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    • All HBS Web  (1,928)
      • Faculty Publications  (435)

      Judgment And Decision-makingRemove Judgment And Decision-making →

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      • July 2024
      • Teaching Note

      The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-Making in a Time of Uncertainty

      By: Shai Bernstein, Josh Lerner and Sabrina T. Howell
      Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 824-198. View Details
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      Bernstein, Shai, Josh Lerner, and Sabrina T. Howell. "The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-Making in a Time of Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 825-052, July 2024.
      • July 2024
      • Case

      Roja Garimella: Developing a Founder's Judgment

      By: Reza Satchu and Patrick Sanguineti
      Roja Garimella’s path to becoming a founder was anything but straight. Setting her sights on a career in medicine since childhood, she committed to medical school with her acceptance to college. And yet, throughout her studies, she continually explored alternative... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Personal Development and Career; Entrepreneurial Finance; Business Startups; Judgments; Financial Services Industry; Health Industry
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      Satchu, Reza, and Patrick Sanguineti. "Roja Garimella: Developing a Founder's Judgment." Harvard Business School Case 825-006, July 2024.
      • July 2024
      • Article

      A (Dynamic) Investigation of Stereotypes, Belief-Updating, and Behavior

      By: Katherine B. Coffman, Paola Ugalde Araya and Basit Zafar
      Many decisions—such as what educational or career path to pursue—are dynamic in nature, with individuals receiving feedback at one point in time and making decisions later. Using a controlled experiment, with two sessions one week apart, we analyze the dynamic effects... View Details
      Keywords: Feedback; Beliefs; Stereotypes; Self-assessment; Gender Gap; Gender; Equality and Inequality; Perception; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Coffman, Katherine B., Paola Ugalde Araya, and Basit Zafar. "A (Dynamic) Investigation of Stereotypes, Belief-Updating, and Behavior." Economic Inquiry 62, no. 3 (July 2024): 957–983.
      • July 2024
      • Article

      Mass General Brigham’s Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement System: A Decade of Learnings

      By: Jason B. Liu, Robert S. Kaplan, David W. Bates, Mario O. Edelen, Rachel C. Sisodia and Andrea L. Pusic
      This article describes the strategies that leaders at the Mass General Brigham (MGB) health system have used in launching a standardized patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) collection program in 2012, a major step in the value-based transformation of health care.... View Details
      Keywords: Patient-reported Outcomes; Value Based Health Care; Health Care and Treatment; Transformation; Outcome or Result; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Performance Improvement; Health Industry
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      Liu, Jason B., Robert S. Kaplan, David W. Bates, Mario O. Edelen, Rachel C. Sisodia, and Andrea L. Pusic. "Mass General Brigham’s Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement System: A Decade of Learnings." NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 5, no. 7 (July 2024).
      • June 2024
      • Article

      The Diversity Heuristic: How Team Demographic Composition Influences Judgments of Team Creativity

      By: Devon Proudfoot, Zachariah Berry, Edward H. Chang and Min B. Kay
      Despite mixed evidence for the relationship between demographic diversity and creativity, we propose that observers hold a lay belief that demographic diversity increases creativity and apply this lay belief in judgments about teams and their creative work. Across... View Details
      Keywords: Diversity; Race; Gender; Groups and Teams; Perception; Creativity
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      Proudfoot, Devon, Zachariah Berry, Edward H. Chang, and Min B. Kay. "The Diversity Heuristic: How Team Demographic Composition Influences Judgments of Team Creativity." Management Science 70, no. 6 (June 2024): 3879–3901.
      • May 2024
      • Article

      Moral Thin-Slicing: Forming Moral Impressions from a Brief Glance

      By: Julian De Freitas and Alon Hafri
      Despite the modern rarity with which people are visual witness to moral transgressions involving physical harm, such transgressions are more accessible than ever thanks to their availability on social media and in the news. On one hand, the literature suggests that... View Details
      Keywords: Moral Judgement; Thin Slices; Social Media; Fake News; Misinformation; Moral Sensibility; News; Behavior
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      De Freitas, Julian, and Alon Hafri. "Moral Thin-Slicing: Forming Moral Impressions from a Brief Glance." Art. 104588. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 112 (May 2024).
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Business Experiments as Persuasion

      By: Orie Shelef, Rebecca Karp and Robert Wuebker
      Much of the prior work on experimentation rests upon the assumption that entrepreneurs and managers use—or should optimally adopt—a "scientific approach" to test possible decisions before making them. This paper offers an alternative view of experimental strategy,... View Details
      Keywords: Experimentation; Entrepreneurship; Strategy; Decision Making; Innovation Strategy
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      Shelef, Orie, Rebecca Karp, and Robert Wuebker. "Business Experiments as Persuasion." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-065, March 2024.
      • April 2024 (Revised August 2024)
      • Case

      The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty

      By: Shai Bernstein, Sabrina Howell and Josh Lerner
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      Bernstein, Shai, Sabrina Howell, and Josh Lerner. "The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Case 824-198, April 2024. (Revised August 2024.)
      • April 2024 (Revised July 2024)
      • Case

      Market Dynamics and Moral Dilemmas: Novo Nordisk’s Weight-Loss Drugs

      By: Joseph L. Badaracco, Tom Quinn and John Schultz
      Danish pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk was owned by a charitable foundation, and since its founding in the 1920s had focused on producing insulin to treat diabetes. In 2017, however, it released Ozempic, a diabetes treatment with the revolutionary side effect of... View Details
      Keywords: Cost vs Benefits; Decisions; Judgments; Values and Beliefs; Global Strategy; Health Care and Treatment; Patents; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Product Positioning; Supply and Industry; Supply Chain; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Mission and Purpose; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Opportunities; Social Issues; Equality and Inequality; Pharmaceutical Industry; Health Industry; Denmark; United States; Europe; China; India; Middle East; North Africa
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      Badaracco, Joseph L., Tom Quinn, and John Schultz. "Market Dynamics and Moral Dilemmas: Novo Nordisk’s Weight-Loss Drugs." Harvard Business School Case 324-114, April 2024. (Revised July 2024.)
      • April 2024
      • Article

      An Integrative Model of Hybrid Governance: The Role of Boards in Helping Sustain Organizational Hybridity

      By: Anne-Claire Pache, Julie Battilana and Channing Spencer
      Hybrid organizations must sustainably attend to multiple goals embedded in different institutional spheres. Past research has highlighted the value for hybrids in recruiting board members representing different logics to avoid attentional drifts; yet, diverse boards... View Details
      Keywords: Governing and Advisory Boards; Business or Company Management; Organizational Structure
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      Pache, Anne-Claire, Julie Battilana, and Channing Spencer. "An Integrative Model of Hybrid Governance: The Role of Boards in Helping Sustain Organizational Hybridity." Academy of Management Journal 67, no. 2 (April 2024): 437–467.
      • April 2024 (Revised November 2024)
      • Case

      Moderna: Pioneering a People Platform to Accelerate Science Innovation

      By: Tatiana Sandino, Emil Dy and Samuel Grad
      Moderna was founded in 2010 to explore how messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) could be used to create breakthrough medicines by encoding instructions for the body to create antibodies. When Stéphane Bancel (HBS 2000) took over in 2011, he bet on the potential of this... View Details
      Keywords: Disruptive Innovation; Talent and Talent Management; Selection and Staffing; AI and Machine Learning; Digital Strategy; Innovation and Management; Leadership Development; Management Practices and Processes; Management Systems; Organizational Culture; Performance Evaluation; Alignment; Employee Relationship Management; Science-Based Business; Expansion; Pharmaceutical Industry; Biotechnology Industry; United States
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      Sandino, Tatiana, Emil Dy, and Samuel Grad. "Moderna: Pioneering a People Platform to Accelerate Science Innovation." Harvard Business School Case 124-091, April 2024. (Revised November 2024.)
      • 2023
      • Working Paper

      Design-Based Inference for Multi-arm Bandits

      By: Dae Woong Ham, Iavor I. Bojinov, Michael Lindon and Martin Tingley
      Multi-arm bandits are gaining popularity as they enable real-world sequential decision-making across application areas, including clinical trials, recommender systems, and online decision-making. Consequently, there is an increased desire to use the available... View Details
      Keywords: Analytics and Data Science; Mathematical Methods
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      Ham, Dae Woong, Iavor I. Bojinov, Michael Lindon, and Martin Tingley. "Design-Based Inference for Multi-arm Bandits." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-056, March 2024.
      • 2021
      • Working Paper

      Quantifying the Value of Iterative Experimentation

      By: Iavor I Bojinov and Jialiang Mao
      Over the past decade, most technology companies and a growing number of conventional firms have adopted online experimentation (or A/B testing) into their product development process. Initially, A/B testing was deployed as a static procedure in which an experiment was... View Details
      Keywords: Product Development; Value Creation; Research
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      Bojinov, Iavor I., and Jialiang Mao. "Quantifying the Value of Iterative Experimentation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-059, March 2024.
      • March–April 2024
      • Article

      How Companies Should Weigh in on a Controversy: A Better Approach to Stakeholder Management

      By: David M. Bersoff, Sandra J. Sucher and Peter Tufano
      Executives need guidance about managing their organizations’ engagement with societal issues—including hot-button topics such as gender, climate, and racial discrimination. Success in this realm does not mean avoiding public controversy or achieving unanimous support... View Details
      Keywords: Values and Beliefs; Social Issues; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Judgments; Management Practices and Processes
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      Bersoff, David M., Sandra J. Sucher, and Peter Tufano. "How Companies Should Weigh in on a Controversy: A Better Approach to Stakeholder Management." Harvard Business Review 102, no. 2 (March–April 2024): 108–119.
      • March 2024
      • Module Note

      Navigating the Future: Managing Financial Forecasts

      By: Mark Egan
      This module note guides instructors on delivering a course module that focuses on understanding, developing, and using financial forecasts from a chief financial officer’s (CFO) perspective. The cases in the module equip students with an understanding of the techniques... View Details
      Keywords: CFO; Forecasting; Corporate Finance; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Management; Revenue; United States
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      Egan, Mark. "Navigating the Future: Managing Financial Forecasts." Harvard Business School Module Note 224-075, March 2024.
      • February 2024
      • Article

      Representation and Extrapolation: Evidence from Clinical Trials

      By: Marcella Alsan, Maya Durvasula, Harsh Gupta, Joshua Schwartzstein and Heidi L. Williams
      This article examines the consequences and causes of low enrollment of Black patients in clinical trials. We develop a simple model of similarity-based extrapolation that predicts that evidence is more relevant for decision-making by physicians and patients when it... View Details
      Keywords: Representation; Racial Disparity; Health Testing and Trials; Race; Equality and Inequality; Innovation and Invention; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Alsan, Marcella, Maya Durvasula, Harsh Gupta, Joshua Schwartzstein, and Heidi L. Williams. "Representation and Extrapolation: Evidence from Clinical Trials." Quarterly Journal of Economics 139, no. 1 (February 2024): 575–635.
      • January 2024 (Revised February 2024)
      • Course Overview Note

      Managing Customers for Growth: Course Overview for Students

      By: Eva Ascarza
      Managing Customers for Growth (MCG) is a 14-session elective course for second-year MBA students at Harvard Business School. It is designed for business professionals engaged in roles centered on customer-driven growth activities. The course explores the dynamics of... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Decision Making; Analytics and Data Science; Growth Management; Telecommunications Industry; Technology Industry; Financial Services Industry; Education Industry; Travel Industry
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      Ascarza, Eva. "Managing Customers for Growth: Course Overview for Students." Harvard Business School Course Overview Note 524-032, January 2024. (Revised February 2024.)
      • January 2024 (Revised February 2024)
      • Exercise

      Travelogo: Understanding Customer Journeys

      By: Eva Ascarza, Nicolas Padilla and Oded Netzer
      In late May 2023, Sarah Merino, the newly appointed manager of the Customer Insights group at Travelogo—an online travel booking platform—initiates a comprehensive analysis of clickstream data to understand the varied behaviors and needs of their users. In preparation... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Analysis; Analytics and Data Science; Marketing Strategy; Segmentation; Consumer Behavior; Travel Industry; United States
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      Ascarza, Eva, Nicolas Padilla, and Oded Netzer. "Travelogo: Understanding Customer Journeys." Harvard Business School Exercise 524-044, January 2024. (Revised February 2024.)
      • 2024
      • Case

      Christiana Figueres and the Paris Climate Negotiations (A)

      By: James K. Sebenius, Laurence A. Green, Hannah Riley-Bowles, Lara SanPietro and Mina Subramanian
      This three-part, stop action case study, structured for classroom discussion, centers on Harvard’s Program on Negotiation 2022 Great Negotiator, Christiana Figueres, and her efforts as Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change... View Details
      Keywords: Climate Change; Negotiation; Environmental Regulation; International Relations; Leadership
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      Sebenius, James K., Laurence A. Green, Hannah Riley-Bowles, Lara SanPietro, and Mina Subramanian. "Christiana Figueres and the Paris Climate Negotiations (A)." Program on Negotiation at Harvard Law School Case, 2024.
      • 2024
      • Case

      Christiana Figueres and the Paris Climate Negotiations (B)

      By: James K. Sebenius, Laurence A. Green, Hannah Riley-Bowles, Lara SanPietro and Mina Subramanian
      This three-part, stop action case study, structured for classroom discussion, centers on Harvard’s Program on Negotiation 2022 Great Negotiator, Christiana Figueres, and her efforts as Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change... View Details
      Keywords: Climate Change; Negotiation; Environmental Regulation; International Relations; Leadership
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      Sebenius, James K., Laurence A. Green, Hannah Riley-Bowles, Lara SanPietro, and Mina Subramanian. "Christiana Figueres and the Paris Climate Negotiations (B)." Program on Negotiation at Harvard Law School Case, 2024.
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