Inflation - Publications - Faculty & Research

February 2004 (Revised March 2010)
Case

Brazil 2003: Inflation Targeting and Debt Dynamics

By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel

In October 2002, Brazilians elected a left-wing president, Luis Inacio Lula da Silva, for the first time in that country's history. As markets faltered in response, Lula sought to reaffirm his commitment to fiscal discipline, a floating exchange rate, and inflation... View Details

Keywords: Economy; Inflation and Deflation; Money; Borrowing and Debt; Policy; Emerging Markets; Brazil

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10 Jul 2023
News

The Algorithms Quietly Stoking Inflation

20 May 2021
News

Inflation Rate Calculator: Customize Your Own Consumer-Price Index

2024
Working Paper

How Inflation Expectations De-Anchor: The Role of Selective Memory Cues

By: Nicola Gennaioli, Marta Leva, Raphael Schoenle and Andrei Shleifer

In a model of memory and selective recall, household inflation expectations remain rigid when inflation is anchored but exhibit sharp instability during inflation surges, as similarity prompts retrieval of forgotten high-inflation experiences. Using data from the New... View Details

Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Inflation and Deflation; Personal Finance

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April 1989 (Revised September 1989)
Case

CIBA-GEIGY AG: Impact of Inflation and Currency Fluctuations

By: Hugo Uyterhoeven

The chairman of the second-largest Swiss multinational company is preparing for a board discussion on the impact of a constantly strengthening Swiss franc. The case raises strategic issues in terms of international competitiveness, financial reporting issues of how to... View Details

Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Currency; Financial Management; Multinational Firms and Management; Problems and Challenges; Risk and Uncertainty; Competitive Strategy; Switzerland

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25 Aug 2018
News

Growth of online retail is changing inflation

Other Unpublished Work

Inflation Uncertainty and the Wage Bargain

By: Lucy White and Hans-Joachim Voth

Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Risk and Uncertainty; Wages; Labor and Management Relations; Negotiation

Citation

19 Jun 2020
News

Inflation Is Higher Than the Official Numbers

17 Jun 2020
News

Covid-19 is distorting inflation numbers around the world

August 1989
Article

Identifying New Inflation Investment Opportunities

By: David F. Hawkins

Citation

18 Jun 2024
News

Central Banks Missed Inflation Red Flags. This Pricing Model Could Help.

03 Aug 2022
News

Opinion: Food Inflation Remains Stubbornly High in U.S. and Europe

2023
Working Paper

Detecting Structural Breaks in Inflation Trends: A High-Frequency Approach

By: Alberto Cavallo and Gaston Garcia Zavaleta

We combine standard structural-break methods with high-frequency data to identify shifts in inflation trends. We use this approach to study the inflation dynamics of 25 countries from January 2022 to April 2023 and find evidence of a broad-based slowdown in about half... View Details

Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Global Range; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Analysis; Price

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17 May 2021
News

Key Inflation Gauge Overstating Prices, Harvard’s Cavallo Says

November 2024
Article

Price Discounts and Cheapflation During the Post-Pandemic Inflation Surge

By: Alberto Cavallo and Oleksiy Kryvtsov

We study how within-store price variation changes with inflation, and whether households exploit it to attenuate the inflation burden. We use micro price data for food products sold by 91 large multi-channel retailers in ten countries between 2018 and 2024. Measuring... View Details

Keywords: Macroeconomics; Inflation and Deflation; Price; Consumer Behavior; Personal Finance; Product Positioning

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