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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(1,257)
- People (1)
- News (304)
- Research (816)
- Events (3)
- Multimedia (1)
- Faculty Publications (274)
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- November 2023
- Article
A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates
We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the... View Details
Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam. "A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 138, no. 4 (November 2023): 2327–2389.
- January – March 2012
- Article
Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: Luis M. Viceira
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
- Article
The Effects of Interest Rates on Mortgage Prepayments
By: Jerry R. Green and John B. Shoven
Green, Jerry R., and John B. Shoven. "The Effects of Interest Rates on Mortgage Prepayments." Journal of Money, Credit & Banking 18, no. 1 (February 1986): 41–59.
- March 2025
- Case
Calyx Global: Rating Carbon Credits
By: Michael W. Toffel and Adam Chen
This case describes how rating agencies and other organizations are seeking to improve the quality of carbon credits sold in the voluntary carbon market to organizations seeking to use them to supplement their internal decarbonization efforts to meet their net zero... View Details
Keywords: Service Design; Certification; Auditing; Auditor Reputation; Carbon Credits; Carbon; Rating Agency Disagreement; Ratings; Climate Change; Business Model; Environmental Sustainability; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Conflict of Interests; Reputation; Business Strategy
Toffel, Michael W., and Adam Chen. "Calyx Global: Rating Carbon Credits." Harvard Business School Case 625-102, March 2025.
- 2024
- Article
Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos
We survey the growing literature emphasizing the role that supply-and-demand forces play in shaping the term structure of interest rates. Our starting point is the Vayanos and Vila (2009, 2021) model of the term structure of default-free bond yields, which we present... View Details
Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Hanson, and Dimitri Vayanos. "Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." Annual Review of Financial Economics 16 (2024): 115–151.
- 1999
- Chapter
Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model
By: Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford. "Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model." In Monetary Policy Rules, edited by John B. Taylor. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1999.
- Article
Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment
By: Robert F. Engle, Guillaume Roussellet and Emil N. Siriwardane
We propose a statistical model of the term structure of U.S. treasury yields tailored for long-term probability-based scenario generation and forecasts. Our model is easy to estimate and is able to simultaneously reproduce the positivity, persistence, and factor... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting; Stress Testing; Interest Rates; Forecasting and Prediction; Risk Management; United States
Engle, Robert F., Guillaume Roussellet, and Emil N. Siriwardane. "Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment." Special Issue on Theoretical and Financial Econometrics: Essays in Honor of C. Gourieroux. Journal of Econometrics 201, no. 2 (December 2017): 333–347.
- November 1995
- Comment
Comment on Inside Money, Outside Money, and Short-Term Interest Rates
By: Julio J. Rotemberg
Rotemberg, Julio J. "Comment on Inside Money, Outside Money, and Short-Term Interest Rates." Part 2: Liquidity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Intermediation Journal of Money, Credit & Banking 27, no. 4 (November 1995): 1396–1401.
- Fall 2024
- Article
The Credit Rating Agency Market in Africa: Landscape and Future Research Directions
By: Saveshen Pillay and Anywhere Sikochi
We explore the role of credit ratings in global markets and highlight potential opportunities for research on the African credit rating agency market. We trace the evolution of credit ratings and conduct a comprehensive literature review of existing studies globally... View Details
Keywords: Credit Rating; Credit Rating Agencies; Credit; Conflict of Interests; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Financial Markets; Africa
Pillay, Saveshen, and Anywhere Sikochi. "The Credit Rating Agency Market in Africa: Landscape and Future Research Directions." Journal of Financial Reporting 9, no. 2 (Fall 2024): 103–122.
- October 1997
- Article
Real Interest Rates and Growth: Improving on Some Deflating Experiences
By: Huw Pill
Pill, Huw. "Real Interest Rates and Growth: Improving on Some Deflating Experiences." Journal of Development Studies 34, no. 1 (October 1997): 85–110.
- autumn 1976
- Article
A Study of Interest Rate Spreads in the 1974 CD Market
By: D. B. Crane
Crane, D. B. "A Study of Interest Rate Spreads in the 1974 CD Market." Journal of Bank Research 7, no. 3 (autumn 1976).
- February 2024
- Supplement
Live Excel Supplement - Exotic Interest Rate Swaps: Snowballs in Portugal
By: Boris Vallee
- 11 Sep 2007
- Working Paper Summaries
Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Keywords: by Luis M. Viceira
- May 1974
- Article
On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates
By: Robert C. Merton
Merton, Robert C. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates." Journal of Finance 29, no. 2 (May 1974): 449–470. (Chapter 12 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
- 1971
- Working Paper
A Simple General Equilibrium Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: Jerry R. Green
- Article
New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
By: K. A. Froot
Froot, K. A. "New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates." Journal of Finance 44, no. 2 (June 1989): 283–305. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2363, March 1990. Reprinted in Behavioral Finance, edited by H. Shefrin, part of the International Library of Critical Writings in Financial Economics, edited by R. Roll. London: Edward Elgar, 2000.)
- May 2005 (Revised January 2006)
- Case
Ticonderoga: Inverse Floating Rate Bond
Presents a simple interest hedging exercise. A hedge fund is considering an investment in a structured fixed--income product: an inverse floating-rate bond, or inverse floater, designed by a U.S. investment bank. The hedge fund's normal policy is to hedge interest rate... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Bonds; Investment Funds; Interest Rates
Chacko, George C., and Anders Sjoman. "Ticonderoga: Inverse Floating Rate Bond." Harvard Business School Case 205-113, May 2005. (Revised January 2006.)
- 1994
- Other Unpublished Work
Interest Allocation Rules and the Changing Cost of Debt Finance
By: K. A. Froot and J. Hines
- November 9, 2019
- Article
Effect of Revealing Authors' Conflicts of Interests in Peer Review: Randomized Controlled Trial
By: Leslie K. John, George Loewenstein, Andrew Marder and Michael Callaham
Objective: To assess the impact of disclosing authors’ conflict of interest declarations to peer reviewers at a medical journal.
Design: Randomised controlled trial.
Setting: The study was conducted within the manuscript review process at the... View Details
Design: Randomised controlled trial.
Setting: The study was conducted within the manuscript review process at the... View Details
Keywords: Conflicts Of Interest; Peer Review; Randomized Controlled Trial; Scientific Publication; Conflict of Interests; Journals and Magazines; Science
John, Leslie K., George Loewenstein, Andrew Marder, and Michael Callaham. "Effect of Revealing Authors' Conflicts of Interests in Peer Review: Randomized Controlled Trial." BMJ: British Medical Journal 367, no. 8221 (November 9, 2019).
- 1996
- Thesis
Limits on Interest Rate Rules in Macroeconomic Models Governed by Price Stickiness and Rational Expectations
By: William R. Kerr
Kerr, William R. "Limits on Interest Rate Rules in Macroeconomic Models Governed by Price Stickiness and Rational Expectations." Thesis, University of Virginia, 1996.