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    • All HBS Web  (171)
      • Faculty Publications  (39)

      Simulation MethodsRemove Simulation Methods →

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      • April 2014
      • Tutorial

      Conjoint Analysis: Online Tutorial

      By: Elie Ofek and Olivier Toubia
      The Conjoint Analysis: Online Tutorial is an interactive pedagogical vehicle intended to facilitate understanding of one of the most popular market research methods in academia and practice, namely conjoint analysis. The aim is to provide students or executives going... View Details
      Keywords: Market Research; Conjoint Analysis; Market Segmentation; Pricing; Marketing Strategy
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      Ofek, Elie, and Olivier Toubia. Conjoint Analysis: Online Tutorial. Harvard Business School Tutorial 514-712, April 2014.
      • June 2013 (Revised November 2022)
      • Exercise

      Competition Simulator Exercise

      By: Eric J. Van den Steen
      In the Competition Simulator Exercise, students explore through trial and error some important economic foundations of competitive strategy and managerial economics. In particular, the nine simulator exercises let students explore horizontal differentiation with and... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Economics; Game Theory; Competitive Strategy; Learning; Mathematical Methods; Analysis
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      Van den Steen, Eric J. "Competition Simulator Exercise." Harvard Business School Exercise 713-804, June 2013. (Revised November 2022.)
      • 2011
      • Article

      Scalable Detection of Anomalous Patterns With Connectivity Constraints

      By: Skyler Speakman, Edward McFowland III and Daniel B. Neill
      We present GraphScan, a novel method for detecting arbitrarily shaped connected clusters in graph or network data. Given a graph structure, data observed at each node, and a score function defining the anomalousness of a set of nodes, GraphScan can efficiently and... View Details
      Keywords: Biosurveillance; Event Detection; Graph Mining; Scan Statistics; Spatial Scan Statistic
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      Speakman, Skyler, Edward McFowland III, and Daniel B. Neill. "Scalable Detection of Anomalous Patterns With Connectivity Constraints." Emerging Health Threats Journal 4 (2011): 11121.
      • February 2010
      • Supplement

      Real Property Negotiation Game (CW): Excel Model

      By: Arthur I. Segel, John Vogel and Justin Seth Ginsburgh
      This Excel model is used to analyze the deals made in The Real Property Negotiation Game, which simulates the experience negotiating the sale, purchase, or financing of a property. View Details
      Keywords: Property; Negotiation Deal; Sales; Financing and Loans; Mathematical Methods; Real Estate Industry
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      Segel, Arthur I., John Vogel, and Justin Seth Ginsburgh. "Real Property Negotiation Game (CW): Excel Model." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 210-703, February 2010.
      • December 2009
      • Article

      Strategy-proofness versus Efficiency in Matching with Indifferences: Redesigning the NYC High School Match

      By: Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Parag A. Pathak and Alvin E. Roth
      The design of the New York City (NYC) High School match involved tradeoffs among efficiency, stability, and strategy-proofness that raise new theoretical questions. We analyze a model with indifferences—ties—in school preferences. Simulations with field data and the... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Secondary Education; Marketplace Matching; Performance Efficiency; Mathematical Methods; Motivation and Incentives; Strategy; Balance and Stability
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      Abdulkadiroglu, Atila, Parag A. Pathak, and Alvin E. Roth. "Strategy-proofness versus Efficiency in Matching with Indifferences: Redesigning the NYC High School Match." American Economic Review 99, no. 5 (December 2009). (AER links to access the Appendix and Downloadable Data Set.)
      • 2009
      • Working Paper

      Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

      By: Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo and Robert C. Merton
      The confluence of three trends in the U.S. residential housing market—rising home prices, declining interest rates, and near-frictionless refinancing opportunities—led to vastly increased systemic risk in the financial system. Individually, each of these trends is... View Details
      Keywords: Housing; Mortgages; Risk and Uncertainty; Value; Mathematical Methods; Real Estate Industry; United States
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      Khandani, Amir E., Andrew W. Lo, and Robert C. Merton. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 15362, September 2009.
      • January 2009
      • Journal Article

      The Fiscal Impact of High-skilled Emigration: Flows of Indians to the U.S.

      By: Mihir Desai, D. Kapur, J. McHale and K Rogers
      Easing immigration restrictions for the highly skilled in developed countries portends a future of increased human capital outflows from developing countries. The myriad consequences of these developments for developing countries include the direct loss of the fiscal... View Details
      Keywords: Talent and Talent Management; Diasporas; Developing Countries and Economies; Taxation; Compensation and Benefits; Human Capital; Mathematical Methods; India; United States
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      Desai, Mihir, D. Kapur, J. McHale, and K Rogers. "The Fiscal Impact of High-skilled Emigration: Flows of Indians to the U.S." Journal of Development Economics 88, no. 1 (January 2009).
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Convertible Arbitrage

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand how convertible bonds can be viewed as a portfolio of simpler securities and to introduce an over-the-counter market. The convertible bonds that are available during the simulation are at-the-money and in-the-money so that... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Investment Portfolio; Price; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Convertible Arbitrage." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-116, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Equity Options

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand the reliance of option values on volatility. When an investor trades an option, they are essentially trading volatility. Therefore, much of the focus in this lesson is on forecasting volatility. Students are able to use two... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Stock Options; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods; Value
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Equity Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-118, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Index Options

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      The goal of this simulation is to understand the patterns in index option prices that are not predicted by the Black-Scholes model. In particular, the simulation focuses on two properties of options prices. First, at-the-money implied volatilities from index options... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Stock Options; Investment; Price; Profit; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Index Options." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-119, January 2008.
      • November 2007
      • Background Note

      Asset Allocation I

      By: Joshua D. Coval, Erik Stafford, Rodrigo Osmo, John Jernigan, Zack Page and Paulo Passoni
      The goal of these simulations is to understand the mathematics of mean-variance optimization and the equilibrium pricing of risk if all investors use this rule with common information sets. Simulation A focuses on five to 10 years of monthly sector returns that are... View Details
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Capital; Investment Return; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods
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      Coval, Joshua D., Erik Stafford, Rodrigo Osmo, John Jernigan, Zack Page, and Paulo Passoni. "Asset Allocation I." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-086, November 2007.
      • October 2007
      • Article

      The Effectiveness of Pre-Release Advertising for Motion Pictures: An Empirical Investigation Using a Simulated Market

      By: Anita Elberse and Bharat N. Anand
      One of the most visible and publicized trends in the movie industry is the escalation in movie advertising expenditures over time. Yet, the returns to movie advertising are poorly understood. The main reason is that disentangling the causal effect of advertising on... View Details
      Keywords: Advertising; Stocks; Investment Return; Price; Revenue; Quality; Mathematical Methods; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Elberse, Anita, and Bharat N. Anand. "The Effectiveness of Pre-Release Advertising for Motion Pictures: An Empirical Investigation Using a Simulated Market." Information Economics and Policy 19, nos. 3-4 (October 2007): 319–343. (Special Issue on Economics of the Media.)
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these results may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's... View Details
      Keywords: Managerial Roles; Equity; Market Timing; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, January 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • January 1997
      • Background Note

      Simulation as a Decision Aid

      By: Roy D. Shapiro
      A brief introduction to simulation--what it is, why it's used, etc. Meant to set context for a first class on simulation. A rewritten version of an earlier note. View Details
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Decision Making
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      Shapiro, Roy D. "Simulation as a Decision Aid." Harvard Business School Background Note 697-062, January 1997.
      • September 1993 (Revised August 2011)
      • Exercise

      ExtendSim® Simulation Exercises in Process Analysis (A)

      By: Roy D. Shapiro
      First set of exercises meant to be used with ExtendSim, a simulation system created by Imagine That, Inc. of San Jose, California. These exercises allow students to investigate the impact of variable processing times on the performance of simple in-line processes.... View Details
      Keywords: Operations; Business Processes; Performance; Mathematical Methods
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      Shapiro, Roy D. "ExtendSim® Simulation Exercises in Process Analysis (A)." Harvard Business School Exercise 694-039, September 1993. (Revised August 2011.)
      • September 1993 (Revised August 2011)
      • Exercise

      ExtendSim® Simulation Exercises in Process Analysis (B)

      By: Roy D. Shapiro
      Second set of exercises meant to be used with ExtendSim, a simulation package created by Imagine That, Inc. of San Jose, California, that allows students to investigate the impact of adding buffers to simple in-line processes with uncertain processing times. View Details
      Keywords: Measurement and Metrics; Operations; Production; Mathematical Methods
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      Shapiro, Roy D. "ExtendSim® Simulation Exercises in Process Analysis (B)." Harvard Business School Exercise 694-040, September 1993. (Revised August 2011.)
      • April 1990
      • Case

      Clark Material Handling Group-Overseas: Brazilian Product Strategy (A&B) (Condensed)

      By: Robert J. Dolan
      Assumes some knowledge of conjoint analysis. Permits analysis of basic results and dynamic market simulations in one class session. View Details
      Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Marketing
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      Dolan, Robert J. "Clark Material Handling Group-Overseas: Brazilian Product Strategy (A&B) (Condensed)." Harvard Business School Case 590-081, April 1990.
      • January 1984
      • Article

      A Simulation Analysis of Alternative Pricing Strategies for Dynamic Environments

      By: Robert J. Dolan
      Researchers of the strategic implications of the well-known demand (e.g., adoption and diffusion) and supply (e.g., experience effects) dynamics have typically sought analytical solutions. Their success in this has been achieved partly by limiting the richness of the... View Details
      Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Price; Mathematical Methods; Supply and Industry
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      Dolan, Robert J. "A Simulation Analysis of Alternative Pricing Strategies for Dynamic Environments." Journal of Business 57, no. 1 (January 1984).
      • 1976
      • Other Unpublished Work

      Simulation of the Market Effects of Housing Allowance

      By: Dutch Leonard, Gregory K. Ingram and Robert Schafer
      Keywords: Housing; Markets; Mathematical Methods
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      Leonard, Dutch, Gregory K. Ingram, and Robert Schafer. "Simulation of the Market Effects of Housing Allowance." National Bureau of Economic Research, New York, January 1976.
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