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  • Research Summary

Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts

Measuring demand uncertainty is a key activity in supply chain planning, but is difficult when demand history is unavailable such as for new products. One method that can be applied in such cases uses dispersion among forecasting experts as a measure of demand... View Details
  • Article

National Trends in the Safety Performance of Electronic Health Record Systems From 2009 to 2018

By: David Classen, A Jay Holmgren, Zoe Co, Lisa Newmark, Diane Seger, Melissa Danforth and David Bates
Importance Despite the broad adoption of electronic health record (EHR) systems across the continuum of care, safety problems persist. Objective To measure the safety performance of operational EHRs in hospitals across the country during a 10-year period. Design,... View Details
Keywords: Electronic Health Record Systems; Health Care and Treatment; Information Technology; Performance; Safety; Measurement and Metrics; United States
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  • November 2016 (Revised December 2016)
  • Module Note

Strategy Execution Module 14: Managing Strategic Risk

By: Robert Simons
This module reading provides an overview of the business conduct boundaries, strategic boundaries, and internal control systems used to manage risk. Boundary systems—linked to clear, enforceable sanctions—are essential whenever demanding performance goals are set and... View Details
Keywords: Management Control Systems; Implementing Strategy; Strategy Execution; Boundary Systems; Innovation; Internal Controls; Fraud; Human Behavior; Staff Experts; Strategy; Risk Management; Behavior; Governance Controls; Management Practices and Processes; Boundaries; Employees; Business Strategy; Innovation and Invention
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  • Research Summary

Growth and the Quality of Foreign Direct Investment: Is All FDI Equal? (joint with Andrew Charlton)

By: Laura Alfaro
In this paper we distinguish different qualities of FDI to re-examine the relationship between FDI and growth. Establishing the quality of FDI, however, is a difficult concept. Quality, that is the effect of a unit of FDI on economic growth, is a combination and... View Details
  • Research Summary

Overview

By: Ethan C. Rouen
Relying on empirical archival methodologies—as well as techniques in data science—to develop and structure new sources of data by which to approach questions of looming disclosure changes, Professor Rouen has focused on one of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s... View Details
  • 2013
  • Chapter

Growth and the Quality of Foreign Direct Investment: Is All FDI Equal?

By: Laura Alfaro and Andrew Charlton
In this paper we distinguish different "qualities" of FDI to re-examine the relationship between FDI and growth. We use "quality" to mean the effect of a unit of FDI on economic growth. However, this is difficult to establish because it is a function of many different... View Details
Keywords: Quality; Economic Growth; Foreign Direct Investment
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  • 2023
  • Working Paper

The Complexity of Economic Decisions

By: Xavier Gabaix and Thomas Graeber
We propose a theory of the complexity of economic decisions. Leveraging a macroeconomic framework of production functions, we conceptualize the mind as a cognitive economy, where a task’s complexity is determined by its composition of cognitive operations. Complexity... View Details
Keywords: Decisions; Complexity; Perception; Consumer Behavior; Production
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  • 2023
  • Working Paper

Design-Based Confidence Sequences: A General Approach to Risk Mitigation in Online Experimentation

By: Dae Woong Ham, Michael Lindon, Martin Tingley and Iavor Bojinov
Randomized experiments have become the standard method for companies to evaluate the performance of new products or services. In addition to augmenting managers’ decision-making, experimentation mitigates risk by limiting the proportion of customers exposed to... View Details
Keywords: Performance Evaluation; Research and Development; Analytics and Data Science; Consumer Behavior
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  • May 15, 2012
  • Article

Ensuring Quality Cancer Care: A Follow-Up Review of the Institute of Medicine’s 10 Recommendations for Improving the Quality of Cancer Care in America

By: Tracy E. Spinks, Heidi W. Albright, Thomas W. Feeley, Ron Walters, Thomas W. Burke, Thomas Aloia, Eduardo Bruera, Aman Buzdar, Lewis Foxhall, David Hui, Barbara Summers, Alma Rodriguez, Raymond DuBois and Kenneth I. Shine
Responding to growing concerns regarding the safety, quality, and efficacy of cancer care in the United States, the Institute of Medicine (IOM) of the National Academy of Sciences commissioned a comprehensive review of cancer care delivery in the US health care system... View Details
Keywords: Cancer; Quality; Cancer Care In The U.S.; Quality Improvement; Health Care and Treatment; Health Industry; North and Central America
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  • August 2023
  • Article

Do Rating Agencies Behave Defensively for Higher Risk Issuers?

By: Samuel B. Bonsall IV, Kevin Koharki, Pepa Kraft, Karl A. Muller III and Anywhere Sikochi
We examine whether rating agencies act defensively toward issuers with a higher likelihood of default. We find that agencies' qualitative soft rating adjustments are more accurate as issuers' default risk grows, as evidenced by the adjustments leading to lower Type I... View Details
Keywords: Credit Rating Agencies; Soft Rating Adjustments; Default; Credit; Performance Evaluation; Measurement and Metrics; Financial Institutions; Risk Management
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  • 12 Jun 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 12, 2018

provided expert domain specific knowledge, and analyze their productivity as measured by accuracy and speed in identifying prior art relevant for patent claims adjudication. We find that, when provided with expert domain knowledge,... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 11 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 11

with the literature on heuristics and biases), and the study of thinking too much (as with the literature on decision analysis). In this review, we focus on the different types of decision errors that result from both modes of thought.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Jan 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research: January 24, 2017

earnings patterns. Firms with historically larger earnings in one quarter of the year (“positive seasonality quarters”) have higher returns when those earnings are usually announced. Analysts have more positive forecast errors in positive... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 03 Oct 2023
  • What Do You Think?

Do Leaders Learn More From Success or Failure?

led us to a useful conclusion: that a strong culture logically could lead to either success or failure. It was, instead, the presence of values and behaviors—components of its culture—that encouraged openness and adaptability that was associated with success as we... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 16 May 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Ideas and Research, May 16

diverse perspectives that will help them compete. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=52624 May–June 2017 Harvard Business Review The Error at the Heart of Corporate Leadership By: Bower, Joseph L., and Lynn... View Details
Keywords: Re: Multiple Faculty
  • 17 Apr 2007
  • First Look

First Look: April 17, 2007

system with periodic review, constant leadtimes, infinite supply, full backlogging, linear holding and penalty costs and no ordering costs. Forecasting ARIMA time series requires tracking forecast errors (interpolations) and using these... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 12 Jul 2016
  • First Look

July 12, 2016

forecasts as an input into the government budgeting-making process would probably reduce official forecast errors for budget deficits. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=51324 College Tuition, Public... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Jan 2009
  • Research & Ideas

Risky Business with Structured Finance

CDO²s. That, coupled with the increase in subprime mortgages—from $96.8 billion in 1996 to approximately $600 billion in 2006—created a recipe for economic disaster. The exercise clearly shows how the sensitivity of tranches to error in... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Banking; Financial Services
  • 22 Jul 2014
  • First Look

First Look: July 22

  Publications August 2013 hfm (Healthcare Financial Management) Improving Value with TDABC By: Kaplan, Robert S. Abstract—The article discusses the benefits of time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) combined with outcomes measurement... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 03 Jan 2017
  • First Look

January 3, 2017

to standardize their products and helped establish brand identities through consistent appearance. By 1938, food dyes had achieved such widespread use, and had raised such public concern, that the federal government amended the 1906 Pure Food and Drug Act to implement... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel

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