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Publications

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      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Markups and Cost Pass-through Along the Supply Chain

      By: Santiago Alvarez-Blaser, Alberto Cavallo, Alexander MacKay and Paolo Mengano
      We study markups and pricing strategies along the supply chain. Our unique dataset combines detailed price and cost information from a large global manufacturer with matched retail prices collected online for the period July 2018 through June 2023. We show that total... View Details
      Keywords: Markups; Pricing; Price; Supply Chain; Inflation and Deflation; Cost
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      Alvarez-Blaser, Santiago, Alberto Cavallo, Alexander MacKay, and Paolo Mengano. "Markups and Cost Pass-through Along the Supply Chain." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-009, August 2024. (Revised February 2025.)
      • August 2024
      • Article

      Partisans neither Expect nor Receive Reputational Rewards for Sharing Falsehoods over Truth Online.

      By: Isaias Ghezae, Jillian J. Jordan, Izzy Gainsburg, Mohsen Mosleh, Gordon Pennycook, Robb Willer and David Rand
      A frequently invoked explanation for the sharing of false over true political information is that partisans are motivated by their reputations. In particular, it is often argued that by indiscriminately sharing news that is favorable to one’s political party,... View Details
      Keywords: Political Ideology; Reputation; Communication Intention and Meaning; Social Media; News
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      Ghezae, Isaias, Jillian J. Jordan, Izzy Gainsburg, Mohsen Mosleh, Gordon Pennycook, Robb Willer, and David Rand. "Partisans neither Expect nor Receive Reputational Rewards for Sharing Falsehoods over Truth Online." PNAS Nexus 3, no. 8 (August 2024).
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Primary Capital Market Transactions and Index Funds

      By: Marco Sammon and Chris Murray
      We document the effects of mechanical buying by CRSP-index-tracking funds on post-IPO returns and IPO deal structure. Leveraging a difference-in-differences-style design built on a 2017 CRSP rule change, we find that expected index fund demand leads fast track IPOs to... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Funds; Initial Public Offering; Investment Return; Price; Market Transactions; Financial Markets
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      Sammon, Marco, and Chris Murray. "Primary Capital Market Transactions and Index Funds." Working Paper, August 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      How Inflation Expectations De-Anchor: The Role of Selective Memory Cues

      By: Nicola Gennaioli, Marta Leva, Raphael Schoenle and Andrei Shleifer
      In a model of memory and selective recall, household inflation expectations remain rigid when inflation is anchored but exhibit sharp instability during inflation surges, as similarity prompts retrieval of forgotten high-inflation experiences. Using data from the New... View Details
      Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Inflation and Deflation; Personal Finance
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      Gennaioli, Nicola, Marta Leva, Raphael Schoenle, and Andrei Shleifer. "How Inflation Expectations De-Anchor: The Role of Selective Memory Cues." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32633, June 2024.
      • June 2024
      • Article

      Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets

      By: Alberto Cavallo
      The Covid-19 pandemic led to changes in expenditure patterns that introduced significant bias in the measurement of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation. Using publicly-available data on card transactions, I updated the official CPI weights and re-calculated inflation... View Details
      Keywords: COVID; Consumer Expenditures; CPI; Inflation; Consumer Behavior; Inflation and Deflation; Health Pandemics
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      Cavallo, Alberto. "Inflation with COVID Consumption Baskets." Special Issue on The Global Economy: Looking Back, Moving Forward, Part II. IMF Economic Review 72, no. 2 (June 2024): 902–917.
      • June 2024
      • Article

      Information Spillovers in Experience Goods Competition

      By: Zhuoqiong Charlie Chen, Christopher Stanton and Catherine Thomas
      When experience goods compete, consuming one product can be informative about value for similar untried products. We study a two-period model of duopoly competition in markets that have this feature and where firms can price discriminate between consumers based on... View Details
      Keywords: Experience Goods; Competition; Information; Demand and Consumers; Profit; Price
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      Chen, Zhuoqiong Charlie, Christopher Stanton, and Catherine Thomas. "Information Spillovers in Experience Goods Competition." Management Science 70, no. 6 (June 2024): 3923–3950.
      • May 2, 2024
      • Article

      Require Hospitals to Disclose Their Pandemic Plans Now

      By: Regina E. Herzlinger, Richard J. Boxer and Ben Creo
      The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that U.S. hospital and health care systems were ill-prepared for the surge of patients who overwhelmed available health care resources. An overlooked resource deserves more attention: the availability of intensive care unit (ICU)... View Details
      Keywords: COVID-19 Pandemic; Crisis Management; Knowledge Sharing; Governance Compliance; Planning; Health Industry; United States
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      Herzlinger, Regina E., Richard J. Boxer, and Ben Creo. "Require Hospitals to Disclose Their Pandemic Plans Now." Health Affairs Forefront (May 2, 2024).
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Bank Runs and Interest Rates: A Revolving Lines Perspective

      By: Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina
      Revolving credit is at the core of the banking business. Corporate revolving credit lines are demandable claims; thus, similar to a traditional bank run on deposits, sudden widespread drawdowns on credit lines can be destabilizing to the banking sector. However, we... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Credit; Financial Crisis; Interest Rates; Banks and Banking
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      Bräuning, Falk, and Victoria Ivashina. "Bank Runs and Interest Rates: A Revolving Lines Perspective." Working Paper, May 2024.
      • May 2024 (Revised May 2024)
      • Case

      Market by Met Council: Revolutionizing Food Pantries in the Digital Age

      By: Elisabeth Paulson and Michael W. Toffel
      In fall 2023, the Food Program of Met Council—America’s largest Jewish charity dedicated to fighting poverty—completed the rollout of the newest version of its digital pantry platform to twelve food pantries in the Met Council food pantry network. The digital... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Focus and Relationships; Digital Transformation; Nonprofit Organizations; Service Operations; Human Needs
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      Paulson, Elisabeth, and Michael W. Toffel. "Market by Met Council: Revolutionizing Food Pantries in the Digital Age." Harvard Business School Case 624-060, May 2024. (Revised May 2024.)
      • May 2024
      • Article

      The Health Risks of Generative AI-Based Wellness Apps

      By: Julian De Freitas and G. Cohen
      Artifcial intelligence (AI)-enabled chatbots are increasingly being used to help people manage their mental health. Chatbots for mental health and particularly ‘wellness’ applications currently exist in a regulatory ‘gray area’. Indeed, most generative AI-powered... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Well-being; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Applications and Software
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      De Freitas, Julian, and G. Cohen. "The Health Risks of Generative AI-Based Wellness Apps." Nature Medicine 30, no. 5 (May 2024): 1269–1275.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Dusting Off the Old Ones: Drug Licensing to Startups, Innovation Success and Efficiency

      By: Mosab Hammoudeh, Joshua Lev Krieger and Jiajie Xu
      This paper investigates whether moving R&D from incumbents to startups can increase innovation. Using comprehensive drug development data, we examine the outcomes of drug projects licensed from large firms to startups. We find that these projects licensed to startups... View Details
      Keywords: Product Development; Innovation and Invention; Business Startups; Research and Development; Performance Efficiency; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Hammoudeh, Mosab, Joshua Lev Krieger, and Jiajie Xu. "Dusting Off the Old Ones: Drug Licensing to Startups, Innovation Success and Efficiency." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-067, March 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Appropriate Entrepreneurship? The Rise of China and the Developing World

      By: Josh Lerner, Junxi Liu, Jacob Moscona and David Yang
      Global innovation and entrepreneurship has traditionally been dominated by a handful of high-income countries, especially the US. This paper investigates the international consequences of the rise of a new hub for innovation, focusing on the dramatic growth of... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Emerging Markets; Economic Growth; China
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      Lerner, Josh, Junxi Liu, Jacob Moscona, and David Yang. "Appropriate Entrepreneurship? The Rise of China and the Developing World." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-061, March 2024.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Precautionary Debt Capacity

      By: Deniz Aydin and Olivia S. Kim
      The determinants of debt capacity are a central theme in finance and macroeconomics, yet it remains unclear why firms leave some of their debt capacity unused and whether this affects investment and growth. Textbook theory suggests that firms should not leave their... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Credit; Financing and Loans
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      Aydin, Deniz, and Olivia S. Kim. "Precautionary Debt Capacity." SSRN Working Paper Series, No. 2024/01. (Best Paper Award, Red Rock Finance Conference.)
      • Winter 2024
      • Article

      Is Pay Transparency Good?

      By: Zoë B. Cullen
      Countries around the world are enacting pay transparency policies to combat pay discrimination. Since 2000, 71 percent of OECD countries have done so. Most are enacting transparency horizontally, revealing pay between coworkers doing similar work within a firm. While... View Details
      Keywords: Policy; Wages; Knowledge Sharing; Job Design and Levels; Negotiation; Performance Productivity; Compensation and Benefits; Motivation and Incentives
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      Cullen, Zoë B. "Is Pay Transparency Good?" Journal of Economic Perspectives 38, no. 1 (Winter 2024): 153–180.
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Warnings and Endorsements: Improving Human-AI Collaboration in the Presence of Outliers

      By: Matthew DosSantos DiSorbo, Kris Ferreira, Maya Balakrishnan and Jordan Tong
      Problem definition: While artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms may perform well on data that are representative of the training set (inliers), they may err when extrapolating on non-representative data (outliers). How can humans and algorithms work together to make... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      DosSantos DiSorbo, Matthew, Kris Ferreira, Maya Balakrishnan, and Jordan Tong. "Warnings and Endorsements: Improving Human-AI Collaboration in the Presence of Outliers." Working Paper, May 2025.
      • 2023
      • Working Paper

      Complexity and Hyperbolic Discounting

      By: Benjamin Enke, Thomas Graeber and Ryan Oprea
      A large literature shows that people discount financial rewards hyperbolically instead of exponentially. While discounting of money has been questioned as a measure of time preferences, it continues to be highly relevant in empirical practice and predicts a wide range... View Details
      Keywords: Hyperbolic Discounting; Present Bias; Bounded Rationality; Cognitive Uncertainty; Behavioral Finance
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      Enke, Benjamin, Thomas Graeber, and Ryan Oprea. "Complexity and Hyperbolic Discounting." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-048, February 2024.
      • December 2023
      • Article

      Recover, Explore, Practice: The Transformative Potential of Sabbaticals

      By: Kira Schabram, Matt Bloom and DJ DiDonna
      Sabbaticals have seen an exponential growth in adoption over the last two decades and are ascribed extensive benefits by employers and employees alike. Little is known, however, about how individuals spend their time or how their experiences impact them after they... View Details
      Keywords: Sabbatical; Personal Development and Career; Employees
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      Schabram, Kira, Matt Bloom, and DJ DiDonna. "Recover, Explore, Practice: The Transformative Potential of Sabbaticals." Academy of Management Discoveries 9, no. 4 (December 2023): 441–468.
      • 2023
      • Article

      Which Models Have Perceptually-Aligned Gradients? An Explanation via Off-Manifold Robustness

      By: Suraj Srinivas, Sebastian Bordt and Himabindu Lakkaraju
      One of the remarkable properties of robust computer vision models is that their input-gradients are often aligned with human perception, referred to in the literature as perceptually-aligned gradients (PAGs). Despite only being trained for classification, PAGs cause... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Mathematical Methods
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      Srinivas, Suraj, Sebastian Bordt, and Himabindu Lakkaraju. "Which Models Have Perceptually-Aligned Gradients? An Explanation via Off-Manifold Robustness." Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) (2023).
      • October 2023
      • Article

      Coordination and Bandwagon Effects: How Past Rankings Shape the Behavior of Voters and Candidates

      By: Riako Granzier, Vincent Pons and Clémence Tricaud
      Candidates’ placements in polls or past elections can be powerful coordination devices for both parties and voters. Using a regression discontinuity design in French elections, we show that candidates who place first by only a small margin in the first round are more... View Details
      Keywords: Strategic Voting; Coordination; Bandwagon Effect; Regression Discontinuity Design; French Elections; Voting; Political Elections; Behavior; France
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      Granzier, Riako, Vincent Pons, and Clémence Tricaud. "Coordination and Bandwagon Effects: How Past Rankings Shape the Behavior of Voters and Candidates." American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 15, no. 4 (October 2023): 177–217.
      • October 2023
      • Article

      Product Variety, the Cost of Living, and Welfare Across Countries

      By: Alberto Cavallo, Robert C. Feenstra and Robert Inklaar
      We use the structure of the Melitz (2003) model to compute the cost of living and welfare across 47 countries, and compare these to conventional measures of prices and real consumption from the International Comparisons Project (ICP). The cost of living is inferred... View Details
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Trade
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      Cavallo, Alberto, Robert C. Feenstra, and Robert Inklaar. "Product Variety, the Cost of Living, and Welfare Across Countries." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 15, no. 4 (October 2023): 40–66.
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