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Publications

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      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Scaling Core Earnings Measurement with Large Language Models

      By: Matthew Shaffer and Charles CY Wang
      We study the application of large language models (LLMs) to the estimation of core earnings, i.e., a firm's persistent profitability from its core business activities. This construct is central to investors' assessments of economic performance and valuations. However,... View Details
      Keywords: Large Language Models; AI and Machine Learning; Accounting; Profit; Corporate Disclosure; Analytics and Data Science; Measurement and Metrics
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      Shaffer, Matthew, and Charles CY Wang. "Scaling Core Earnings Measurement with Large Language Models." Working Paper, November 2024.
      • November 2024 (Revised January 2025)
      • Case

      MiDAS: Automating Unemployment Benefits

      By: Shikhar Ghosh and Shweta Bagai
      In 2015, the state of Michigan considered whether to nominate its Michigan Integrated Data Automated System (MiDAS) for a prestigious state technology award. Launched in 2013 amid severe budget pressures, the $47 million automated fraud detection system was designed to... View Details
      Keywords: Artificial Intelligence; AI; Machine Learning Models; Algorithmic Data; Automation; Benefits; Compensation; Cost Reduction; Government; Fraud; Government Technology; Public Sector; Systems; Systems Integration; Unemployment Insurance; Waste Heat Recovery; AI and Machine Learning; Government Administration; Insurance; Decision Making; Digital Transformation; Employment; Public Administration Industry; United States; Michigan
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      Ghosh, Shikhar, and Shweta Bagai. "MiDAS: Automating Unemployment Benefits." Harvard Business School Case 825-100, November 2024. (Revised January 2025.)
      • November–December 2024
      • Article

      High-Status Teammates: Award Evaluation in the National Basketball Association

      By: Dominika Kinga Randle and Letian Zhang
      Social evaluations proceed in stages. First, judges filter a broad pool of candidates and pick a subset for detailed assessment. Then, the chosen group undergoes a closer examination, during which winners are selected. At both stages of the process, judges are... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Evaluation; Prejudice and Bias; Groups and Teams; Status and Position; Sports Industry
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      Randle, Dominika Kinga, and Letian Zhang. "High-Status Teammates: Award Evaluation in the National Basketball Association." Organization Science 35, no. 6 (November–December 2024): 2294–2308.
      • November 2024
      • Article

      Preference Externality Estimators: A Comparison of Border Approaches and IVs

      By: Xi Ling, Wesley R. Hartmann and Tomomichi Amano
      This paper compares two estimators—the Border Approach and an Instrumental Variable (IV) estimator—using a unified framework where identifying variation arises from “preference externalities,” following the intuition in Waldfogel (2003). We highlight two dimensions in... View Details
      Keywords: Econometrics; Casual Inference; Marketing; Economics; Advertising; Mathematical Methods
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      Ling, Xi, Wesley R. Hartmann, and Tomomichi Amano. "Preference Externality Estimators: A Comparison of Border Approaches and IVs." Management Science 70, no. 11 (November 2024): 7892–7910.
      • October 2024
      • Supplement

      Hakluyt: from Corporate Intelligence to Trusted Advisors (B)

      By: Joseph B. Fuller and Lena Duchene
      This case is a continuation of an earlier study chronicling Hakluyt & Company (Hakluyt)’s transformation from an obscure boutique to a global corporate advisory firm with an outsized reputation. In August 2024, the firm faced a pivotal moment as managing partner Varun... View Details
      Keywords: Business Growth and Maturation; Business Model; Talent and Talent Management; Capital Structure; Cash Flow; Corporate Finance; Equity; Stock Shares; Corporate Governance; Business History; Compensation and Benefits; Recruitment; Leadership Style; Growth Management; Management Succession; Management Teams; Organizational Culture; Performance Evaluation; Networks; Partners and Partnerships; Business Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Consulting Industry; Europe; United Kingdom; England; London
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      Fuller, Joseph B., and Lena Duchene. "Hakluyt: from Corporate Intelligence to Trusted Advisors (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 825-087, October 2024.
      • October 2024
      • Supplement

      Partners Capital: Evaluating Fund Performance

      By: Luis M. Viceira
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      Viceira, Luis M. "Partners Capital: Evaluating Fund Performance." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 225-716, October 2024.
      • October 2024
      • Article

      How to Use Sales Assessments

      By: Frank V. Cespedes
      Judging a person’s fit for a sales job is complex, and research shows that managers greatly overrate their ability to predict someone’s performance on the basis of interviews. Hence, using assessments is a growing trend in sales hiring and training. This article... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; Sales
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      Cespedes, Frank V. "How to Use Sales Assessments." Top Sales Magazine (October 2024), 10–11.
      • September–October 2024
      • Article

      The Crowdless Future? Generative AI and Creative Problem-Solving

      By: Léonard Boussioux, Jacqueline N. Lane, Miaomiao Zhang, Vladimir Jacimovic and Karim R. Lakhani
      The rapid advances in generative artificial intelligence (AI) open up attractive opportunities for creative problem-solving through human-guided AI partnerships. To explore this potential, we initiated a crowdsourcing challenge focused on sustainable, circular economy... View Details
      Keywords: Large Language Models; Generative Ai; Crowdsourcing; AI and Machine Learning; Creativity; Technological Innovation
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      Boussioux, Léonard, Jacqueline N. Lane, Miaomiao Zhang, Vladimir Jacimovic, and Karim R. Lakhani. "The Crowdless Future? Generative AI and Creative Problem-Solving." Organization Science 35, no. 5 (September–October 2024): 1589–1607.
      • September 2024
      • Exercise

      Finding Your 'Jagged Frontier': A Generative AI Exercise

      By: Mitchell Weiss
      In 2023 a set of scholars set out to study the effect of artificial intelligence (AI) on the quality and productivity of knowledge workers—in this specific instance, management consultants. They wanted to know across a range of tasks in a workflow, which, if any, would... View Details
      Keywords: AI and Machine Learning; Performance Productivity; Performance Evaluation; Consulting Industry
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      Weiss, Mitchell. "Finding Your 'Jagged Frontier': A Generative AI Exercise." Harvard Business School Exercise 825-070, September 2024.
      • September 2024
      • Case

      Topaz: Navigating Governance, Legacy, and Change

      By: Christina R. Wing and Carla Larangeira
      Since its founding in 2011, the Garza Sada brothers and their father positioned Topaz among leading family offices in Monterrey, Mexico, with several assets under management. Topaz aspired to have a transformative impact across multiple Mexican industries. An industry... View Details
      Keywords: Business Conglomerates; Family Business; Governing and Advisory Boards; Managerial Roles; Management Succession; Family Ownership; Corporate Governance; Organizational Structure; Adoption; Financial Services Industry; Real Estate Industry; Education Industry; Energy Industry; Latin America; Mexico
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      Wing, Christina R., and Carla Larangeira. "Topaz: Navigating Governance, Legacy, and Change." Harvard Business School Case 625-062, September 2024.
      • September 2024
      • Exercise

      Assessing the Value of Unifying and De-Duplicating Customer Data

      By: Elie Ofek and Hema Yoganarasimhan
      This exercise provides an opportunity for students to gain hands on experience with assessing the value of unifying various customer databases that a firm may have (e.g., across the different brands it markets) and of properly identifying customers to avoid duplication... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Measurement and Metrics; Analytics and Data Science; Value
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      Ofek, Elie, and Hema Yoganarasimhan. "Assessing the Value of Unifying and De-Duplicating Customer Data." Harvard Business School Exercise 525-023, September 2024.
      • September 2024
      • Case

      Myeloma Investment Fund

      By: Kyle Myers and Scott Sawaya
      This case explores a critical decision facing the Myeloma Investment Fund (MIF) as it evaluates two investment opportunities aimed at accelerating a cure for multiple myeloma.

      The MIF, a venture philanthropy fund, must choose between two distinct paths. One... View Details
      Keywords: Venture Philanthropy; Biomedical Research; Investing For Impact; Innovation & Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Science-Based Business; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Decision Making; Health Care and Treatment; Biotechnology Industry; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Myers, Kyle, and Scott Sawaya. "Myeloma Investment Fund." Harvard Business School Case 625-047, September 2024.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Does Private Equity Have Any Business Being in the Health Care Business?

      By: Nori Gerardo Lietz and Zirui Song
      Private Equity (“PE”) has come under increased scrutiny by the press, academics, and policymakers, as well as the public, for its investments in health care delivery. This scrutiny has been exacerbated by recent high profile hospital bankruptcies following PE... View Details
      Keywords: Private Equity; Government Administration; Acquisition; Health Industry
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      Lietz, Nori Gerardo, and Zirui Song. "Does Private Equity Have Any Business Being in the Health Care Business?" Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-012, September 2024.
      • September 2024
      • Article

      A Potential Pitfall of Passion: Passion Is Associated with Performance Overconfidence

      By: Erica R. Bailey, Kai Krautter, Wen Wu, Adam D. Galinsky and Jon M. Jachimowicz
      Having passion is almost universally lauded. People strive to follow their passion at work, and organizations increasingly seek out passionate employees. Supporting the benefits of passion, prior research finds a robust relationship between passion and higher levels of... View Details
      Keywords: Interests; Personal Characteristics; Performance Evaluation
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      Bailey, Erica R., Kai Krautter, Wen Wu, Adam D. Galinsky, and Jon M. Jachimowicz. "A Potential Pitfall of Passion: Passion Is Associated with Performance Overconfidence." Social Psychological & Personality Science 15, no. 7 (September 2024): 769–779.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Bounded Solidarity: The Role of Migrants in Shaping Entrepreneurial Ventures

      By: Astrid Marinoni and Prithwiraj Choudhury
      We explore a previously unexamined aspect of migrants’ contributions to local entrepreneurial ecosystems: the value created by cooperative interactions between migrants and locals in entrepreneurial ventures. Specifically, we analyze whether mixed teams composed of... View Details
      Keywords: Migration; Mobility; Entrepreneurship; Immigration; Demographics; Groups and Teams
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      Marinoni, Astrid, and Prithwiraj Choudhury. "Bounded Solidarity: The Role of Migrants in Shaping Entrepreneurial Ventures." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-019, September 2024.
      • September 2024
      • Article

      Political Elite Cues and Attitude Formation in Post-Conflict Contexts

      By: Natalia Garbiras-Díaz, Miguel Garcia-Sanchez and Aila M. Matanock
      Civil conflicts typically end with negotiated settlements, but many settlements fail, often during the implementation stage when average citizens have increasing influence. Citizens sometimes evaluate peace agreements by voting on referendums or the negotiating... View Details
      Keywords: Civil Unrest; Peace Process; Political Leadership; Peace; Politics; Policy Change; Policy; Government and Politics; Government Administration; Governance; Political Elections; Civil Society or Community; Negotiation; Negotiation Participants; Public Relations Industry; Colombia; Latin America; South America
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      Garbiras-Díaz, Natalia, Miguel Garcia-Sanchez, and Aila M. Matanock. "Political Elite Cues and Attitude Formation in Post-Conflict Contexts." Journal of Peace Research 61, no. 5 (September 2024): 874–890.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Determinants of Top-Down Sabotage

      By: Hashim Zaman and Karim R. Lakhani
      We investigate the conditions that motivate managers to impede the growth of talented subordinates due to fears of future competition for their own positions. Our research expands on existing tournament and contest theory literature that considers peer-to-peer sabotage... View Details
      Keywords: Succession Planning; Organizational Hierarchy; Compensation; Promotions; Tournaments; Talent and Talent Management; Organizational Structure; Employee Relationship Management; Performance Evaluation; Organizational Culture; Management Skills
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      Zaman, Hashim, and Karim R. Lakhani. "Determinants of Top-Down Sabotage." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-007, August 2024. (Revised December 2024.)
      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Narrative AI and the Human-AI Oversight Paradox in Evaluating Early-Stage Innovations

      By: Jacqueline N. Lane, Léonard Boussioux, Charles Ayoubi, Ying Hao Chen, Camila Lin, Rebecca Spens, Pooja Wagh and Pei-Hsin Wang
      Do AI-generated narrative explanations enhance human oversight or diminish it? We investigate this question through a field experiment with 228 evaluators screening 48 early-stage innovations under three conditions: human-only, black-box AI recommendations without... View Details
      Keywords: Large Language Models; AI and Machine Learning; Innovation and Invention; Decision Making
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      Lane, Jacqueline N., Léonard Boussioux, Charles Ayoubi, Ying Hao Chen, Camila Lin, Rebecca Spens, Pooja Wagh, and Pei-Hsin Wang. "Narrative AI and the Human-AI Oversight Paradox in Evaluating Early-Stage Innovations." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 25-001, August 2024. (Revised May 2025.)
      • August 2024
      • Article

      Heuristics on Call: The Impact of Mobile-Phone-Based Business-Management Advice

      By: Shawn Cole, Mukta Joshi and Antoinette Schoar
      There is growing evidence that business training for micro-entrepreneurs can be effective. However, in-person training can be expensive and imposes costs on the target beneficiaries. This paper presents the results of a two-site randomized evaluation of a light-touch,... View Details
      Keywords: Training; Entrepreneurship; Mobile and Wireless Technology; India; Philippines
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      Cole, Shawn, Mukta Joshi, and Antoinette Schoar. "Heuristics on Call: The Impact of Mobile-Phone-Based Business-Management Advice." World Bank Economic Review 38, no. 3 (August 2024): 580–597.
      • 2024
      • Working Paper

      Immodest Victims: Victims Who Broadcast Their Victimization Are Seen as Less Morally Virtuous

      By: Nathan Dhaliwal, Jillian J. Jordan, Anoushka Kiyawat and Pat Barclay
      How do people evaluate victims who advertise their victim status? Because such broadcasting can elicit sympathy and support, we propose that declining to broadcast serves as a costly act of modesty: one is withholding a fact about oneself that could garner resources... View Details
      Keywords: Public Opinion; Communication; Perception; Reputation
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      Dhaliwal, Nathan, Jillian J. Jordan, Anoushka Kiyawat, and Pat Barclay. "Immodest Victims: Victims Who Broadcast Their Victimization Are Seen as Less Morally Virtuous." Working Paper, August 2024.
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