Publications

January – March 2012
Article

Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Luis M. Viceira

This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details

Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks

November 2023
Article

A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam

We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the... View Details

Keywords: Term Premium; Exchange Rate; Currency Exchange Rate; Bonds

2024
Article

Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos

We survey the growing literature emphasizing the role that supply-and-demand forces play in shaping the term structure of interest rates. Our starting point is the Vayanos and Vila (2009, 2021) model of the term structure of default-free bond yields, which we present... View Details

Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Interest Rates; Bonds; Financial Markets

March 2025
Case

Calyx Global: Rating Carbon Credits

By: Michael W. Toffel and Adam Chen

This case describes how rating agencies and other organizations are seeking to improve the quality of carbon credits sold in the voluntary carbon market to organizations seeking to use them to supplement their internal decarbonization efforts to meet their net zero... View Details

Keywords: Service Design; Certification; Auditing; Auditor Reputation; Carbon Credits; Carbon; Rating Agency Disagreement; Ratings; Climate Change; Business Model; Environmental Sustainability; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Conflict of Interests; Reputation; Business Strategy

Educators

Purchase

1999
Chapter

Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model

By: Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford

Keywords: Interest Rates; Mathematical Methods

Article

Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment

By: Robert F. Engle, Guillaume Roussellet and Emil N. Siriwardane

We propose a statistical model of the term structure of U.S. treasury yields tailored for long-term probability-based scenario generation and forecasts. Our model is easy to estimate and is able to simultaneously reproduce the positivity, persistence, and factor... View Details

Keywords: Forecasting; Stress Testing; Interest Rates; Forecasting and Prediction; Risk Management; United States

Fall 2024
Article

The Credit Rating Agency Market in Africa: Landscape and Future Research Directions

By: Saveshen Pillay and Anywhere Sikochi

We explore the role of credit ratings in global markets and highlight potential opportunities for research on the African credit rating agency market. We trace the evolution of credit ratings and conduct a comprehensive literature review of existing studies globally... View Details

Keywords: Credit Rating; Credit Rating Agencies; Credit; Conflict of Interests; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Financial Markets; Africa

November 1995
Comment

Comment on Inside Money, Outside Money, and Short-Term Interest Rates

By: Julio J. Rotemberg

Keywords: Money; Interest Rates

autumn 1976
Article

A Study of Interest Rate Spreads in the 1974 CD Market

By: D. B. Crane

Keywords: Markets; Interest Rates; Financial Services Industry

October 1997
Article

Real Interest Rates and Growth: Improving on Some Deflating Experiences

By: Huw Pill

February 2024
Supplement

Live Excel Supplement - Exotic Interest Rate Swaps: Snowballs in Portugal

By: Boris Vallee

Purchase

11 Sep 2007
Working Paper Summaries

Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Keywords: by Luis M. Viceira

May 1974
Article

On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates

By: Robert C. Merton

Keywords: Price; Borrowing and Debt; Risk and Uncertainty; Interest Rates

1971
Working Paper

A Simple General Equilibrium Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Jerry R. Green

Article

New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: K. A. Froot

Keywords: Rational Expectations; Yield Curve; Interest Rates; Asset Pricing; Behavioral Finance

1994
Other Unpublished Work

Interest Allocation Rules and the Changing Cost of Debt Finance

By: K. A. Froot and J. Hines

Keywords: Corporation Taxation; Interest Deductibility; Cost of Capital; Taxation; Interest Rates; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance

May 2005 (Revised January 2006)
Case

Ticonderoga: Inverse Floating Rate Bond

Presents a simple interest hedging exercise. A hedge fund is considering an investment in a structured fixed--income product: an inverse floating-rate bond, or inverse floater, designed by a U.S. investment bank. The hedge fund's normal policy is to hedge interest rate... View Details

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Bonds; Investment Funds; Interest Rates

Educators

Purchase

November 9, 2019
Article

Effect of Revealing Authors' Conflicts of Interests in Peer Review: Randomized Controlled Trial

By: Leslie K. John, George Loewenstein, Andrew Marder and Michael Callaham

Objective: To assess the impact of disclosing authors’ conflict of interest declarations to peer reviewers at a medical journal.
Design: Randomised controlled trial.

Setting: The study was conducted within the manuscript review process at the... View Details

Keywords: Conflicts Of Interest; Peer Review; Randomized Controlled Trial; Scientific Publication; Conflict of Interests; Journals and Magazines; Science