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  • All HBS Web  (1,257)
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  • Article

The Effects of Interest Rates on Mortgage Prepayments

By: Jerry R. Green and John B. Shoven
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Green, Jerry R., and John B. Shoven. "The Effects of Interest Rates on Mortgage Prepayments." Journal of Money, Credit & Banking 18, no. 1 (February 1986): 41–59.
  • January – March 2012
  • Article

Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Luis M. Viceira
This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
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Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
  • November 2023
  • Article

A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam
We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the... View Details
Keywords: Term Premium; Exchange Rate; Currency Exchange Rate; Bonds
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam. "A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates." Quarterly Journal of Economics 138, no. 4 (November 2023): 2327–2389.
  • 2024
  • Article

Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos
We survey the growing literature emphasizing the role that supply-and-demand forces play in shaping the term structure of interest rates. Our starting point is the Vayanos and Vila (2009, 2021) model of the term structure of default-free bond yields, which we present... View Details
Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Interest Rates; Bonds; Financial Markets
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Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Hanson, and Dimitri Vayanos. "Supply and Demand and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." Annual Review of Financial Economics 16 (2024): 115–151.
  • March 2025
  • Case

Calyx Global: Rating Carbon Credits

By: Michael W. Toffel and Adam Chen
This case describes how rating agencies and other organizations are seeking to improve the quality of carbon credits sold in the voluntary carbon market to organizations seeking to use them to supplement their internal decarbonization efforts to meet their net zero... View Details
Keywords: Service Design; Certification; Auditing; Auditor Reputation; Carbon Credits; Carbon; Rating Agency Disagreement; Ratings; Climate Change; Business Model; Environmental Sustainability; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Conflict of Interests; Reputation; Business Strategy
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Toffel, Michael W., and Adam Chen. "Calyx Global: Rating Carbon Credits." Harvard Business School Case 625-102, March 2025.
  • 1999
  • Chapter

Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model

By: Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Keywords: Interest Rates; Mathematical Methods
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Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford. "Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model." In Monetary Policy Rules, edited by John B. Taylor. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1999.
  • Article

Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment

By: Robert F. Engle, Guillaume Roussellet and Emil N. Siriwardane
We propose a statistical model of the term structure of U.S. treasury yields tailored for long-term probability-based scenario generation and forecasts. Our model is easy to estimate and is able to simultaneously reproduce the positivity, persistence, and factor... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting; Stress Testing; Interest Rates; Forecasting and Prediction; Risk Management; United States
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Engle, Robert F., Guillaume Roussellet, and Emil N. Siriwardane. "Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment." Special Issue on Theoretical and Financial Econometrics: Essays in Honor of C. Gourieroux. Journal of Econometrics 201, no. 2 (December 2017): 333–347.
  • Fall 2024
  • Article

The Credit Rating Agency Market in Africa: Landscape and Future Research Directions

By: Saveshen Pillay and Anywhere Sikochi
We explore the role of credit ratings in global markets and highlight potential opportunities for research on the African credit rating agency market. We trace the evolution of credit ratings and conduct a comprehensive literature review of existing studies globally... View Details
Keywords: Credit Rating; Credit Rating Agencies; Credit; Conflict of Interests; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Financial Markets; Africa
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Pillay, Saveshen, and Anywhere Sikochi. "The Credit Rating Agency Market in Africa: Landscape and Future Research Directions." Journal of Financial Reporting 9, no. 2 (Fall 2024): 103–122.
  • November 1995
  • Comment

Comment on Inside Money, Outside Money, and Short-Term Interest Rates

By: Julio J. Rotemberg
Keywords: Money; Interest Rates
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Rotemberg, Julio J. "Comment on Inside Money, Outside Money, and Short-Term Interest Rates." Part 2: Liquidity, Monetary Policy, and Financial Intermediation Journal of Money, Credit & Banking 27, no. 4 (November 1995): 1396–1401.
  • autumn 1976
  • Article

A Study of Interest Rate Spreads in the 1974 CD Market

By: D. B. Crane
Keywords: Markets; Interest Rates; Financial Services Industry
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Crane, D. B. "A Study of Interest Rate Spreads in the 1974 CD Market." Journal of Bank Research 7, no. 3 (autumn 1976).
  • October 1997
  • Article

Real Interest Rates and Growth: Improving on Some Deflating Experiences

By: Huw Pill
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Pill, Huw. "Real Interest Rates and Growth: Improving on Some Deflating Experiences." Journal of Development Studies 34, no. 1 (October 1997): 85–110.
  • February 2024
  • Supplement

Live Excel Supplement - Exotic Interest Rate Swaps: Snowballs in Portugal

By: Boris Vallee
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Vallee, Boris. "Live Excel Supplement - Exotic Interest Rate Swaps: Snowballs in Portugal." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 224-737, February 2024.
  • 11 Sep 2007
  • Working Paper Summaries

Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Keywords: by Luis M. Viceira
  • May 1974
  • Article

On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates

By: Robert C. Merton
Keywords: Price; Borrowing and Debt; Risk and Uncertainty; Interest Rates
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Merton, Robert C. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates." Journal of Finance 29, no. 2 (May 1974): 449–470. (Chapter 12 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
  • 1971
  • Working Paper

A Simple General Equilibrium Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: Jerry R. Green
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Green, Jerry R. "A Simple General Equilibrium Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates." Harvard Institute of Economic Research Discussion Paper, No. 183, January 1971.
  • Article

New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

By: K. A. Froot
Keywords: Rational Expectations; Yield Curve; Interest Rates; Asset Pricing; Behavioral Finance
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Froot, K. A. "New Hope for the Expectations Hypothesis of the Term Structure of Interest Rates." Journal of Finance 44, no. 2 (June 1989): 283–305. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2363, March 1990. Reprinted in Behavioral Finance, edited by H. Shefrin, part of the International Library of Critical Writings in Financial Economics, edited by R. Roll. London: Edward Elgar, 2000.)
  • 1994
  • Other Unpublished Work

Interest Allocation Rules and the Changing Cost of Debt Finance

By: K. A. Froot and J. Hines
Keywords: Corporation Taxation; Interest Deductibility; Cost of Capital; Taxation; Interest Rates; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance
Citation
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Froot, K. A., and J. Hines. "Interest Allocation Rules and the Changing Cost of Debt Finance." Harvard University, 1994.
  • May 2005 (Revised January 2006)
  • Case

Ticonderoga: Inverse Floating Rate Bond

Presents a simple interest hedging exercise. A hedge fund is considering an investment in a structured fixed--income product: an inverse floating-rate bond, or inverse floater, designed by a U.S. investment bank. The hedge fund's normal policy is to hedge interest rate... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Bonds; Investment Funds; Interest Rates
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Chacko, George C., and Anders Sjoman. "Ticonderoga: Inverse Floating Rate Bond." Harvard Business School Case 205-113, May 2005. (Revised January 2006.)
  • November 9, 2019
  • Article

Effect of Revealing Authors' Conflicts of Interests in Peer Review: Randomized Controlled Trial

By: Leslie K. John, George Loewenstein, Andrew Marder and Michael Callaham
Objective: To assess the impact of disclosing authors’ conflict of interest declarations to peer reviewers at a medical journal.
Design: Randomised controlled trial.

Setting: The study was conducted within the manuscript review process at the... View Details
Keywords: Conflicts Of Interest; Peer Review; Randomized Controlled Trial; Scientific Publication; Conflict of Interests; Journals and Magazines; Science
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John, Leslie K., George Loewenstein, Andrew Marder, and Michael Callaham. "Effect of Revealing Authors' Conflicts of Interests in Peer Review: Randomized Controlled Trial." BMJ: British Medical Journal 367, no. 8221 (November 9, 2019).
  • 1996
  • Thesis

Limits on Interest Rate Rules in Macroeconomic Models Governed by Price Stickiness and Rational Expectations

By: William R. Kerr
Keywords: Interest Rates; Macroeconomics; Mathematical Methods
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Kerr, William R. "Limits on Interest Rate Rules in Macroeconomic Models Governed by Price Stickiness and Rational Expectations." Thesis, University of Virginia, 1996.
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