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  • All HBS Web  (1,928)
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  • March 2021
  • Article

Bayesian Signatures of Confidence and Central Tendency in Perceptual Judgment

By: Yang Xiang, Thomas Graeber, Benjamin Enke and Samuel Gershman
This paper theoretically and empirically investigates the role of Bayesian noisy cognition in perceptual judgment, focusing on the central tendency effect: the well-known empirical regularity that perceptual judgments are biased towards the center of the... View Details
Keywords: Visual Perception; Bayesian Modeling; Perception; Judgments
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Xiang, Yang, Thomas Graeber, Benjamin Enke, and Samuel Gershman. "Bayesian Signatures of Confidence and Central Tendency in Perceptual Judgment." Attention, Perception, & Psychophysics (March 2021): 1–11.
  • 01 Oct 2007
  • Research & Ideas

Encouraging Dissent in Decision-Making

ourselves time to develop disagreement and perhaps gain some understanding of what the decision is all about." Developing disagreement and "high-contention" View Details
Keywords: by Garry Emmons
  • February 2020
  • Article

Why Prosocial Referral Incentives Work: The Interplay of Reputational Benefits and Action Costs

By: Rachel Gershon, Cynthia Cryder and Leslie K. John
While selfish incentives typically outperform prosocial incentives, in the context of customer referral rewards, prosocial incentives can be more effective. Companies frequently offer “selfish” (i.e., sender-benefiting) referral incentives, offering customers financial... View Details
Keywords: Incentives; Prosocial Behavior; Judgment And Decision-making; Referral Rewards; Motivation and Incentives; Consumer Behavior; Decision Making
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Gershon, Rachel, Cynthia Cryder, and Leslie K. John. "Why Prosocial Referral Incentives Work: The Interplay of Reputational Benefits and Action Costs." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 57, no. 1 (February 2020): 156–172.
  • 03 Jan 2008
  • What Do You Think?

Does Judgment Trump Experience?

and Warren Bennis that judgment trumps experience. While raising many other questions about the column, Michael Scott pointed out that "as the book (by Tichy and Bennis)... View Details
Keywords: by Jim Heskett
  • Research Summary

Strategic Decision-Making Processes

Michael Roberto is studying the processes that managers employ to make critical strategic decisions. Through extensive field research, he has examined how groups of senior managers make these decisions efficiently, and simultaneously build the consensus required to... View Details
  • December 2024
  • Article

Public Attitudes on Performance for Algorithmic and Human Decision-Makers

By: Kirk Bansak and Elisabeth Paulson
This study explores public preferences for algorithmic and human decision-makers (DMs) in high-stakes contexts, how these preferences are shaped by performance metrics, and whether public evaluations of performance differ depending on the type of DM. Leveraging a... View Details
Keywords: Public Opinion; Prejudice and Bias; Decision Making
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Bansak, Kirk, and Elisabeth Paulson. "Public Attitudes on Performance for Algorithmic and Human Decision-Makers." PNAS Nexus 3, no. 12 (December 2024).
  • Article

The Influence of Standards on Judgment and Choices

By: A. E. Tenbrunsel, K. A. Wade-Benzoni, D. M. Messick and M. H. Bazerman
Keywords: Judgments; Decision Choices and Conditions
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Tenbrunsel, A. E., K. A. Wade-Benzoni, D. M. Messick, and M. H. Bazerman. "The Influence of Standards on Judgment and Choices." Academy of Management Journal 43, no. 5 (October 2000): 854–866.
  • Article

Drive Innovation with Better Decision-Making

By: Linda A. Hill, Emily Tedards and Taran Swan
Despite their embrace of agile methods, many firms striving to innovate are struggling to produce breakthrough ideas. A key culprit, according to the authors, is an outdated, inefficient approach to decision-making. Today’s discovery-driven innovation processes involve... View Details
Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Decision Making; Decision Choices and Conditions; Organizational Change and Adaptation
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Hill, Linda A., Emily Tedards, and Taran Swan. "Drive Innovation with Better Decision-Making." Harvard Business Review 99, no. 6 (November–December 2021): 70–79.
  • 07 Aug 2013
  • What Do You Think?

Is There Still a Role for Judgment in Decision-Making?

contradictory to sound judgment. It only emphasizes it . Judgment is an encapsulation of all those elements data, facts, processes, etc that go into decisions from which we have learned in the past." Joe Schmid said: "Our... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • February 1998 (Revised February 2000)
  • Teaching Note

Decision-Making Exercise (A), (B), and (C), TN

By: David A. Garvin and Michael Roberto
Teaching Note for (9-397-031), (9-397-032), and (9-397-033). View Details
Keywords: Decision Making; Business Education
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Garvin, David A., and Michael Roberto. "Decision-Making Exercise (A), (B), and (C), TN." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 398-100, February 1998. (Revised February 2000.)
  • November 2022
  • Teaching Note

Executive Decision-Making at Zola

By: Amy C. Edmondson and Michael Roberto
Teaching Note for HBS Case. No. 622-074. View Details
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Edmondson, Amy C., and Michael Roberto. "Executive Decision-Making at Zola." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 623-033, November 2022.
  • December 2008
  • Article

Fundamental Dimensions of Social Judgment

By: A. Abele, A.J.C. Cuddy, C. Judd and V. Yzerbyt
Keywords: Judgments; Society
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Abele, A., A.J.C. Cuddy, C. Judd, and V. Yzerbyt. "Fundamental Dimensions of Social Judgment." European Journal of Social Psychology 38, no. 7 (December 2008): 1063–1065.
  • 2015
  • Conference Presentation

Behaviorist Thinking in Judgments of Wrongness, Punishment, and Blame

By: J. De Freitas and S. G. B. Johnson
Citation
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De Freitas, J., and S. G. B. Johnson. "Behaviorist Thinking in Judgments of Wrongness, Punishment, and Blame." Paper presented at the 37th Cognitive Science Society Annual Conference, Pasadena, CA, United States, 2015.
  • 2017
  • Conference Presentation

The Efficiency Principle in Moral Judgment

By: J. De Freitas and S. G. B. Johnson
Citation
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De Freitas, J., and S. G. B. Johnson. "The Efficiency Principle in Moral Judgment." Paper presented at the Society for Philosophy and Psychology Annual Meeting, Baltimore, MD, 2017.
  • 2019
  • Working Paper

Implicit Bias and the Accuracy of Explicit Social Judgment

By: J. Lees
Citation
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Lees, J. "Implicit Bias and the Accuracy of Explicit Social Judgment." Working Paper, July 2019.
  • 2000
  • Dissertation

Strategic Decision-Making Processes: Achieving Efficiency and Consensus Simultaneously

By: Michael A. Roberto
Citation
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Roberto, Michael A. "Strategic Decision-Making Processes: Achieving Efficiency and Consensus Simultaneously." Diss., Harvard Business School, 2000.
  • Article

Memory and Representativeness

By: Pedro Bordalo, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter and Andrei Shleifer
We explore the idea that judgment by representativeness reflects the workings of episodic memory, especially interference. In a new laboratory experiment on cued recall, participants are shown two groups of images with different distributions of colors. We find that i)... View Details
Keywords: Cued Recall; Interference; Similarity; Probabilistic Judgments; Heuristics And Biases
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Bordalo, Pedro, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter, and Andrei Shleifer. "Memory and Representativeness." Psychological Review 128, no. 1 (January 2021): 71–85.
  • 2019
  • Article

Structural Balance Emerges and Explains Performance in Risky Decision-Making

By: Omid Askarisichani, Jacqueline N. Lane, Francesco Bullo, Noah E. Friedkin, Ambuj K. Singh and Brian Uzzi
Polarization affects many forms of social organization. A key issue focuses on which affective relationships are prone to change and how their change relates to performance. In this study, we analyze a financial institutional over a two-year period that employed 66... View Details
Keywords: Polarization; Structural Balance; Performance; Groups and Teams; Risk and Uncertainty; Decision Making
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Askarisichani, Omid, Jacqueline N. Lane, Francesco Bullo, Noah E. Friedkin, Ambuj K. Singh, and Brian Uzzi. "Structural Balance Emerges and Explains Performance in Risky Decision-Making." Art. 2648. Nature Communications 10 (2019): 1–10.
  • 2009
  • Book

Social Decision Making: Social Dilemmas, Social Values, and Ethical Judgments

By: Roderick M. Kramer, Ann E. Tenbrunsel and Max H. Bazerman
This book, in honor of David Messick, is about social decisions and the role cooperation plays in social life. Noted contributors who worked with Dave over the years will discuss their work in social judgment, decision making, and ethics which was so important to Dave. View Details
Keywords: Judgments; Ethics; Values and Beliefs; Social and Collaborative Networks; Cooperation
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Kramer, Roderick M., Ann E. Tenbrunsel and Max H. Bazerman, eds. Social Decision Making: Social Dilemmas, Social Values, and Ethical Judgments. New York: Routledge, 2009.
  • Research Summary

Estimating Demand Uncertainty Using Judgmental Forecasts

Measuring demand uncertainty is a key activity in supply chain planning, but is difficult when demand history is unavailable such as for new products. One method that can be applied in such cases uses dispersion among forecasting experts as a measure of demand... View Details
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