Merton, Robert C. "The Impact on Option Pricing of Specification Error in the Underlying Stock Price Returns." Journal of Finance 31, no. 2 (May 1976): 333–350.
  • 2001
  • Working Paper

When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity Dependent Firms

By: Malcolm Baker, Jeremy Stein and Jeffrey Wurgler
We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that stock prices will have a stronger impact on the investment of firms that... View Details
Keywords: Investment; Equity; Stocks; Price; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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Baker, Malcolm, Jeremy Stein, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity Dependent Firms." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 8750, December 2001. (First draft in 2001.)
  • 2012
  • Article

Mutual Fund Trading Pressure: Firm-Level Stock Price Impact and Timing of SEOs

By: Mozaffar N. Khan, Leonid Kogan and George Serafeim
In tests of the equity market timing theory of external finance, the prior literature has used overvaluation identifiers such as high market-to-book and high prior returns that are likely correlated with other determinants of SEOs. We use price pressure resulting from... View Details
Keywords: Equity; Market Transactions; Valuation; Capital Structure; Market Timing; Mathematical Methods; Acquisition
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Khan, Mozaffar N., Leonid Kogan, and George Serafeim. "Mutual Fund Trading Pressure: Firm-Level Stock Price Impact and Timing of SEOs." Journal of Finance 67, no. 4 (August 2012): 1371–1395.
  • January 2015
  • Article

X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model

By: Nicholas Barberis, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin and Andrei Shleifer
Survey evidence suggests that many investors form beliefs about future stock market returns by extrapolating past returns. Such beliefs are hard to reconcile with existing models of the aggregate stock market. We study a consumption-based asset pricing model in which... View Details
Keywords: Capital Asset Pricing; Returns; Investing; Asset Pricing; Investment Return
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Barberis, Nicholas, Robin Greenwood, Lawrence Jin, and Andrei Shleifer. "X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model." Journal of Financial Economics 115, no. 1 (January 2015): 1–24.
  • March 2004 (Revised October 2013)
  • Case

Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns

By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen
What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details
Keywords: Diversification; International CAPM; CAPM; Home Bias; Currency Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; International Stock Market Returns; United States; Currency Exchange Rate; Stocks; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Currency; Risk and Uncertainty; Emerging Markets; Investment Portfolio; Financial Services Industry; United States; Australia; Canada; China; Germany; India; Japan; United Kingdom
Citation
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Desai, Mihir A., Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer, and Mark Veblen. "Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Case 204-141, March 2004. (Revised October 2013.)
  • August 2005 (Revised April 2014)
  • Teaching Note

Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns

By: Mihir A. Desai, Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer and Mark Veblen
What do international stocks contribute to the portfolio of a U.S. investor? How do currencies interact with stock price movements in determining the benefits of international diversification? This case helps students compare the risks and returns of foreign stock... View Details
Keywords: Diversification; International CAPM; CAPM; Home Bias; Currency Risk; Exchange Rate Risk; International Stock Market Returns; Financial Services Industry; United States; Currency Exchange Rate; Stocks; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Currency; Risk and Uncertainty; Emerging Markets; Investment Portfolio; United States; Australia; Canada; China; Germany; India; Japan; United Kingdom
Citation
Purchase
Related
Desai, Mihir A., Kathleen Luchs, Elizabeth A. Meyer, and Mark Veblen. "Innocents Abroad: Currencies and International Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 206-012, August 2005. (Revised April 2014.)
  • March 1993
  • Article

The Effect of Firms' Financial Disclosure Strategies on Stock Prices

By: Krishna G. Palepu and Paul M. Healy
Keywords: Strategy; Stocks; Finance
Citation
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Palepu, Krishna G., and Paul M. Healy. "The Effect of Firms' Financial Disclosure Strategies on Stock Prices." Accounting Horizons 7 (March 1993): 1–11.
  • September 2023
  • Article

Stock Price Reactions to ESG News: The Role of ESG Ratings and Disagreement

By: George Serafeim and Aaron Yoon
We investigate whether ESG ratings predict future ESG news and the associated market reactions. We find that the consensus rating predicts future news, but its predictive ability diminishes for firms with large disagreement between raters. Relation between news and... View Details
Keywords: ESG; ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) Performance; ESG Disclosure; ESG Ratings; ESG Reporting; ESG Disclosure Metrics; Sustainability; Investments; Disagreement; Rating Disagreement; Ratings; Environmental Sustainability; Social Issues; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Performance; News; Investment; Financial Markets; Stocks; Price
Citation
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Serafeim, George, and Aaron Yoon. "Stock Price Reactions to ESG News: The Role of ESG Ratings and Disagreement." Special Issue on RAST 2022 Conference. Review of Accounting Studies 28, no. 3 (September 2023): 1500–1530.
  • 2008
  • Article

Governance and Merger Accounting: Evidence from Stock Price Reactions to Purchase versus Pooling

By: Francisco de Asis Martinez-Jerez
This paper examines the effect of corporate governance on investor reactions to accounting choice in the context of accounting for business combinations. Using a sample of 324 recent stock swap acquisitions I find that, contrary to practitioners' belief that capital... View Details
Keywords: Financial Reporting; Financial Statements; Mergers and Acquisitions; Capital Markets; Stocks; Price; Corporate Governance
Citation
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Martinez-Jerez, Francisco de Asis. "Governance and Merger Accounting: Evidence from Stock Price Reactions to Purchase versus Pooling." Art. 1. European Accounting Review 17, no. 1 (2008): 5–35. (Lead Article.)
  • 2001
  • Working Paper

Do Underwater Executive Stock Options Still Align Incentives? The Effect of Stock Price Movements on Managerial Incentive-Alignment

Citation
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Jin, Li, and Lisa K. Meulbroek. "Do Underwater Executive Stock Options Still Align Incentives? The Effect of Stock Price Movements on Managerial Incentive-Alignment." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 02-002, November 2001.
  • Article

Risk and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

By: Mark Seasholes, Radu Burlacu, Patrice Fontaine and Sonia Jimenez-Garces
This paper mathematically transforms unobservable rational expectation equilibrium model parameters (information precision and supply uncertainty) into a single variable that is correlated with expected returns and that can be estimated with recently observed data. Our... View Details
Keywords: Risk Premiums; Cross-sectional Asset Pricing; REE Models; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Investment Return
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Seasholes, Mark, Radu Burlacu, Patrice Fontaine, and Sonia Jimenez-Garces. "Risk and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Financial Economics 105, no. 3 (September 2012): 511–522.
  • January 1978
  • Article

Pooling vs. Purchase: The Effects of Accounting for Mergers on Stock Prices

By: Robert S. Kaplan, Hai Hong and Gershon Mandelker
Keywords: Accounting; Mergers and Acquisitions; Stocks; Price
Citation
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Kaplan, Robert S., Hai Hong, and Gershon Mandelker. "Pooling vs. Purchase: The Effects of Accounting for Mergers on Stock Prices." Accounting Review 53 (January 1978): 31–47.
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