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    • News  (46)
    • Research  (74)
  • Faculty Publications  (48)

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  • All HBS Web  (138)
    • News  (46)
    • Research  (74)
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  • March 1984 (Revised August 1996)
  • Case

B.F. Goodrich-Rabobank Interest Rate Swap

By: Jay O. Light
A U.S. manufacturing organization and a Eurobank swap fixed and floating rate obligations to reduce their financing costs. View Details
Keywords: Financing and Loans; Cost Management; Production; Interest Rates; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Auto Industry; Financial Services Industry; United States
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Light, Jay O. "B.F. Goodrich-Rabobank Interest Rate Swap." Harvard Business School Case 284-080, March 1984. (Revised August 1996.)
  • Article

Forward Discount Bias: Is It an Exchange Risk Premium?

By: K. A. Froot and J. Frankel
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
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Froot, K. A., and J. Frankel. "Forward Discount Bias: Is It an Exchange Risk Premium?" Quarterly Journal of Economics 104, no. 1 (February 1989): 139–161. (Revision of "Findings of Forward Discount Bias Interpreted in Light of Exchange Rate Survey Data," NBER Working Paper No. 1963 and Sloan Working Paper No. 1906-87, August 1987. Reprinted in Advances in Behavioral Finance, edited by Richard Thaler. New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1993: 359-382 and in Speculation and Financial Markets, edited by M. Taylor and L. Gallagher. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2001.)
  • December 1989
  • Article

On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations

By: K. A. Froot and T. Ito
This paper examines whether short-term exchange rate expectations 'overreact' by comparing them with long-term expectations. We develop a set of nonlinear restrictions linking expectations at different forecast horizons. The restrictions impose consistency, a property... View Details
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
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Froot, K. A., and T. Ito. "On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations." Journal of International Money and Finance 8, no. 4 (December 1989): 487–510. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2577, May 1988.)
  • 1986
  • Article

The Dollar as an Irrational Speculative Bubble: A Tale of Fundamentalists and Chartists

By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Macroeconomics
Citation
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Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "The Dollar as an Irrational Speculative Bubble: A Tale of Fundamentalists and Chartists." Marcus Wallenberg Papers on International Finance 1 (1986): 27–55. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 1854, March 1986.)
  • June 2003 (Revised January 2004)
  • Case

The Euro-Dollar Decision (A)

By: Huw Pill, John C. Kelleher, Michael T. Nally and David Schlendorf
Explores the factors that determine floating exchange rates in the context of the introduction of the euro in January 1999. View Details
Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; European Union
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Pill, Huw, John C. Kelleher, Michael T. Nally, and David Schlendorf. "The Euro-Dollar Decision (A)." Harvard Business School Case 703-071, June 2003. (Revised January 2004.)
  • Article

Stochastic Process Switching: Some Simple Solutions

By: K. A. Froot and M. Obstfeld
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
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Froot, K. A., and M. Obstfeld. "Stochastic Process Switching: Some Simple Solutions." Econometrica 59, no. 1 (January 1991): 241–250. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2998, July 1989. Reprinted in Exchange Rates and Currency Bonds, edited by P. Krugman and M. Miller. London: CEPR, 1991.)
  • May 1990
  • Article

Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market

By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
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Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market." American Economic Review 80, no. 2 (May 1990): 181–185. (Reprinted in New Developments in Exchange Rate Economics, edited by L. Sarno and M. Taylor. Edward Elgar, 2001; and in Speculation and Financial Markets, edited by M. Taylor and L. Gallagher. Edward Elgar, 2001.)
  • September 1987
  • Article

Short-term and Long-term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data

By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Asset Pricing; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Japan; United States
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Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Short-term and Long-term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data." Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 1 (September 1987): 249–274. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2216, April 1987.)
  • December 1986
  • Article

Understanding the U.S. Dollar in the Eighties: The Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists

By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Asset Pricing; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; History; Performance Expectations; Economics; United States
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Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Understanding the U.S. Dollar in the Eighties: The Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists." Special Issue Economic Record (December 1986): 24–38. (Reprinted in Exchange Rate Economics, vol. I, edited by R. MacDonald and M. Taylor, International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, U.K., 1992.)
  • March 1987
  • Article

Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations

By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Asset Pricing; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Analytics and Data Science; Finance
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Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations." American Economic Review 77, no. 1 (March 1987): 133–153. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 1672.)
  • 1988
  • Chapter

Explaining the Demand for Dollars: International Rates of Return, and the Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists

By: Jeffrey A. Frankel and Kenneth A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Macroeconomics
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Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Kenneth A. Froot. "Explaining the Demand for Dollars: International Rates of Return, and the Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists." Chap. 2 in Macroeconomics, Agriculture, and Exchange Rates, edited by R. Chambers and P. Paarlberg, 25–80. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1988.
  • 1992
  • Chapter

The EMS, the EMU and the Transition to a Common Currency

By: K. A. Froot and K. Rogoff
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; International Finance; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Policy
Citation
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Froot, K. A., and K. Rogoff. "The EMS, the EMU and the Transition to a Common Currency." In Macroeconomics Annual 1991, edited by O. Blanchard and S. Fischer, 269–327. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1992. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 3684, January 1992.)
  • 1992
  • Chapter

Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market

By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; International Finance; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Forecasting and Prediction; Policy
Citation
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Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market." In International Business Reader, edited by D. Duta. London: Oxford University Press, 1992. (Revised from IMF Working Paper No. 90/43 and NBER Working Paper No. 3470, October 1990.)
  • Article

Anomalies: Foreign Exchange

By: K. A. Froot and R. Thaler
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
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Froot, K. A., and R. Thaler. "Anomalies: Foreign Exchange." Journal of Economic Perspectives 4, no. 3 (Summer 1990): 179–192. (Reprinted in Current Issues in the International Economy: A Reader, edited by L. Goldberg and M. Klein. New York: Harper Collins, 1992; Speculation and Financial Markets, edited by M. Taylor and L. Gallagher. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2001; and in Open Economy Macroeconomics, Volume II, Part I, Article 4 edited by Norman Miller. Cheltenham, U.K. and Northampton, Mass., U.S.: Edward Elgar, March 2006: 74-87.)
  • Article

Exchange-rate Dynamics under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach

By: K. A. Froot and M. Obstfeld
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
Citation
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Froot, K. A., and M. Obstfeld. "Exchange-rate Dynamics under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach." Journal of International Economics 31, nos. 3-4 (November 1991): 203–230. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2835, February 1989.)
  • March 1984 (Revised November 2001)
  • Case

Decline of the Dollar, The: 1978

Describes the U.S. experience with floating exchange rates between 1973 and 1978, focusing on the rapid decline of the dollar in the summer of 1978. Illustrates the major determinants of the exchange rates and the role of government intervention in the foreign exchange... View Details
Keywords: Currency Exchange Rate; Government and Politics; Macroeconomics; United States
Citation
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Rukstad, Michael G., and Daniel Pope. "Decline of the Dollar, The: 1978." Harvard Business School Case 384-116, March 1984. (Revised November 2001.)
  • May 2007 (Revised August 2012)
  • Case

Warburg Pincus and emgs: The IPO Decision (A)

By: G. Felda Hardymon and Ann Leamon
Two partners of Warburg Pincus, a global private equity firm, are trying to decide whether to take a portfolio company public, and on what exchange. The company, Norway-based ElectroMagnetic GeoServices (emgs), has developed a market-leading technology that determines... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Private Equity; Initial Public Offering; Investment; Globalized Firms and Management; Norway; England; United States
Citation
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Hardymon, G. Felda, and Ann Leamon. "Warburg Pincus and emgs: The IPO Decision (A)." Harvard Business School Case 807-092, May 2007. (Revised August 2012.)
  • January 2011 (Revised December 2017)
  • Case

Tombstones

By: Timothy A. Luehrman and David Lane
This case consists primarily of excerpts from term sheets and prospectuses for six securities offerings made by US companies during 2009-2010, just after the financial crisis and recession of 2008-09. There are three issues of senior unsecured notes, one floating rate... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Equity; Debt Securities; Bonds; Motivation and Incentives; United States
Citation
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Luehrman, Timothy A., and David Lane. "Tombstones." Harvard Business School Case 211-063, January 2011. (Revised December 2017.)
  • January 2013 (Revised October 2014)
  • Teaching Note

Tombstones

By: Timothy A. Luehrman
This case consists primarily of excerpts from term sheets and prospectuses for six securities offerings made by US companies during 2009-2010, just after the financial crisis and recession of 2008-09. There are three issues of senior unsecured notes, one floating rate... View Details
Keywords: Debt Securities; Financial Crisis; United States
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Luehrman, Timothy A. "Tombstones." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 213-085, January 2013. (Revised October 2014.)
  • May 1991 (Revised December 1994)
  • Case

State of Connecticut Municipal Swap

By: Andre F. Perold
The state of Connecticut wants to raise $325 million of long-term fixed-rate debt. One alternative is to do this synthetically--issue long-term variable rate debt and enter into an interest rate swap. The case is a vehicle for analyzing various floating rate structures... View Details
Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Interest Rates; Taxation; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Risk and Uncertainty; New England
Citation
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Perold, Andre F. "State of Connecticut Municipal Swap." Harvard Business School Case 291-024, May 1991. (Revised December 1994.)
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